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Maia vs Vitoria Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 11 Apr 2020
Tip-off: 14:00
Postponed
Position#13
Record6-16
FormWLLLL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game87.1
vs
Position#5
Record14-8
FormWLLWW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game78.5
PortugalLPBRound 26
Other2019-20
Meetings · Maia v Vitoria
13 Mar 2021
MAIA65
VITO83
11 Apr 2020
MAIA v VITO
upcoming
09 Feb 2020
MAIA69
VITO100
26 Nov 2016
MAIA74
VITO94
06 Apr 2016
MAIA64
VITO76
03 Jan 2016
MAIA73
VITO86
18 Apr 2015
MAIA70
VITO85
22 Dec 2013
MAIA75
VITO77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Vitoria win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MaiaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barreirense
#11
L
79-107
79
107
-28
A29/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
73-95
73
95
-22
H04/01
LPB
FC Porto
#3
L
80-102
80
102
-22
A11/01
LPB
Sporting CP
#1
L
85-97
85
97
-12
H25/01
LPB
Illiabum
#12
L
60-93
60
93
-33
A01/02
LPB
Terceira
#14
W
114-68
114
68
+46
H08/02
LPB
Vitoria
#4
L
69-100
69
100
-31
H09/02
Taca de Portugal
Galitos
#6
L
87-92
87
92
-5
A15/02
LPB
Ovarense
#9
L
69-90
69
90
-21
H29/02
LPB
CAB Madeira
#7
L
75-79
75
79
-4
H07/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
24-29
13-25
17-28
21-23
22-16
16-32
14-24
13-19
21-25
25-31
21-27
14-30
25-27
17-20
29-20
10-16
18-19
8-25
24-33
28-16
25-8
33-24
28-20
22-16
15-31
11-21
21-32
17-25
27-19
13-16
30-32
18-22
17-24
18-13
16-31
13-18
21-16
21-18
20-27
171.4Avg total
79.1Scored
92.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)77.487.1164.5-9.727%
Season at home (11)79.585.9165.5-6.436%
Season away (11)75.388.3163.5-13.018%
Last 10 (10)79.192.3171.4-13.210%
Last 5 (5)82.885.8168.6-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)74.489.4163.8-15.014%
vs Similar (6)82.585.7168.2-3.233%
vs Weaker (2)106.077.0183.0+29.0100%
This opponent (Vitoria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VitoriaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lusitania
#10
W
92-79
92
79
+13
A04/01
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
85-72
85
72
+13
H11/01
LPB
CAB Madeira
#7
W
94-82
94
82
+12
A25/01
LPB
Barreirense
#11
W
73-72
73
72
+1
A01/02
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H08/02
LPB
Maia
#15
W
100-69
100
69
+31
A09/02
Taca de Portugal
FC Porto
#3
L
86-99
86
99
-13
A15/02
LPB
Sporting CP
#1
L
89-102
89
102
-13
H29/02
LPB
Esgueira
#5
W
89-81
89
81
+8
H04/03
Taca de Portugal
Illiabum
#12
W
77-64
77
64
+13
A07/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
24-26
30-20
20-15
21-18
30-25
15-16
19-13
15-21
28-20
27-17
24-24
16-19
20-15
18-21
19-17
18-22
22-16
25-22
20-19
16-22
31-15
21-11
32-21
27-18
22-24
20-34
17-23
18-33
28-21
20-26
23-22
15-23
20-18
26-24
28-16
22-12
18-26
19-14
18-12
166.9Avg total
87.0Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)81.678.5160.1+3.264%
Season at home (13)83.678.2161.8+5.569%
Season away (9)78.878.9157.7-0.156%
Last 10 (10)87.079.9166.9+7.180%
Last 5 (5)88.283.0171.2+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)81.387.8169.1-6.422%
vs Similar (8)78.176.9155.0+1.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)82.373.8156.2+8.583%
This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -5.4-5.4Q4: +3.8+3.8
MaiaVitoria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barreirense
#11
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A29/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H04/01
LPB
FC Porto
#3
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A11/01
LPB
Sporting CP
#1
L
39-57
39
57
-18
H25/01
LPB
Illiabum
#12
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A01/02
LPB
Terceira
#14
W
53-24
53
24
+29
H08/02
LPB
Vitoria
#4
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H09/02
Taca de Portugal
Galitos
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A15/02
LPB
Ovarense
#9
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H29/02
LPB
CAB Madeira
#7
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H07/03
LPB
82.0Avg total
39.6Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.543.280.6-5.723%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.442.880.2-5.431%-
Last 30 away (14)37.543.681.1-6.114%-
Last 10 (10)39.642.482.0-2.820%-
Last 5 (5)40.639.079.6+1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)34.243.677.9-9.414%-
vs Similar (6)46.744.591.2+2.250%-
vs Weaker (2)44.032.576.5+11.550%-
This opponent (Vitoria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lusitania
#10
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A04/01
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H11/01
LPB
CAB Madeira
#7
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A25/01
LPB
Barreirense
#11
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A01/02
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H08/02
LPB
Maia
#15
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A09/02
Taca de Portugal
FC Porto
#3
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A15/02
LPB
Sporting CP
#1
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H29/02
LPB
Esgueira
#5
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H04/03
Taca de Portugal
Illiabum
#12
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A07/03
LPB
84.1Avg total
42.9Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.739.380.0+1.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.939.980.9+1.050%-
Last 30 away (14)40.438.678.9+1.871%-
Last 10 (10)42.941.284.1+1.770%-
Last 5 (5)43.442.485.8+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.642.982.4-3.333%-
vs Similar (8)42.237.179.4+5.175%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)39.938.278.2+1.767%-
This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Maia wins
10
Vitoria wins
DateGameScore
09/02/20Maia v Vitoria69-100
21/12/19Vitoria v Maia86-67
12/02/17Vitoria v Maia102-74
26/11/16Maia v Vitoria74-94
06/04/16Maia v Vitoria64-76
09/03/16Vitoria v Maia77-62
03/01/16Maia v Vitoria73-86
17/10/15Vitoria v Maia93-69
18/04/15Maia v Vitoria70-85
10/01/15Vitoria v Maia85-60
Maialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/20HCAB Madeira75-79
29/02/20HOvarense69-90
15/02/20AGalitos87-92
09/02/20HVitoria69-100
08/02/20HTerceira114-68
01/02/20AIlliabum60-93
25/01/20HSporting CP85-97
11/01/20AFC Porto80-102
04/01/20HOliveirense73-95
29/12/19ABarreirense79-107
Vitorialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/20AIlliabum77-64
04/03/20HEsgueira89-81
29/02/20HSporting CP89-102
15/02/20AFC Porto86-99
09/02/20AMaia100-69
08/02/20HOliveirense85-79
01/02/20ABarreirense73-72
25/01/20ACAB Madeira94-82
11/01/20HEsgueira85-72
04/01/20ALusitania92-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maia
LPB 2019-20
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL27%
HomeLLWLL36%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %27%36%18%
Points / game77.479.575.3
Allowed / game87.185.988.3
Point differential-9.7-6.4-13.0
Avg total164.5165.5163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%18%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Vitoria
LPB 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW64%
HomeWLWWL69%
AwayWWWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22139
Win %64%69%56%
Points / game81.683.678.8
Allowed / game78.578.278.9
Point differential+3.2+5.5-0.1
Avg total160.1161.8157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%31%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sporting CP2221195%93.470.2+23.2
2 Benfica2220291%89.871.0+18.8
3 FC Porto2218482%86.675.0+11.7
4 Oliveirense2214864%83.975.6+8.3
5 Vitoria2214864%81.678.5+3.2
6 Galitos22111150%82.882.0+0.8
7 CAB Madeira22101245%79.283.1-4.0
8 Esgueira2291341%79.276.7+2.5
9 Ovarense2291341%77.281.2-4.0
10 Lusitania2291341%78.684.0-5.4
11 Barreirense2271532%75.585.5-10.0
12 Illiabum2261627%75.779.9-4.2
13 Maia2261627%77.487.1-9.7
14 Terceira220220%71.4102.7-31.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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