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Mandurah Magic vs Geraldton Buccaneers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 75-115
18-29 14-37 14-28 29-21
Position#7
Record10-8
FormLLWWW
Points / game94.4
Allowed / game96.8
vs
Position#1
Record12-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game103.1
Allowed / game85.1
AustraliaNBL1 West
Other2025
Meetings · Mandurah Magic v Geraldton Buccaneers
12 Jul 2025
MAND75
GERA115
14 Apr 2024
MAND103
GERA104
06 May 2023
MAND98
GERA128
10 Apr 2022
MAND90
GERA99
05 Jun 2021
MAND71
GERA86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mandurah Magic winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Geraldton Buccaneers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mandurah MagicAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Perth Eagles
#8
W
88-86
88
86
+2
A17/05
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#12
W
95-93
95
93
+2
H24/05
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#3
L
88-111
88
111
-23
H30/05
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#11
L
115-120 OT
115
120
-5
A06/06
NBL1 West
Lakeside Lightning
#10
L
83-93
83
93
-10
H07/06
NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers
#1
L
70-103
70
103
-33
A14/06
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#4
L
87-95
87
95
-8
A21/06
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#6
W
93-77
93
77
+16
H29/06
NBL1 West
South West Slammers
#14
W
87-85
87
85
+2
A04/07
NBL1 West
Perth Redbacks
#13
W
103-96
103
96
+7
A11/07
NBL1 West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
23-19
16-19
22-24
31-28
28-25
17-19
19-21
25-35
13-27
22-28
28-21
29-21
19-24
32-30
26-31
11-23
23-23
24-23
25-24
16-26
20-24
23-30
11-23
28-20
21-26
15-21
23-28
19-18
20-28
22-14
32-17
22-21
18-24
26-21
21-19
15-22
31-26
32-29
25-19
186.8Avg total
90.9Scored
95.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)94.496.8191.3-2.456%
Season at home (8)93.896.8190.5-3.050%
Season away (10)95.096.9191.9-1.960%
Last 10 (10)90.995.9186.8-5.050%
Last 5 (5)88.091.2179.2-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)89.299.5188.8-10.225%
vs Similar (10)99.694.2193.8+5.470%
vs Weaker (8)101.192.5193.6+8.688%
This opponent (Geraldton Buccaneers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Geraldton BuccaneersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Perth Eagles
#8
L
89-92
89
92
-3
H10/05
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#11
W
96-68
96
68
+28
H17/05
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#2
W
100-87
100
87
+13
H24/05
NBL1 West
Lakeside Lightning
#10
W
107-87
107
87
+20
A31/05
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#4
L
99-103 OT
99
103
-4
A01/06
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#5
W
103-83
103
83
+20
H07/06
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#7
W
103-70
103
70
+33
H14/06
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#6
W
135-88
135
88
+47
A21/06
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#4
W
117-97
117
97
+20
H28/06
NBL1 West
Lakeside Lightning
#10
W
108-88
108
88
+20
H05/07
NBL1 West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
21-13
28-25
23-31
14-18
19-11
38-17
25-22
27-24
28-20
29-24
16-19
28-27
34-24
23-26
22-10
20-22
29-27
20-13
19-26
22-14
25-35
24-15
32-19
26-16
24-20
30-23
23-11
37-18
39-23
31-22
28-25
19-26
25-26
33-19
40-26
24-23
30-20
24-23
30-22
192.0Avg total
105.7Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)103.185.1188.2+17.975%
Season at home (9)103.881.8185.6+22.089%
Season away (7)102.189.4191.6+12.757%
Last 10 (10)105.786.3192.0+19.480%
Last 5 (5)113.285.2198.4+28.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)96.382.7179.0+13.7100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)102.386.5188.8+15.878%
This opponent (Mandurah Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +7.3+7.3Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +4.7+4.7
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +7.3+7.3Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +4.7+4.7
Mandurah MagicGeraldton Buccaneers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mandurah MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Perth Eagles
#8
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A17/05
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#12
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H24/05
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#3
L
38-62
38
62
-24
H30/05
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#11
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A06/06
NBL1 West
Lakeside Lightning
#10
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H07/06
NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers
#1
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A14/06
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#4
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A21/06
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#6
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H29/06
NBL1 West
South West Slammers
#14
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A04/07
NBL1 West
Perth Redbacks
#13
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A11/07
NBL1 West
92.3Avg total
43.9Scored
48.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.249.498.6-0.153%-
Last 30 at home (11)50.852.8103.6-2.045%-
Last 30 away (19)48.347.495.7+0.958%-
Last 10 (10)43.948.492.3-4.540%-
Last 5 (5)42.047.089.0-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)44.651.896.4-7.242%-
vs Similar (10)50.647.097.6+3.670%-
vs Weaker (8)54.548.6103.1+5.950%-
This opponent (Geraldton Buccaneers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Geraldton BuccaneersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Perth Eagles
#8
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H10/05
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#11
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H17/05
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#2
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H24/05
NBL1 West
Lakeside Lightning
#10
W
62-51
62
51
+11
A31/05
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#4
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A01/06
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#5
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H07/06
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#7
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H14/06
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#6
W
76-41
76
41
+35
A21/06
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#4
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H28/06
NBL1 West
Lakeside Lightning
#10
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H05/07
NBL1 West
93.8Avg total
50.8Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.144.895.9+6.370%-
Last 30 at home (17)48.543.992.5+4.665%-
Last 30 away (13)54.545.8100.3+8.677%-
Last 10 (10)50.843.093.8+7.870%-
Last 5 (5)54.244.298.4+10.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)51.341.793.0+9.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)51.145.196.2+6.070%-
This opponent (Mandurah Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
11/07/25APerth Redbacks103-96
04/07/25ASouth West Slammers87-85
29/06/25HGoldfields Giants93-77
21/06/25AWilletton Tigers87-95
14/06/25AGeraldton Buccaneers70-103
07/06/25HLakeside Lightning83-93
06/06/25APerry Lakes Hawks115-120 OT
30/05/25HRockingham Flames88-111
24/05/25HBeeliar Boodjar95-93
17/05/25AEast Perth Eagles88-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/07/25HLakeside Lightning108-88
28/06/25HWilletton Tigers117-97
21/06/25AGoldfields Giants135-88
14/06/25HMandurah Magic103-70
07/06/25HJoondalup Wolves103-83
01/06/25AWilletton Tigers99-103 OT
31/05/25ALakeside Lightning107-87
24/05/25HWarwick Senators100-87
17/05/25HPerry Lakes Hawks96-68
10/05/25HEast Perth Eagles89-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mandurah Magic
NBL1 West 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW56%
HomeLWLLW50%
AwayLLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %56%50%60%
Points / game94.493.895.0
Allowed / game96.896.896.9
Point differential-2.4-3.0-1.9
Avg total191.3190.5191.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %6%0%10%
Geraldton Buccaneers
NBL1 West 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLWWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %75%89%57%
Points / game103.1103.8102.1
Allowed / game85.181.889.4
Point differential+17.9+22.0+12.7
Avg total188.2185.6191.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%89%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %12%0%29%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rockingham Flames1714382%106.194.6+11.5
2 Warwick Senators1613381%108.491.9+16.4
3 Geraldton Buccaneers1612475%103.185.1+17.9
4 Willetton Tigers1813572%95.191.6+3.5
5 Joondalup Wolves1811761%96.391.6+4.7
6 Mandurah Magic1810856%94.496.8-2.4
7 Kalamunda Eastern Suns179853%87.084.8+2.2
8 Goldfields Giants179853%92.191.4+0.7
9 Perry Lakes Hawks1771041%85.890.9-5.2
10 East Perth Eagles1871139%91.795.8-4.1
11 Lakeside Lightning1861233%88.494.4-5.9
12 Beeliar Boodjar1851328%88.996.6-7.7
13 Perth Redbacks1951426%83.894.7-10.9
14 South West Slammers171166%81.698.4-16.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mandurah Magic1814142975
Geraldton Buccaneers29372821115
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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