Manly W. vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Jul 2022

Tip-off: 06:00

Final 102-104

25-22 18-15 27-28 32-39

Position#9

Record8-11

FormLWLWW

Points / game76.7

Allowed / game78.7

Manly W.

Illawarra Hawks 🏆

Position#3

Record10-7

FormWLLWW

Points / game88.5

Allowed / game83.9

NBL1 EastRound 16

Other2022

Meetings · Manly W. v Illawarra Hawks

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Manly W. winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Illawarra Hawks winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Manly W.

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Canberra

87-92

-5

H28/05

NBL1 East

Newcastle Falcons

62-73

-11

H29/05

NBL1 East

Maitland M.

105-92

105

+13

H04/06

NBL1 East

Central Coast Crusaders

#11

69-81

-12

H18/06

NBL1 East

Newcastle Falcons

70-89

-19

A25/06

NBL1 East

Norths Bears

60-69

-9

A02/07

NBL1 East

Albury-Wodonga Bandits

#10

82-80

H09/07

NBL1 East

Bankstown Bruins

#12

87-94

-7

A10/07

NBL1 East

Inner West Bulls

95-77

+18

A16/07

NBL1 East

Sutherland Sharks

81-72

H23/07

NBL1 East

28-17

21-13

13-32

25-30

18-16

12-16

17-22

15-19

20-16

30-25

24-28

31-23

19-23

14-21

13-17

23-20

26-17

8-25

23-27

13-20

11-15

18-16

17-17

14-21

21-21

26-19

19-19

16-21

16-25

18-17

26-29

27-23

30-15

29-17

19-24

17-21

15-25

22-11

19-16

25-20

161.7Avg total

79.8Scored

81.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	76.7	78.7	155.4	-1.9	42%
Season at home (10)	78.9	78.3	157.2	+0.6	50%
Season away (9)	74.3	79.1	153.4	-4.8	33%
Last 10 (10)	79.8	81.9	161.7	-2.1	40%
Last 5 (5)	81.0	78.4	159.4	+2.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	79.2	87.2	166.4	-8.0	20%
vs Similar (14)	75.9	75.6	151.5	+0.2	50%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Illawarra Hawks Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Manly W.

90-72

+18

H14/05

NBL1 East

Newcastle Falcons

85-86

-1

H21/05

NBL1 East

Norths Bears

100-72

100

+28

A28/05

NBL1 East

Central Coast Crusaders

#11

102-94

102

H04/06

NBL1 East

Inner West Bulls

77-97

-20

A18/06

NBL1 East

Hills Hornets

75-62

+13

H25/06

NBL1 East

Newcastle Falcons

66-78

-12

A02/07

NBL1 East

Bankstown Bruins

#12

64-103

103

-39

H09/07

NBL1 East

Central Coast Crusaders

#11

90-71

+19

A16/07

NBL1 East

Canberra

102-77

102

+25

H23/07

NBL1 East

33-23

22-21

19-17

16-11

15-22

25-11

24-26

21-27

18-16

19-12

32-24

31-20

25-24

18-16

20-28

39-26

18-20

23-32

12-32

24-13

23-19

14-11

20-19

18-13

19-20

11-14

26-21

10-23

19-24

22-22

17-37

6-20

21-12

24-21

30-21

15-17

30-19

25-24

28-14

19-20

166.3Avg total

85.1Scored

81.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	88.5	83.9	172.4	+4.5	59%
Season at home (9)	88.1	83.2	171.3	+4.9	67%
Season away (8)	88.9	84.8	173.6	+4.1	50%
Last 10 (10)	85.1	81.2	166.3	+3.9	60%
Last 5 (5)	79.4	78.2	157.6	+1.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	99.5	83.0	182.5	+16.5	100%
vs Similar (14)	88.0	86.6	174.6	+1.4	57%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	89.1	81.3	170.4	+7.8	64%

This opponent (Manly W.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Manly W.Illawarra Hawks

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	19.0	19.7	38.7	-0.7	42%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	18.9	18.9	37.8	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (9)	19.1	20.6	39.7	-1.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	19.0	39.4	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	20.2	38.8	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	23.0	19.8	42.8	+3.2	80%	-
vs Similar (14)	17.6	19.6	37.2	-2.1	29%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.4	20.9	44.3	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	24.8	21.3	46.2	+3.5	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	22.2	20.6	42.9	+1.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	19.9	42.0	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	18.8	41.2	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	25.0	22.5	47.5	+2.5	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	24.0	22.2	46.2	+1.8	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	22.5	19.4	41.9	+3.1	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	19.1	18.2	37.3	+0.8	58%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	20.0	17.6	37.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (9)	18.0	18.9	36.9	-0.9	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	18.0	37.8	+1.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	16.0	38.6	+6.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	18.4	20.2	38.6	-1.8	40%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.3	17.5	36.8	+1.8	64%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	21.2	42.1	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.6	21.0	41.6	-0.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.0	21.4	42.4	-0.4	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	18.4	38.7	+1.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	18.4	37.6	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.0	23.5	44.5	-2.5	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.9	21.7	42.6	-0.8	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	20.7	20.4	41.1	+0.3	50%	-

Manly W.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Canberra

49-30

+19

H28/05

NBL1 East

Newcastle Falcons

30-32

-2

H29/05

NBL1 East

Maitland M.

50-41

H04/06

NBL1 East

Central Coast Crusaders

#11

33-44

-11

H18/06

NBL1 East

Newcastle Falcons

34-42

-8

A25/06

NBL1 East

Norths Bears

29-31

-2

A02/07

NBL1 East

Albury-Wodonga Bandits

#10

47-40

H09/07

NBL1 East

Bankstown Bruins

#12

34-42

-8

A10/07

NBL1 East

Inner West Bulls

59-32

+27

A16/07

NBL1 East

Sutherland Sharks

37-36

H23/07

NBL1 East

77.2Avg total

40.2Scored

37.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	38.1	37.9	75.9	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	38.9	36.5	75.4	+2.4	70%	-
Last 30 away (9)	37.1	39.4	76.6	-2.3	22%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	37.0	77.2	+3.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	36.2	77.4	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	41.4	40.0	81.4	+1.4	40%	-
vs Similar (14)	36.9	37.1	74.0	-0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Manly W.

55-44

+11

H14/05

NBL1 East

Newcastle Falcons

40-33

H21/05

NBL1 East

Norths Bears

37-28

A28/05

NBL1 East

Central Coast Crusaders

#11

43-40

H04/06

NBL1 East

Inner West Bulls

41-52

-11

A18/06

NBL1 East

Hills Hornets

37-30

H25/06

NBL1 East

Newcastle Falcons

30-34

-4

A02/07

NBL1 East

Bankstown Bruins

#12

41-46

-5

H09/07

NBL1 East

Central Coast Crusaders

#11

45-33

+12

A16/07

NBL1 East

Canberra

55-43

+12

H23/07

NBL1 East

80.7Avg total

42.4Scored

38.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.2	42.2	86.4	+2.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	45.5	42.3	87.8	+3.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	43.2	42.1	85.3	+1.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.4	38.3	80.7	+4.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	37.2	78.8	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	46.0	46.0	92.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	44.9	43.9	88.9	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	43.2	39.9	83.1	+3.4	64%	-

This opponent (Manly W.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	18.3	20.5	38.8	-2.2	21%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	17.4	20.9	38.3	-3.5	30%	-
Last 30 away (9)	19.3	20.1	39.4	-0.8	11%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	23.1	42.1	-4.1	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	18.8	25.6	44.4	-6.8	0%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.1	18.7	36.9	-0.6	29%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.6	22.4	45.9	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.4	22.8	45.2	-0.4	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	24.5	22.1	46.5	+2.4	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	23.9	46.7	-1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	22.4	46.6	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	32.0	21.0	53.0	+11.0	100%	-
vs Similar (14)	22.9	22.3	45.1	+0.6	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	23.1	22.6	45.7	+0.4	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	20.4	20.3	40.6	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	22.6	20.9	43.5	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (9)	17.9	19.6	37.4	-1.7	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	21.8	42.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	21.2	41.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	19.0	21.6	40.6	-2.6	20%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.9	19.8	40.6	+1.1	64%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	18.9	40.0	+2.3	70%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.9	19.3	40.2	+1.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.4	18.5	39.9	+2.8	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.0	38.9	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.6	18.6	32.2	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.5	16.0	37.5	+5.5	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.5	19.4	38.9	+0.1	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	22.8	18.8	41.6	+4.0	79%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	38.7	40.8	79.5	-2.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	40.0	41.8	81.8	-1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (9)	37.2	39.7	76.9	-2.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	44.9	84.5	-5.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	42.2	82.0	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	37.8	47.2	85.0	-9.4	20%	-
vs Similar (14)	39.0	38.5	77.5	+0.5	57%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.7	41.2	86.0	+3.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	43.3	42.1	85.4	+1.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	45.8	40.6	86.4	+5.2	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	42.9	85.6	-0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	41.0	78.8	-3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	53.5	37.0	90.5	+16.5	100%	-
vs Similar (14)	42.4	41.6	84.0	+0.7	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	45.9	41.4	87.3	+4.4	79%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Manly W. wins

Illawarra Hawks wins

Date	Game	Score
14/05/22	Illawarra Hawks v Manly W.	90-72

Manly W.last 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/07/22	H	Sutherland Sharks	81-72
16/07/22	A	Inner West Bulls	95-77
10/07/22	A	Bankstown Bruins	87-94
09/07/22	H	Albury-Wodonga Bandits	82-80
02/07/22	A	Norths Bears	60-69
25/06/22	A	Newcastle Falcons	70-89
18/06/22	H	Central Coast Crusaders	69-81
04/06/22	H	Maitland M.	105-92
29/05/22	H	Newcastle Falcons	62-73
28/05/22	H	Canberra	87-92

Illawarra Hawkslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/07/22	H	Canberra	102-77
16/07/22	A	Central Coast Crusaders	90-71
09/07/22	H	Bankstown Bruins	64-103
02/07/22	A	Newcastle Falcons	66-78
25/06/22	H	Hills Hornets	75-62
18/06/22	A	Inner West Bulls	77-97
04/06/22	H	Central Coast Crusaders	102-94
28/05/22	A	Norths Bears	100-72
21/05/22	H	Newcastle Falcons	85-86
14/05/22	H	Manly W.	90-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Manly W.

NBL1 East 2022

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	42%
Home	LWLWW	50%
Away	LLLLW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	10	9
Win %	42%	50%	33%
Points / game	76.7	78.9	74.3
Allowed / game	78.7	78.3	79.1
Point differential	-1.9	+0.6	-4.8
Avg total	155.4	157.2	153.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	26%	20%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	33% (3)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Illawarra Hawks

NBL1 East 2022

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	59%
Home	LWWLW	67%
Away	LWLLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	59%	67%	50%
Points / game	88.5	88.1	88.9
Allowed / game	83.9	83.2	84.8
Point differential	+4.5	+4.9	+4.1
Avg total	172.4	171.3	173.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	47%	56%	38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Canberra	18	13	5	72%	92.4	81.0	+11.4
2	Maitland M.	17	11	6	65%	86.2	82.5	+3.7
3	Newcastle Falcons	17	11	6	65%	74.8	71.2	+3.5
4	Norths Bears	18	11	7	61%	78.6	78.8	-0.2
5	Illawarra Hawks	17	10	7	59%	88.5	83.9	+4.5
6	Sutherland Sharks	17	8	9	47%	78.2	80.9	-2.7
7	Inner West Bulls	18	8	10	44%	81.0	84.1	-3.1
8	Albury-Wodonga Bandits	18	8	10	44%	87.4	90.6	-3.1
9	Hills Hornets	19	8	11	42%	77.2	78.4	-1.3
10	Manly W.	19	8	11	42%	76.7	78.7	-1.9
11	Central Coast Crusaders	18	6	12	33%	78.5	82.8	-4.3
12	Bankstown Bruins	18	5	13	28%	76.6	82.6	-5.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Manly W.	25	18	27	32	102
Illawarra Hawks	22	15	28	39	104

← all games of the day

Manly W. vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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