Penarol vs Defensor Result & Analysis

Penarol host Defensor on 5 November 2026 in the Liga Uruguaya, with the model rating Penarol as the clear favourite at 89% to win, reflecting their undefeated 3-0 season record, 93.3 points scored per game and 76.3 allowed per game, and first place in the league. Defensor, 2-1 this season, average 81.3 points scored and 74.7 allowed, sit fourth and have struggled on the road, losing their only away game 82-89 to Bigua, and have won only two of their last five. Penarol have won all five of their recent games, including a 101-76 victory over Malvin, while Defensor's recent results include a 79-71 win over Urunday and a 83-64 win over Goes. Historically, Penarol lead the 10-game head-to-head series 6-4, most recently defeating Defensor 93-81 on 26 May 2026. The Pythia model projects a 89-75 scoreline, a total of 163.1 points, and a 50% chance that Penarol will cover the -14.0 spread; the over on the main total has no probability listed. With a 2% chance of overtime, the game is expected to stay within the projected range.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon

88.8%fair 1.13

Best odds1.08

Implied86.6%

Edge+2.2pp

Defensor winLost

11.2%fair 8.92

Best odds8.00

Implied13.4%

Edge-2.2pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 04 Nov 06:58 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPenarol

Date

Competition

Defensor

93-81

+12

92avg 85

H27/05

Liga Uruguaya

Aguada

99-82

+17

94avg 85

H04/06

Liga Uruguaya

Aguada

89-84

80avg 85

H10/06

Liga Uruguaya

Aguada

71-78

-7

61avg 85

A13/06

Liga Uruguaya

Aguada

81-92

-11

71avg 85

A17/06

Liga Uruguaya

Aguada

80-71

71avg 85

H20/06

Liga Uruguaya

Aguada

107-92

107

+15

102avg 85

A23/06

Liga Uruguaya

Urunday

#10

91-79

+12

68avg 85

A22/10

Liga Uruguaya

Malvin

101-76

101

+25

100avg 85

A29/10

Liga Uruguaya

Union Atletica

#11

88-74

+14

no box

A03/11

Liga Uruguaya

25-25

28-23

20-17

20-16

27-22

24-25

25-17

23-18

28-23

20-26

26-17

15-18

15-19

18-27

19-14

19-18

13-21

32-19

19-25

17-27

25-26

20-23

12-14

23-8

31-21

23-32

32-16

21-23

24-26

24-24

23-7

20-22

30-25

28-19

30-16

13-16

18-16

22-24

35-17

13-17

170.9Avg total

90.0Scored

80.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	93.3	76.3	169.7	+17.0	100%
Season at home	no games
Season away (3)	93.3	76.3	169.7	+17.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	90.0	80.9	170.9	+9.1	80%
Last 5 (5)	93.4	78.4	171.8	+15.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	89.9	78.1	168.0	+11.8	80%

This opponent (Defensor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Defensor

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormDefensor

Date

Competition

Malvin

92-90 OT

81avg 74

A06/05

Liga Uruguaya

Malvin

80-58

+22

76avg 74

H10/05

Liga Uruguaya

Malvin

81-83

-2

73avg 74

A12/05

Liga Uruguaya

Malvin

85-78

78avg 74

H15/05

Liga Uruguaya

Penarol

51-101

101

-50

36avg 74

A20/05

Liga Uruguaya

Penarol

61-81

-20

51avg 74

H23/05

Liga Uruguaya

Penarol

81-93

-12

75avg 74

A27/05

Liga Uruguaya

Goes

83-64

+19

72avg 74

H20/10

Liga Uruguaya

Bigua

82-89

-7

67avg 74

A29/10

Liga Uruguaya

Urunday

#10

79-71

no box

H03/11

Liga Uruguaya

22-30

17-11

21-14

21-26

22-15

27-17

10-14

21-12

20-29

22-21

14-15

25-18

18-24

28-12

19-9

20-33

9-24

11-33

10-25

21-19

16-18

15-26

20-22

10-15

25-25

23-28

17-20

16-20

29-23

18-15

14-19

22-7

19-24

31-28

15-15

17-22

18-16

16-21

27-18

158.3Avg total

77.5Scored

80.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	81.3	74.7	156.0	+6.7	67%
Season at home (2)	81.0	67.5	148.5	+13.5	100%
Season away (1)	82.0	89.0	171.0	-7.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	77.5	80.8	158.3	-3.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	77.2	79.6	156.8	-2.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	78.5	84.9	163.3	-6.4	33%
vs Similar (12)	81.9	80.4	162.3	+1.5	50%
vs Weaker (3)	91.0	86.7	177.7	+4.3	67%

This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 160Actual: Under 160

Over 160

57.5%

Under 160

42.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 165.25 · main lineActual: Under 165.25

Over 165.25

no forecast

@ 1.81

Under 165.25

no forecast

@ 1.81

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.81

Under

1xBet

1.81

Over/Under 170Actual: Under 170

Over 170

33.0%

Under 170

67.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Penarol total 85.5Actual: Penarol under 85.5

Over 85.5

62.1%

@ 1.39-0.9pp

Under 85.5

37.9%

@ 2.37+0.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.39

Under

1xBet

2.37

Penarol total 89.5 · main lineActual: Penarol under 89.5

Over 89.5

46.2%

@ 1.83-3.8pp

Under 89.5

53.8%

@ 1.83+3.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.83

Betano

1.82

1xBet

1.73

Under

Bet365

1.83

Betano

1.82

1xBet

1.71

Penarol total 93.5Actual: Penarol under 93.5

Over 93.5

30.8%

@ 2.41-5.6pp

Under 93.5

69.2%

@ 1.38+5.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.41

Under

1xBet

1.38

Defensor total 71.5Actual: Defensor under 71.5

Over 71.5

61.5%

@ 1.37-2.5pp

Under 71.5

38.5%

@ 2.44+2.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.37

Under

1xBet

2.44

Defensor total 75.5 · main lineActual: Defensor under 75.5

Over 75.5

45.8%

@ 1.87-4.2pp

Under 75.5

54.2%

@ 1.83+4.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.87

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.70

Under

Bet365

1.83

Betano

1.78

1xBet

1.74

Defensor total 79.5Actual: Defensor under 79.5

Over 79.5

30.9%

@ 2.37-6.0pp

Under 79.5

69.1%

@ 1.39+6.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.37

Under

1xBet

1.39

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Penarol -17Actual: Penarol -17

PENA -17

38.6%

@ 2.20-4.9pp

DEFE +17

61.4%

@ 1.64+4.9pp

Best 5 market prices

PENA

Bet365

2.20

Pinnacle

2.13

DEFE

Pinnacle

1.64

Bet365

1.60

Spread Penarol -14 · main lineActual: Penarol -14

PENA -14

49.6%

@ 1.86-0.7pp

DEFE +14

50.4%

@ 1.88+0.7pp

Best 5 market prices

PENA

Pinnacle

1.86

SBO

1.83

Bet365

1.80

DEFE

Pinnacle

1.88

Bet365

1.86

SBO

1.85

Spread Penarol -11Actual: Penarol -11

PENA -11

60.6%

@ 1.52-0.6pp

DEFE +11

39.4%

@ 2.40+0.6pp

Best 5 market prices

PENA

Bet365

1.52

DEFE

Bet365

2.40

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PenarolDefensor

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.25
Last 30 (30)	22.9	20.4	43.3	+2.6	60%	53%
Last 30 at home (14)	24.5	19.6	44.1	+4.9	71%	57%
Last 30 away (16)	21.6	21.1	42.6	+0.5	50%	50%
Last 10 (10)	23.6	22.4	46.0	+1.2	50%	70%
Last 5 (5)	25.6	22.8	48.4	+2.8	60%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	22.9	20.4	43.3	+2.6	60%	53%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.25
Last 30 (30)	21.9	23.1	45.0	-1.2	40%	63%
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	22.3	44.1	-0.4	43%	50%
Last 30 away (16)	21.9	23.9	45.8	-1.9	38%	75%
Last 10 (10)	19.8	22.8	42.6	-3.0	30%	50%
Last 5 (5)	21.4	21.2	42.6	+0.2	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	22.7	23.0	45.7	-0.3	40%	67%
vs Similar (12)	19.8	23.7	43.4	-3.9	25%	50%
vs Weaker (3)	26.3	21.7	48.0	+4.7	100%	100%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.7	20.9	44.6	+2.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.7	19.7	43.4	+4.0	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.7	21.9	45.6	+1.8	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	24.2	48.1	-0.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	24.4	47.8	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	23.7	20.9	44.6	+2.8	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	20.9	41.5	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.5	18.6	39.1	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.8	22.9	43.6	-2.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	20.7	41.7	+0.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	22.6	43.6	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	20.1	22.9	43.0	-2.7	27%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.2	17.7	37.9	+2.6	75%	-
vs Weaker (3)	24.7	24.0	48.7	+0.7	33%	-

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Defensor

53-48

H27/05

Liga Uruguaya

Aguada

51-47

H04/06

Liga Uruguaya

Aguada

48-49

-1

H10/06

Liga Uruguaya

Aguada

33-46

-13

A13/06

Liga Uruguaya

Aguada

45-40

A17/06

Liga Uruguaya

Aguada

45-49

-4

H20/06

Liga Uruguaya

Aguada

54-53

A23/06

Liga Uruguaya

Urunday

#10

48-50

-2

A22/10

Liga Uruguaya

Malvin

58-44

+14

A29/10

Liga Uruguaya

Union Atletica

#11

40-40

A03/11

Liga Uruguaya

94.1Avg total

47.5Scored

46.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 83.5
Last 30 (30)	46.6	41.3	87.9	+5.4	67%	63%
Last 30 at home (14)	48.2	39.3	87.5	+8.9	71%	64%
Last 30 away (16)	45.2	43.0	88.2	+2.2	62%	62%
Last 10 (10)	47.5	46.6	94.1	+0.9	50%	80%
Last 5 (5)	49.0	47.2	96.2	+1.8	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	46.6	41.3	87.9	+5.4	67%	63%

This opponent (Defensor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

DefensorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Malvin

39-41

-2

A06/05

Liga Uruguaya

Malvin

49-32

+17

H10/05

Liga Uruguaya

Malvin

42-50

-8

A12/05

Liga Uruguaya

Malvin

46-36

+10

H15/05

Liga Uruguaya

Penarol

20-57

-37

A20/05

Liga Uruguaya

Penarol

31-44

-13

H23/05

Liga Uruguaya

Penarol

48-53

-5

A27/05

Liga Uruguaya

Goes

47-38

H20/10

Liga Uruguaya

Bigua

50-52

-2

A29/10

Liga Uruguaya

Urunday

#10

36-32

H03/11

Liga Uruguaya

84.3Avg total

40.8Scored

43.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 83.5
Last 30 (30)	42.5	44.0	86.6	-1.5	47%	60%
Last 30 at home (14)	42.4	40.9	83.3	+1.4	57%	50%
Last 30 away (16)	42.7	46.8	89.4	-4.1	38%	69%
Last 10 (10)	40.8	43.5	84.3	-2.7	40%	40%
Last 5 (5)	42.4	43.8	86.2	-1.4	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	42.9	45.9	88.7	-3.0	40%	67%
vs Similar (12)	40.0	41.3	81.3	-1.3	42%	42%
vs Weaker (3)	51.0	45.7	96.7	+5.3	100%	100%

This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Penarol win

PENA win

no forecast

@ 1.22

DEFE win

no forecast

@ 5.01

1st half Spread Penarol -8 · main lineActual: Penarol -8

PENA -8

no forecast

@ 1.88

DEFE +8

no forecast

@ 1.86

1st half Over/Under 83.5 · main lineActual: Under 83.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.00

Under

no forecast

@ 2.00

Penarol 1st half total 45.5 · main lineActual: Penarol under 45.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.91

Under

no forecast

@ 1.86

Defensor 1st half total 38.5 · main lineActual: Defensor under 38.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 1.83

1st half: PENA + total 84.5

PENA & over

no forecast

@ 2.45

PENA & under

no forecast

@ 2.35

1st half: Draw + total 84.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 34.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 31.00

1st half: DEFE + total 84.5

DEFE & over

no forecast

@ 8.00

DEFE & under

no forecast

@ 7.50

1st half Over/Under 82Actual: Under 82

Over

no forecast

@ 1.88

Under

no forecast

@ 1.85

1st half Over/Under 85Actual: Under 85

Over

no forecast

@ 2.13

Under

no forecast

@ 1.65

1st half Spread Penarol -9Actual: Penarol -9

PENA -9

no forecast

@ 2.06

DEFE +9

no forecast

@ 1.69

1st half Spread Penarol -7Actual: Penarol -7

PENA -7

no forecast

@ 1.71

DEFE +7

no forecast

@ 2.04

1st half Over/Under 80.5Actual: Under 80.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.65

Under

no forecast

@ 2.50

1st half Over/Under 86.5Actual: Under 86.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.22

Under

no forecast

@ 1.58

1st half Spread Penarol -10Actual: Penarol -10

PENA -10

no forecast

@ 2.08

DEFE +10

no forecast

@ 1.68

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Penarol (regulation)

PENA

no forecast

@ 1.25

Draw

no forecast

@ 23.00

DEFE

no forecast

@ 4.70

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	17.7	40.0	+4.6	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	17.3	37.7	+3.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.9	18.1	41.9	+5.8	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.1	16.0	40.1	+8.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.4	14.0	40.4	+12.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	22.3	17.7	40.0	+4.6	70%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	18.8	37.9	+0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.2	17.3	36.5	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.0	20.1	39.1	-1.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.6	17.4	33.0	-1.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	19.4	35.8	-3.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	17.7	20.3	38.1	-2.6	20%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.9	16.9	37.8	+4.0	75%	-
vs Weaker (3)	18.7	18.3	37.0	+0.3	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	18.4	38.6	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.6	17.4	38.9	+4.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.0	19.2	38.2	-0.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	18.3	36.7	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	17.2	35.2	+0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	20.2	18.4	38.6	+1.8	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	19.5	37.8	-1.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.0	17.7	35.7	+0.3	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	21.1	39.6	-2.7	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	16.4	34.8	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	16.8	18.1	34.9	-1.3	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.2	20.5	39.8	-1.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.3	22.7	44.0	-1.3	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.5	36.1	78.5	+6.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.0	34.6	76.6	+7.4	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.9	37.3	80.2	+5.6	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.5	34.3	76.8	+8.2	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	31.2	75.6	+13.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	42.5	36.1	78.5	+6.4	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.3	38.3	75.6	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.2	35.0	72.2	+2.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.4	41.2	78.6	-3.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.6	36.4	72.0	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.8	35.8	70.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	34.5	38.5	73.0	-3.9	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	40.2	37.4	77.6	+2.8	67%	-
vs Weaker (3)	40.0	41.0	81.0	-1.0	33%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

PENA win + total 164.5

🔒 Pro

DEFE win + total 164.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: PENA leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: DEFE leads at half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Penarol under 100.5	88.6%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+8.1pp	Won
Penarol under 98.5	84.2%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+8.1pp	Won
Penarol under 94.5	72.6%	1.39	Bet365 1.40	1xBet 1.38	-	-	-	+7.7pp	Won
Penarol under 99.5	86.5%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+7.7pp	Won
Penarol under 96.5	78.9%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
Penarol (regulation)	87.2%	1.07	1xBet 1.07	-	-	-	-	+6.9pp	Won
Penarol over 70.5	96.4%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.6pp	Won
Penarol over 72.5	94.6%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Overtime: no	97.6%	1.01	Betano 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	-
Under 189.5	94.5%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Defensor under 92.5	95.5%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Under 179.5	84.3%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Defensor under 84.5	83.6%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Defensor under 94.5	96.9%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Defensor under 95.5	97.5%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Defensor +24.5	82.4%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Defensor under 90.5	93.6%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Penarol over 74.5	92.0%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Defensor under 85.5	85.8%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Won
Defensor under 80.5	72.4%	1.36	Bet365 1.36	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Won
Defensor under 96.5	97.9%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Under 174.5	76.0%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Defensor under 88.5	91.1%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Won
Defensor under 82.5	78.4%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Won
Defensor under 86.5	87.8%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Won
Penarol over 78.5	84.4%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Under 184.5	90.4%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Won
Penarol over 76.5	88.7%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
Penarol over 79.5	81.9%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+3.0pp	Won
Penarol over 80.5	79.1%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+3.0pp	Won
Penarol +4.5	93.7%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+2.9pp	Won
Over 139.5	92.7%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+2.5pp	Won
Penarol win	88.8%	1.06	Betano 1.08	1xBet 1.06	Bet365 1.06	Betfair 1.06	Pinnacle 1.06	+2.2pp	Won
Penarol -4.5	80.5%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+1.6pp	Won
Penarol over 82.5	72.9%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+1.5pp	Won
Defensor over 66.5	78.6%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+0.9pp	Lost
Over 144.5	87.4%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+0.2pp	Won
Defensor over 68.5	72.4%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	-0.4pp	Lost
Over 149.5	79.8%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	-0.7pp	Lost

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 89.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀55%

🏀🏀🏀30%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers49.2 pts a game · 55% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 30% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game

52%

31%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.2	24.6	56.9%	50.3%	49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.8	9.0	32.4%	32.1%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	20.1	13.0	64.7%	70.5%	13.0

They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Defensortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Defensor: 76.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀49%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 49% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game

52%

31%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.9	18.6	50.4%	50.3%	37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	8.0	30.8%	32.1%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	21.1	15.5	73.5%	70.5%	15.5

They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.6	18.9	54.6%	50.3%	37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.8	7.9	31.9%	32.1%	23.7
🏀 Free throws	20.7	16.2	78.3%	70.5%	16.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.0	20.0	52.6%	50.3%	40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.1	8.6	29.6%	32.1%	25.8
🏀 Free throws	22.1	16.1	72.9%	70.5%	16.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.9	23.7	58.0%	50.3%	47.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.0	9.8	33.8%	32.1%	29.4
🏀 Free throws	19.4	13.1	67.6%	70.5%	13.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.1	20.2	53.1%	50.3%	40.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.8	8.7	32.3%	32.1%	26.0
🏀 Free throws	21.0	15.0	71.3%	70.5%	15.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.4	19.0	50.7%	50.3%	37.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.6	8.5	31.8%	32.1%	25.4
🏀 Free throws	18.9	14.1	74.6%	70.5%	14.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.3	21.1	53.6%	50.3%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.8	9.1	31.4%	32.1%	27.2
🏀 Free throws	18.7	13.3	71.2%	70.5%	13.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Penarol

WWWWWLLWWW

Defensor

WLWLLLWLWW

League position

+12.9

Net rating

-6.0

100.0

Offensive rating

89.0

87.1

Defensive rating

95.1

53.7%

Effective FG%

48.6%

51.8%

Opp. effective FG%

49.0%

13.6%

Turnover %

14.7%

0.28

Free-throw rate

0.34

32.4%

3-point %

30.8%

61.3%

Assist %

50.4%

80%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ Penarol ■ Defensor

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Penarol wins

Defensor wins

Date	Game	Score
27/05/26	Penarol v Defensor	93-81
23/05/26	Defensor v Penarol	61-81
20/05/26	Penarol v Defensor	101-51
11/04/26	Defensor v Penarol	92-84 OT
13/03/26	Penarol v Defensor	88-80
04/02/26	Defensor v Penarol	81-84
21/11/25	Penarol v Defensor	85-72
25/04/25	Penarol v Defensor	78-84
21/04/25	Defensor v Penarol	96-93 OT
17/04/25	Penarol v Defensor	76-95

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/11/26	A	Union Atletica	88-74
29/10/26	A	Malvin	101-76
22/10/26	A	Urunday	91-79
23/06/26	A	Aguada	107-92
20/06/26	H	Aguada	80-71
17/06/26	A	Aguada	81-92
13/06/26	A	Aguada	71-78
10/06/26	H	Aguada	89-84
04/06/26	H	Aguada	99-82
27/05/26	H	Defensor	93-81

Defensorlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/11/26	H	Urunday	79-71
29/10/26	A	Bigua	82-89
20/10/26	H	Goes	83-64
27/05/26	A	Penarol	81-93
23/05/26	H	Penarol	61-81
20/05/26	A	Penarol	51-101
15/05/26	H	Malvin	85-78
12/05/26	A	Malvin	81-83
10/05/26	H	Malvin	80-58
06/05/26	A	Malvin	92-90 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol

Liga Uruguaya 2026-27

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWW	100%
Home	-	-
Away	WWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	-	3
Win %	100%	-	100%
Points / game	93.3	-	93.3
Allowed / game	76.3	-	76.3
Point differential	+17.0	-	+17.0
Avg total	169.7	-	169.7
Over 165.25	67%	-	67%
Win by 10+	100%	-	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	-	0%

Defensor

Liga Uruguaya 2026-27

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLW	67%
Home	WW	100%
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	2	1
Win %	67%	100%	0%
Points / game	81.3	81.0	82.0
Allowed / game	74.7	67.5	89.0
Point differential	+6.7	+13.5	-7.0
Avg total	156.0	148.5	171.0
Over 165.25	33%	0%	100%
Win by 10+	33%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Penarol	3	3	0	100%	93.3	76.3	+17.0
2	Goes	5	4	1	80%	92.4	86.2	+6.2
3	Bigua	5	4	1	80%	89.4	84.0	+5.4
4	Defensor	3	2	1	67%	81.3	74.7	+6.7
5	Aguada	5	3	2	60%	78.4	75.8	+2.6
6	Malvin	5	3	2	60%	79.0	81.6	-2.6
7	Larranaga	5	2	3	40%	84.6	85.2	-0.6
8	Nacional	3	1	2	33%	93.7	94.7	-1.0
9	Hebraica y Macabi	3	1	2	33%	81.3	84.3	-3.0
10	Urunday	5	1	4	20%	81.6	84.0	-2.4
11	Union Atletica	5	1	4	20%	77.4	82.2	-4.8
12	Atenas	5	1	4	20%	71.0	86.6	-15.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Penarol	26	19	18	21	84
Defensor	15	16	23	11	65

← all games of the day

Penarol vs Defensor Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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