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Malbas vs Alvik Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 07 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 13:00
Scheduled
Position#13
Record1-10
FormLLLLW
Points / game71.4
Allowed / game85.2
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.3/10
Around normal
5.3/10
Around normal
Position#3
Record7-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.3
Allowed / game75.1
SwedenSuperettan· Heleneholms Sporthall
Other2026-27
Meetings · Malbas v Alvik
07 Feb 2027
MALB v ALVI
upcoming
11 Apr 2026
MALB78
ALVI86
01 Dec 2024
MALB95
ALVI71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Malbas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Alvik win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MalbasSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMalbas
Date
Competition
Ockelbo
#12
L
71-73
71
73
-2
57avg 68
H03/10
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
L
73-100
73
100
-27
38avg 68
A10/10
Superettan
IK Eos
#4
L
55-91
55
91
-36
36avg 68
A14/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
73-84
73
84
-11
67avg 68
A18/10
Superettan
AIK Basket
#1
L
66-82
66
82
-16
61avg 68
A24/10
Superettan
Alvik
#3
L
65-86
65
86
-21
60avg 68
A25/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
L
69-80
69
80
-11
59avg 68
A31/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#7
L
67-81
67
81
-14
49avg 68
A01/11
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
L
77-83 OT
77
83
-6
no box
H08/11
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
85-78
85
78
+7
no box
A14/11
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
16-15
18-23
19-13
22-34
17-29
19-20
15-17
4-21
14-16
22-24
15-30
15-18
15-24
20-20
23-22
9-31
16-19
13-20
28-12
13-16
18-26
18-22
16-22
21-17
12-25
15-26
21-12
14-24
22-16
16-23
15-18
20-13
20-25
19-23
15-13
19-25
19-21
22-13
25-19
153.9Avg total
70.1Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)71.485.2156.5-13.89%
Season at home (3)77.385.0162.3-7.70%
Season away (8)69.185.2154.4-16.112%
Last 10 (10)70.183.8153.9-13.710%
Last 5 (5)72.681.6154.2-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)71.787.1158.8-15.411%
vs Similar (3)77.076.3153.3+0.733%
vs Weaker (18)87.776.9164.6+10.772%
This opponent (Alvik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlvikSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlvik
Date
Competition
Eskilstuna
#8
L
82-96
82
96
-14
79avg 81
H06/05
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
127-59
127
59
+68
122avg 81
H19/09
Superettan
AIK Basket
#1
L
94-101
94
101
-7
79avg 81
H27/09
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#9
W
90-63
90
63
+27
96avg 81
H04/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
77-93
77
93
-16
69avg 81
H10/10
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
97-84
97
84
+13
95avg 81
A17/10
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
W
87-68
87
68
+19
79avg 81
H21/10
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
86-65
86
65
+21
80avg 81
H25/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
78-65
78
65
+13
79avg 81
A01/11
Superettan
Sollentuna
#8
W
104-78
104
78
+26
no box
A08/11
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
29-24
22-18
13-28
33-20
35-16
36-12
23-11
28-25
26-25
20-19
20-32
20-18
18-21
26-6
26-18
18-26
17-21
22-23
20-23
19-20
30-27
16-18
32-19
23-16
14-25
26-14
24-13
16-13
26-18
22-18
22-16
20-13
26-18
20-20
12-14
29-23
21-20
19-18
35-17
169.4Avg total
92.2Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)93.375.1168.4+18.278%
Season at home (6)93.574.8168.3+18.767%
Season away (3)93.075.7168.7+17.3100%
Last 10 (10)92.277.2169.4+15.070%
Last 5 (5)90.472.0162.4+18.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.480.6158.0-3.240%
vs Similar (15)83.782.9166.5+0.847%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)92.973.0165.9+19.990%
This opponent (Malbas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.6-6.6Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +3.6+3.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.6-6.6Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +3.6+3.6
MalbasAlvik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MalbasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ockelbo
#12
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H03/10
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
L
39-63
39
63
-24
A10/10
Superettan
IK Eos
#4
L
18-37
18
37
-19
A14/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A18/10
Superettan
AIK Basket
#1
L
25-50
25
50
-25
A24/10
Superettan
Alvik
#3
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A25/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A31/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#7
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A01/11
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H08/11
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A14/11
Superettan
76.1Avg total
32.4Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.041.382.3-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (11)43.641.384.9+2.445%-
Last 30 away (19)39.541.480.8-1.942%-
Last 10 (10)32.443.776.1-11.310%-
Last 5 (5)35.641.677.2-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)33.345.678.9-12.211%-
vs Similar (3)37.738.776.3-1.033%-
vs Weaker (18)45.439.785.1+5.761%-
This opponent (Alvik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlvikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eskilstuna
#8
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H06/05
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
68-36
68
36
+32
H19/09
Superettan
AIK Basket
#1
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H27/09
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#9
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H04/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H10/10
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A17/10
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H21/10
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H25/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A01/11
Superettan
Sollentuna
#8
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A08/11
Superettan
88.1Avg total
46.6Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.840.983.7+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.641.286.8+4.459%-
Last 30 away (13)39.240.579.8-1.338%-
Last 10 (10)46.641.588.1+5.160%-
Last 5 (5)44.838.683.4+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.043.080.0-6.040%-
vs Similar (15)42.941.384.1+1.647%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)45.739.385.0+6.460%-
This opponent (Malbas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Malbastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Malbas: 65.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.815.5
43.3%
50.0%31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.46.6
25.0%
29.5%19.8
🏀 Free throws21.214.8
69.8%
65.7%14.8
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvik: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.121.9
52.0%
50.0%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.2
33.3%
29.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws27.518.4
66.9%
65.7%18.4
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Malbas
WLLLLLLLLL
Alvik
WWWWWLWLWL
#13
League position
#3
-23.1
Net rating
+12.7
72.5
Offensive rating
94.6
95.6
Defensive rating
81.8
40.8%
Effective FG%
51.2%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
19.4%
Turnover %
16.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.39
25.0%
3-point %
33.3%
58.4%
Assist %
65.0%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence72.5 · 94.6Defence95.6 · 81.8Shooting40.8% · 51.2%3-point %25.0% · 33.3%Ball care19.4% · 16.4%Free throws0.34 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)10% · 70%
■ Malbas   ■ Alvik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Malbas wins
2
Alvik wins
DateGameScore
25/10/26Alvik v Malbas86-65
11/04/26Malbas v Alvik78-86
15/02/26Alvik v Malbas73-86
09/03/25Alvik v Malbas59-72
01/12/24Malbas v Alvik95-71
Malbaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ATrelleborg85-78
08/11/26HDjurgarden77-83 OT
01/11/26AHuddinge67-81
31/10/26AOckelbo69-80
25/10/26AAlvik65-86
24/10/26AAIK Basket66-82
18/10/26AFryshuset Basket73-84
14/10/26AIK Eos55-91
10/10/26AWetterbygden Stars73-100
03/10/26HOckelbo71-73
Alviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26ASollentuna104-78
01/11/26AOckelbo78-65
25/10/26HMalbas86-65
21/10/26HDjurgarden87-68
17/10/26ATrelleborg97-84
10/10/26HFryshuset Basket77-93
04/10/26HEskilstuna90-63
27/09/26HAIK Basket94-101
19/09/26HOckelbo127-59
06/05/26HEskilstuna82-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Malbas
Superettan 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW9%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLLLW12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1138
Win %9%0%12%
Points / game71.477.369.1
Allowed / game85.285.085.2
Point differential-13.8-7.7-16.1
Avg total156.5162.3154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %9%33%0%
Alvik
Superettan 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW78%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %78%67%100%
Points / game93.393.593.0
Allowed / game75.174.875.7
Point differential+18.2+18.7+17.3
Avg total168.4168.3168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+78%67%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AIK Basket76186%84.769.6+15.1
2 Fryshuset Basket119282%90.377.8+12.5
3 Alvik97278%93.375.1+18.2
4 IK Eos75271%91.174.6+16.6
5 Wetterbygden Stars106460%82.879.7+3.1
6 Norrort74357%87.080.3+6.7
7 Huddinge95456%77.280.9-3.7
8 Sollentuna116555%84.380.3+4.0
9 Eskilstuna116555%83.484.2-0.8
10 Trelleborg84450%79.980.0-0.1
11 Djurgarden93633%79.188.1-9.0
12 Ockelbo103730%70.883.3-12.5
13 Malbas111109%71.485.2-13.8
14 Cross Over100100%69.393.7-24.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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