PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Mechelen vs Zwolle Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 92-69
28-18 17-16 23-22 24-13
Position#3
Record1-1
FormLWLLW
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game74.5
Mechelen 🏆
vs
Zwolle
Position#15
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game81.0
EuropeBNXT League· Stedelijke Sporthal Winketkaai
Other2024-25
Meetings · Mechelen v Zwolle
23 Jan 2027
MECH v ZWO
upcoming
11 Oct 2025
MECH70
ZWO66
05 Oct 2024
MECH92
ZWO69
25 Mar 2023
MECH101
ZWO62
23 Apr 2022
MECH92
ZWO84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mechelen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zwolle winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MechelenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMechelen
Date
Competition
QSTA Utd
#19
W
94-67
94
67
+27
98avg 73
H13/04
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
81-72
81
72
+9
80avg 73
A20/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
89-66
89
66
+23
90avg 73
H27/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
W
89-83
89
83
+6
94avg 73
A01/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
W
92-77
92
77
+15
83avg 73
H03/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
84-90
84
90
-6
84avg 73
A08/05
Pro Basketball League
Limburg
#4
W
75-70
75
70
+5
69avg 73
H10/05
Pro Basketball League
Limburg
#4
L
69-81
69
81
-12
60avg 73
A12/05
Pro Basketball League
Limburg
#4
L
65-74
65
74
-9
60avg 73
A20/09
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
79-75
79
75
+4
68avg 73
A28/09
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-14
23-19
25-19
21-15
26-6
17-24
13-18
25-24
19-13
28-14
28-22
14-17
15-19
28-22
19-18
27-24
31-24
22-20
17-17
22-16
29-20
19-25
16-17
20-28
22-16
21-12
7-20
25-22
22-17
14-21
18-25
15-18
20-20
10-19
20-23
15-12
22-16
19-19
12-26
26-14
157.2Avg total
81.7Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)72.074.5146.5-2.550%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)72.074.5146.5-2.550%
Last 10 (10)81.775.5157.2+6.270%
Last 5 (5)74.478.0152.4-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.282.4156.6-8.220%
vs Similar (15)78.379.8158.1-1.553%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)83.173.1156.2+10.070%
This opponent (Zwolle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZwolleLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZwolle
Date
Competition
Liege
#6
L
86-91 OT
86
91
-5
77avg 68
H01/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
57-91
57
91
-34
50avg 68
A03/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#7
W
90-61
90
61
+29
79avg 68
H08/05
DBL
LWD Basket
#7
W
88-80
88
80
+8
85avg 68
A10/05
DBL
Leiden
#1
L
60-68
60
68
-8
55avg 68
A15/05
DBL
Leiden
#1
L
58-64
58
64
-6
46avg 68
H17/05
DBL
Leiden
#1
L
71-79
71
79
-8
62avg 68
A19/05
DBL
BAL Weert
#18
W
89-80
89
80
+9
83avg 68
A14/09
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
90-82
90
82
+8
83avg 68
H22/09
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
W
84-81
84
81
+3
71avg 68
H29/09
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-27
20-16
24-22
21-15
11-27
15-21
18-21
13-22
26-12
25-21
19-15
20-13
27-22
14-16
25-18
22-24
13-20
17-14
14-22
16-12
20-15
18-15
15-20
5-14
14-14
14-24
18-18
25-23
22-19
20-23
23-29
24-9
22-17
18-25
21-16
29-24
22-26
23-24
17-16
22-15
155.0Avg total
77.3Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)87.781.0168.7+6.7100%
Season at home (2)87.081.5168.5+5.5100%
Season away (1)89.080.0169.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.377.7155.0-0.450%
Last 5 (5)78.477.2155.6+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)71.077.8148.8-6.833%
vs Similar (11)72.877.2150.0-4.427%
vs Weaker (7)83.072.4155.4+10.686%
This opponent (Mechelen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.6+6.6Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +2.6+2.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.6+6.6Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +2.6+2.6
MechelenZwolle
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
QSTA Utd
#19
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H13/04
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A20/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H27/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A01/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H03/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A08/05
Pro Basketball League
Limburg
#4
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H10/05
Pro Basketball League
Limburg
#4
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A12/05
Pro Basketball League
Limburg
#4
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A20/09
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A28/09
BNXT League
79.2Avg total
43.2Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.638.679.1+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.837.679.4+4.269%-
Last 30 away (17)39.639.378.9+0.447%-
Last 10 (10)43.236.079.2+7.280%-
Last 5 (5)39.637.076.6+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.442.278.6-5.820%-
vs Similar (15)40.138.979.0+1.160%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)43.436.279.6+7.270%-
This opponent (Zwolle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZwolleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liege
#6
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H01/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
26-48
26
48
-22
A03/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#7
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H08/05
DBL
LWD Basket
#7
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A10/05
DBL
Leiden
#1
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A15/05
DBL
Leiden
#1
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H17/05
DBL
Leiden
#1
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A19/05
DBL
BAL Weert
#18
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A14/09
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H22/09
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H29/09
BNXT League
77.4Avg total
37.6Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.739.174.8-3.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.738.175.9-0.447%-
Last 30 away (15)33.740.073.7-6.327%-
Last 10 (10)37.639.877.4-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)38.640.479.0-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)35.139.474.5-4.333%-
vs Similar (11)32.039.771.7-7.718%-
vs Weaker (7)42.637.480.0+5.171%-
This opponent (Mechelen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.620.6
54.8%
52.6%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.47.6
35.5%
34.1%22.8
🏀 Free throws23.716.7
70.5%
71.9%16.7
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zwolletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zwolle: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.420.9
54.4%
52.6%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.5
35.1%
34.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws14.39.0
62.9%
71.9%9.0
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mechelen
WLLWLWWWWW
Zwolle
WWWLLLWWLL
#3
League position
#15
+7.8
Net rating
-0.6
110.7
Offensive rating
107.5
102.9
Defensive rating
108.0
54.2%
Effective FG%
53.8%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
18.7%
Turnover %
15.4%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.23
35.5%
3-point %
35.1%
66.3%
Assist %
53.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.7 · 107.5Defence102.9 · 108.0Shooting54.2% · 53.8%3-point %35.5% · 35.1%Ball care18.7% · 15.4%Off. rebounds30.7% · 25.9%Free throws0.40 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Mechelen   ■ Zwolle
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Mechelen wins
1
Zwolle wins
DateGameScore
14/04/23Zwolle v Mechelen84-81
25/03/23Mechelen v Zwolle101-62
23/04/22Mechelen v Zwolle92-84
18/03/22Zwolle v Mechelen56-70
Mechelenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/24AOostende79-75
20/09/24ALimburg65-74
12/05/24ALimburg69-81
10/05/24HLimburg75-70
08/05/24ALimburg84-90
03/05/24HLWD Basket92-77
01/05/24AFeyenoord89-83
27/04/24HDen Helder89-66
20/04/24AOkapi Aalst81-72
13/04/24HQSTA Utd94-67
Zwollelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/24HCircus Brussels84-81
22/09/24HOkapi Aalst90-82
14/09/24ABAL Weert89-80
19/05/24ALeiden71-79
17/05/24HLeiden58-64
15/05/24ALeiden60-68
10/05/24ALWD Basket88-80
08/05/24HLWD Basket90-61
03/05/24ALimburg57-91
01/05/24HLiege86-91 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mechelen
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
Home--
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %50%-50%
Points / game72.0-72.0
Allowed / game74.5-74.5
Point differential-2.5--2.5
Avg total146.5-146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Zwolle
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game87.787.089.0
Allowed / game81.081.580.0
Point differential+6.7+5.5+9.0
Avg total168.7168.5169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kortrijk440100%96.877.2+19.5
2 Limburg440100%81.863.2+18.5
3 Zwolle330100%87.781.0+6.7
4 Oostende54180%86.873.8+13.0
5 Belfius Mons43175%82.575.5+7.0
6 Leuven Bears32167%74.769.0+5.7
7 Circus Brussels42250%75.276.8-1.5
8 Mechelen21150%72.074.5-2.5
9 Leiden42250%77.082.0-5.0
10 BAL Weert42250%81.089.0-8.0
11 Spirou Charleroi31233%85.077.3+7.7
12 LWD Basket31233%83.087.3-4.3
13 Donar Groningen31233%74.085.0-11.0
14 QSTA Utd31233%71.386.7-15.3
15 Antwerp Giants41325%72.275.2-3.0
16 Den Helder41325%68.077.0-9.0
17 Den Bosch3030%84.389.0-4.7
18 Okapi Aalst3030%67.376.7-9.3
19 Feyenoord3030%69.089.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mechelen2817232492
Zwolle1816221369
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.