Malvin vs Defensor Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Nov 2026

Tip-off: 22:15

Projected 80-78

Projected total 157.7

Final 79-81

24-14 10-27 27-24 18-16

Position#7

Record3-3

FormLLWWL

Points / game76.5

Allowed / game79.7

Malvin

55%

45%

■ MALV 55%■ DEFE 45%

Pythia win probability

Defensor 🏆

Position#5

Record3-2

FormWLWLW

Points / game80.0

Allowed / game78.6

Liga Uruguaya· Malvin

Other2026-27

Meetings · Malvin v Defensor

Sections

Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Malvin and Defensor will clash in the Liga Uruguaya on 14 November 2026, a matchup that feels almost evenly matched as neither side holds a clear advantage. Over the season, Malvin has gone 3-3 in six games, scoring 76.5 points per game while conceding 79.7, and sits in seventh place; at home they are 2-1, averaging 80.0 points and allowing 80.0. Their last five games yielded two wins and three losses, with a recent 64-70 defeat to Urunday away, a 87-73 home victory over Bigua, and a 84-78 away win against Hebraica y Macabi. Defensor, meanwhile, is 3-2 in five games, averaging 80.0 points and allowing 78.6, and occupies fifth place; on the road they are 0-2, scoring 73.5 and conceding 86.5. Their recent five games include a 91-85 home win over Larranaga, a 65-84 away loss to Penarol, and a 79-71 home win over Urunday. Historically, Malvin leads the series 6-4, though Defensor last beat them 85-78 on 15 May 2026. Pythia rates Malvin as the favourite with a 55% chance of winning versus Defensor's 45%, projecting a 80-78 score for a total of 157.7 points; the home line is 1.0 with a 57% chance of covering, and the over/under line has a 5% chance of overtime. The game will hinge on how well each team can maintain their offensive output while tightening defence.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Malvin winLost

55.5%fair 1.80

Best odds2.10

Implied46.5%

Edge+8.9pp

Defensor winWon

44.5%fair 2.25

Best odds1.75

Implied53.5%

Edge-8.9pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 07:07 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Malvin

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMalvin

Date

Competition

Defensor

90-92 OT

-2

89avg 68

H06/05

Liga Uruguaya

Defensor

58-80

-22

38avg 68

A10/05

Liga Uruguaya

Defensor

83-81

71avg 68

H12/05

Liga Uruguaya

Defensor

78-85

-7

67avg 68

A15/05

Liga Uruguaya

Atenas

#12

77-66

+11

69avg 68

H20/10

Liga Uruguaya

Goes

71-90

-19

67avg 68

A23/10

Liga Uruguaya

Penarol

76-101

101

-25

58avg 68

H29/10

Liga Uruguaya

Hebraica y Macabi

84-78

73avg 68

A01/11

Liga Uruguaya

Bigua

87-73

+14

no box

H04/11

Liga Uruguaya

Urunday

64-70

-6

no box

A09/11

Liga Uruguaya

30-22

11-17

14-21

26-21

15-22

17-27

14-10

12-21

29-20

21-22

15-14

18-25

24-18

12-28

9-19

33-20

20-8

24-19

15-19

18-20

21-28

15-23

15-18

20-21

25-30

19-28

16-30

16-13

20-21

24-15

10-27

30-15

23-21

17-19

21-20

26-13

14-27

14-12

14-18

22-13

158.4Avg total

76.8Scored

81.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	76.5	79.7	156.2	-3.2	50%
Season at home (3)	80.0	80.0	160.0	+0.0	67%
Season away (3)	73.0	79.3	152.3	-6.3	33%
Last 10 (10)	76.8	81.6	158.4	-4.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	76.4	82.4	158.8	-6.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	74.5	85.8	160.3	-11.2	31%
vs Similar (15)	81.1	81.0	162.1	+0.1	53%
vs Weaker (2)	83.0	82.5	165.5	+0.5	50%

This opponent (Defensor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Defensor

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormDefensor

Date

Competition

Malvin

81-83

-2

73avg 74

A12/05

Liga Uruguaya

Malvin

85-78

78avg 74

H15/05

Liga Uruguaya

Penarol

51-101

101

-50

36avg 74

A20/05

Liga Uruguaya

Penarol

61-81

-20

51avg 74

H23/05

Liga Uruguaya

Penarol

81-93

-12

75avg 74

A27/05

Liga Uruguaya

Goes

83-64

+19

72avg 74

H20/10

Liga Uruguaya

Bigua

82-89

-7

67avg 74

A29/10

Liga Uruguaya

Urunday

79-71

no box

H03/11

Liga Uruguaya

Penarol

65-84

-19

no box

A06/11

Liga Uruguaya

Larranaga

#10

91-85

no box

H11/11

Liga Uruguaya

20-29

22-21

14-15

25-18

18-24

28-12

19-9

20-33

9-24

11-33

10-25

21-19

16-18

15-26

20-22

10-15

25-25

23-28

17-20

16-20

29-23

18-15

14-19

22-7

19-24

31-28

15-15

17-22

18-16

16-21

27-18

15-26

16-19

23-18

11-21

23-18

20-26

20-23

28-18

158.8Avg total

75.9Scored

82.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	80.0	78.6	158.6	+1.4	60%
Season at home (3)	84.3	73.3	157.7	+11.0	100%
Season away (2)	73.5	86.5	160.0	-13.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	75.9	82.9	158.8	-7.0	40%
Last 5 (5)	80.0	78.6	158.6	+1.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	77.6	84.8	162.4	-7.2	31%
vs Similar (11)	82.1	80.6	162.7	+1.5	45%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	90.7	82.0	172.7	+8.7	100%

This opponent (Malvin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 153Actual: Over 153

Over 153

60.6%

Under 153

39.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 158.25 · main lineActual: Over 158.25

Over 158.25

no forecast

@ 1.81

Under 158.25

no forecast

@ 1.81

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.81

Under

1xBet

1.81

Over/Under 163Actual: Under 163

Over 163

36.3%

Under 163

63.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Malvin total 74.5Actual: Malvin over 74.5

Over 74.5

68.9%

@ 1.36+4.4pp

Under 74.5

31.1%

@ 2.47-4.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.36

Under

1xBet

2.47

Malvin total 78.5 · main lineActual: Malvin over 78.5

Over 78.5

54.1%

@ 1.91+4.8pp

Under 78.5

45.9%

@ 1.83-4.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

1.91

Betano

1.88

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.68

Under

Bet365

1.83

BetVictor

1.80

1xBet

1.76

Betano

1.75

Malvin total 82.5Actual: Malvin under 82.5

Over 82.5

38.7%

@ 2.30+0.7pp

Under 82.5

61.3%

@ 1.41-0.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.30

Under

1xBet

1.41

Defensor total 75.5Actual: Defensor over 75.5

Over 75.5

59.4%

@ 1.50-3.3pp

Under 75.5

40.6%

@ 2.50+3.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.50

1xBet

1.39

Under

Bet365

2.50

1xBet

2.35

Defensor total 79.5 · main lineActual: Defensor over 79.5

Over 79.5

44.1%

@ 1.88-5.3pp

Under 79.5

55.9%

@ 1.83+5.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

1.88

Betano

1.85

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.74

Under

Bet365

1.83

Betano

1.80

BetVictor

1.80

1xBet

1.70

Defensor total 83.5Actual: Defensor under 83.5

Over 83.5

29.7%

@ 2.70-5.6pp

Under 83.5

70.3%

@ 1.41+5.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.70

1xBet

2.41

Under

Bet365

1.41

1xBet

1.37

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Malvin -1.5Actual: Defensor +1.5

MALV -1.5

52.6%

@ 2.10+8.5pp

DEFE +1.5

47.4%

@ 1.71-8.5pp

Best 5 market prices

MALV

Pinnacle

2.10

Bet365

2.00

SBO

1.98

1xBet

1.97

DEFE

Bet365

1.71

SBO

1.70

Pinnacle

1.66

1xBet

1.60

Spread Malvin +1.5 · main lineActual: Defensor -1.5

MALV +1.5

58.3%

@ 1.91+9.2pp

DEFE -1.5

41.7%

@ 1.91-9.2pp

Best 5 market prices

MALV

BetVictor

1.91

Pinnacle

1.90

SBO

1.86

Betano

1.85

Bet365

1.83

DEFE

Betfair

1.91

1xBet

1.86

Bet365

1.83

Pinnacle

1.83

SBO

1.80

Spread Malvin +4.5Actual: Malvin +4.5

MALV +4.5

69.0%

@ 1.54+9.0pp

DEFE -4.5

31.0%

@ 2.50-9.0pp

Best 5 market prices

MALV

Pinnacle

1.54

Bet365

1.50

1xBet

1.42

DEFE

Bet365

2.50

1xBet

2.37

Pinnacle

2.31

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

MalvinDefensor

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.5
Last 30 (30)	21.9	21.6	43.5	+0.3	50%	67%
Last 30 at home (15)	23.3	20.5	43.9	+2.8	67%	60%
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	22.6	43.1	-2.1	33%	73%
Last 10 (10)	22.1	21.7	43.8	+0.4	50%	80%
Last 5 (5)	20.6	25.4	46.0	-4.8	20%	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	20.8	22.9	43.8	-2.1	23%	69%
vs Similar (15)	23.2	21.4	44.6	+1.8	73%	73%
vs Weaker (2)	19.0	14.0	33.0	+5.0	50%	0%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.5
Last 30 (30)	21.6	23.0	44.6	-1.4	40%	70%
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	22.0	43.9	-0.1	47%	60%
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	24.0	45.3	-2.7	33%	80%
Last 10 (10)	19.2	22.7	41.9	-3.5	30%	70%
Last 5 (5)	20.8	21.4	42.2	-0.6	60%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	22.2	23.2	45.4	-0.9	38%	69%
vs Similar (11)	19.5	23.5	43.0	-4.1	27%	64%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	26.0	20.0	46.0	+6.0	100%	100%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	20.4	38.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	19.5	37.8	-1.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	21.3	39.8	-2.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	21.0	38.4	-3.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	19.4	37.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	17.5	21.0	38.5	-3.5	31%	-
vs Similar (15)	18.3	19.6	37.9	-1.3	47%	-
vs Weaker (2)	25.0	22.5	47.5	+2.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.9	41.2	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	19.1	39.6	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	22.7	42.8	-2.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	22.4	42.6	-2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.8	41.4	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	19.9	22.6	42.5	-2.8	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.4	17.6	38.0	+2.7	73%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	22.3	23.7	46.0	-1.3	33%	-

MalvinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Defensor

41-39

H06/05

Liga Uruguaya

Defensor

32-49

-17

A10/05

Liga Uruguaya

Defensor

50-42

H12/05

Liga Uruguaya

Defensor

36-46

-10

A15/05

Liga Uruguaya

Atenas

#12

44-27

+17

H20/10

Liga Uruguaya

Goes

36-51

-15

A23/10

Liga Uruguaya

Penarol

44-58

-14

H29/10

Liga Uruguaya

Hebraica y Macabi

44-36

A01/11

Liga Uruguaya

Bigua

40-40

H04/11

Liga Uruguaya

Urunday

28-39

-11

A09/11

Liga Uruguaya

82.2Avg total

39.5Scored

42.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 79
Last 30 (30)	40.3	42.0	82.3	-1.7	47%	70%
Last 30 at home (15)	41.6	40.1	81.7	+1.5	60%	67%
Last 30 away (15)	39.0	43.9	82.9	-4.9	33%	73%
Last 10 (10)	39.5	42.7	82.2	-3.2	40%	80%
Last 5 (5)	38.4	44.8	83.2	-6.4	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	38.3	43.9	82.2	-5.6	31%	62%
vs Similar (15)	41.5	41.0	82.5	+0.5	60%	80%
vs Weaker (2)	44.0	36.5	80.5	+7.5	50%	50%

This opponent (Defensor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

DefensorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Malvin

42-50

-8

A12/05

Liga Uruguaya

Malvin

46-36

+10

H15/05

Liga Uruguaya

Penarol

20-57

-37

A20/05

Liga Uruguaya

Penarol

31-44

-13

H23/05

Liga Uruguaya

Penarol

48-53

-5

A27/05

Liga Uruguaya

Goes

47-38

H20/10

Liga Uruguaya

Bigua

50-52

-2

A29/10

Liga Uruguaya

Urunday

36-32

H03/11

Liga Uruguaya

Penarol

31-45

-14

A06/11

Liga Uruguaya

Larranaga

#10

43-44

-1

H11/11

Liga Uruguaya

84.5Avg total

39.4Scored

45.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 79
Last 30 (30)	41.9	43.9	85.8	-2.0	43%	77%
Last 30 at home (15)	42.4	41.1	83.5	+1.3	53%	73%
Last 30 away (15)	41.4	46.7	88.1	-5.3	33%	80%
Last 10 (10)	39.4	45.1	84.5	-5.7	30%	60%
Last 5 (5)	41.4	42.2	83.6	-0.8	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	42.1	45.8	87.9	-3.7	38%	75%
vs Similar (11)	39.8	41.2	81.0	-1.4	45%	73%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	48.3	43.7	92.0	+4.7	67%	100%

This opponent (Malvin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Defensor win

MALV win

no forecast

@ 2.00

DEFE win

no forecast

@ 1.83

1st half Spread Malvin +0.5 · main lineActual: Defensor -0.5

MALV +0.5

no forecast

@ 1.91

DEFE -0.5

no forecast

@ 1.83

1st half Over/Under 79 · main lineActual: Under 79

Over

no forecast

@ 1.86

Under

no forecast

@ 1.87

Malvin 1st half total 39 · main lineActual: Malvin under 39

Over

no forecast

@ 1.70

Under

no forecast

@ 1.75

Defensor 1st half total 40.5 · main lineActual: Defensor over 40.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.87

Under

no forecast

@ 1.83

1st half: MALV + total 80.5

MALV & over

no forecast

@ 3.90

MALV & under

no forecast

@ 3.80

1st half: Draw + total 80.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 26.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 26.00

1st half: DEFE + total 80.5

DEFE & over

no forecast

@ 3.60

DEFE & under

no forecast

@ 3.50

1st half Over/Under 77.75Actual: Under 77.75

Over

no forecast

@ 1.75

Under

no forecast

@ 1.87

1st half Over/Under 80.25Actual: Under 80.25

Over

no forecast

@ 1.84

Under

no forecast

@ 1.78

1st half Spread Malvin -0.5Actual: Defensor +0.5

MALV -0.5

no forecast

@ 1.86

DEFE +0.5

no forecast

@ 1.80

1st half Spread Malvin +1.5Actual: Defensor -1.5

MALV +1.5

no forecast

@ 1.73

DEFE -1.5

no forecast

@ 2.10

1st half Over/Under 76.5Actual: Under 76.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.64

Under

no forecast

@ 2.55

1st half Spread Malvin -1.5Actual: Defensor +1.5

MALV -1.5

no forecast

@ 2.25

DEFE +1.5

no forecast

@ 1.58

1st half Spread Malvin +2.5Actual: Defensor -2.5

MALV +2.5

no forecast

@ 1.54

DEFE -2.5

no forecast

@ 2.07

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Defensor (regulation)

MALV

no forecast

@ 2.07

Draw

no forecast

@ 16.00

DEFE

no forecast

@ 1.83

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	20.3	38.0	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	20.5	40.0	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.9	20.1	35.9	-4.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.3	19.6	33.9	-5.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	22.6	37.8	-7.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	17.2	22.0	39.2	-4.8	31%	-
vs Similar (15)	17.9	18.7	36.5	-0.8	53%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.0	21.5	40.5	-2.5	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	18.8	38.1	+0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	17.7	36.9	+1.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	19.9	39.2	-0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	18.7	35.5	-1.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	19.2	36.8	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	18.1	20.2	38.2	-2.1	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.8	16.9	37.7	+3.9	73%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	20.3	18.0	38.3	+2.3	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.8	39.4	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	18.3	37.3	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	21.3	41.5	-1.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	18.2	40.3	+3.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	15.0	37.8	+7.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	18.8	18.8	37.6	-0.1	46%	-
vs Similar (15)	20.3	19.9	40.3	+0.4	53%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.0	24.5	44.5	-4.5	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	19.4	37.5	-1.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	17.7	36.4	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.6	21.1	38.7	-3.5	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	19.1	38.8	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	17.2	38.2	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	16.4	18.3	34.8	-1.9	31%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.5	20.7	40.3	-1.2	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	22.0	20.3	42.3	+1.7	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.3	40.1	77.4	-2.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.5	38.8	77.3	-0.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.1	41.3	77.4	-5.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.4	37.8	74.2	-1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	37.6	75.6	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	36.0	40.8	76.8	-4.8	23%	-
vs Similar (15)	38.2	38.6	76.8	-0.4	53%	-
vs Weaker (2)	39.0	46.0	85.0	-7.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	38.2	75.6	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.9	35.4	73.3	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.9	40.9	77.9	-4.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.5	37.8	74.3	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	36.4	75.0	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	34.5	38.5	73.0	-4.0	31%	-
vs Similar (11)	40.4	37.6	78.0	+2.7	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	42.3	38.3	80.7	+4.0	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

MALV win + total 158.5

🔒 Pro

DEFE win + total 158.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: MALV leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: DEFE leads at half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Malvin +10.5	85.0%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+7.3pp	Won
Malvin +5	71.3%	1.44	Bet365 1.44	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Defensor under 84.5	73.5%	1.32	1xBet 1.32	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Malvin +20.5	96.6%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+6.4pp	Won
Malvin +5.5	72.3%	1.38	Bet365 1.41	1xBet 1.34	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Won
Malvin +15.5	92.6%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
Malvin +6.5	75.3%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Defensor under 87.5	81.9%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Defensor under 85.5	76.5%	1.28	Bet365 1.29	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	+5.6pp	Won
Defensor under 83.5	70.3%	1.39	Bet365 1.41	1xBet 1.37	-	-	-	+5.6pp	Won
Defensor under 95.5	95.1%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
Defensor under 88.5	84.3%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Defensor under 89.5	86.5%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Malvin under 98.5	96.5%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Defensor under 93.5	93.0%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Malvin over 73.5	72.2%	1.34	Bet365 1.37	1xBet 1.31	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Malvin under 97.5	95.7%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Defensor under 91.5	90.1%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Malvin over 71.5	78.4%	1.26	Bet365 1.26	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Malvin under 99.5	97.2%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Won
Defensor +24.5	97.1%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Won
Malvin under 95.5	93.7%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Defensor +19.5	93.6%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Won
Overtime: no	94.6%	1.03	Betano 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Under 182.5	92.8%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Won
Malvin under 93.5	91.1%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Won
Under 172.5	81.6%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
Malvin under 91.5	87.6%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+2.0pp	Won
Malvin under 89.5	83.2%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+1.8pp	Won
Under 177.5	88.2%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+1.6pp	Won
Over 137.5	88.7%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+1.6pp	Won
Defensor over 67.5	84.6%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+1.5pp	Won
Defensor +14.5	86.9%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+1.4pp	Won
Over 142.5	81.7%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+1.2pp	Won
Malvin under 88.5	80.7%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+1.2pp	Won
Under 167.5	72.9%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+1.0pp	Won
Defensor over 66.5	86.8%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+0.7pp	Won
Defensor over 69.5	79.5%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+0.6pp	Won
Malvin under 87.5	77.9%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+0.2pp	Won
Over 147.5	72.5%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+0.1pp	Won
Malvin under 85.5	71.8%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	-0.1pp	Won
Defensor over 68.5	82.1%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	-0.2pp	Won
Defensor over 71.5	73.5%	1.26	Bet365 1.26	-	-	-	-	-0.6pp	Won
Defensor +9.5	75.6%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	-0.6pp	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Malvintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Malvin: 74.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀54%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 54% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game

52%

31%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.6	20.1	52.1%	50.3%	40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.9	7.7	30.9%	32.1%	23.1
🏀 Free throws	17.4	11.5	66.1%	70.5%	11.5

They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Defensortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Defensor: 76.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀49%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 49% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game

52%

31%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.9	18.6	50.4%	50.3%	37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	8.0	30.8%	32.1%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	21.1	15.5	73.5%	70.5%	15.5

They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.5	20.1	53.6%	50.3%	40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.4	11.2	39.4%	32.1%	33.6
🏀 Free throws	16.8	11.9	70.8%	70.5%	11.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.0	20.0	52.6%	50.3%	40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.1	8.6	29.6%	32.1%	25.8
🏀 Free throws	22.1	16.1	72.9%	70.5%	16.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.4	19.6	52.5%	50.3%	39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.7	8.8	31.7%	32.1%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	16.7	11.3	67.9%	70.5%	11.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.1	20.2	53.1%	50.3%	40.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.8	8.7	32.3%	32.1%	26.0
🏀 Free throws	21.0	15.0	71.3%	70.5%	15.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.2	19.4	50.8%	50.3%	38.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.5	10.4	36.5%	32.1%	31.2
🏀 Free throws	16.8	12.0	71.2%	70.5%	12.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.3	21.1	53.6%	50.3%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.8	9.1	31.4%	32.1%	27.2
🏀 Free throws	18.7	13.3	71.2%	70.5%	13.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Malvin

LWWLLWLWLL

Defensor

WLWLWLLLWL

League position

-13.0

Net rating

-6.0

89.4

Offensive rating

89.0

102.5

Defensive rating

95.1

49.8%

Effective FG%

48.6%

56.0%

Opp. effective FG%

49.0%

14.6%

Turnover %

14.7%

0.27

Free-throw rate

0.34

30.9%

3-point %

30.8%

54.7%

Assist %

50.4%

40%

Form (last 10/10)

40%

Profile

■ Malvin ■ Defensor

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Malvin wins

Defensor wins

Date	Game	Score
15/05/26	Defensor v Malvin	85-78
12/05/26	Malvin v Defensor	83-81
10/05/26	Defensor v Malvin	80-58
06/05/26	Malvin v Defensor	90-92 OT
15/04/26	Defensor v Malvin	79-80 OT
17/03/26	Malvin v Defensor	85-83
20/01/26	Malvin v Defensor	85-76
05/11/25	Defensor v Malvin	76-92
17/03/25	Malvin v Defensor	71-55
04/02/25	Defensor v Malvin	87-80

Malvinlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/11/26	A	Urunday	64-70
04/11/26	H	Bigua	87-73
01/11/26	A	Hebraica y Macabi	84-78
29/10/26	H	Penarol	76-101
23/10/26	A	Goes	71-90
20/10/26	H	Atenas	77-66
15/05/26	A	Defensor	78-85
12/05/26	H	Defensor	83-81
10/05/26	A	Defensor	58-80
06/05/26	H	Defensor	90-92 OT

Defensorlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/11/26	H	Larranaga	91-85
06/11/26	A	Penarol	65-84
03/11/26	H	Urunday	79-71
29/10/26	A	Bigua	82-89
20/10/26	H	Goes	83-64
27/05/26	A	Penarol	81-93
23/05/26	H	Penarol	61-81
20/05/26	A	Penarol	51-101
15/05/26	H	Malvin	85-78
12/05/26	A	Malvin	81-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Malvin

Liga Uruguaya 2026-27

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	50%
Home	WLW	67%
Away	LWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	50%	67%	33%
Points / game	76.5	80.0	73.0
Allowed / game	79.7	80.0	79.3
Point differential	-3.2	+0.0	-6.3
Avg total	156.2	160.0	152.3
Over 158.25	67%	67%	67%
Win by 10+	33%	67%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Defensor

Liga Uruguaya 2026-27

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	60%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	60%	100%	0%
Points / game	80.0	84.3	73.5
Allowed / game	78.6	73.3	86.5
Point differential	+1.4	+11.0	-13.0
Avg total	158.6	157.7	160.0
Over 158.25	40%	33%	50%
Win by 10+	20%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Penarol	6	6	0	100%	91.8	73.8	+18.0
2	Bigua	7	6	1	86%	93.0	84.9	+8.1
3	Goes	6	5	1	83%	93.5	83.7	+9.8
4	Hebraica y Macabi	6	4	2	67%	84.2	80.7	+3.5
5	Defensor	5	3	2	60%	80.0	78.6	+1.4
6	Malvin	6	3	3	50%	76.5	79.7	-3.2
7	Aguada	7	3	4	43%	76.4	77.6	-1.1
8	Larranaga	6	2	4	33%	84.7	86.2	-1.5
9	Nacional	6	2	4	33%	87.0	90.7	-3.7
10	Urunday	7	2	5	29%	77.9	79.7	-1.9
11	Union Atletica	7	1	6	14%	78.3	85.9	-7.6
12	Atenas	7	1	6	14%	72.7	91.0	-18.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Malvin	24	10	27	18	79
Defensor	14	27	24	16	81

← all games of the day

Malvin vs Defensor Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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