PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Maia vs CAB Madeira Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 108-100 (OT)
22-25 27-21 23-23 13-16 23-15
Position#4
Record14-10
FormWWLWW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game73.7
Maia 🏆
Portugal
vs
Position#2
Record20-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game73.3
PortugalProligaRound 11
Other2025-26
Meetings · Maia v CAB Madeira
04 Apr 2026
MAIA108
CAB 100
10 Mar 2024
MAIA80
CAB 73
20 Jan 2021
MAIA69
CAB 81
07 Nov 2020
MAIA73
CAB 85
07 Mar 2020
MAIA75
CAB 79
29 Apr 2017
MAIA74
CAB 97
11 Feb 2017
MAIA72
CAB 93
26 Mar 2016
MAIA69
CAB 86
21 Nov 2015
MAIA80
CAB 78
25 Jan 2015
MAIA61
CAB 72
10 Nov 2013
MAIA57
CAB 60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CAB Madeira winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Maia
5.7out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Above their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 82.1
88.4▲ 6.3
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 73.4
70.2▼ 3.2
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 53%
54%▲ 1%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 16.0
20.4▲ 4.4
🔥 Form · CAB Madeira
3.9out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 83.8
80.8▼ 3.0
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 74.7
75.4▲ 0.7
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 57%
60%▲ 3%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 17.7
18.2▲ 0.5
MaiaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imortal B
#9
L
73-84
73
84
-11
A25/01
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
75-79
75
79
-4
H31/01
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
81-75
81
75
+6
A14/02
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A21/02
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
76-85
76
85
-9
A01/03
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
93-69
93
69
+24
H07/03
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
W
84-49
84
49
+35
H15/03
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A21/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
87-80
87
80
+7
H28/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
109-81
109
81
+28
A29/03
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-12
16-24
14-20
20-28
23-17
21-24
21-19
10-19
17-24
20-8
27-18
17-25
29-19
13-21
6-19
26-19
27-22
12-25
21-16
16-22
25-11
26-26
16-15
26-17
21-12
19-15
17-9
27-13
21-15
20-19
12-18
16-20
24-18
19-22
18-15
26-25
29-18
20-16
32-28
28-19
157.3Avg total
82.1Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)82.973.7156.6+9.258%
Season at home (11)85.270.3155.5+14.982%
Season away (13)81.076.5157.5+4.538%
Last 10 (10)82.175.2157.3+6.950%
Last 5 (5)88.470.2158.6+18.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)72.880.8153.6-8.040%
vs Similar ◀ (10)77.575.4152.9+2.160%
vs Weaker (15)87.969.4157.3+18.580%
This opponent (CAB Madeira) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CAB MadeiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galomar
#5
W
86-78
86
78
+8
A10/01
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A24/01
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
94-73
94
73
+21
H31/01
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
L
69-72 OT
69
72
-3
A07/02
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
75-81
75
81
-6
H14/02
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
75-70
75
70
+5
H21/02
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
W
85-83
85
83
+2
H08/03
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H14/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
95-86
95
86
+9
A21/03
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
W
81-74
81
74
+7
H28/03
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
19-15
30-21
18-19
17-18
13-12
23-14
14-21
24-22
25-17
20-18
25-16
14-21
19-12
22-19
7-10
24-17
8-20
18-27
25-17
25-17
21-10
18-18
11-25
22-16
17-24
22-20
24-23
16-21
19-13
13-13
20-17
27-18
25-20
18-25
25-23
29-17
13-17
17-22
22-18
154.1Avg total
79.5Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)83.773.3157.0+10.487%
Season at home (13)85.975.2161.1+10.892%
Season away (10)80.970.9151.8+10.080%
Last 10 (10)79.574.6154.1+4.980%
Last 5 (5)80.875.4156.2+5.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)75.070.0145.0+5.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (15)81.178.7159.9+2.467%
vs Weaker (14)87.470.8158.1+16.6100%
This opponent (Maia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.1+7.1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +0.2+0.2
MaiaCAB Madeira
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imortal B
#9
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A25/01
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H31/01
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A14/02
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A21/02
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A01/03
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H07/03
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H15/03
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A21/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H28/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A29/03
Proliga
79.3Avg total
42.5Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.036.176.1+3.963%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.935.675.4+4.364%-
Last 30 away (16)40.236.676.8+3.662%-
Last 10 (10)42.536.879.3+5.790%-
Last 5 (5)44.834.479.2+10.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.642.477.0-7.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.336.774.0+0.650%-
vs Weaker (15)43.733.677.3+10.187%-
This opponent (CAB Madeira) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CAB MadeiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galomar
#5
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A10/01
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A24/01
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H31/01
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A07/02
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H14/02
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H21/02
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H08/03
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H14/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A21/03
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H28/03
Proliga
74.6Avg total
39.6Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.936.379.2+6.670%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.236.481.6+8.881%-
Last 30 away (14)40.336.276.5+4.157%-
Last 10 (10)39.635.074.6+4.650%-
Last 5 (5)42.834.677.4+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)46.027.073.0+19.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)40.838.779.5+2.153%-
vs Weaker (14)44.934.579.4+10.486%-
This opponent (Maia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Maiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maia: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.319.9
44.9%
50.0%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.4
34.3%
30.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws22.416.6
74.1%
67.4%16.6
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CAB Madeiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CAB Madeira: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.018.5
52.9%
50.0%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.7
34.9%
30.3%29.1
🏀 Free throws19.113.4
70.2%
67.4%13.4
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Maia
WWLWWLLWLL
CAB Madeira
WWWWWLLWWW
#4
League position
#2
+7.1
Net rating
+5.7
88.3
Offensive rating
91.7
81.1
Defensive rating
86.1
47.2%
Effective FG%
52.6%
47.3%
Opp. effective FG%
45.8%
16.8%
Turnover %
16.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.3%
3-point %
34.9%
56.2%
Assist %
62.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence88.3 · 91.7Defence81.1 · 86.1Shooting47.2% · 52.6%3-point %34.3% · 34.9%Ball care16.8% · 16.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Maia   ■ CAB Madeira
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Maia wins
8
CAB Madeira wins
DateGameScore
14/02/26CAB Madeira v Maia75-81
13/04/24CAB Madeira v Maia88-44
10/03/24Maia v CAB Madeira80-73
27/02/21CAB Madeira v Maia95-72
20/01/21Maia v CAB Madeira69-81
07/11/20Maia v CAB Madeira73-85
07/03/20Maia v CAB Madeira75-79
29/11/19CAB Madeira v Maia76-68
29/04/17Maia v CAB Madeira74-97
02/04/17CAB Madeira v Maia98-90
Maialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/26AGinasio109-81
28/03/26HGinasio87-80
21/03/26AIlliabum69-72
15/03/26HImortal B84-49
07/03/26HGinasio Olhanense93-69
01/03/26ACD Povoa76-85
21/02/26APortimonense74-78
14/02/26ACAB Madeira81-75
31/01/26HIlliabum75-79
25/01/26AImortal B73-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/26HPortimonense81-74
21/03/26AGinasio95-86
14/03/26HIlliabum68-64
08/03/26HImortal B85-83
21/02/26HCD Povoa75-70
14/02/26HMaia75-81
07/02/26APortimonense69-72 OT
31/01/26HGinasio94-73
24/01/26AIlliabum67-65
10/01/26AGalomar86-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maia
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW58%
HomeWLWWW82%
AwayWLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %58%82%38%
Points / game82.985.281.0
Allowed / game73.770.376.5
Point differential+9.2+14.9+4.5
Avg total156.6155.5157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%55%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
CAB Madeira
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW87%
HomeLWWWW92%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %87%92%80%
Points / game83.785.980.9
Allowed / game73.375.270.9
Point differential+10.4+10.8+10.0
Avg total157.0161.1151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%38%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CD Povoa2422292%85.266.6+18.7
2 CAB Madeira2320387%83.773.3+10.4
3 Lusitania2517868%82.674.8+7.8
4 Portimonense2416867%81.076.1+4.9
5 Galomar2516964%83.878.2+5.7
6 Illiabum2415962%75.970.8+5.1
7 Maia24141058%82.973.7+9.2
8 Imortal B24131154%77.880.4-2.6
9 Ginasio24111346%77.881.2-3.4
10 Ginasio Olhanense23101343%78.578.6-0.1
11 Sampaense2491538%68.477.4-9.0
12 Benfica Lisboa B2581732%70.973.2-2.3
13 Santo Andre2581732%73.077.1-4.1
14 CB Queluz2461825%69.280.5-11.4
15 Sangalhos2451921%71.285.6-14.3
16 Academica2432112%64.078.5-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Maia2227231323108
CAB Madeira2521231615100
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.