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Manly W. vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Jul 2024
Tip-off: 07:00
Final 107-79
23-16 30-15 26-20 28-28
Position#3
Record12-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game77.4
vs
Position#15
Record2-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game100.1
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2024
Meetings · Manly W. v Illawarra Hawks
06 Jul 2024
MANL107
ILLA79
30 Jul 2022
MANL102
ILLA104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Manly W. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illawarra Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Manly W.AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Newcastle Falcons
#12
L
66-68
66
68
-2
A12/05
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
W
95-72
95
72
+23
H18/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#10
W
83-82
83
82
+1
H25/05
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
73-96
73
96
-23
A01/06
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#5
W
119-86
119
86
+33
H02/06
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
105-65
105
65
+40
A15/06
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
W
87-65
87
65
+22
H16/06
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#12
W
87-75
87
75
+12
H22/06
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#4
W
89-82
89
82
+7
H29/06
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
L
60-68
60
68
-8
A30/06
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-21
21-20
17-6
14-21
23-15
28-26
18-16
26-15
23-19
19-28
19-11
22-24
17-20
24-26
16-22
16-28
29-21
31-24
28-20
31-21
30-14
28-19
25-22
22-10
25-10
15-24
24-19
23-12
25-24
23-17
23-19
16-15
31-13
17-19
18-32
23-18
24-17
17-18
7-20
12-13
162.3Avg total
86.4Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)89.177.4166.5+11.675%
Season at home (9)96.477.2173.7+19.2100%
Season away (7)79.677.7157.3+1.943%
Last 10 (10)86.475.9162.3+10.570%
Last 5 (5)85.671.0156.6+14.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)73.591.1164.6-17.59%
vs Similar (7)79.676.4156.0+3.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)90.974.2165.2+16.783%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hills Hornets
#8
L
69-92
69
92
-23
A04/05
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
W
101-91 OT
101
91
+10
H11/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#10
L
71-87
71
87
-16
H12/05
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
85-88
85
88
-3
A18/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
W
90-79
90
79
+11
H25/05
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#4
L
76-115
76
115
-39
A26/05
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#12
L
82-95
82
95
-13
H01/06
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#7
L
81-120
81
120
-39
A15/06
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#4
L
100-105 OT
100
105
-5
H22/06
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
L
93-97
93
97
-4
H29/06
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-14
21-20
24-27
10-31
22-17
36-19
18-23
8-25
14-27
17-16
14-21
26-23
24-17
28-26
16-22
17-23
18-21
25-23
29-17
18-18
20-31
16-24
14-32
26-28
23-29
14-19
19-23
26-24
15-28
27-27
18-30
21-35
21-23
18-21
24-19
22-22
25-19
20-29
14-22
34-27
181.7Avg total
84.8Scored
96.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)81.5100.1181.6-18.612%
Season at home (9)85.499.6185.0-14.122%
Season away (7)76.4100.7177.1-24.30%
Last 10 (10)84.896.9181.7-12.120%
Last 5 (5)86.4106.4192.8-20.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)84.4100.7185.1-16.215%
vs Similar (10)93.388.2181.5+5.160%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Manly W.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.7+6.7Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -4.8-4.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.7+6.7Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -4.8-4.8
Manly W.Illawarra Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Manly W.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Newcastle Falcons
#12
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A12/05
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H18/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#10
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H25/05
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A01/06
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#5
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H02/06
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
58-33
58
33
+25
A15/06
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H16/06
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#12
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H22/06
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#4
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H29/06
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A30/06
NBL1 East
85.9Avg total
46.4Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.741.383.0+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.143.086.1+0.144%-
Last 30 away (14)40.239.379.5+0.950%-
Last 10 (10)46.439.585.9+6.970%-
Last 5 (5)47.035.082.0+12.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.244.280.4-8.00%-
vs Similar (7)41.138.479.6+2.786%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)47.240.287.4+6.967%-
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hills Hornets
#8
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A04/05
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H11/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#10
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H12/05
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A18/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H25/05
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#4
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A26/05
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#12
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H01/06
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#7
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A15/06
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H22/06
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H29/06
NBL1 East
86.8Avg total
41.8Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.947.491.3-3.540%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.647.891.4-4.131%-
Last 30 away (14)44.147.091.1-2.950%-
Last 10 (10)41.845.086.8-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)39.850.089.8-10.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)41.749.591.2-7.830%-
vs Similar (10)48.243.191.3+5.160%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Manly W.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Manly W.their own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 90.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 22% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.722.9
50.1%
-45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.4
33.3%
-25.2
🏀 Free throws27.919.5
69.9%
-19.5
They take 70.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Manly W. wins
2
Illawarra Hawks wins
DateGameScore
30/07/22Manly W. v Illawarra Hawks102-104
14/05/22Illawarra Hawks v Manly W.90-72
Manly W.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/06/24ABankstown Bruins60-68
29/06/24HBA CoE89-82
22/06/24HNewcastle Falcons87-75
16/06/24HBankstown Bruins87-65
15/06/24APenrith P.105-65
02/06/24HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits119-86
01/06/24AMaitland M.73-96
25/05/24HNorths Bears83-82
18/05/24HHills Hornets95-72
12/05/24ANewcastle Falcons66-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/06/24HCentral Coast Crusaders93-97
22/06/24HBA CoE100-105 OT
15/06/24ASydney Comets81-120
01/06/24HNewcastle Falcons82-95
26/05/24ABA CoE76-115
25/05/24HBankstown Bruins90-79
18/05/24AInner West Bulls85-88
12/05/24HNorths Bears71-87
11/05/24HHornsby S.101-91 OT
04/05/24AHills Hornets69-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Manly W.
NBL1 East 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL75%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %75%100%43%
Points / game89.196.479.6
Allowed / game77.477.277.7
Point differential+11.6+19.2+1.9
Avg total166.5173.7157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%78%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illawarra Hawks
NBL1 East 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL12%
HomeLWLLL22%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %12%22%0%
Points / game81.585.476.4
Allowed / game100.199.6100.7
Point differential-18.6-14.1-24.3
Avg total181.6185.0177.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %12%22%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Canberra1816289%88.074.4+13.6
2 Maitland M.1714382%98.782.6+16.1
3 Manly W.1612475%89.177.4+11.6
4 BA CoE2014670%91.081.4+9.6
5 Albury-Wodonga Bandits1812667%94.590.0+4.5
6 Inner West Bulls1811761%93.884.2+9.6
7 Sydney Comets1811761%89.283.4+5.7
8 Bankstown Bruins1810856%80.780.8-0.2
9 Norths Bears179853%85.584.2+1.3
10 Hills Hornets168850%86.988.5-1.6
11 Sutherland Sharks1771041%80.687.2-6.5
12 Newcastle Falcons1761135%73.279.9-6.6
13 Central Coast Crusaders1741324%85.594.3-8.8
14 Illawarra Hawks1621412%81.5100.1-18.6
15 Hornsby S.1721512%78.293.8-15.5
16 Penrith P.181176%80.097.2-17.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Manly W.23302628107
Illawarra Hawks1615202879
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