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Norrkoping W vs AIK Basket W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 83-58
25-18 14-13 25-13 19-14
Position#2
Record18-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game68.2
Norrkoping W 🏆
Sweden
vs
AIK Basket W
Sweden
Position#7
Record8-12
FormLWWLL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game81.3
SwedenBasketligan WBasketligan Women - Quarter-finals· Stadium Arena B
Women2024-25
Meetings · Norrkoping W v AIK Basket W
28 Feb 2027
NORR v AIK
upcoming
18 Jan 2026
NORR72
AIK 81
28 Mar 2025
NORR83
AIK 58
19 Jan 2025
NORR93
AIK 72
17 Mar 2024
NORR84
AIK 72
05 Nov 2017
NORR65
AIK 53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Norrkoping W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AIK Basket W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Norrkoping WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
AIK Basket W
#7
W
93-72
93
72
+21
86avg 74
H19/01
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
W
80-67
80
67
+13
72avg 74
A26/01
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
W
96-78
96
78
+18
83avg 74
A01/02
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#7
W
88-58
88
58
+30
81avg 74
A12/02
Basketligan W
MarkSjuharad W
#8
W
87-80 OT
87
80
+7
75avg 74
H16/02
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
W
83-65
83
65
+18
81avg 74
H23/02
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
W
68-66
68
66
+2
58avg 74
A08/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
W
84-61
84
61
+23
83avg 74
A12/03
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
78-64
78
64
+14
58avg 74
A15/03
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
88-62
88
62
+26
67avg 74
H19/03
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
25-19
24-18
21-11
19-17
24-15
19-16
18-19
29-21
24-21
20-19
23-17
26-15
15-11
18-14
29-18
21-22
14-13
17-20
21-18
23-21
22-12
20-14
18-18
16-14
11-25
22-16
19-11
26-24
15-17
24-4
19-16
15-18
21-15
20-8
22-23
23-18
26-9
16-18
23-17
151.8Avg total
84.5Scored
67.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)84.768.2152.8+16.590%
Season at home (10)85.569.9155.4+15.690%
Season away (10)83.866.4150.2+17.490%
Last 10 (10)84.567.3151.8+17.2100%
Last 5 (5)80.263.6143.8+16.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)61.572.0133.5-10.550%
vs Similar (8)81.275.9157.1+5.462%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)85.067.5152.5+17.590%
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK Basket WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Norrkoping W
#2
L
72-93
72
93
-21
60avg 68
A19/01
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
63-98
63
98
-35
50avg 68
H25/01
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#10
W
69-60
69
60
+9
66avg 68
H01/02
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
58-88
58
88
-30
49avg 68
H12/02
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
L
66-80
66
80
-14
54avg 68
A15/02
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
L
68-82
68
82
-14
65avg 68
H26/02
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
W
69-64
69
64
+5
57avg 68
H01/03
Basketligan W
MarkSjuharad W
#8
W
86-76
86
76
+10
77avg 68
H08/03
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
L
82-101
82
101
-19
69avg 68
A15/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
L
59-70
59
70
-11
52avg 68
A22/03
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
19-25
18-24
11-21
16-22
17-20
17-28
13-28
20-8
6-21
18-20
25-11
15-26
11-15
14-18
18-29
5-21
16-17
24-22
21-20
21-15
18-23
13-18
16-26
23-12
16-21
15-13
15-18
23-16
20-19
21-24
22-17
18-29
22-19
21-30
21-23
11-19
22-9
17-29
9-13
150.4Avg total
69.2Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)76.381.3157.7-5.040%
Season at home (10)76.476.8153.2-0.460%
Season away (10)76.385.9162.2-9.620%
Last 10 (10)69.281.2150.4-12.030%
Last 5 (5)72.878.6151.4-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)66.987.9154.8-21.16%
vs Similar (6)74.775.0149.7-0.317%
vs Weaker (8)81.976.6158.5+5.275%
This opponent (Norrkoping W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: -3.5-3.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: -3.5-3.5
Norrkoping WAIK Basket W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Norrkoping WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AIK Basket W
#7
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H19/01
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A26/01
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A01/02
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#7
W
41-26
41
26
+15
A12/02
Basketligan W
MarkSjuharad W
#8
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H16/02
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H23/02
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A08/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A12/03
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A15/03
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
49-27
49
27
+22
H19/03
Basketligan W
76.9Avg total
41.8Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.636.176.7+4.460%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.536.577.9+5.059%-
Last 30 away (13)39.435.775.1+3.762%-
Last 10 (10)41.835.176.9+6.770%-
Last 5 (5)39.634.674.2+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)23.038.061.0-15.00%-
vs Similar (8)37.640.277.9-2.612%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)43.534.377.8+9.285%-
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK Basket WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrkoping W
#2
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A19/01
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H25/01
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#10
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H01/02
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
26-41
26
41
-15
H12/02
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
L
21-38
21
38
-17
A15/02
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H26/02
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H01/03
Basketligan W
MarkSjuharad W
#8
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H08/03
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A15/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A22/03
Basketligan W
72.3Avg total
34.3Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.840.477.1-3.633%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.439.977.3-2.644%-
Last 30 away (14)36.140.976.9-4.821%-
Last 10 (10)34.338.072.3-3.740%-
Last 5 (5)38.836.475.2+2.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)35.444.880.2-9.36%-
vs Similar (6)38.036.774.7+1.367%-
vs Weaker (8)38.534.472.9+4.162%-
This opponent (Norrkoping W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Norrkoping Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Norrkoping W: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.320.5
47.3%
46.2%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.710.0
33.7%
31.7%30.0
🏀 Free throws17.912.3
68.7%
71.3%12.3
They take 73.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AIK Basket Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket W: 68.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.815.8
39.7%
46.2%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.3
32.7%
31.7%21.9
🏀 Free throws19.414.9
76.8%
71.3%14.9
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Norrkoping W
WWWWWWWWWW
AIK Basket W
LLWWLLLWLL
#2
League position
#7
+21.6
Net rating
-15.1
108.4
Offensive rating
90.4
86.8
Defensive rating
105.5
48.6%
Effective FG%
43.1%
40.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
14.3%
Turnover %
21.5%
34.3%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.7%
3-point %
32.7%
48.2%
Assist %
69.7%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence108.4 · 90.4Defence86.8 · 105.5Shooting48.6% · 43.1%3-point %33.7% · 32.7%Ball care14.3% · 21.5%Off. rebounds34.3% · 28.4%Free throws0.25 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)100% · 30%
■ Norrkoping W   ■ AIK Basket W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Norrkoping W wins
1
AIK Basket W wins
DateGameScore
12/02/25AIK Basket W v Norrkoping W58-88
19/01/25Norrkoping W v AIK Basket W93-72
17/03/24Norrkoping W v AIK Basket W84-72
14/02/24AIK Basket W v Norrkoping W61-98
28/02/18AIK Basket W v Norrkoping W82-57
05/11/17Norrkoping W v AIK Basket W65-53
Norrkoping Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/25HLund W88-62
15/03/25AVisby W78-64
12/03/25AUppsala W84-61
08/03/25ALulea W68-66
23/02/25HAlvik W83-65
16/02/25HMarkSjuharad W87-80 OT
12/02/25AAIK Basket W88-58
01/02/25AHogsbo W96-78
26/01/25ASodertalje W80-67
19/01/25HAIK Basket W93-72
AIK Basket Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/25AUppsala W59-70
15/03/25AHogsbo W82-101
08/03/25HMarkSjuharad W86-76
01/03/25HSodertalje W69-64
26/02/25HUppsala W68-82
15/02/25ALund W66-80
12/02/25HNorrkoping W58-88
01/02/25HOstersund W69-60
25/01/25HLulea W63-98
19/01/25ANorrkoping W72-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Norrkoping W
Basketligan W 2024-25
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWWWWW90%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %90%90%90%
Points / game84.785.583.8
Allowed / game68.269.966.4
Point differential+16.5+15.6+17.4
Avg total152.8155.4150.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%60%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %5%10%0%
AIK Basket W
Basketligan W 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL40%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %40%60%20%
Points / game76.376.476.3
Allowed / game81.376.885.9
Point differential-5.0-0.4-9.6
Avg total157.7153.2162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%30%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lulea W2019195%95.555.3+40.2
2 Norrkoping W2018290%84.768.2+16.5
3 Hogsbo W2016480%89.771.0+18.6
4 Sodertalje W2113862%77.770.6+7.1
5 Alvik W2113862%77.179.6-2.5
6 Uppsala W2091145%64.770.4-5.7
7 AIK Basket W2081240%76.381.3-5.0
8 MarkSjuharad W2051525%69.082.3-13.2
9 Lund W2041620%73.585.2-11.7
10 Ostersund W2031715%64.083.8-19.8
11 Visby W2031715%61.586.3-24.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Norrkoping W2514251983
AIK Basket W1813131458
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