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Illiabum vs Maia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 72-69
15-21 19-20 18-12 20-16
Position#7
Record14-8
FormWLWLL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game70.7
vs
Position#4
Record12-9
FormWLLWW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game73.1
PortugalProligaRound 9· Pavilhão Capitão Adriano Nordeste
Other2025-26
Meetings · Illiabum v Maia
28 Nov 2026
ILLI v MAIA
upcoming
21 Mar 2026
ILLI72
MAIA69
04 Oct 2025
ILLI87
MAIA81
30 Nov 2024
ILLI87
MAIA56
18 Nov 2023
ILLI63
MAIA81
21 Jan 2023
ILLI72
MAIA67
01 Feb 2020
ILLI93
MAIA60
30 Dec 2016
ILLI86
MAIA65
20 Dec 2014
ILLI71
MAIA58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illiabum winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Maia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IlliabumPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIlliabum
Date
Competition
Sampaense
#10
W
83-69
83
69
+14
87avg 71
H03/01
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
93-66
93
66
+27
93avg 71
A10/01
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
65-67
65
67
-2
58avg 71
H24/01
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
79-75
79
75
+4
67avg 71
A31/01
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
68-75
68
75
-7
57avg 71
H07/02
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
71-67
71
67
+4
65avg 71
A14/02
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
L
90-92 OT
90
92
-2
86avg 71
H21/02
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
W
73-66
73
66
+7
58avg 71
H28/02
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
65-92
65
92
-27
54avg 71
A07/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
64-68
64
68
-4
54avg 71
A14/03
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-8
20-21
19-14
18-26
23-19
25-18
26-16
19-13
18-17
12-13
14-23
21-14
17-23
24-21
19-21
19-10
15-14
20-16
9-24
24-21
25-19
17-11
11-15
18-22
25-21
21-23
18-17
12-15
23-21
20-15
11-14
19-16
17-26
14-19
17-25
17-22
21-16
13-19
13-13
17-20
148.8Avg total
75.1Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)77.370.7148.0+6.664%
Season at home (11)78.770.0148.7+8.764%
Season away (11)75.971.4147.3+4.564%
Last 10 (10)75.173.7148.8+1.450%
Last 5 (5)72.677.0149.6-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)69.075.8144.8-6.825%
vs Similar ◀ (13)72.370.9143.2+1.454%
vs Weaker (13)83.971.2155.1+12.877%
This opponent (Maia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaiaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMaia
Date
Competition
Lusitania
#3
W
85-81
85
81
+4
79avg 73
H27/12
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
96-66
96
66
+30
96avg 73
H03/01
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
106-59
106
59
+47
98avg 73
A10/01
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
L
73-84
73
84
-11
63avg 73
A25/01
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
75-79
75
79
-4
69avg 73
H31/01
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
81-75
81
75
+6
71avg 73
A14/02
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
L
74-78
74
78
-4
59avg 73
A21/02
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
76-85
76
85
-9
65avg 73
A01/03
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
93-69
93
69
+24
96avg 73
H07/03
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
W
84-49
84
49
+35
80avg 73
H15/03
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
18-24
16-25
27-17
24-14
27-17
27-15
18-20
23-11
30-21
29-14
24-13
23-12
16-24
14-20
20-28
23-17
21-24
21-19
10-19
17-24
20-8
27-18
17-25
29-19
13-21
6-19
26-19
27-22
12-25
21-16
16-22
25-11
26-26
16-15
26-17
21-12
19-15
17-9
27-13
156.8Avg total
84.3Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)82.173.1155.2+9.057%
Season at home (10)85.069.3154.3+15.780%
Season away (11)79.576.5156.1+3.036%
Last 10 (10)84.372.5156.8+11.860%
Last 5 (5)81.671.2152.8+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.281.7157.8-5.550%
vs Similar ◀ (11)76.976.6153.5+0.364%
vs Weaker (13)86.367.7154.0+18.677%
This opponent (Illiabum) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +7.9+7.9Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +1.8+1.8
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +7.9+7.9Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +1.8+1.8
IlliabumMaia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IlliabumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sampaense
#10
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H03/01
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A10/01
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H24/01
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A31/01
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H07/02
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A14/02
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H21/02
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H28/02
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A07/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A14/03
Proliga
75.6Avg total
39.6Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.734.973.6+3.863%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.934.774.6+5.373%-
Last 30 away (15)37.535.172.5+2.453%-
Last 10 (10)39.636.075.6+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)39.238.077.2+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.833.567.2+0.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)36.835.872.5+1.054%-
vs Weaker (13)42.234.476.5+7.877%-
This opponent (Maia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lusitania
#3
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H27/12
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H03/01
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
53-32
53
32
+21
A10/01
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A25/01
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H31/01
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A14/02
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A21/02
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A01/03
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H07/03
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H15/03
Proliga
80.0Avg total
43.8Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.636.776.3+3.060%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.035.675.6+4.467%-
Last 30 away (15)39.337.777.0+1.553%-
Last 10 (10)43.836.280.0+7.690%-
Last 5 (5)41.836.678.4+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.042.379.3-5.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)36.737.874.5-1.145%-
vs Weaker (13)43.333.176.4+10.285%-
This opponent (Illiabum) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Illiabumtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illiabum: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.421.6
49.8%
50.0%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.45.4
29.3%
30.3%16.2
🏀 Free throws22.316.2
72.6%
67.4%16.2
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Maiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maia: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.721.3
47.7%
50.0%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.5
34.3%
30.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws21.916.2
74.0%
67.4%16.2
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Illiabum
LLWLWLWLWW
Maia
WWLLWLLWWW
#7
League position
#4
+9.9
Net rating
+13.4
88.1
Offensive rating
92.6
78.2
Defensive rating
79.2
48.1%
Effective FG%
49.0%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
44.0%
20.0%
Turnover %
17.7%
50.0%
Off. rebound %
34.2%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.32
29.3%
3-point %
34.3%
54.4%
Assist %
53.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence88.1 · 92.6Defence78.2 · 79.2Shooting48.1% · 49.0%3-point %29.3% · 34.3%Ball care20.0% · 17.7%Off. rebounds50.0% · 34.2%Free throws0.36 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Illiabum   ■ Maia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Illiabum wins
3
Maia wins
DateGameScore
31/01/26Maia v Illiabum75-79
22/11/25Maia v Illiabum71-64
04/10/25Illiabum v Maia87-81
30/11/24Illiabum v Maia87-56
05/10/24Maia v Illiabum65-78
20/01/24Maia v Illiabum73-88
18/11/23Illiabum v Maia63-81
21/01/23Illiabum v Maia72-67
13/11/22Maia v Illiabum79-75
01/02/20Illiabum v Maia93-60
Illiabumlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26ACAB Madeira64-68
07/03/26AGinasio65-92
28/02/26HPortimonense73-66
21/02/26HImortal B90-92 OT
14/02/26AGinasio Olhanense71-67
07/02/26HCD Povoa68-75
31/01/26AMaia79-75
24/01/26HCAB Madeira65-67
10/01/26AGinasio93-66
03/01/26HSampaense83-69
Maialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/26HImortal B84-49
07/03/26HGinasio Olhanense93-69
01/03/26ACD Povoa76-85
21/02/26APortimonense74-78
14/02/26ACAB Madeira81-75
31/01/26HIlliabum75-79
25/01/26AImortal B73-84
10/01/26ASangalhos106-59
03/01/26HGinasio96-66
27/12/25HLusitania85-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illiabum
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL64%
HomeWLLLW64%
AwayWWWLL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %64%64%64%
Points / game77.378.775.9
Allowed / game70.770.071.4
Point differential+6.6+8.7+4.5
Avg total148.0148.7147.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%45%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)0% (2)80% (5)
Overtime %9%9%9%
Maia
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW57%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayWLWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %57%80%36%
Points / game82.185.079.5
Allowed / game73.169.376.5
Point differential+9.0+15.7+3.0
Avg total155.2154.3156.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%60%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CD Povoa2220291%85.567.3+18.2
2 CAB Madeira2219386%83.973.3+10.6
3 Portimonense2316770%81.375.9+5.4
4 Illiabum2214864%77.370.7+6.6
5 Lusitania2214864%82.076.0+6.0
6 Galomar2314961%84.779.4+5.3
7 Imortal B2213959%78.279.4-1.2
8 Maia2112957%82.173.1+9.0
9 Ginasio22111150%77.579.6-2.1
10 Ginasio Olhanense2291341%77.978.6-0.7
11 Sampaense2291341%68.977.0-8.1
12 Benfica Lisboa B2271532%71.573.9-2.5
13 Santo Andre2371630%73.777.9-4.2
14 CB Queluz2361726%69.881.0-11.2
15 Sangalhos2241818%71.186.2-15.1
16 Academica2332013%63.878.6-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Illiabum1519182072
Maia2120121669
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