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Malbas vs Alvik Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 07 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 13:00
Scheduled
Position#13
Record0-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game87.9
vs
Position#2
Record5-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game94.0
Allowed / game76.1
SwedenSuperettan· Heleneholms Sporthall
Other2026-27
Meetings · Malbas v Alvik
07 Feb 2027
MALB v ALVI
upcoming
11 Apr 2026
MALB78
ALVI86
01 Dec 2024
MALB95
ALVI71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Malbas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Alvik win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MalbasSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alvik
#7
L
78-86
78
86
-8
H11/04
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
67-82
67
82
-15
A23/04
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
90-95
90
95
-5
H26/04
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#5
L
84-99
84
99
-15
H19/09
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H03/10
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#4
L
73-100
73
100
-27
A10/10
Superettan
IK Eos
#7
L
55-91
55
91
-36
A14/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#3
L
73-84
73
84
-11
A18/10
Superettan
AIK Basket
#1
L
66-82
66
82
-16
A24/10
Superettan
Alvik
#2
L
65-86
65
86
-21
A25/10
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
21-21
18-20
21-24
21-26
16-16
13-22
17-18
17-27
24-25
23-28
26-15
23-26
20-26
19-26
22-21
18-22
16-15
18-23
19-13
22-34
17-29
19-20
15-17
4-21
14-16
22-24
15-30
15-18
15-24
20-20
23-22
9-31
16-19
13-20
28-12
13-16
18-26
18-22
16-22
160.0Avg total
72.2Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)69.687.9157.4-18.30%
Season at home (2)77.586.0163.5-8.50%
Season away (5)66.488.6155.0-22.20%
Last 10 (10)72.287.8160.0-15.60%
Last 5 (5)66.488.6155.0-22.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)69.687.9157.4-18.30%
vs Similar (3)81.776.3158.0+5.367%
vs Weaker (20)87.377.5164.8+9.970%
This opponent (Alvik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlvikSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
W
81-60
81
60
+21
H26/04
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
L
83-87
83
87
-4
A30/04
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
L
82-96
82
96
-14
H06/05
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
127-59
127
59
+68
H19/09
Superettan
AIK Basket
#1
L
94-101
94
101
-7
H27/09
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#5
W
90-63
90
63
+27
H04/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#3
L
77-93
77
93
-16
H10/10
Superettan
Trelleborg
#9
W
97-84
97
84
+13
A17/10
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
W
87-68
87
68
+19
H21/10
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
86-65
86
65
+21
H25/10
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-15
18-21
16-11
19-13
20-18
18-22
21-28
24-19
18-26
29-24
22-18
13-28
33-20
35-16
36-12
23-11
28-25
26-25
20-19
20-32
20-18
18-21
26-6
26-18
18-26
17-21
22-23
20-23
19-20
30-27
16-18
32-19
23-16
14-25
26-14
24-13
16-13
26-18
22-18
22-16
168.0Avg total
90.4Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)94.076.1170.1+17.971%
Season at home (6)93.574.8168.3+18.767%
Season away (1)97.084.0181.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)90.477.6168.0+12.860%
Last 5 (5)87.474.6162.0+12.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.480.6158.0-3.240%
vs Similar (15)81.682.3163.9-0.747%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)92.275.5167.7+16.780%
This opponent (Malbas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -8.2-8.2Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +6.0+6.0Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +3.1+3.1
MalbasAlvik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MalbasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alvik
#7
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H11/04
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A23/04
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H26/04
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#5
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H19/09
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H03/10
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#4
L
39-63
39
63
-24
A10/10
Superettan
IK Eos
#7
L
18-37
18
37
-19
A14/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#3
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A18/10
Superettan
AIK Basket
#1
L
25-50
25
50
-25
A24/10
Superettan
Alvik
#2
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A25/10
Superettan
79.6Avg total
33.7Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.940.882.7+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (12)45.340.886.2+4.550%-
Last 30 away (18)39.740.780.4-1.150%-
Last 10 (10)33.745.979.6-12.20%-
Last 5 (5)28.646.875.4-18.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)31.446.177.6-14.70%-
vs Similar (3)39.037.376.3+1.767%-
vs Weaker (20)46.039.485.4+6.665%-
This opponent (Alvik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlvikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H26/04
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A30/04
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H06/05
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
68-36
68
36
+32
H19/09
Superettan
AIK Basket
#1
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H27/09
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#5
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H04/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#3
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H10/10
Superettan
Trelleborg
#9
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A17/10
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H21/10
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H25/10
Superettan
87.1Avg total
45.4Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.440.983.3+1.447%-
Last 30 at home (18)45.840.886.7+5.061%-
Last 30 away (12)37.241.178.2-3.925%-
Last 10 (10)45.441.787.1+3.750%-
Last 5 (5)40.241.081.2-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.043.080.0-6.040%-
vs Similar (15)41.440.682.0+0.840%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)46.540.486.9+6.160%-
This opponent (Malbas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Malbastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Malbas: 66.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.817.0
46.2%
50.3%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.96.3
23.4%
29.8%18.9
🏀 Free throws19.913.6
68.3%
65.7%13.6
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvik: 90.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.921.8
52.0%
50.3%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.4
33.0%
29.8%28.2
🏀 Free throws27.718.3
66.1%
65.7%18.3
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Malbas
LLLLLLLLLL
Alvik
WWWLWLWLLW
#13
League position
#2
-22.9
Net rating
+13.6
73.5
Offensive rating
94.9
96.4
Defensive rating
81.3
41.5%
Effective FG%
51.0%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
47.6%
18.7%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.39
23.4%
3-point %
33.0%
56.2%
Assist %
62.5%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence73.5 · 94.9Defence96.4 · 81.3Shooting41.5% · 51.0%3-point %23.4% · 33.0%Ball care18.7% · 15.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)0% · 60%
■ Malbas   ■ Alvik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Malbas wins
2
Alvik wins
DateGameScore
25/10/26Alvik v Malbas86-65
11/04/26Malbas v Alvik78-86
15/02/26Alvik v Malbas73-86
09/03/25Alvik v Malbas59-72
01/12/24Malbas v Alvik95-71
Malbaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26AAlvik65-86
24/10/26AAIK Basket66-82
18/10/26AFryshuset Basket73-84
14/10/26AIK Eos55-91
10/10/26AWetterbygden Stars73-100
03/10/26HOckelbo71-73
19/09/26HEskilstuna84-99
26/04/26HHuddinge90-95
23/04/26AHuddinge67-82
11/04/26HAlvik78-86
Alviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26HMalbas86-65
21/10/26HDjurgarden87-68
17/10/26ATrelleborg97-84
10/10/26HFryshuset Basket77-93
04/10/26HEskilstuna90-63
27/09/26HAIK Basket94-101
19/09/26HOckelbo127-59
06/05/26HEskilstuna82-96
30/04/26AEskilstuna83-87
26/04/26HWetterbygden Stars81-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Malbas
Superettan 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game69.677.566.4
Allowed / game87.986.088.6
Point differential-18.3-8.5-22.2
Avg total157.4163.5155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alvik
Superettan 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW71%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games761
Win %71%67%100%
Points / game94.093.597.0
Allowed / game76.174.884.0
Point differential+17.9+18.7+13.0
Avg total170.1168.3181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%67%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AIK Basket54180%85.474.0+11.4
2 Alvik75271%94.076.1+17.9
3 Fryshuset Basket75271%88.082.0+6.0
4 Wetterbygden Stars75271%88.082.1+5.9
5 Eskilstuna75271%92.388.0+4.3
6 Norrort64267%89.380.8+8.5
7 IK Eos53260%93.473.6+19.8
8 Sollentuna84450%84.978.5+6.4
9 Trelleborg63350%81.882.8-1.0
10 Huddinge73443%75.483.7-8.3
11 Djurgarden62433%76.287.5-11.3
12 Ockelbo62433%73.586.5-13.0
13 Malbas7070%69.687.9-18.3
14 Cross Over6060%69.095.3-26.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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