PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Maia vs Braga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 76-95
17-21 18-25 24-27 17-22
Position#8
Record4-4
FormLWWWL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game81.9
vs
Braga 🏆
Portugal
Position#1
Record7-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game66.0
PortugalProligaRound 9· Pavilhão Mun. Nortecoope
Other2024-25
Meetings · Maia v Braga
07 Dec 2024
MAIA76
BRAG95
21 Oct 2023
MAIA82
BRAG80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Braga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MaiaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMaia
Date
Competition
CA Queluz
#1
L
79-85
79
85
-6
69avg 64
H20/04
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
L
84-101
84
101
-17
72avg 64
A27/04
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
65-78
65
78
-13
54avg 64
H05/10
Proliga
Braga
#1
L
75-94
75
94
-19
58avg 64
A12/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
86-79
86
79
+7
83avg 64
H19/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
L
77-82
77
82
-5
61avg 64
A26/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
W
86-83
86
83
+3
76avg 64
H01/11
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
82-77
82
77
+5
75avg 64
A09/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
83-75
83
75
+8
80avg 64
H16/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
56-87
56
87
-31
40avg 64
A30/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-31
18-18
17-15
20-21
20-30
20-25
19-23
25-23
16-19
13-24
17-19
19-16
21-28
13-20
24-19
17-27
22-18
28-27
18-17
18-17
21-20
14-21
23-13
19-28
19-21
23-23
21-17
23-22
11-20
23-18
22-18
26-21
23-15
14-16
28-15
18-29
16-25
16-26
10-20
14-16
161.4Avg total
77.3Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)76.281.9158.1-5.650%
Season at home (4)80.078.8158.8+1.275%
Season away (4)72.585.0157.5-12.525%
Last 10 (10)77.384.1161.4-6.840%
Last 5 (5)76.880.8157.6-4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)70.884.6155.4-13.921%
vs Similar (11)79.876.0155.8+3.882%
vs Weaker (4)84.272.8157.0+11.5100%
This opponent (Braga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BragaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBraga
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#10
W
74-64
74
64
+10
65avg 70
A13/04
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
L
72-76
72
76
-4
56avg 70
H14/04
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
81-65
81
65
+16
72avg 70
A05/10
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
94-75
94
75
+19
96avg 70
H12/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
67-69
67
69
-2
62avg 70
A19/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
84-78
84
78
+6
77avg 70
A26/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
W
82-76
82
76
+6
85avg 70
H01/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
W
79-55
79
55
+24
77avg 70
A09/11
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
79-51
79
51
+28
83avg 70
H16/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
96-59
96
59
+37
100avg 70
H30/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
11-17
22-12
19-17
25-16
11-17
18-20
18-23
16-20
17-14
24-15
24-16
28-21
20-13
19-24
27-17
16-22
22-14
15-17
14-16
25-26
22-8
19-15
18-29
25-22
24-14
16-16
17-24
23-13
18-18
23-14
15-10
23-8
13-16
16-21
27-6
24-16
23-18
23-13
26-12
147.6Avg total
80.8Scored
66.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.866.0148.8+16.888%
Season at home (4)87.865.2153.0+22.5100%
Season away (4)77.866.8144.5+11.075%
Last 10 (10)80.866.8147.6+14.080%
Last 5 (5)84.063.8147.8+20.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.078.0151.0-5.050%
vs Similar (15)76.775.8152.5+0.947%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)82.468.6151.0+13.883%
This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +3.5+3.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +3.5+3.5
MaiaBraga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CA Queluz
#1
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H20/04
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A27/04
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H05/10
Proliga
Braga
#1
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A12/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H19/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A26/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H01/11
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A09/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H16/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A30/11
Proliga
82.0Avg total
37.5Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.040.777.7-3.727%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.139.777.9-1.640%-
Last 30 away (15)35.941.777.6-5.713%-
Last 10 (10)37.544.582.0-7.020%-
Last 5 (5)36.041.077.0-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)36.142.478.6-6.321%-
vs Similar (11)37.839.977.7-2.127%-
vs Weaker (4)38.838.076.8+0.850%-
This opponent (Braga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BragaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#10
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A13/04
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H14/04
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A05/10
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H12/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A19/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A26/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H01/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A09/11
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H16/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H30/11
Proliga
73.9Avg total
40.8Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.037.476.4+1.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.937.577.5+2.453%-
Last 30 away (15)38.137.375.3+0.840%-
Last 10 (10)40.833.173.9+7.780%-
Last 5 (5)44.031.875.8+12.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.539.073.5-4.550%-
vs Similar (15)38.438.376.7+0.127%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.235.176.3+6.275%-
This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Maiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maia: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.021.5
51.2%
49.9%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.06.0
24.0%
30.1%18.0
🏀 Free throws20.315.1
74.4%
68.4%15.1
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bragatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Braga: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.223.1
54.7%
49.9%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.4
30.2%
30.1%22.2
🏀 Free throws19.111.9
62.3%
68.4%11.9
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Maia
LWWWLWLLLL
Braga
WWWWWLWWLW
#8
League position
#1
-9.7
Net rating
+18.8
99.3
Offensive rating
107.2
108.9
Defensive rating
88.4
45.5%
Effective FG%
51.3%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
42.2%
18.7%
Turnover %
17.9%
32.9%
Off. rebound %
34.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
24.0%
3-point %
30.2%
56.0%
Assist %
64.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence99.3 · 107.2Defence108.9 · 88.4Shooting45.5% · 51.3%3-point %24.0% · 30.2%Ball care18.7% · 17.9%Off. rebounds32.9% · 34.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Maia   ■ Braga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Maia wins
1
Braga wins
DateGameScore
12/10/24Braga v Maia94-75
16/12/23Braga v Maia81-86
21/10/23Maia v Braga82-80
Maialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/24AIlliabum56-87
16/11/24HSampaense83-75
09/11/24AGalitos Aveiro82-77
01/11/24HSangalhos86-83
26/10/24AVasco Da Gama77-82
19/10/24HGinasio86-79
12/10/24ABraga75-94
05/10/24HIlliabum65-78
27/04/24ACA Queluz84-101
20/04/24HCA Queluz79-85
Bragalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/24HSampaense96-59
16/11/24HGalitos Aveiro79-51
09/11/24ASangalhos79-55
01/11/24HVasco Da Gama82-76
26/10/24AGinasio84-78
19/10/24AIlliabum67-69
12/10/24HMaia94-75
05/10/24ASampaense81-65
14/04/24HIlliabum72-76
13/04/24ASanto Andre74-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maia
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game76.280.072.5
Allowed / game81.978.885.0
Point differential-5.6+1.2-12.5
Avg total158.1158.8157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Braga
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game82.887.877.8
Allowed / game66.065.266.8
Point differential+16.8+22.5+11.0
Avg total148.8153.0144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Braga87188%82.866.0+16.8
2 Imortal B87188%71.566.4+5.1
3 Illiabum86275%77.463.9+13.5
4 Vasco Da Gama86275%82.677.5+5.1
5 CAB Madeira106460%75.465.7+9.7
6 Portimonense95456%72.772.0+0.7
7 CB Queluz84450%70.971.4-0.5
8 Santo Andre105550%67.768.2-0.5
9 Maia84450%76.281.9-5.6
10 Lusitania94544%71.172.1-1.0
11 Ginasio94544%79.683.9-4.3
12 Barreirense93633%66.872.4-5.7
13 Sampaense93633%74.284.4-10.2
14 Sangalhos82625%72.878.5-5.8
15 Benfica Lisboa B92722%65.173.4-8.3
16 Galitos Aveiro81712%65.873.4-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Maia1718241776
Braga2125272295
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.