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Ginasio vs Maia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 81-109
18-29 16-20 28-32 19-28
Position#8
Record11-12
FormLWWLL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game80.0
vs
Maia 🏆
Portugal
Position#4
Record13-10
FormLWWLW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game73.3
PortugalProligaRound 3· Pavilhão Galamba Marques
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ginasio v Maia
29 Mar 2026
GINA81
MAIA109
08 Nov 2025
GINA84
MAIA75
01 Mar 2025
GINA66
MAIA85
14 Dec 2024
GINA101
MAIA66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ginasio winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Maia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GinasioPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGinasio
Date
Competition
Illiabum
#7
L
66-93
66
93
-27
51avg 67
H10/01
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
L
72-78
72
78
-6
61avg 67
H24/01
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
73-94
73
94
-21
66avg 67
A31/01
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
78-88
78
88
-10
61avg 67
A15/02
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
82-67
82
67
+15
71avg 67
H21/02
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
L
65-77
65
77
-12
59avg 67
A01/03
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
92-65
92
65
+27
85avg 67
H07/03
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
W
91-89
91
89
+2
88avg 67
A14/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
86-95
86
95
-9
78avg 67
H21/03
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
80-87
80
87
-7
78avg 67
A28/03
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
18-25
16-26
13-19
12-17
15-13
20-19
25-29
22-24
17-25
18-20
16-25
18-21
33-22
7-18
20-27
19-19
27-12
20-16
16-20
27-34
12-21
18-7
8-15
26-17
19-14
25-17
22-17
22-24
28-23
22-27
19-15
18-27
20-25
25-18
23-25
18-24
22-19
15-18
25-26
161.8Avg total
78.5Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)77.780.0157.6-2.348%
Season at home (11)78.074.7152.7+3.364%
Season away (12)77.384.8162.1-7.433%
Last 10 (10)78.583.3161.8-4.830%
Last 5 (5)82.882.6165.4+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)78.685.7164.3-7.129%
vs Similar (6)76.779.0155.7-2.333%
vs Weaker (7)78.171.7149.9+6.471%
This opponent (Maia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaiaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMaia
Date
Competition
Sangalhos
#15
W
106-59
106
59
+47
98avg 73
A10/01
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
L
73-84
73
84
-11
63avg 73
A25/01
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
75-79
75
79
-4
69avg 73
H31/01
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
81-75
81
75
+6
71avg 73
A14/02
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
L
74-78
74
78
-4
59avg 73
A21/02
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
76-85
76
85
-9
65avg 73
A01/03
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
93-69
93
69
+24
96avg 73
H07/03
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
W
84-49
84
49
+35
80avg 73
H15/03
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
69-72
69
72
-3
54avg 73
A21/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
87-80
87
80
+7
76avg 73
H28/03
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-11
30-21
29-14
24-13
23-12
16-24
14-20
20-28
23-17
21-24
21-19
10-19
17-24
20-8
27-18
17-25
29-19
13-21
6-19
26-19
27-22
12-25
21-16
16-22
25-11
26-26
16-15
26-17
21-12
19-15
17-9
27-13
21-15
20-19
12-18
16-20
24-18
19-22
18-15
26-25
154.8Avg total
81.8Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)81.873.3155.1+8.457%
Season at home (11)85.270.3155.5+14.982%
Season away (12)78.776.2154.8+2.533%
Last 10 (10)81.873.0154.8+8.850%
Last 5 (5)81.871.0152.8+10.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)72.880.8153.6-8.040%
vs Similar (11)77.077.3154.3-0.355%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)86.468.6154.9+17.879%
This opponent (Ginasio) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +7.2+7.2Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +0.7+0.7
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +7.2+7.2Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +0.7+0.7
GinasioMaia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GinasioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illiabum
#7
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H10/01
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H24/01
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A31/01
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A15/02
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H21/02
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A01/03
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H07/03
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A14/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H21/03
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A28/03
Proliga
84.1Avg total
41.2Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.439.880.2+0.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.337.478.6+3.957%-
Last 30 away (16)39.741.981.6-2.250%-
Last 10 (10)41.242.984.1-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)42.445.688.0-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)39.942.982.8-3.129%-
vs Similar (6)41.839.281.0+2.783%-
vs Weaker (7)40.632.673.1+8.086%-
This opponent (Maia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sangalhos
#15
W
53-32
53
32
+21
A10/01
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A25/01
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H31/01
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A14/02
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A21/02
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A01/03
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H07/03
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H15/03
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A21/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H28/03
Proliga
79.5Avg total
42.9Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.636.676.2+3.060%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.935.675.4+4.364%-
Last 30 away (16)39.437.576.9+1.956%-
Last 10 (10)42.936.679.5+6.390%-
Last 5 (5)42.837.079.8+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.642.477.0-7.820%-
vs Similar (11)37.237.875.0-0.645%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)43.333.676.9+9.786%-
This opponent (Ginasio) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ginasiotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ginasio: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.222.0
50.9%
50.0%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.7
34.5%
30.3%23.1
🏀 Free throws16.011.2
70.0%
67.4%11.2
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Maiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maia: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.820.7
45.2%
50.0%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.3
33.6%
30.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws21.715.5
71.4%
67.4%15.5
They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ginasio
LLWWLWLLLL
Maia
WLWWLLWLLW
#8
League position
#4
-5.3
Net rating
+9.4
89.7
Offensive rating
87.3
95.0
Defensive rating
77.9
51.2%
Effective FG%
47.0%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
45.8%
17.0%
Turnover %
16.7%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.5%
3-point %
33.6%
55.6%
Assist %
52.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence89.7 · 87.3Defence95.0 · 77.9Shooting51.2% · 47.0%3-point %34.5% · 33.6%Ball care17.0% · 16.7%Free throws0.24 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Ginasio   ■ Maia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Ginasio wins
5
Maia wins
DateGameScore
28/03/26Maia v Ginasio87-80
03/01/26Maia v Ginasio96-66
08/11/25Ginasio v Maia84-75
25/04/25Maia v Ginasio88-74
01/03/25Ginasio v Maia66-85
14/12/24Ginasio v Maia101-66
19/10/24Maia v Ginasio86-79
Ginasiolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/26AMaia80-87
21/03/26HCAB Madeira86-95
14/03/26APortimonense91-89
07/03/26HIlliabum92-65
01/03/26AImortal B65-77
21/02/26HGinasio Olhanense82-67
15/02/26ACD Povoa78-88
31/01/26ACAB Madeira73-94
24/01/26HPortimonense72-78
10/01/26HIlliabum66-93
Maialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/26HGinasio87-80
21/03/26AIlliabum69-72
15/03/26HImortal B84-49
07/03/26HGinasio Olhanense93-69
01/03/26ACD Povoa76-85
21/02/26APortimonense74-78
14/02/26ACAB Madeira81-75
31/01/26HIlliabum75-79
25/01/26AImortal B73-84
10/01/26ASangalhos106-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ginasio
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL48%
HomeLLWWL64%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %48%64%33%
Points / game77.778.077.3
Allowed / game80.074.784.8
Point differential-2.3+3.3-7.4
Avg total157.6152.7162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%36%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Maia
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW57%
HomeWLWWW82%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %57%82%33%
Points / game81.885.278.7
Allowed / game73.370.376.2
Point differential+8.4+14.9+2.5
Avg total155.1155.5154.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%55%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CD Povoa2422292%85.266.6+18.7
2 CAB Madeira2320387%83.773.3+10.4
3 Portimonense2416867%81.076.1+4.9
4 Lusitania2315865%82.375.7+6.6
5 Galomar2415962%84.178.4+5.7
6 Illiabum2415962%75.970.8+5.1
7 Maia23131057%81.873.3+8.4
8 Imortal B24131154%77.880.4-2.6
9 Ginasio23111248%77.780.0-2.3
10 Ginasio Olhanense23101343%78.578.6-0.1
11 Sampaense2391439%68.877.0-8.2
12 Benfica Lisboa B2481633%70.873.0-2.2
13 Santo Andre2481633%73.276.8-3.6
14 CB Queluz2461825%69.280.5-11.4
15 Sangalhos2451921%71.285.6-14.3
16 Academica2432112%64.078.5-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ginasio1816281981
Maia29203228109
← all games of the day
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