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Manly W. vs Maitland M. Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 May 2025
Tip-off: 07:00
Final 104-91
30-27 27-19 28-21 19-24
Position#8
Record3-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game78.6
vs
Position#12
Record5-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game80.8
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2025
Meetings · Manly W. v Maitland M.
17 May 2025
MANL104
MAIT91
27 May 2023
MANL73
MAIT99
04 Jun 2022
MANL105
MAIT92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Manly W. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Maitland M. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Manly W.AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
L
73-92
73
92
-19
A13/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
99-104 OT
99
104
-5
A20/07
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#7
L
62-82
62
82
-20
H28/07
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#3
L
56-84
56
84
-28
A29/03
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#4
W
80-61
80
61
+19
H05/04
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A06/04
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
W
87-78
87
78
+9
A12/04
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#13
L
81-90
81
90
-9
A26/04
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#6
W
98-73
98
73
+25
H03/05
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#5
L
65-80
65
80
-15
A10/05
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
16-27
12-18
21-20
18-28
24-23
21-20
24-16
18-20
12-19
13-24
19-19
15-24
11-29
14-13
16-18
23-25
17-16
17-12
23-8
11-23
20-24
19-25
22-12
28-19
25-17
17-13
17-29
17-23
16-16
27-28
21-23
31-17
16-15
28-18
23-23
14-20
13-22
23-20
15-18
160.1Avg total
77.3Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)77.078.6155.6-1.643%
Season at home (2)89.067.0156.0+22.0100%
Season away (5)72.283.2155.4-11.020%
Last 10 (10)77.382.8160.1-5.530%
Last 5 (5)80.681.0161.6-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.292.5170.8-14.20%
vs Similar ◀ (8)80.977.1158.0+3.862%
vs Weaker (18)89.777.8167.5+11.972%
This opponent (Maitland M.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Maitland M.AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Knox
#1
L
89-99
89
99
-10
H16/08
NBL 1
Mandurah Magic
#3
L
98-102
98
102
-4
H17/08
NBL 1
Illawarra Hawks 2
#2
L
88-96
88
96
-8
A29/03
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
W
104-62
104
62
+42
H05/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#11
W
88-84
88
84
+4
H12/04
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
W
106-95
106
95
+11
H25/04
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#5
W
77-62
77
62
+15
A27/04
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#9
L
61-84
61
84
-23
A03/05
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H10/05
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#10
L
83-91
83
91
-8
H11/05
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-29
28-26
28-22
13-22
23-26
17-31
31-25
27-20
25-25
22-16
19-25
22-30
32-22
30-12
27-14
15-14
29-26
19-17
18-24
22-17
25-33
18-17
37-17
26-28
19-16
26-8
18-14
14-24
8-21
13-27
22-12
18-24
26-12
14-23
23-15
23-22
16-22
21-16
18-27
28-26
172.7Avg total
88.0Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)86.680.8167.4+5.962%
Season at home (5)93.480.8174.2+12.680%
Season away (3)75.380.7156.0-5.333%
Last 10 (10)88.084.7172.7+3.350%
Last 5 (5)82.680.8163.4+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)87.789.0176.7-1.333%
vs Similar ◀ (4)81.083.0164.0-2.050%
vs Weaker (23)98.883.3182.1+15.583%
This opponent (Manly W.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -1.9-1.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -1.9-1.9
Manly W.Maitland M.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Manly W.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A13/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A20/07
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#7
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H28/07
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#3
L
26-53
26
53
-27
A29/03
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#4
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H05/04
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A06/04
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A12/04
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#13
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A26/04
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#6
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H03/05
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#5
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A10/05
NBL1 East
80.3Avg total
36.9Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.241.084.2+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.539.184.6+6.464%-
Last 30 away (16)41.242.683.8-1.444%-
Last 10 (10)36.943.480.3-6.520%-
Last 5 (5)38.239.277.4-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.047.283.2-11.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.538.879.2+1.862%-
vs Weaker (18)46.040.686.6+5.461%-
This opponent (Maitland M.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Maitland M.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Knox
#1
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H16/08
NBL 1
Mandurah Magic
#3
L
40-57
40
57
-17
H17/08
NBL 1
Illawarra Hawks 2
#2
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A29/03
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
W
62-34
62
34
+28
H05/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#11
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H12/04
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H25/04
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#5
W
45-24
45
24
+21
A27/04
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#9
L
21-48
21
48
-27
A03/05
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H10/05
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#10
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H11/05
NBL1 East
85.6Avg total
43.1Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.742.489.1+4.370%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.742.590.2+5.269%-
Last 30 away (14)45.642.287.8+3.471%-
Last 10 (10)43.142.585.6+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)37.239.076.2-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)45.043.788.7+1.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)38.543.081.5-4.550%-
vs Weaker (23)48.342.190.4+6.374%-
This opponent (Manly W.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Manly W. wins
5
Maitland M. wins
DateGameScore
20/07/24Maitland M. v Manly W.104-99 OT
01/06/24Maitland M. v Manly W.96-73
02/07/23Maitland M. v Manly W.102-79
27/05/23Manly W. v Maitland M.73-99
13/08/22Maitland M. v Manly W.90-84
04/06/22Manly W. v Maitland M.105-92
Manly W.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/25ASydney Comets65-80
03/05/25HBankstown Bruins98-73
26/04/25AInner West Bulls81-90
12/04/25AAlbury-Wodonga Bandits87-78
06/04/25APenrith P.72-84
05/04/25HNorths Bears80-61
29/03/25ABA CoE56-84
28/07/24HSydney Comets62-82
20/07/24AMaitland M.99-104 OT
13/07/24ACentral Coast Crusaders73-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/25HCentral Coast Crusaders83-91
10/05/25HCanberra86-72
03/05/25ANewcastle Falcons61-84
27/04/25ASydney Comets77-62
25/04/25HHornsby S.106-95
12/04/25HHills Hornets88-84
05/04/25HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits104-62
29/03/25AIllawarra Hawks 288-96
17/08/24HMandurah Magic98-102
16/08/24HKnox89-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Manly W.
NBL1 East 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL43%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %43%100%20%
Points / game77.089.072.2
Allowed / game78.667.083.2
Point differential-1.6+22.0-11.0
Avg total155.6156.0155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Maitland M.
NBL1 East 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL62%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %62%80%33%
Points / game86.693.475.3
Allowed / game80.880.880.7
Point differential+5.9+12.6-5.3
Avg total167.4174.2156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BA CoE87188%88.267.5+20.8
2 Sutherland Sharks76186%87.676.0+11.6
3 Canberra86275%90.577.2+13.2
4 Maitland M.85362%86.680.8+5.9
5 Sydney Comets85362%74.269.5+4.8
6 Illawarra Hawks 285362%82.083.4-1.4
7 Hills Hornets84450%77.676.1+1.5
8 Central Coast Crusaders84450%82.181.6+0.5
9 Norths Bears84450%74.176.2-2.1
10 Bankstown Bruins84450%81.085.2-4.2
11 Manly W.73443%77.078.6-1.6
12 Inner West Bulls83538%85.888.4-2.6
13 Newcastle Falcons83538%75.579.4-3.9
14 Penrith P.92722%77.388.6-11.2
15 Hornsby S.71614%77.688.1-10.6
16 Albury-Wodonga Bandits81712%74.193.4-19.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Manly W.30272819104
Maitland M.2719212491
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