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Maitland M. vs Hills Hornets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 88-84
29-26 19-17 18-24 22-17
Position#12
Record1-1
FormWLLLW
Points / game96.0
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Position#11
Record0-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game81.0
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2025
Meetings · Maitland M. v Hills Hornets
12 Apr 2025
MAIT88
HILL84
11 May 2024
MAIT86
HILL101
09 Apr 2022
MAIT87
HILL84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maitland M. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hills Hornets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Maitland M.AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sutherland Sharks
#11
W
120-74
120
74
+46
H06/07
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#15
W
112-100
112
100
+12
H07/07
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#12
W
85-64
85
64
+21
A13/07
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
W
104-99 OT
104
99
+5
H20/07
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#4
W
94-79
94
79
+15
H03/08
NBL1 East
Canberra
#2
W
86-67
86
67
+19
A10/08
NBL1 East
Knox
#1
L
89-99
89
99
-10
H16/08
NBL 1
Mandurah Magic
#3
L
98-102
98
102
-4
H17/08
NBL 1
Illawarra Hawks 2
#2
L
88-96
88
96
-8
A29/03
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
W
104-62
104
62
+42
H05/04
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-21
27-20
36-13
24-20
24-23
34-23
26-23
28-31
17-15
28-20
24-18
16-11
28-18
23-24
20-21
16-24
29-20
16-16
22-16
27-27
18-15
22-13
28-20
18-19
20-29
28-26
28-22
13-22
23-26
17-31
31-25
27-20
25-25
22-16
19-25
22-30
32-22
30-12
27-14
15-14
182.2Avg total
98.0Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)96.079.0175.0+17.050%
Season at home (1)104.062.0166.0+42.0100%
Season away (1)88.096.0184.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)98.084.2182.2+13.870%
Last 5 (5)93.085.2178.2+7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)88.597.5186.0-9.00%
vs Similar ◀ (4)89.585.2174.8+4.250%
vs Weaker (24)99.381.2180.5+18.088%
This opponent (Hills Hornets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hills HornetsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#5
L
76-101
76
101
-25
H22/06
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
L
81-93
81
93
-12
H23/06
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#7
L
94-113
94
113
-19
A26/06
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#12
L
76-78
76
78
-2
A29/06
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
W
95-81
95
81
+14
H06/07
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
L
70-98
70
98
-28
H07/07
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#15
W
95-89
95
89
+6
A12/07
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#10
W
102-74
102
74
+28
H13/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
L
70-77
70
77
-7
H05/04
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
L
82-85
82
85
-3
A11/04
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-31
21-25
26-20
11-25
13-24
22-25
29-24
17-20
15-31
22-24
22-35
35-23
22-13
23-24
19-26
12-15
32-18
27-15
17-29
19-19
20-23
16-25
14-27
20-23
23-20
21-24
20-17
31-28
18-15
26-21
30-17
28-21
22-20
15-20
15-23
18-14
25-19
21-16
10-22
26-28
173.0Avg total
84.1Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)76.081.0157.0-5.00%
Season at home (1)70.077.0147.0-7.00%
Season away (1)82.085.0167.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)84.188.9173.0-4.830%
Last 5 (5)83.884.6168.4-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)77.391.8169.2-14.517%
vs Similar ◀ (3)79.079.7158.7-0.733%
vs Weaker (15)91.479.8171.2+11.687%
This opponent (Maitland M.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +6.4+6.4Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.1+0.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +6.4+6.4Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.1+0.1
Maitland M.Hills Hornets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Maitland M.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sutherland Sharks
#11
W
60-41
60
41
+19
H06/07
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#15
W
58-46
58
46
+12
H07/07
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#12
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A13/07
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H20/07
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#4
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H03/08
NBL1 East
Canberra
#2
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A10/08
NBL1 East
Knox
#1
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H16/08
NBL 1
Mandurah Magic
#3
L
40-57
40
57
-17
H17/08
NBL 1
Illawarra Hawks 2
#2
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A29/03
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
W
62-34
62
34
+28
H05/04
NBL1 East
91.1Avg total
49.6Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.042.190.1+6.073%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.641.089.6+7.675%-
Last 30 away (14)47.443.390.7+4.171%-
Last 10 (10)49.641.591.1+8.180%-
Last 5 (5)47.443.090.4+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)47.548.095.5-0.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)42.245.287.5-3.025%-
vs Weaker (24)49.041.090.1+8.083%-
This opponent (Hills Hornets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hills HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#5
L
39-56
39
56
-17
H22/06
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H23/06
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#7
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A26/06
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A29/06
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
W
59-33
59
33
+26
H06/07
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H07/07
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#15
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A12/07
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#10
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H13/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H05/04
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A11/04
NBL1 East
85.5Avg total
42.2Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.941.384.2+1.647%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.343.584.8-2.231%-
Last 30 away (17)44.139.683.6+4.559%-
Last 10 (10)42.243.385.5-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)41.440.682.0+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.246.785.9-7.417%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)37.740.378.0-2.733%-
vs Weaker (15)46.837.284.0+9.673%-
This opponent (Maitland M.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Maitland M. wins
2
Hills Hornets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/25HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits104-62
29/03/25AIllawarra Hawks 288-96
17/08/24HMandurah Magic98-102
16/08/24HKnox89-99
10/08/24ACanberra86-67
03/08/24HBA CoE94-79
20/07/24HManly W.104-99 OT
13/07/24ANewcastle Falcons85-64
07/07/24HIllawarra Hawks112-100
06/07/24HSutherland Sharks120-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/25APenrith P.82-85
05/04/25HSutherland Sharks70-77
13/07/24HNorths Bears102-74
12/07/24AIllawarra Hawks95-89
07/07/24HManly W.70-98
06/07/24HCentral Coast Crusaders95-81
29/06/24ANewcastle Falcons76-78
26/06/24ASydney Comets94-113
23/06/24HBankstown Bruins81-93
22/06/24HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits76-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maitland M.
NBL1 East 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game96.0104.088.0
Allowed / game79.062.096.0
Point differential+17.0+42.0-8.0
Avg total175.0166.0184.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hills Hornets
NBL1 East 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game76.070.082.0
Allowed / game81.077.085.0
Point differential-5.0-7.0-3.0
Avg total157.0147.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BA CoE220100%93.060.5+32.5
2 Central Coast Crusaders220100%91.071.0+20.0
3 Canberra330100%88.773.7+15.0
4 Illawarra Hawks 2220100%90.082.5+7.5
5 Sutherland Sharks220100%79.074.0+5.0
6 Penrith P.32167%82.378.3+4.0
7 Bankstown Bruins32167%75.078.7-3.7
8 Maitland M.21150%96.079.0+17.0
9 Sydney Comets21150%74.075.5-1.5
10 Manly W.31233%69.376.3-7.0
11 Albury-Wodonga Bandits31233%71.390.7-19.3
12 Hills Hornets2020%76.081.0-5.0
13 Inner West Bulls1010%83.089.0-6.0
14 Hornsby S.2020%67.579.0-11.5
15 Newcastle Falcons3030%70.082.0-12.0
16 Norths Bears3030%64.782.3-17.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Maitland M.2919182288
Hills Hornets2617241784
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