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Hogsbo W vs AIK Basket W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 101-82
29-18 19-22 30-21 23-21
Position#3
Record14-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game70.1
Hogsbo W 🏆
Sweden
vs
AIK Basket W
Sweden
Position#7
Record8-10
FormLLLWW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game80.9
SwedenBasketligan W· Gothia Arena
Women2024-25
Meetings · Hogsbo W v AIK Basket W
20 Dec 2026
HOGS v AIK
upcoming
04 Oct 2025
HOGS75
AIK 97
15 Mar 2025
HOGS101
AIK 82
27 Jan 2024
HOGS87
AIK 64
01 Apr 2017
HOGS70
AIK 75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AIK Basket W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hogsbo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
AIK Basket W
#7
W
79-74
79
74
+5
77avg 84
A14/12
Basketligan W
MarkSjuharad W
#8
W
95-60
95
60
+35
97avg 84
H20/12
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
W
81-75
81
75
+6
78avg 84
A05/01
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
W
79-47
79
47
+32
86avg 84
H11/01
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
66-77
66
77
-11
60avg 84
A18/01
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
123-57
123
57
+66
130avg 84
H25/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
78-96
78
96
-18
72avg 84
H01/02
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#10
W
97-62
97
62
+35
106avg 84
A15/02
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
W
74-70
74
70
+4
72avg 84
A22/02
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
99-83
99
83
+16
92avg 84
H01/03
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-26
27-11
20-22
22-15
28-17
21-16
15-21
31-6
21-19
19-16
22-17
19-23
20-10
19-13
19-10
21-14
25-15
5-15
13-21
23-26
32-7
31-22
40-12
20-16
21-29
21-24
19-20
17-23
28-12
27-19
22-16
20-15
23-17
22-19
16-23
13-11
26-11
26-30
26-17
21-25
157.2Avg total
87.1Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)88.370.1158.4+18.278%
Season at home (9)92.871.4164.2+21.378%
Season away (9)83.968.8152.7+15.178%
Last 10 (10)87.170.1157.2+17.080%
Last 5 (5)94.273.6167.8+20.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)67.080.0147.0-13.011%
vs Similar (3)77.789.0166.7-11.30%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)92.163.1155.2+29.094%
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK Basket WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Visby W
#11
W
83-64
83
64
+19
80avg 68
A04/01
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
W
94-59
94
59
+35
86avg 68
H11/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
72-93
72
93
-21
60avg 68
A19/01
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
63-98
63
98
-35
50avg 68
H25/01
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#10
W
69-60
69
60
+9
66avg 68
H01/02
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
58-88
58
88
-30
49avg 68
H12/02
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
L
66-80
66
80
-14
54avg 68
A15/02
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
L
68-82
68
82
-14
65avg 68
H26/02
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
W
69-64
69
64
+5
57avg 68
H01/03
Basketligan W
MarkSjuharad W
#8
W
86-76
86
76
+10
77avg 68
H08/03
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
30-6
22-18
14-23
26-26
21-9
23-16
24-8
24-23
19-25
18-24
11-21
16-22
17-20
17-28
13-28
20-8
6-21
18-20
25-11
15-26
11-15
14-18
18-29
5-21
16-17
24-22
21-20
21-15
18-23
13-18
16-26
23-12
16-21
15-13
15-18
23-16
20-19
21-24
22-17
149.2Avg total
72.8Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)77.080.9157.9-3.944%
Season at home (10)76.476.8153.2-0.460%
Season away (8)77.886.0163.8-8.225%
Last 10 (10)72.876.4149.2-3.650%
Last 5 (5)69.478.0147.4-8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)64.086.9150.9-22.96%
vs Similar (5)77.876.0153.8+1.820%
vs Weaker (8)81.976.6158.5+5.275%
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.1+7.1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -2.2-2.2
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.1+7.1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -2.2-2.2
Hogsbo WAIK Basket W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hogsbo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AIK Basket W
#7
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A14/12
Basketligan W
MarkSjuharad W
#8
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H20/12
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A05/01
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H11/01
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A18/01
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
63-29
63
29
+34
H25/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H01/02
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#10
W
55-31
55
31
+24
A15/02
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A22/02
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H01/03
Basketligan W
80.0Avg total
45.2Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.734.576.1+7.263%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.135.982.0+10.179%-
Last 30 away (16)37.833.271.0+4.650%-
Last 10 (10)45.234.880.0+10.470%-
Last 5 (5)51.438.089.4+13.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)31.837.869.6-6.011%-
vs Similar (3)45.043.388.3+1.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)46.131.377.4+14.789%-
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK Basket WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Visby W
#11
W
47-23
47
23
+24
A04/01
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H11/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A19/01
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H25/01
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#10
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H01/02
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
26-41
26
41
-15
H12/02
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
L
21-38
21
38
-17
A15/02
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H26/02
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H01/03
Basketligan W
MarkSjuharad W
#8
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H08/03
Basketligan W
72.6Avg total
36.4Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.140.576.6-4.430%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.940.076.9-3.141%-
Last 30 away (13)35.141.276.2-6.115%-
Last 10 (10)36.436.272.6+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)33.637.070.6-3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)34.144.078.1-9.96%-
vs Similar (5)39.038.477.4+0.660%-
vs Weaker (8)38.534.472.9+4.162%-
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo W: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.721.1
54.5%
46.2%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.510.3
34.9%
31.7%30.9
🏀 Free throws17.413.0
74.7%
71.3%13.0
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AIK Basket Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket W: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.418.4
44.4%
46.2%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.87.0
30.7%
31.7%21.0
🏀 Free throws19.514.4
73.8%
71.3%14.4
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo W
WWWLWLWWWW
AIK Basket W
WWLLLWLLWW
#3
League position
#7
+21.6
Net rating
-3.6
109.1
Offensive rating
93.1
87.6
Defensive rating
96.7
53.6%
Effective FG%
45.0%
41.2%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
18.3%
Turnover %
21.4%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.9%
3-point %
30.7%
76.8%
Assist %
65.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.1 · 93.1Defence87.6 · 96.7Shooting53.6% · 45.0%3-point %34.9% · 30.7%Ball care18.3% · 21.4%Off. rebounds30.7% · 29.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Hogsbo W   ■ AIK Basket W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Hogsbo W wins
2
AIK Basket W wins
DateGameScore
14/12/24AIK Basket W v Hogsbo W74-79
27/01/24Hogsbo W v AIK Basket W87-64
21/10/23AIK Basket W v Hogsbo W64-69
01/04/17Hogsbo W v AIK Basket W70-75
25/03/17AIK Basket W v Hogsbo W71-49
Hogsbo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25HLund W99-83
22/02/25ASodertalje W74-70
15/02/25AOstersund W97-62
01/02/25HNorrkoping W78-96
25/01/25HVisby W123-57
18/01/25ALulea W66-77
11/01/25HUppsala W79-47
05/01/25AAlvik W81-75
20/12/24HMarkSjuharad W95-60
14/12/24AAIK Basket W79-74
AIK Basket Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25HMarkSjuharad W86-76
01/03/25HSodertalje W69-64
26/02/25HUppsala W68-82
15/02/25ALund W66-80
12/02/25HNorrkoping W58-88
01/02/25HOstersund W69-60
25/01/25HLulea W63-98
19/01/25ANorrkoping W72-93
11/01/25HAlvik W94-59
04/01/25AVisby W83-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo W
Basketligan W 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW78%
HomeWWWLW78%
AwayWWLWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %78%78%78%
Points / game88.392.883.9
Allowed / game70.171.468.8
Point differential+18.2+21.3+15.1
Avg total158.4164.2152.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%78%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
AIK Basket W
Basketligan W 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW44%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayLLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %44%60%25%
Points / game77.076.477.8
Allowed / game80.976.886.0
Point differential-3.9-0.4-8.2
Avg total157.9153.2163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%30%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lulea W1918195%95.455.4+40.1
2 Norrkoping W1816289%84.868.7+16.1
3 Hogsbo W1814478%88.370.1+18.2
4 Sodertalje W1811761%78.471.4+7.1
5 Alvik W1811761%77.780.9-3.3
6 AIK Basket W1881044%77.080.9-3.9
7 Uppsala W1871139%63.471.3-7.9
8 MarkSjuharad W1851328%69.281.5-12.3
9 Lund W1741324%74.385.4-11.1
10 Ostersund W1831517%64.183.0-18.9
11 Visby W1821611%60.287.1-26.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hogsbo W29193023101
AIK Basket W1822212182
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