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LWD Basket vs Okapi Aalst Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 30 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 67-66
23-16 21-24 10-10 13-16
Position#17
Record7-19
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game84.6
vs
Position#16
Record10-20
FormWWLLW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game79.8
EuropeBNXT League· Sportcentrum Kalverdijkje
Other2023-24
Meetings · LWD Basket v Okapi Aalst
22 Oct 2025
LWD 94
OKAP105
10 May 2025
LWD 99
OKAP88
30 Apr 2024
LWD 67
OKAP66
11 May 2022
LWD 61
OKAP78
01 Apr 2022
LWD 82
OKAP75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

LWD Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Okapi Aalst winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LWD BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Belfius Mons
#10
L
92-106 OT
92
106
-14
83avg 70
H02/03
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
L
81-104
81
104
-23
67avg 70
A17/03
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
91-71
91
71
+20
83avg 70
H24/03
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
92-85
92
85
+7
84avg 70
A27/03
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
L
71-85
71
85
-14
66avg 70
H30/03
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
L
74-103
74
103
-29
58avg 70
A06/04
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
W
80-61
80
61
+19
78avg 70
H09/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
L
80-89
80
89
-9
72avg 70
A13/04
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
L
86-99
86
99
-13
82avg 70
H21/04
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
L
60-81
60
81
-21
49avg 70
A26/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
22-27
22-19
22-17
26-30
15-33
22-23
18-18
22-20
27-15
18-17
24-19
22-23
16-25
30-18
24-19
22-18
18-23
15-20
16-24
10-27
17-31
32-23
15-22
19-19
20-15
21-14
20-13
15-21
22-17
25-27
18-24
17-30
26-22
27-19
16-28
18-19
14-20
17-25
11-17
169.1Avg total
80.7Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)77.684.6162.2-7.027%
Season at home (13)81.685.5167.1-3.831%
Season away (13)73.583.7157.2-10.223%
Last 10 (10)80.788.4169.1-7.730%
Last 5 (5)76.086.6162.6-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)76.986.7163.6-9.821%
vs Similar (6)78.582.8161.3-4.333%
vs Weaker (4)78.277.0155.2+1.250%
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Okapi AalstLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAalst
Date
Competition
Feyenoord
#18
W
77-64
77
64
+13
74avg 71
A06/03
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
80-75
80
75
+5
76avg 71
H16/03
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
81-69
81
69
+12
79avg 71
A23/03
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
L
63-71
63
71
-8
54avg 71
A27/03
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
87-70
87
70
+17
86avg 71
H30/03
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
W
103-74
103
74
+29
110avg 71
H06/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
73-70
73
70
+3
60avg 71
A10/04
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
L
71-75
71
75
-4
65avg 71
A13/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
72-81
72
81
-9
69avg 71
H20/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
W
103-75
103
75
+28
103avg 71
H26/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
16-23
26-10
20-8
25-22
22-19
22-9
11-25
21-17
22-19
15-18
23-15
18-17
16-22
20-18
9-14
16-17
28-15
27-14
16-24
27-10
31-17
23-32
22-15
25-20
19-23
14-15
15-12
21-24
16-22
15-14
19-15
6-26
24-17
18-13
24-25
30-12
25-20
21-19
27-24
153.4Avg total
81.0Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)77.579.8157.3-2.333%
Season at home (15)82.179.5161.5+2.640%
Season away (15)73.080.1153.1-7.127%
Last 10 (10)81.072.4153.4+8.670%
Last 5 (5)84.475.0159.4+9.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.282.9157.1-8.817%
vs Similar (12)75.778.8154.5-3.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)86.271.2157.3+15.0100%
This opponent (LWD Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +0.9+0.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +0.9+0.9
LWD BasketOkapi Aalst
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LWD BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belfius Mons
#10
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H02/03
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
L
41-63
41
63
-22
A17/03
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H24/03
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A27/03
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H30/03
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
L
27-58
27
58
-31
A06/04
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H09/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A13/04
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H21/04
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A26/04
BNXT League
84.8Avg total
38.9Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.842.781.4-3.931%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.642.382.9-1.743%-
Last 30 away (15)37.143.180.1-6.020%-
Last 10 (10)38.945.984.8-7.020%-
Last 5 (5)35.644.279.8-8.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)38.644.983.5-6.321%-
vs Similar (6)36.342.578.8-6.217%-
vs Weaker (4)43.232.575.8+10.8100%-
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Okapi AalstLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Feyenoord
#18
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A06/03
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H16/03
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A23/03
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A27/03
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H30/03
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
W
58-27
58
27
+31
H06/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A10/04
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A13/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H20/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H26/04
BNXT League
80.8Avg total
42.3Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.039.980.0+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.238.980.1+2.444%-
Last 30 away (14)38.641.179.8-2.550%-
Last 10 (10)42.338.580.8+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)44.838.283.0+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.641.277.8-4.733%-
vs Similar (12)40.339.880.2+0.542%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)46.337.583.8+8.883%-
This opponent (LWD Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
LWD Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LWD Basket: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.123.1
52.4%
52.2%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.87.4
33.9%
33.1%22.2
🏀 Free throws16.011.6
72.5%
71.4%11.6
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Okapi Aalsttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Okapi Aalst: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.923.2
52.8%
52.2%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.76.9
35.0%
33.1%20.7
🏀 Free throws18.013.1
72.8%
71.4%13.1
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
LWD Basket
LLLWLLWWLL
Okapi Aalst
WLLWWWLWWW
#17
League position
#16
-9.7
Net rating
+11.2
101.9
Offensive rating
106.9
111.6
Defensive rating
95.7
51.9%
Effective FG%
52.8%
55.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.9%
18.7%
Turnover %
18.0%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.9%
3-point %
35.0%
57.0%
Assist %
64.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence101.9 · 106.9Defence111.6 · 95.7Shooting51.9% · 52.8%3-point %33.9% · 35.0%Ball care18.7% · 18.0%Off. rebounds25.9% · 30.3%Free throws0.24 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ LWD Basket   ■ Okapi Aalst
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
LWD Basket wins
4
Okapi Aalst wins
LWD Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/24ALeuven Bears60-81
21/04/24HKortrijk86-99
13/04/24ABelfius Mons80-89
09/04/24HCircus Brussels80-61
06/04/24AOkapi Aalst74-103
30/03/24HLeuven Bears71-85
27/03/24AKortrijk92-85
24/03/24HMechelen91-71
17/03/24ACircus Brussels81-104
02/03/24HBelfius Mons92-106 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/24HFeyenoord103-75
20/04/24HMechelen72-81
13/04/24ACircus Brussels71-75
10/04/24AQSTA Utd73-70
06/04/24HLWD Basket103-74
30/03/24HKortrijk87-70
27/03/24ALeuven Bears63-71
23/03/24ADen Helder81-69
16/03/24HQSTA Utd80-75
06/03/24AFeyenoord77-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

LWD Basket
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL27%
HomeLWLWL31%
AwayLWLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %27%31%23%
Points / game77.681.673.5
Allowed / game84.685.583.7
Point differential-7.0-3.8-10.2
Avg total162.2167.1157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%31%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %12%23%0%
Okapi Aalst
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW33%
HomeWWWLW40%
AwayWWLWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %33%40%27%
Points / game77.582.173.0
Allowed / game79.879.580.1
Point differential-2.3+2.6-7.1
Avg total157.3161.5153.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%27%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)33% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende2826293%83.370.7+12.6
2 Den Bosch2419579%81.372.2+9.1
3 Antwerp Giants2922776%82.971.8+11.1
4 Leiden2416867%75.772.4+3.3
5 Limburg28181064%76.973.3+3.5
6 Spirou Charleroi28171161%74.173.8+0.3
7 Liege28161257%80.378.4+2.0
8 Mechelen30161453%78.476.2+2.2
9 Circus Brussels31161552%78.676.5+2.1
10 Zwolle24121250%74.971.3+3.6
11 Leuven Bears30141647%76.976.9-0.0
12 Belfius Mons30141647%78.380.0-1.7
13 Donar Groningen25111444%73.573.6-0.0
14 BAL Weert2491538%70.277.8-7.6
15 Kortrijk30111937%79.381.5-2.2
16 Okapi Aalst30102033%77.579.8-2.3
17 Feyenoord2681831%74.182.9-8.8
18 LWD Basket2671927%77.684.6-7.0
19 QSTA Utd2671927%72.779.8-7.0
20 Den Helder2752219%66.480.8-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
LWD Basket2321101367
Okapi Aalst1624101666
← all games of the day
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