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Malvin vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 76-101
25-30 19-28 16-30 16-13
Position#7
Record1-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game78.0
Malvin
Uruguay
vs
Penarol 🏆
Uruguay
Position#1
Record1-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game79.0
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Malvin
Other2026-27
Meetings · Malvin v Penarol
28 Oct 2026
MALV76
PENA101
19 Mar 2026
MALV67
PENA96
15 Dec 2025
MALV67
PENA89
11 Dec 2025
MALV v PENA
upcoming
07 Nov 2024
MALV75
PENA73
13 Nov 2023
MALV83
PENA82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Malvin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MalvinUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMalvin
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
73-84
73
84
-11
59avg 69
A11/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
80-79 OT
80
79
+1
66avg 69
A15/04
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
68-96
68
96
-28
58avg 69
A29/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
84-94 OT
84
94
-10
70avg 69
H03/05
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
90-92 OT
90
92
-2
89avg 69
H06/05
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
58-80
58
80
-22
38avg 69
A10/05
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
83-81
83
81
+2
71avg 69
H12/05
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
78-85
78
85
-7
67avg 69
A15/05
Liga Uruguaya
Atenas
#12
W
77-66
77
66
+11
69avg 69
H20/10
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#2
L
71-90
71
90
-19
67avg 69
A23/10
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-26
17-21
22-21
19-16
17-10
11-19
16-21
25-19
20-24
20-27
16-24
12-21
22-17
19-17
24-21
16-26
30-22
11-17
14-21
26-21
15-22
17-27
14-10
12-21
29-20
21-22
15-14
18-25
24-18
12-28
9-19
33-20
20-8
24-19
15-19
18-20
21-28
15-23
15-18
20-21
160.9Avg total
76.2Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)74.078.0152.0-4.050%
Season at home (1)77.066.0143.0+11.0100%
Season away (1)71.090.0161.0-19.00%
Last 10 (10)76.284.7160.9-8.530%
Last 5 (5)73.480.4153.8-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)73.185.3158.4-12.227%
vs Similar (16)80.179.9160.0+0.256%
vs Weaker (3)85.780.7166.3+5.067%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Defensor
#7
W
101-51
101
51
+50
87avg 85
H20/05
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
81-61
81
61
+20
72avg 85
A23/05
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
93-81
93
81
+12
92avg 85
H27/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
99-82
99
82
+17
94avg 85
H04/06
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
89-84
89
84
+5
80avg 85
H10/06
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
71-78
71
78
-7
61avg 85
A13/06
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
81-92
81
92
-11
71avg 85
A17/06
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
80-71
80
71
+9
71avg 85
H20/06
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
107-92
107
92
+15
102avg 85
A23/06
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
91-79
91
79
+12
68avg 85
A22/10
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-9
33-11
25-10
19-21
18-16
26-15
22-20
15-10
25-25
28-23
20-17
20-16
27-22
24-25
25-17
23-18
28-23
20-26
26-17
15-18
15-19
18-27
19-14
19-18
13-21
32-19
19-25
17-27
25-26
20-23
12-14
23-8
31-21
23-32
32-16
21-23
24-26
24-24
23-7
20-22
166.4Avg total
89.3Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)91.079.0170.0+12.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)91.079.0170.0+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)89.377.1166.4+12.280%
Last 5 (5)86.082.4168.4+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)89.877.8167.6+12.080%
This opponent (Malvin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +6.6+6.6Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +1.1+1.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +6.6+6.6Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +1.1+1.1
MalvinPenarol
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MalvinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A11/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A15/04
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A29/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H03/05
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H06/05
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A10/05
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H12/05
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A15/05
Liga Uruguaya
Atenas
#12
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H20/10
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#2
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A23/10
Liga Uruguaya
79.5Avg total
38.0Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.440.981.3-0.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.137.978.9+3.267%-
Last 30 away (15)39.843.983.7-4.140%-
Last 10 (10)38.041.579.5-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)39.643.082.6-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.742.580.3-4.836%-
vs Similar (16)41.540.181.6+1.462%-
vs Weaker (3)44.738.783.3+6.067%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Defensor
#7
W
57-20
57
20
+37
H20/05
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A23/05
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H27/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H04/06
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H10/06
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A13/06
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A17/06
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H20/06
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
54-53
54
53
+1
A23/06
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A22/10
Liga Uruguaya
91.1Avg total
47.8Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.440.687.0+5.970%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.938.386.2+9.675%-
Last 30 away (14)44.743.187.9+1.664%-
Last 10 (10)47.843.391.1+4.560%-
Last 5 (5)45.047.692.6-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)46.440.687.0+5.970%-
This opponent (Malvin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Malvintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Malvin: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.321.1
52.4%
50.3%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.37.5
28.5%
32.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws17.211.5
66.9%
70.5%11.5
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.423.8
54.8%
50.3%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.68.8
31.9%
32.1%26.4
🏀 Free throws20.713.7
66.2%
70.5%13.7
They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Malvin
LWLWLLLLWL
Penarol
WWWLLWWWWW
#7
League position
#1
-9.5
Net rating
+11.9
89.7
Offensive rating
97.9
99.2
Defensive rating
85.9
48.6%
Effective FG%
52.1%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
13.4%
Turnover %
13.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
28.5%
3-point %
31.9%
51.7%
Assist %
62.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence89.7 · 97.9Defence99.2 · 85.9Shooting48.6% · 52.1%3-point %28.5% · 31.9%Ball care13.4% · 13.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Malvin   ■ Penarol
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Malvin wins
7
Penarol wins
DateGameScore
29/04/26Penarol v Malvin96-68
19/03/26Malvin v Penarol67-96
16/12/25Malvin v Penarol67-89
17/10/25Penarol v Malvin89-79
28/03/25Penarol v Malvin82-73 OT
25/01/25Penarol v Malvin79-70
07/11/24Malvin v Penarol75-73
13/01/24Penarol v Malvin82-58
14/11/23Malvin v Penarol83-82
Malvinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/26AGoes71-90
20/10/26HAtenas77-66
15/05/26ADefensor78-85
12/05/26HDefensor83-81
10/05/26ADefensor58-80
06/05/26HDefensor90-92 OT
03/05/26HAguada84-94 OT
29/04/26APenarol68-96
15/04/26ADefensor80-79 OT
11/04/26AHebraica y Macabi73-84
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/26AUrunday91-79
23/06/26AAguada107-92
20/06/26HAguada80-71
17/06/26AAguada81-92
13/06/26AAguada71-78
10/06/26HAguada89-84
04/06/26HAguada99-82
27/05/26HDefensor93-81
23/05/26ADefensor81-61
20/05/26HDefensor101-51

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Malvin
Liga Uruguaya 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game74.077.071.0
Allowed / game78.066.090.0
Point differential-4.0+11.0-19.0
Avg total152.0143.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Penarol
Liga Uruguaya 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game91.0-91.0
Allowed / game79.0-79.0
Point differential+12.0-+12.0
Avg total170.0-170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Defensor110100%83.064.0+19.0
2 Penarol110100%91.079.0+12.0
3 Bigua330100%95.083.7+11.3
4 Goes32167%92.788.0+4.7
5 Aguada32167%74.778.3-3.7
6 Hebraica y Macabi21150%83.084.5-1.5
7 Malvin21150%74.078.0-4.0
8 Union Atletica31233%76.775.3+1.3
9 Nacional31233%93.794.7-1.0
10 Atenas31233%75.080.0-5.0
11 Larranaga31233%81.087.7-6.7
12 Urunday3030%82.390.0-7.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Malvin2519161676
Penarol30283013101
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