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Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Olympiacos Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 17 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Projected 82-91
Projected total 172.6
Scheduled
Position#17
Record3-8
FormLLLLW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game92.1
Vs
22%
78%
■ MTA 22%■ OLY 78%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
4.9/10
Around normal
4.1/10
Below normal
Position#2
Record8-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game80.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 12· Aleksandar Nikolic Hall
European cup2026
Meetings · Maccabi Tel Aviv v Olympiacos
17 Nov 2026
MTA v OLY
upcoming
16 Oct 2025
MTA94
OLY95
14 Nov 2024
MTA91
OLY94
14 Nov 2023
MTA74
OLY79
22 Nov 2022
MTA90
OLY84
20 Jan 2022
MTA84
OLY69
12 Jan 2021
MTA87
OLY89
07 Feb 2019
MTA65
OLY64
24 Oct 2017
MTA68
OLY69
02 Mar 2017
MTA71
OLY82
24 Jan 2013
MTA77
OLY78
08 Jan 2009
MTA96
OLY83
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Maccabi Tel Aviv will host Olympiacos in the EuroLeague on 17 November 2026, with the model pointing to Olympiacos as the clear favourite thanks to their 7-3 record and 87.2 points per game compared with Maccabi's 2-8 record and 84.7 points per game. Maccabi has struggled all season, allowing 94.0 points per game and winning only one of four home games, while Olympiacos has been strong on the road, winning five of six away games and averaging 96.8 points per game while conceding 91.0. The last five games for Maccabi were all losses, including a 67-88 defeat to Partizan, whereas Olympiacos won four of five, most recently beating Maroussi 83-81. In the ten meetings between the clubs, Olympiacos has won eight, with the last encounter ending 100-93 in their favour. Pythia assigns a 78% chance to an Olympiacos win, 22% to Maccabi, projects a 91-82 score and a total of 172.6 points, with a 6.5-point line for Maccabi and a 42% chance they cover; the over line is 172.5 with a 49% probability of exceeding it. The game carries a 4% chance of overtime, and the most recent result shows Olympiacos defeating Maccabi 100-93 on 20 January 2026.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maccabi Tel Aviv win
21.9%fair 4.57
Best odds3.07
Implied31.5%
Edge-9.7pp
Olympiacos win
78.1%fair 1.28
Best odds1.41
Implied68.5%
Edge+9.7pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 08 Nov 07:34 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Maccabi Tel AvivLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAviv
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#4
L
87-90
87
90
-3
79avg 82
A13/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
91-88
91
88
+3
91avg 82
A15/10
Euroleague
Ironi Kiryat Ata
#11
W
116-89
116
89
+27
99avg 82
H18/10
Super League
Real Madrid
#5
L
99-113
99
113
-14
91avg 82
H22/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Rishon
#4
L
90-93 OT
90
93
-3
60avg 82
A24/10
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#6
L
78-100
78
100
-22
64avg 82
A27/10
Euroleague
Paris
#14
L
94-99
94
99
-5
85avg 82
H29/10
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#2
L
87-105
87
105
-18
no box
H01/11
Super League
Partizan
#11
L
67-88
67
88
-21
no box
A06/11
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
W
80-73
80
73
+7
no box
H12/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
18-17
22-27
23-23
31-23
19-25
21-24
20-16
36-23
29-8
25-25
26-33
30-23
22-28
21-30
26-32
17-16
17-29
21-21
27-16
15-34
15-21
25-23
23-22
17-25
19-10
29-30
29-34
22-26
25-33
16-24
24-22
23-28
12-22
17-22
15-16
25-21
16-12
15-19
24-21
182.7Avg total
88.9Scored
93.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)84.392.1176.4-7.827%
Season at home (5)92.694.6187.2-2.040%
Season away (6)77.390.0167.3-12.717%
Last 10 (10)88.993.8182.7-4.930%
Last 5 (5)81.293.0174.2-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)84.094.4178.4-10.422%
vs Similar (3)86.089.3175.3-3.333%
vs Weaker (18)99.982.4182.3+17.583%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#4
W
105-100 OT
105
100
+5
101avg 92
A16/10
Euroleague
Vikos
#13
W
79-68
79
68
+11
76avg 92
A18/10
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
L
61-64
61
64
-3
58avg 92
H23/10
Euroleague
Promitheas
#14
W
85-45
85
45
+40
86avg 92
A25/10
Basket League
Besiktas
#13
W
81-73
81
73
+8
83avg 92
A28/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
84-78
84
78
+6
76avg 92
H30/10
Euroleague
Peristeri
#7
W
91-62
91
62
+29
89avg 92
H01/11
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#6
L
57-62
57
62
-5
no box
H06/11
Euroleague
Maroussi
#11
W
83-81
83
81
+2
no box
A08/11
Basket League
Dubai
#9
W
101-72
101
72
+29
no box
H12/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-30
31-17
20-19
15-26
21-23
18-13
25-15
15-17
20-8
14-16
15-21
12-19
16-12
25-17
21-8
23-8
25-23
17-13
19-22
20-15
25-19
19-25
25-17
15-17
25-18
23-12
28-12
15-20
11-19
11-21
19-11
16-11
24-20
17-21
22-24
20-16
25-18
32-25
31-13
13-16
153.2Avg total
82.7Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)88.580.7169.2+7.773%
Season at home (5)78.468.4146.8+10.060%
Season away (6)96.891.0187.8+5.883%
Last 10 (10)82.770.5153.2+12.280%
Last 5 (5)83.271.0154.2+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)78.077.0155.0+1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)91.075.8166.8+15.288%
This opponent (Maccabi Tel Aviv) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%1%1301%1352%1404%1456%1508%15510%16012%16512%17012%17510%1808%1856%1904%1952%2002%2051%2100%2150%220
1%1302%1406%15010%16012%17010%1806%1902%2001%2100%220
Pythia expects about 173 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 170-174 (12%). The market's main line is 172.5.
Over/Under 167.5
Over 167.5
61.5%
@ 1.46-0.7pp
Under 167.5
38.5%
@ 2.40+0.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.46
Under
1xBet
2.40
Over/Under 172.5 · main line
Over 172.5
49.3%
@ 1.92-0.9pp
Under 172.5
50.7%
@ 1.94+0.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.92
Betano
1.83
Under
1xBet
1.94
Betano
1.85
Over/Under 177.5
Over 177.5
37.4%
@ 2.40-0.5pp
Under 177.5
62.6%
@ 1.46+0.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.40
Under
1xBet
1.46

📊 3. Team Totals

Maccabi Tel Aviv total 78.5
Over 78.5
62.4%
Under 78.5
37.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Tel Aviv total 82.5 · main line
Over 82.5
47.0%
@ 1.75-4.5pp
Under 82.5
53.0%
@ 1.86+4.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.75
Under
1xBet
1.86
Maccabi Tel Aviv total 86.5
Over 86.5
32.3%
Under 86.5
67.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiacos total 85.5
Over 85.5
69.9%
Under 85.5
30.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiacos total 89.5 · main line
Over 89.5
54.5%
@ 1.81+4.5pp
Under 89.5
45.5%
@ 1.81-4.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.81
Under
1xBet
1.81
Olympiacos total 93.5
Over 93.5
38.4%
Under 93.5
61.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

2%5%7%10%0%-421%-391%-362%-333%-304%-274%-246%-218%-188%-159%-1210%-910%-68%-35%+06%+35%+64%+92%+121%+151%+181%+21
1%-392%-334%-276%-218%-1510%-98%-36%+34%+91%+151%+21
Margin from Maccabi Tel Aviv's side (positive = Maccabi Tel Aviv win). Pythia's expected margin is -8.7; Maccabi Tel Aviv win by 1+ in 20% of simulations.
Spread Maccabi Tel Aviv +3.5
MTA +3.5
30.7%
@ 2.21-10.4pp
OLY -3.5
69.3%
@ 1.54+10.4pp
Best 5 market prices
MTA
1xBet
2.21
OLY
1xBet
1.54
Spread Maccabi Tel Aviv +6.5 · main line
MTA +6.5
41.6%
@ 1.94-8.1pp
OLY -6.5
58.4%
@ 1.92+8.1pp
Best 5 market prices
MTA
1xBet
1.94
Betano
1.85
OLY
1xBet
1.92
Betano
1.83
Spread Maccabi Tel Aviv +9.5
MTA +9.5
52.8%
@ 1.54-6.1pp
OLY -9.5
47.2%
@ 2.21+6.1pp
Best 5 market prices
MTA
1xBet
1.54
OLY
1xBet
2.21

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -0.1-0.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -0.1-0.1
Maccabi Tel AvivOlympiacos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Maccabi Tel AvivLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A13/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A15/10
Euroleague
Ironi Kiryat Ata
#11
W
65-31
65
31
+34
H18/10
Super League
Real Madrid
#5
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H22/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Rishon
#4
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A24/10
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#6
L
30-55
30
55
-25
A27/10
Euroleague
Paris
#14
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H29/10
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#2
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H01/11
Super League
Partizan
#11
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A06/11
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H12/11
Euroleague
87.9Avg total
43.2Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 85.5
Last 30 (30)47.042.489.3+4.663%57%
Last 30 at home (18)51.441.292.7+10.278%72%
Last 30 away (12)40.244.184.3-3.842%33%
Last 10 (10)43.244.787.9-1.560%40%
Last 5 (5)37.846.484.2-8.640%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)39.645.284.8-5.756%33%
vs Similar (3)43.348.792.0-5.333%67%
vs Weaker (18)51.339.991.2+11.472%67%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#4
W
57-47
57
47
+10
A16/10
Euroleague
Vikos
#13
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A18/10
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H23/10
Euroleague
Promitheas
#14
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A25/10
Basket League
Besiktas
#13
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A28/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#19
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H30/10
Euroleague
Peristeri
#7
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H01/11
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#6
L
22-40
22
40
-18
H06/11
Euroleague
Maroussi
#11
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A08/11
Basket League
Dubai
#9
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H12/11
Euroleague
79.5Avg total
42.5Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 85.5
Last 30 (30)45.337.582.7+7.880%43%
Last 30 at home (15)45.635.781.3+9.987%47%
Last 30 away (15)44.939.384.2+5.773%40%
Last 10 (10)42.537.079.5+5.570%30%
Last 5 (5)42.439.682.0+2.840%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)34.041.875.8-7.850%50%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)47.036.883.8+10.285%42%
This opponent (Maccabi Tel Aviv) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half Spread Maccabi Tel Aviv +3.5 · main line
MTA +3.5
47.9%
@ 1.85-2.1pp
OLY -3.5
52.1%
@ 1.85+2.1pp
1st half Over/Under 85.5 · main line
Over
54.3%
@ 1.80+3.0pp
Under
45.7%
@ 1.90-3.0pp
Maccabi Tel Aviv 1st half total 41.5 · main line
Over
49.0%
@ 1.81-0.5pp
Under
51.0%
@ 1.77+0.5pp
Olympiacos 1st half total 44.5 · main line
Over
54.7%
@ 1.74+3.3pp
Under
45.3%
@ 1.84-3.3pp
1st half Spread Maccabi Tel Aviv +2.5
MTA +2.5
43.6%
@ 2.00-2.7pp
OLY -2.5
56.4%
@ 1.72+2.7pp
1st half Spread Maccabi Tel Aviv +4.5
MTA +4.5
52.2%
@ 1.72-1.6pp
OLY -4.5
47.8%
@ 2.00+1.6pp
1st half Over/Under 87.5
Over
46.7%
@ 2.07+2.1pp
Under
53.3%
@ 1.67-2.1pp
1st half 3-way (draw possible)
MTA
31.7%
@ 2.74-1.1pp
Draw
3.8%
@ 14.90-2.3pp
OLY
64.5%
@ 1.47+3.3pp

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Overtime
🔒 Pro
🔒 1 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds PRO1.20
Edge PRO
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Olympiacos -1.575.9%1.41
1xBet
1.41
----+11.7pp
Olympiacos -2.572.2%1.47
1xBet
1.47
----+10.7pp
Olympiacos win78.1%1.38
1xBet
1.41
Betano
1.35
---+9.7pp
Olympiacos (regulation)75.8%1.36
1xBet
1.36
----+4.8pp
🔒 Unlock all Best Picks & everything else with Pro
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Maccabi Tel Avivtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maccabi Tel Aviv: 93.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.022.4
57.4%
55.2%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.611.7
39.5%
35.7%35.1
🏀 Free throws17.414.0
80.5%
77.1%14.0
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.822.3
59.0%
55.2%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.8
34.0%
35.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws21.916.4
74.9%
77.1%16.4
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Maccabi Tel Aviv
WLLLLLLWWL
Olympiacos
WWLWWWWLWW
#17
League position
#2
+0.6
Net rating
+16.1
105.4
Offensive rating
101.9
104.9
Defensive rating
85.8
58.2%
Effective FG%
55.7%
57.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
14.9%
Turnover %
15.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.34
39.5%
3-point %
34.0%
61.6%
Assist %
66.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence105.4 · 101.9Defence104.9 · 85.8Shooting58.2% · 55.7%3-point %39.5% · 34.0%Ball care14.9% · 15.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Maccabi Tel Aviv   ■ Olympiacos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Maccabi Tel Aviv wins
8
Olympiacos wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HHapoel Tel-Aviv80-73
06/11/26APartizan67-88
01/11/26HHapoel Tel-Aviv87-105
29/10/26HParis94-99
27/10/26ACrvena zvezda78-100
24/10/26AMaccabi Rishon90-93 OT
22/10/26HReal Madrid99-113
18/10/26HIroni Kiryat Ata116-89
15/10/26AValencia91-88
13/10/26ABarcelona87-90
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HDubai101-72
08/11/26AMaroussi83-81
06/11/26HCrvena zvezda57-62
01/11/26HPeristeri91-62
30/10/26HOlimpia Milano84-78
28/10/26ABesiktas81-73
25/10/26APromitheas85-45
23/10/26HFenerbahce61-64
18/10/26AVikos79-68
16/10/26ABarcelona105-100 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maccabi Tel Aviv
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW27%
HomeLWLLW40%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %27%40%17%
Points / game84.392.677.3
Allowed / game92.194.690.0
Point differential-7.8-2.0-12.7
Avg total176.4187.2167.3
Over 172.564%80%50%
Win by 10+9%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olympiacos
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW73%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayWLWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %73%60%83%
Points / game88.578.496.8
Allowed / game80.768.491.0
Point differential+7.7+10.0+5.8
Avg total169.2146.8187.8
Over 172.555%20%83%
Win by 10+27%40%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)0% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %18%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos118373%86.478.5+7.9
2 Olympiacos118373%88.580.7+7.7
3 Valencia118373%96.488.9+7.5
4 Barcelona118373%89.687.4+2.3
5 Real Madrid117464%98.590.1+8.4
6 Crvena zvezda117464%83.377.7+5.5
7 Fenerbahce117464%82.978.6+4.3
8 Zalgiris Kaunas117464%85.682.4+3.3
9 Dubai117464%86.585.6+0.9
10 Hapoel Tel-Aviv116555%90.487.2+3.2
11 Partizan116555%79.577.7+1.7
12 Anadolu Efes115645%85.987.5-1.5
13 Besiktas115645%88.490.9-2.5
14 Paris115645%91.094.1-3.1
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne114736%88.593.2-4.6
16 Virtus Bologna114736%86.190.7-4.6
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv113827%84.392.1-7.8
18 Bayern113827%86.895.2-8.4
19 Olimpia Milano111109%81.389.3-8.0
20 Baskonia111109%79.991.9-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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