Maccabi Tel Aviv will host Olympiacos in the EuroLeague on 17 November 2026, with the model pointing to Olympiacos as the clear favourite thanks to their 7-3 record and 87.2 points per game compared with Maccabi's 2-8 record and 84.7 points per game. Maccabi has struggled all season, allowing 94.0 points per game and winning only one of four home games, while Olympiacos has been strong on the road, winning five of six away games and averaging 96.8 points per game while conceding 91.0. The last five games for Maccabi were all losses, including a 67-88 defeat to Partizan, whereas Olympiacos won four of five, most recently beating Maroussi 83-81. In the ten meetings between the clubs, Olympiacos has won eight, with the last encounter ending 100-93 in their favour. Pythia assigns a 78% chance to an Olympiacos win, 22% to Maccabi, projects a 91-82 score and a total of 172.6 points, with a 6.5-point line for Maccabi and a 42% chance they cover; the over line is 172.5 with a 49% probability of exceeding it. The game carries a 4% chance of overtime, and the most recent result shows Olympiacos defeating Maccabi 100-93 on 20 January 2026.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Maccabi Tel Aviv win
21.9%fair 4.57
Best odds3.07
Implied31.5%
Edge-9.7pp
Olympiacos win
78.1%fair 1.28
Best odds1.41
Implied68.5%
Edge+9.7pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 08 Nov 07:34 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Maccabi Tel Aviv) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Total points distribution
Pythia expects about 173 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 170-174 (12%). The market's main line is 172.5.
Over/Under 167.5
Over 167.5
61.5%
@ 1.46-0.7pp
Under 167.5
38.5%
@ 2.40+0.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.46
Under
1xBet
2.40
Over/Under 172.5 · main line
Over 172.5
49.3%
@ 1.92-0.9pp
Under 172.5
50.7%
@ 1.94+0.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.92
Betano
1.83
Under
1xBet
1.94
Betano
1.85
Over/Under 177.5
Over 177.5
37.4%
@ 2.40-0.5pp
Under 177.5
62.6%
@ 1.46+0.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.40
Under
1xBet
1.46
📊 3. Team Totals
Maccabi Tel Aviv total 78.5
Over 78.5
62.4%
Under 78.5
37.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Tel Aviv total 82.5 · main line
Over 82.5
47.0%
@ 1.75-4.5pp
Under 82.5
53.0%
@ 1.86+4.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.75
Under
1xBet
1.86
Maccabi Tel Aviv total 86.5
Over 86.5
32.3%
Under 86.5
67.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiacos total 85.5
Over 85.5
69.9%
Under 85.5
30.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiacos total 89.5 · main line
Over 89.5
54.5%
@ 1.81+4.5pp
Under 89.5
45.5%
@ 1.81-4.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.81
Under
1xBet
1.81
Olympiacos total 93.5
Over 93.5
38.4%
Under 93.5
61.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Winning margin distribution
Margin from Maccabi Tel Aviv's side (positive = Maccabi Tel Aviv win). Pythia's expected margin is -8.7; Maccabi Tel Aviv win by 1+ in 20% of simulations.
Spread Maccabi Tel Aviv +3.5
MTA +3.5
30.7%
@ 2.21-10.4pp
OLY -3.5
69.3%
@ 1.54+10.4pp
Best 5 market prices
MTA
1xBet
2.21
OLY
1xBet
1.54
Spread Maccabi Tel Aviv +6.5 · main line
MTA +6.5
41.6%
@ 1.94-8.1pp
OLY -6.5
58.4%
@ 1.92+8.1pp
Best 5 market prices
MTA
1xBet
1.94
Betano
1.85
OLY
1xBet
1.92
Betano
1.83
Spread Maccabi Tel Aviv +9.5
MTA +9.5
52.8%
@ 1.54-6.1pp
OLY -9.5
47.2%
@ 2.21+6.1pp
Best 5 market prices
MTA
1xBet
1.54
OLY
1xBet
2.21
⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves
Quarter by quarter
Maccabi Tel AvivOlympiacos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
This opponent (Maccabi Tel Aviv) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
2nd half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 2nd half markets priced for this game yet.
⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Their opponents take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of those shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
Olympiacostheir opponents' shots (defence), last 10 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Olympiacos: 73.6 points a game allowed
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀47%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
31.2
14.2
45.5%
55.2%
28.4
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
32.5
11.5
35.4%
35.7%
34.5
🏀Free throws
14.8
10.7
72.3%
77.1%
10.7
Their opponents take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of those shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Their opponents take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of those shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
Olympiacostheir opponents' shots (defence), last 30 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Olympiacos: 70.9 points a game allowed
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.3 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
30.5
16.3
53.4%
55.2%
32.6
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
30.3
10.0
33.0%
35.7%
30.0
🏀Free throws
11.1
8.3
74.3%
77.1%
8.3
Their opponents take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of those shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
💪 9. Team Strengths
Side by side
Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Maccabi Tel Aviv
WLLLLLLWWL
Olympiacos
WWLWWWWLWW
#17
League position
#2
+0.6
Net rating
+16.1
105.4
Offensive rating
101.9
104.9
Defensive rating
85.8
58.2%
Effective FG%
55.7%
57.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
14.9%
Turnover %
15.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.34
39.5%
3-point %
34.0%
61.6%
Assist %
66.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%
Profile
■ Maccabi Tel Aviv■ Olympiacos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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