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Macau Black Bears vs Blackwater Bossing Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 28 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 09:15
Final 123-119
25-21 28-28 38-39 32-31
Position#11
Record1-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game104.1
Allowed / game111.8
vs
Position#12
Record2-7
FormLLLWL
Points / game99.4
Allowed / game109.6
PhilippinesCommissioners Cup
Other2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Macau Black Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Blackwater Bossing winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Macau Black BearsPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#2
L
79-102
79
102
-23
65avg 68
H21/01
EASL
Converge FiberXers
#9
L
94-102
94
102
-8
no box
H11/03
Commissioners Cup
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#3
L
109-116
109
116
-7
no box
A14/03
Commissioners Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
L
93-110
93
110
-17
no box
H20/03
Commissioners Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#4
L
109-121
109
121
-12
no box
A28/03
Commissioners Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#7
L
94-110
94
110
-16
no box
A31/03
Commissioners Cup
Meralco Bolts
#6
L
110-115
110
115
-5
no box
H11/04
Commissioners Cup
NLEX Road Warriors
#1
L
97-106
97
106
-9
no box
A14/04
Commissioners Cup
Titan Ultra Giant Risers
#13
W
119-107
119
107
+12
no box
H21/04
Commissioners Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#5
L
112-119
112
119
-7
no box
A24/04
Commissioners Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
21-29
16-26
25-27
19-27
34-22
29-30
12-23
28-24
30-28
20-31
31-33
21-24
22-39
25-21
25-26
25-26
26-26
17-32
41-37
26-33
25-29
32-31
11-17
25-26
32-27
24-34
29-28
21-28
31-24
26-22
19-32
24-32
41-16
27-29
27-30
25-24
23-26
37-38
27-31
212.4Avg total
101.6Scored
110.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)104.1111.8215.9-7.711%
Season at home (4)104.0108.5212.5-4.525%
Season away (5)104.2114.4218.6-10.20%
Last 10 (10)101.6110.8212.4-9.210%
Last 5 (5)106.4111.4217.8-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)95.1104.6199.8-9.512%
vs Similar (5)92.895.8188.6-3.020%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)97.891.6189.4+6.162%
This opponent (Blackwater Bossing) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Blackwater BossingPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBossing
Date
Competition
Phoenix Fuelmasters
#9
L
109-124
109
124
-15
no box
A13/06
Philippine Cup
NLEX Road Warriors
#1
L
81-84
81
84
-3
no box
H13/03
Commissioners Cup
Terrafirma Dyip
#10
L
88-99
88
99
-11
no box
A18/03
Commissioners Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#4
W
97-91
97
91
+6
no box
H22/03
Commissioners Cup
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#3
L
95-151
95
151
-56
no box
A31/03
Commissioners Cup
Titan Ultra Giant Risers
#13
L
98-102
98
102
-4
no box
H08/04
Commissioners Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#5
L
94-99
94
99
-5
no box
H14/04
Commissioners Cup
Phoenix Fuelmasters
#8
L
108-125
108
125
-17
no box
A17/04
Commissioners Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#7
W
126-120
126
120
+6
no box
A22/04
Commissioners Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
L
108-115
108
115
-7
no box
H24/04
Commissioners Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-39
29-26
37-32
24-27
25-15
16-19
20-26
20-24
15-33
34-17
17-25
22-24
20-24
16-18
31-30
30-19
15-42
29-33
23-29
28-47
21-36
29-18
33-30
15-18
21-26
19-26
25-25
29-22
26-34
30-33
23-30
29-28
36-23
29-27
27-44
34-26
26-16
16-34
36-35
30-30
211.4Avg total
100.4Scored
111.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)99.4109.6209.0-10.122%
Season at home (5)95.698.2193.8-2.620%
Season away (4)104.2123.8228.0-19.525%
Last 10 (10)100.4111.0211.4-10.620%
Last 5 (5)106.8112.2219.0-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)93.9108.5202.4-14.612%
vs Similar (3)105.392.0197.3+13.3100%
vs Weaker (2)97.592.0189.5+5.550%
This opponent (Macau Black Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -6.4-6.4Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: -0.4-0.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -6.4-6.4Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: -0.4-0.4
Macau Black BearsBlackwater Bossing
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Macau Black BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#2
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H21/01
EASL
Converge FiberXers
#9
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H11/03
Commissioners Cup
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#3
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A14/03
Commissioners Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
L
43-63
43
63
-20
H20/03
Commissioners Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#4
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A28/03
Commissioners Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#7
L
51-62
51
62
-11
A31/03
Commissioners Cup
Meralco Bolts
#6
W
57-53
57
53
+4
H11/04
Commissioners Cup
NLEX Road Warriors
#1
D
52-52
52
52
+0
A14/04
Commissioners Cup
Titan Ultra Giant Risers
#13
W
65-48
65
48
+17
H21/04
Commissioners Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#5
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A24/04
Commissioners Cup
104.6Avg total
51.6Scored
53.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.349.397.6-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (18)48.149.297.3-1.250%-
Last 30 away (12)48.749.598.2-0.833%-
Last 10 (10)51.653.0104.6-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)54.653.0107.6+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)48.551.299.6-2.735%-
vs Similar (5)47.648.696.2-1.060%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)48.445.994.2+2.550%-
This opponent (Blackwater Bossing) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Blackwater BossingLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Fuelmasters
#9
L
48-65
48
65
-17
A13/06
Philippine Cup
NLEX Road Warriors
#1
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H13/03
Commissioners Cup
Terrafirma Dyip
#10
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A18/03
Commissioners Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#4
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H22/03
Commissioners Cup
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#3
L
44-75
44
75
-31
A31/03
Commissioners Cup
Titan Ultra Giant Risers
#13
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H08/04
Commissioners Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#5
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H14/04
Commissioners Cup
Phoenix Fuelmasters
#8
L
56-67
56
67
-11
A17/04
Commissioners Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#7
W
65-50
65
50
+15
A22/04
Commissioners Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H24/04
Commissioners Cup
101.0Avg total
47.1Scored
53.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.051.897.8-5.827%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.748.694.4-2.941%-
Last 30 away (13)46.456.0102.4-9.68%-
Last 10 (10)47.153.9101.0-6.820%-
Last 5 (5)50.654.6105.2-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)45.452.497.8-7.120%-
vs Similar (3)48.048.396.3-0.367%-
vs Weaker (2)51.049.5100.5+1.550%-
This opponent (Macau Black Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Macau Black Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Macau Black Bears: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.3 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 14% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.320.2
48.8%
-40.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.59.8
33.3%
-29.5
🏀 Free throws16.011.8
74.0%
-11.8
They take 70.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Blackwater Bossingtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Blackwater Bossing: 89.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 14% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.824.5
50.2%
-49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.2
32.1%
-27.6
🏀 Free throws18.912.5
66.1%
-12.5
They take 77.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/10 games with a box score before 28 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Macau Black Bears
LWLLLLLLLL
Blackwater Bossing
LWLLLLWLLL
#11
League position
#12
-16.2
Net rating
-1.8
100.6
Offensive rating
106.9
116.8
Defensive rating
108.7
49.3%
Effective FG%
49.4%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
12.8%
Turnover %
14.2%
20.5%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.24
33.3%
3-point %
32.1%
45.0%
Assist %
59.3%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)10% · 20%
■ Macau Black Bears   ■ Blackwater Bossing
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Macau Black Bears wins
0
Blackwater Bossing wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/04/26ATNT Tropang Giga112-119
21/04/26HTitan Ultra Giant Risers119-107
14/04/26ANLEX Road Warriors97-106
11/04/26HMeralco Bolts110-115
31/03/26ASan Miguel Beermen94-110
28/03/26AMagnolia Hotshots109-121
20/03/26HBarangay Ginebra San Miguel93-110
14/03/26ARain or Shine Elasto Painters109-116
11/03/26HConverge FiberXers94-102
21/01/26HRyukyu79-102
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/04/26HBarangay Ginebra San Miguel108-115
22/04/26ASan Miguel Beermen126-120
17/04/26APhoenix Fuelmasters108-125
14/04/26HTNT Tropang Giga94-99
08/04/26HTitan Ultra Giant Risers98-102
31/03/26ARain or Shine Elasto Painters95-151
22/03/26HMagnolia Hotshots97-91
18/03/26ATerrafirma Dyip88-99
13/03/26HNLEX Road Warriors81-84
13/06/25APhoenix Fuelmasters109-124

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Macau Black Bears
Commissioners Cup 2025
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL11%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %11%25%0%
Points / game104.1104.0104.2
Allowed / game111.8108.5114.4
Point differential-7.7-4.5-10.2
Avg total215.9212.5218.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Blackwater Bossing
Commissioners Cup 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL22%
HomeLWLLL20%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %22%20%25%
Points / game99.495.6104.2
Allowed / game109.698.2123.8
Point differential-10.1-2.6-19.5
Avg total209.0193.8228.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rain or Shine Elasto Painters98189%113.6102.7+10.9
2 Barangay Ginebra San Miguel97278%105.499.1+6.3
3 NLEX Road Warriors97278%103.398.3+5.0
4 Meralco Bolts75271%106.9101.1+5.7
5 TNT Tropang Giga96367%104.999.4+5.4
6 Phoenix Fuelmasters95456%104.7102.4+2.2
7 Magnolia Hotshots94544%99.796.2+3.4
8 San Miguel Beermen94544%103.7107.6-3.9
9 Converge FiberXers104640%101.7101.9-0.2
10 Terrafirma Dyip93633%99.0102.1-3.1
11 Blackwater Bossing92722%99.4109.6-10.1
12 Titan Ultra Giant Risers92722%96.9109.7-12.8
13 Macau Black Bears91811%104.1111.8-7.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Macau Black Bears25283832123
Blackwater Bossing21283931119
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