Maia vs Vitoria Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Apr 2016

Tip-off: 20:30

Final 64-76

13-25 20-16 15-14 16-21

Position#11

Record4-21

FormLLLWL

Points / game65.5

Allowed / game79.3

Maia

Vitoria 🏆

Position#6

Record11-13

FormLWWLW

Points / game74.9

Allowed / game73.8

LPBRound 8

Other2015-16

Meetings · Maia v Vitoria

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Vitoria winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Maia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Oliveirense

66-91

-25

A23/01

LPB

Galitos

52-68

-16

H30/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

76-80

-4

A06/02

LPB

Lusitania

72-79

-7

H20/02

LPB

Electrico FC

#10

57-67

-10

A21/02

LPB

CAB Madeira

64-76

-12

A27/02

LPB

Lusitania

67-89

-22

H05/03

LPB

Vitoria

62-77

-15

A09/03

LPB

Electrico FC

#10

93-79

+14

H12/03

LPB

CAB Madeira

69-86

-17

H26/03

LPB

16-26

13-22

23-22

14-21

10-18

13-19

14-11

15-20

20-23

12-23

18-15

26-19

19-13

17-27

16-13

20-26

9-25

22-7

12-16

14-19

14-22

15-23

21-13

14-18

18-16

17-28

15-28

17-17

17-22

13-26

20-16

12-13

23-18

22-19

18-21

30-21

18-21

22-18

11-32

18-15

147.0Avg total

67.8Scored

79.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	65.5	79.3	144.8	-13.8	16%
Season at home (13)	67.3	78.3	145.6	-11.0	31%
Season away (12)	63.5	80.3	143.8	-16.8	0%
Last 10 (10)	67.8	79.2	147.0	-11.4	10%
Last 5 (5)	71.0	81.4	152.4	-10.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	65.7	82.4	148.1	-16.6	12%
vs Similar (5)	74.0	70.4	144.4	+3.6	60%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Vitoria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Vitoria

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Oliveirense

66-61

H16/01

LPB

Galitos

74-79

-5

A23/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

97-87

+10

H30/01

LPB

Lusitania

74-91

-17

A06/02

LPB

Electrico FC

#10

87-80

H20/02

LPB

Ovarense

62-73

-11

A21/02

LPB

Electrico FC

#10

73-63

+10

A05/03

LPB

Maia

#11

77-62

+15

H09/03

LPB

CAB Madeira

77-87

-10

A12/03

LPB

Lusitania

89-84

H25/03

LPB

11-23

17-15

11-8

27-15

15-27

18-15

20-19

21-18

27-25

27-16

13-20

30-26

16-27

26-21

13-20

19-23

30-15

17-13

25-26

15-26

7-20

23-15

14-19

18-19

19-16

15-12

21-16

18-19

22-17

26-13

16-20

13-12

12-36

20-21

17-18

28-12

27-15

28-17

20-23

14-29

154.3Avg total

77.6Scored

76.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	74.9	73.8	148.7	+1.2	46%
Season at home (12)	77.3	74.6	151.9	+2.8	58%
Season away (12)	72.5	72.9	145.4	-0.4	33%
Last 10 (10)	77.6	76.7	154.3	+0.9	60%
Last 5 (5)	75.6	73.8	149.4	+1.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	65.1	75.3	140.4	-10.1	0%
vs Similar (6)	67.2	72.2	139.3	-5.0	17%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	79.6	71.6	151.2	+8.1	76%

This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

MaiaVitoria

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.4	21.0	37.3	-4.6	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.0	19.5	35.5	-3.5	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.8	22.6	39.4	-5.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.4	20.4	36.8	-4.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	19.8	37.8	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	16.6	21.3	38.0	-4.7	24%	-
vs Similar (5)	15.0	19.2	34.2	-4.2	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	19.4	36.9	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.0	18.6	37.6	+0.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.1	20.2	36.3	-4.1	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	22.1	40.7	-3.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	20.8	38.2	-3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	15.3	19.1	34.4	-3.9	29%	-
vs Similar (6)	12.3	20.5	32.8	-8.2	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	20.2	19.2	39.4	+1.0	53%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.1	20.2	36.3	-4.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.6	19.2	35.8	-2.7	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.5	21.4	36.9	-5.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	21.2	37.8	-4.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	22.8	40.6	-5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	15.2	21.2	36.4	-5.9	24%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.2	15.6	35.8	+4.6	80%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	16.3	37.0	+4.4	73%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	16.7	38.1	+4.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.1	15.9	36.0	+4.1	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	15.8	37.5	+5.9	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	15.6	38.0	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.1	15.3	32.4	+1.9	57%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.8	18.2	38.0	+1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	22.4	16.1	38.5	+6.4	82%	-

MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Oliveirense

29-48

-19

A23/01

LPB

Galitos

23-37

-14

H30/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

32-46

-14

A06/02

LPB

Lusitania

36-40

-4

H20/02

LPB

Electrico FC

#10

31-32

-1

A21/02

LPB

CAB Madeira

29-45

-16

A27/02

LPB

Lusitania

35-44

-9

H05/03

LPB

Vitoria

30-48

-18

A09/03

LPB

Electrico FC

#10

45-37

H12/03

LPB

CAB Madeira

40-39

H26/03

LPB

74.6Avg total

33.0Scored

41.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	32.4	41.2	73.6	-8.8	13%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	32.6	38.8	71.3	-6.2	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	32.3	44.0	76.3	-11.7	0%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.0	41.6	74.6	-8.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	42.6	78.4	-6.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	31.9	42.5	74.4	-10.6	8%	-
vs Similar (5)	35.2	34.8	70.0	+0.4	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Vitoria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Oliveirense

28-38

-10

H16/01

LPB

Galitos

33-42

-9

A23/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

54-41

+13

H30/01

LPB

Lusitania

42-48

-6

A06/02

LPB

Electrico FC

#10

47-28

+19

H20/02

LPB

Ovarense

30-35

-5

A21/02

LPB

Electrico FC

#10

34-28

A05/03

LPB

Maia

#11

48-30

+18

H09/03

LPB

CAB Madeira

32-57

-25

A12/03

LPB

Lusitania

55-32

+23

H25/03

LPB

78.2Avg total

40.3Scored

37.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	35.7	73.9	+2.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.4	35.3	75.6	+5.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.2	36.1	72.3	+0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	37.9	78.2	+2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	36.4	76.2	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	32.4	34.4	66.9	-2.0	43%	-
vs Similar (6)	32.2	38.7	70.8	-6.5	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	42.6	35.2	77.8	+7.4	76%	-

This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.1	19.8	35.9	-3.7	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	15.8	19.7	35.4	-3.9	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.5	19.9	36.4	-3.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	18.7	35.5	-1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	22.0	39.0	-5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	16.4	19.9	36.3	-3.5	36%	-
vs Similar (5)	14.6	19.2	33.8	-4.6	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	18.0	35.4	-0.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.8	19.3	38.1	-0.5	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.2	16.9	33.1	-0.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	18.9	35.9	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	19.2	36.8	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.6	20.0	37.6	-2.4	14%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.5	16.5	35.0	+2.0	83%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	17.0	17.7	34.7	-0.7	29%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	19.4	38.0	-0.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.7	18.4	39.1	+2.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.1	20.6	36.7	-4.4	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	18.9	36.9	-0.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	16.8	35.0	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	17.4	20.0	37.4	-2.6	28%	-
vs Similar (5)	24.2	16.4	40.6	+7.8	80%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	18.8	36.8	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.9	19.7	36.6	-2.8	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	18.1	36.9	+0.8	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	19.9	40.2	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	18.2	36.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	15.1	20.9	36.0	-5.7	29%	-
vs Similar (6)	16.5	17.0	33.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	19.6	18.6	38.3	+1.0	59%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.7	39.2	73.8	-4.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.4	38.1	74.5	-1.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	32.6	40.4	73.1	-7.8	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.8	37.6	72.4	-2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	38.8	74.0	-3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	33.8	39.9	73.7	-6.0	24%	-
vs Similar (5)	38.8	35.6	74.4	+3.2	80%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.4	36.8	72.2	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	35.7	39.0	74.7	-3.3	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.1	34.9	70.1	+0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.3	38.8	76.1	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	37.4	73.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	32.7	40.9	73.6	-8.1	14%	-
vs Similar (6)	35.0	33.5	68.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	36.6	36.4	73.0	+0.3	53%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Maia wins

Vitoria wins

Date	Game	Score
09/03/16	Vitoria v Maia	77-62
03/01/16	Maia v Vitoria	73-86
17/10/15	Vitoria v Maia	93-69
18/04/15	Maia v Vitoria	70-85
10/01/15	Vitoria v Maia	85-60
29/03/14	Vitoria v Maia	91-93 OT
22/12/13	Maia v Vitoria	75-77 OT

Maialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/03/16	H	CAB Madeira	69-86
12/03/16	H	Electrico FC	93-79
09/03/16	A	Vitoria	62-77
05/03/16	H	Lusitania	67-89
27/02/16	A	CAB Madeira	64-76
21/02/16	A	Electrico FC	57-67
20/02/16	H	Lusitania	72-79
06/02/16	A	CAB Madeira	76-80
30/01/16	H	Galitos	52-68
23/01/16	A	Oliveirense	66-91

Vitorialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/03/16	H	Lusitania	89-84
12/03/16	A	CAB Madeira	77-87
09/03/16	H	Maia	77-62
05/03/16	A	Electrico FC	73-63
21/02/16	A	Ovarense	62-73
20/02/16	H	Electrico FC	87-80
06/02/16	A	Lusitania	74-91
30/01/16	H	CAB Madeira	97-87
23/01/16	A	Galitos	74-79
16/01/16	H	Oliveirense	66-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maia

LPB 2015-16

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	16%
Home	LLLWL	31%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	13	12
Win %	16%	31%	0%
Points / game	65.5	67.3	63.5
Allowed / game	79.3	78.3	80.3
Point differential	-13.8	-11.0	-16.8
Avg total	144.8	145.6	143.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	4%	8%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (3)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Vitoria

LPB 2015-16

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	46%
Home	WWWWW	58%
Away	LLLWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	46%	58%	33%
Points / game	74.9	77.3	72.5
Allowed / game	73.8	74.6	72.9
Point differential	+1.2	+2.8	-0.4
Avg total	148.7	151.9	145.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	25%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	67% (3)	0% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Benfica	26	24	2	92%	82.3	67.6	+14.7
2	FC Porto	26	21	5	81%	77.2	65.8	+11.4
3	Galitos	26	15	11	58%	72.0	69.2	+2.8
4	Ovarense	26	14	12	54%	76.2	73.0	+3.2
5	Oliveirense	26	13	13	50%	71.6	72.0	-0.4
6	Lusitania	25	12	13	48%	75.9	77.6	-1.7
7	Barcelos	26	12	14	46%	67.8	70.5	-2.6
8	Vitoria	24	11	13	46%	74.9	73.8	+1.2
9	CAB Madeira	25	9	16	36%	72.3	76.8	-4.5
10	Electrico FC	25	5	20	20%	70.2	81.7	-11.5
11	Maia	25	4	21	16%	65.5	79.3	-13.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Maia	13	20	15	16	64
Vitoria	25	16	14	21	76

← all games of the day

Maia vs Vitoria Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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