PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Malbas Malmo W vs AIK Basket W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 88-73
19-22 24-20 28-19 17-12
Position#8
Record1-2
FormWLLLW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game82.0
Malbas Malmo W 🏆
Sweden
vs
AIK Basket W
Sweden
Position#5
Record2-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game71.0
SwedenBasketligan W· Heleneholms Sporthall
Women2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Malbas Malmo W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AIK Basket W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Malbas Malmo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Norrkoping 2 W
#14
W
70-46
70
46
+24
58avg 69
A23/02
Basketettan W
KFUM Kalmar W
#19
W
90-37
90
37
+53
75avg 69
H01/03
Basketettan W
Team4Q W
#25
W
120-57
120
57
+63
110avg 69
H02/03
Basketettan W
Kvarnby Lions W
#6
W
59-52
59
52
+7
46avg 69
H16/03
Basketettan W
Lobas W
#22
W
94-46
94
46
+48
78avg 69
A26/03
Basketettan W
Team4Q W
#25
W
118-44
118
44
+74
107avg 69
A02/04
Basketettan W
Brahe W
#2
L
46-52
46
52
-6
35avg 69
H13/04
Basketettan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
78-90
78
90
-12
71avg 69
H28/09
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
59-86
59
86
-27
44avg 69
A04/10
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
73-70
73
70
+3
56avg 69
H11/10
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
19-16
15-11
10-3
17-10
27-12
16-2
30-13
30-17
35-13
26-14
29-13
19-12
12-16
6-11
22-13
25-3
23-20
23-13
23-10
28-11
28-11
26-12
36-10
7-11
10-12
16-13
13-16
21-25
27-21
13-17
17-27
11-27
14-19
9-19
25-21
25-16
21-16
15-23
12-15
138.7Avg total
80.7Scored
58.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)70.082.0152.0-12.033%
Season at home (2)75.580.0155.5-4.550%
Season away (1)59.086.0145.0-27.00%
Last 10 (10)80.758.0138.7+22.770%
Last 5 (5)74.868.4143.2+6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)68.588.0156.5-19.50%
vs Similar (2)58.564.0122.5-5.50%
vs Weaker (26)81.951.1133.0+30.896%
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK Basket WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Uppsala W
#6
L
68-82
68
82
-14
65avg 67
H26/02
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
W
69-64
69
64
+5
57avg 67
H01/03
Basketligan W
MarkSjuharad W
#8
W
86-76
86
76
+10
77avg 67
H08/03
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
L
82-101
82
101
-19
69avg 67
A15/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
L
59-70
59
70
-11
52avg 67
A22/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
58-83
58
83
-25
46avg 67
A28/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
66-80
66
80
-14
53avg 67
H30/03
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
94-52
94
52
+42
87avg 67
A28/09
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
W
97-75
97
75
+22
94avg 67
A04/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
73-86
73
86
-13
62avg 67
H11/10
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
18-23
13-18
16-26
23-12
16-21
15-13
15-18
23-16
20-19
21-24
22-17
18-29
22-19
21-30
21-23
11-19
22-9
17-29
9-13
18-25
13-14
13-25
14-19
19-26
12-21
20-20
15-13
20-11
20-14
32-17
22-10
19-9
28-28
22-23
28-15
20-19
18-23
21-21
14-23
152.1Avg total
75.2Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)88.071.0159.0+17.067%
Season at home (1)73.086.0159.0-13.00%
Season away (2)95.563.5159.0+32.0100%
Last 10 (10)75.276.9152.1-1.740%
Last 5 (5)77.675.2152.8+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)69.185.4154.5-16.313%
vs Similar (6)73.876.0149.8-2.217%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)83.273.9157.1+9.378%
This opponent (Malbas Malmo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +6.1+6.1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +6.0+6.0Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +7.6+7.6Q4: -0.1-0.1
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +6.1+6.1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +6.0+6.0Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +7.6+7.6Q4: -0.1-0.1
Malbas Malmo WAIK Basket W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Malbas Malmo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrkoping 2 W
#14
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A23/02
Basketettan W
KFUM Kalmar W
#19
W
44-22
44
22
+22
H01/03
Basketettan W
Team4Q W
#25
W
65-30
65
30
+35
H02/03
Basketettan W
Kvarnby Lions W
#6
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H16/03
Basketettan W
Lobas W
#22
W
48-23
48
23
+25
A26/03
Basketettan W
Team4Q W
#25
W
56-22
56
22
+34
A02/04
Basketettan W
Brahe W
#2
L
17-23
17
23
-6
H13/04
Basketettan W
Uppsala W
#2
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H28/09
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
25-46
25
46
-21
A04/10
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H11/10
Basketligan W
72.9Avg total
42.5Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.226.467.7+14.890%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.327.167.4+13.387%-
Last 30 away (15)42.125.867.9+16.393%-
Last 10 (10)42.530.472.9+12.180%-
Last 5 (5)38.433.872.2+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)36.546.082.5-9.550%-
vs Similar (2)28.524.052.5+4.550%-
vs Weaker (26)42.625.167.7+17.596%-
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK Basket WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uppsala W
#6
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H26/02
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H01/03
Basketligan W
MarkSjuharad W
#8
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H08/03
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A15/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A22/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A28/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H30/03
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
40-25
40
25
+15
A28/09
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A04/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H11/10
Basketligan W
75.3Avg total
38.1Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.139.276.3-2.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.239.576.7-2.340%-
Last 30 away (15)37.038.975.9-1.933%-
Last 10 (10)38.137.275.3+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)37.438.075.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)35.943.479.3-7.513%-
vs Similar (6)37.837.775.5+0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)38.733.372.0+5.367%-
This opponent (Malbas Malmo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Malbas Malmo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Malbas Malmo W: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
50%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.918.4
43.9%
46.4%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.910.3
29.5%
31.2%30.9
🏀 Free throws18.112.3
68.0%
72.5%12.3
They take 76.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AIK Basket Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket W: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
50%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.818.1
42.3%
46.4%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.57.7
34.2%
31.2%23.1
🏀 Free throws20.515.8
77.1%
72.5%15.8
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Malbas Malmo W
WLLLWWWWWW
AIK Basket W
LWWLLLLWWL
#8
League position
#5
+25.9
Net rating
-1.3
98.1
Offensive rating
98.4
72.2
Defensive rating
99.7
44.1%
Effective FG%
45.4%
42.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
16.9%
Turnover %
19.0%
33.5%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.31
29.5%
3-point %
34.2%
60.3%
Assist %
61.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence98.1 · 98.4Defence72.2 · 99.7Shooting44.1% · 45.4%3-point %29.5% · 34.2%Ball care16.9% · 19.0%Off. rebounds33.5% · 30.9%Free throws0.24 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Malbas Malmo W   ■ AIK Basket W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Malbas Malmo W wins
0
AIK Basket W wins
No previous meetings.
Malbas Malmo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/25HBrahe W73-70
04/10/25ASodertalje W59-86
28/09/25HUppsala W78-90
13/04/25HBrahe W46-52
02/04/25ATeam4Q W118-44
26/03/25ALobas W94-46
16/03/25HKvarnby Lions W59-52
02/03/25HTeam4Q W120-57
01/03/25HKFUM Kalmar W90-37
23/02/25ANorrkoping 2 W70-46
AIK Basket Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/25HOstersund W73-86
04/10/25AHogsbo W97-75
28/09/25ABrahe W94-52
30/03/25HNorrkoping W66-80
28/03/25ANorrkoping W58-83
22/03/25AUppsala W59-70
15/03/25AHogsbo W82-101
08/03/25HMarkSjuharad W86-76
01/03/25HSodertalje W69-64
26/02/25HUppsala W68-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Malbas Malmo W
Basketligan W 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game70.075.559.0
Allowed / game82.080.086.0
Point differential-12.0-4.5-27.0
Avg total152.0155.5145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
AIK Basket W
Basketligan W 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeL0%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%0%100%
Points / game88.073.095.5
Allowed / game71.086.063.5
Point differential+17.0-13.0+32.0
Avg total159.0159.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uppsala W440100%89.068.0+21.0
2 AIK Basket W32167%88.071.0+17.0
3 Norrkoping W32167%85.771.0+14.7
4 Lulea W32167%84.070.7+13.3
5 Sodertalje W32167%80.772.0+8.7
6 Hogsbo W42250%89.078.8+10.2
7 Ostersund W21150%76.077.5-1.5
8 Brahe W31233%72.378.0-5.7
9 Lund W31233%74.780.3-5.7
10 Malbas Malmo W31233%70.082.0-12.0
11 Alvik W1010%59.081.0-22.0
12 Visby W2020%60.095.5-35.5
13 RIG Lulea W2020%45.5105.5-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Malbas Malmo W1924281788
AIK Basket W2220191273
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.