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Malbas vs KFUM Kalmar Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 79-84
19-23 17-21 23-23 20-17
Position#12
Record11-14
FormWLLLW
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game75.2
Malbas
Sweden
vs
KFUM Kalmar 🏆
Sweden
Position#14
Record6-17
FormWLLLW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game82.2
SwedenSuperettan· Heleneholms Sporthall
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Malbas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
KFUM Kalmar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MalbasSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMalbas
Date
Competition
Hogsbo
#1
W
91-87
91
87
+4
82avg 59
H30/12
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
W
91-86
91
86
+5
82avg 59
H07/01
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
78-84
78
84
-6
75avg 59
A10/01
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
72-65
72
65
+7
69avg 59
H14/01
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
W
83-79
83
79
+4
75avg 59
A20/01
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
W
66-61
66
61
+5
56avg 59
H28/01
Superettan
Norrort
#15
L
55-62
55
62
-7
38avg 59
H04/02
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
L
66-84
66
84
-18
55avg 59
A16/02
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
L
78-79 OT
78
79
-1
no box
A18/02
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
W
66-51
66
51
+15
56avg 59
H03/03
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-14
24-19
25-28
17-26
22-22
17-20
19-19
33-25
11-19
25-31
20-21
22-13
15-16
22-14
18-18
17-17
17-17
35-21
16-22
15-19
13-9
21-15
18-15
14-22
10-13
16-14
15-16
14-19
18-20
14-32
10-15
24-17
21-21
15-15
15-21
18-12
13-15
17-11
18-10
18-15
148.4Avg total
74.6Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)72.275.2147.3-3.044%
Season at home (13)70.170.5140.5-0.469%
Season away (12)74.480.2154.7-5.817%
Last 10 (10)74.673.8148.4+0.860%
Last 5 (5)66.267.4133.6-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)69.282.4151.6-13.229%
vs Similar ◀ (12)74.776.3151.0-1.742%
vs Weaker (4)73.869.5143.2+4.275%
This opponent (KFUM Kalmar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KFUM KalmarSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKalmar
Date
Competition
RIG Mark
#16
W
87-71
87
71
+16
70avg 68
A17/12
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
W
108-80
108
80
+28
116avg 68
H06/01
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
L
79-83
79
83
-4
66avg 68
H13/01
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
L
80-94
80
94
-14
76avg 68
A20/01
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
76-78
76
78
-2
67avg 68
A21/01
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
W
102-71
102
71
+31
103avg 68
H27/01
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
70-81
70
81
-11
64avg 68
A28/01
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
L
71-74
71
74
-3
65avg 68
H03/02
Superettan
Norrort
#15
L
93-94 OT
93
94
-1
no box
H11/02
Superettan
Malbas
#12
W
79-78 OT
79
78
+1
no box
H18/02
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
19-18
19-15
22-18
33-15
22-21
22-26
31-18
19-19
18-18
19-19
23-27
18-21
28-24
15-27
19-22
19-21
13-21
24-16
20-20
23-11
29-19
24-11
26-30
11-17
14-22
23-27
22-15
21-18
20-18
15-22
15-16
15-12
20-14
20-25
15-19
21-21
15-15
21-15
12-18
164.9Avg total
84.5Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)77.482.2159.6-4.726%
Season at home (12)84.784.1168.8+0.633%
Season away (11)69.580.1149.6-10.518%
Last 10 (10)84.580.4164.9+4.140%
Last 5 (5)83.079.6162.6+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)78.388.0166.3-9.619%
vs Similar ◀ (6)75.282.7157.8-7.517%
vs Weaker (3)75.368.7144.0+6.767%
This opponent (Malbas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.2+0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.2+0.2
MalbasKFUM Kalmar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MalbasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hogsbo
#1
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H30/12
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H07/01
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A10/01
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H14/01
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A20/01
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H28/01
Superettan
Norrort
#15
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H04/02
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A16/02
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A18/02
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H03/03
Superettan
72.9Avg total
37.1Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.038.974.9-2.933%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.135.270.3-0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)36.942.579.4-5.720%-
Last 10 (10)37.135.872.9+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)31.633.064.6-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)35.840.876.6-5.036%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.538.074.5-1.533%-
vs Weaker (4)35.234.870.0+0.525%-
This opponent (KFUM Kalmar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KFUM KalmarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
RIG Mark
#16
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A17/12
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H06/01
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H13/01
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A20/01
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A21/01
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H27/01
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A28/01
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H03/02
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H11/02
Superettan
Malbas
#12
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H18/02
Superettan
77.0Avg total
40.5Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.642.580.1-4.833%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.842.082.8-1.250%-
Last 30 away (16)34.942.977.8-8.019%-
Last 10 (10)40.536.577.0+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)37.833.471.2+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)38.044.682.6-6.729%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)36.336.873.2-0.533%-
vs Weaker (3)38.038.776.7-0.767%-
This opponent (Malbas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Malbastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Malbas: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.521.1
49.6%
50.1%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.26.7
30.2%
31.3%20.1
🏀 Free throws16.110.0
62.1%
66.9%10.0
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
KFUM Kalmartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KFUM Kalmar: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.824.4
55.7%
50.1%48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.1
32.4%
31.3%24.3
🏀 Free throws15.29.7
63.8%
66.9%9.7
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Malbas
WLLLWWWLWW
KFUM Kalmar
WLLLWLLLWW
#12
League position
#14
-0.4
Net rating
+1.7
94.9
Offensive rating
103.0
95.3
Defensive rating
101.3
48.1%
Effective FG%
53.1%
46.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
17.5%
Turnover %
18.5%
22.9%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.22
30.2%
3-point %
32.4%
58.6%
Assist %
56.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence94.9 · 103.0Defence95.3 · 101.3Shooting48.1% · 53.1%3-point %30.2% · 32.4%Ball care17.5% · 18.5%Off. rebounds22.9% · 26.5%Free throws0.25 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Malbas   ■ KFUM Kalmar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Malbas wins
1
KFUM Kalmar wins
DateGameScore
18/02/24KFUM Kalmar v Malbas79-78 OT
Malbaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24HOckelbo66-51
18/02/24AKFUM Kalmar78-79 OT
16/02/24AWetterbygden Stars66-84
04/02/24HNorrort55-62
28/01/24HTureberg66-61
20/01/24AEskilstuna83-79
14/01/24HSloga Uppsala72-65
10/01/24AHelsingborg78-84
07/01/24HDjurgarden91-86
30/12/23HHogsbo91-87
KFUM Kalmarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/24HMalbas79-78 OT
11/02/24HNorrort93-94 OT
03/02/24HWetterbygden Stars71-74
28/01/24AHelsingborg70-81
27/01/24HHuddinge102-71
21/01/24AKFUM Fryshuset76-78
20/01/24ADjurgarden80-94
13/01/24HEskilstuna79-83
06/01/24HAIK Basket108-80
17/12/23ARIG Mark87-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Malbas
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW44%
HomeWWWLW69%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %44%69%17%
Points / game72.270.174.4
Allowed / game75.270.580.2
Point differential-3.0-0.4-5.8
Avg total147.3140.5154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%15%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)100% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %4%0%8%
KFUM Kalmar
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW26%
HomeLWLLW33%
AwayLWLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %26%33%18%
Points / game77.484.769.5
Allowed / game82.284.180.1
Point differential-4.7+0.6-10.5
Avg total159.6168.8149.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)17% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %13%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hogsbo2520580%93.079.1+13.9
2 AIK Basket2419579%84.077.4+6.6
3 Tureberg2516964%77.574.0+3.6
4 Wetterbygden Stars26161062%80.975.9+5.0
5 Helsingborg26151158%86.981.3+5.6
6 Huddinge25141156%81.679.2+2.4
7 Sloga Uppsala25141156%77.479.2-1.7
8 KFUM Fryshuset25131252%86.887.0-0.2
9 Ockelbo26131350%73.276.2-3.0
10 Djurgarden25121348%85.285.0+0.2
11 Malbas25111444%72.275.2-3.0
12 IK Eos2391439%79.281.3-2.1
13 Norrort2481633%73.277.7-4.5
14 Eskilstuna2471729%75.986.0-10.1
15 KFUM Kalmar2361726%77.482.2-4.7
16 RIG Mark2762122%67.275.6-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Malbas1917232079
KFUM Kalmar2321231784
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