PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Manresa vs Aris Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 06 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 113-99
35-18 28-20 24-28 26-33
Position#10
Record6-6
FormWWLLL
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game87.3
Manresa 🏆
vs
Position#13
Record6-6
FormWWLLL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game86.6
EuropeEurocupRound 13· Pavelló Nou Congost
European cup2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Manresa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ManresaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormManresa
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#20
W
99-72
99
72
+27
102avg 77
H05/12
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
79-83
79
83
-4
67avg 77
A07/12
ACB
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
99-82
99
82
+17
97avg 77
H10/12
Eurocup
Barcelona
#5
L
62-89
62
89
-27
50avg 77
H14/12
ACB
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
96-90
96
90
+6
90avg 77
A17/12
Eurocup
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
102-100 OT
102
100
+2
97avg 77
A20/12
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
95-83
95
83
+12
96avg 77
A27/12
ACB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
69-105
69
105
-36
60avg 77
A30/12
Eurocup
Basquet Girona
#12
L
95-97
95
97
-2
86avg 77
H02/01
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
76-103
76
103
-27
65avg 77
A04/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
31-19
28-19
21-14
19-16
20-13
22-29
18-25
23-15
23-23
32-18
21-26
21-28
16-22
17-21
8-18
21-25
22-29
21-10
32-26
25-30
27-21
28-22
10-17
17-16
17-12
28-28
33-27
22-23
27-22
8-27
12-33
25-29
34-19
22-30
14-19
22-30
20-26
21-22
13-25
177.6Avg total
87.2Scored
90.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)85.587.3172.8-1.850%
Season at home (5)88.078.2166.2+9.880%
Season away (7)83.793.9177.6-10.129%
Last 10 (10)87.290.4177.6-3.250%
Last 5 (5)87.497.6185.0-10.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)77.189.2166.3-12.215%
vs Similar (11)88.591.0179.5-2.545%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)86.575.7162.2+10.883%
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#14
W
93-87
93
87
+6
89avg 73
A18/11
Eurocup
Promitheas
#9
W
96-80
96
80
+16
96avg 73
H22/11
Basket League
Cluj-Napoca
#11
L
88-98
88
98
-10
75avg 73
H04/12
Eurocup
Venezia
#9
W
90-86
90
86
+4
85avg 73
H10/12
Eurocup
Iraklis
#8
W
82-80
82
80
+2
74avg 73
A13/12
Basket League
Hamburg
#20
W
92-89
92
89
+3
85avg 73
A17/12
Eurocup
Peristeri
#6
W
81-76 OT
81
76
+5
71avg 73
H20/12
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
L
76-82
76
82
-6
72avg 73
A27/12
Basket League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
60-89
60
89
-29
43avg 73
H30/12
Eurocup
Olympiacos
#1
L
84-95
84
95
-11
79avg 73
H04/01
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
29-18
23-18
20-23
22-22
25-15
26-18
23-25
21-17
20-21
17-22
30-38
33-22
23-21
14-20
20-23
21-16
18-21
17-18
26-25
23-27
24-12
17-26
28-24
16-20
23-15
19-15
13-21
18-18
18-19
24-25
16-20
15-19
16-25
11-22
18-23
21-25
22-20
20-28
21-22
170.4Avg total
84.2Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)81.886.6168.3-4.850%
Season at home (7)82.385.6167.9-3.343%
Season away (5)81.088.0169.0-7.060%
Last 10 (10)84.286.2170.4-2.060%
Last 5 (5)78.686.2164.8-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)79.889.2168.9-9.425%
vs Similar (8)84.182.4166.5+1.862%
vs Weaker (10)86.680.9167.5+5.770%
This opponent (Manresa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -4.8-4.8Q4: -2.9-2.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -4.8-4.8Q4: -2.9-2.9
ManresaAris
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ManresaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#20
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H05/12
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A07/12
ACB
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H10/12
Eurocup
Barcelona
#5
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H14/12
ACB
Slask Wroclaw
#18
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A17/12
Eurocup
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A20/12
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A27/12
ACB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A30/12
Eurocup
Basquet Girona
#12
W
59-48
59
48
+11
H02/01
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A04/01
ACB
88.9Avg total
45.1Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.144.285.2-3.140%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.341.583.8+0.854%-
Last 30 away (17)40.146.286.4-6.129%-
Last 10 (10)45.143.888.9+1.370%-
Last 5 (5)47.245.692.8+1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)37.644.582.2-6.923%-
vs Similar (11)44.346.891.1-2.545%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)42.738.581.2+4.267%-
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#14
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A18/11
Eurocup
Promitheas
#9
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H22/11
Basket League
Cluj-Napoca
#11
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H04/12
Eurocup
Venezia
#9
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H10/12
Eurocup
Iraklis
#8
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A13/12
Basket League
Hamburg
#20
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A17/12
Eurocup
Peristeri
#6
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H20/12
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A27/12
Basket League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H30/12
Eurocup
Olympiacos
#1
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H04/01
Basket League
83.0Avg total
42.9Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.839.682.4+3.267%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.837.879.6+3.969%-
Last 30 away (14)44.041.685.6+2.464%-
Last 10 (10)42.940.183.0+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)39.240.079.2-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)44.643.888.3+0.842%-
vs Similar (8)40.637.678.2+3.075%-
vs Weaker (10)42.436.178.5+6.390%-
This opponent (Manresa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Manresatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Manresa: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.117.5
49.9%
54.5%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.410.5
33.4%
34.4%31.5
🏀 Free throws25.319.9
78.7%
75.2%19.9
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.518.4
47.8%
54.5%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.9
38.4%
34.4%29.7
🏀 Free throws20.616.9
82.0%
75.2%16.9
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Manresa
LLLWWWLWLW
Aris
LLLWWWWLWW
#10
League position
#13
-4.0
Net rating
-2.1
108.0
Offensive rating
108.2
112.0
Defensive rating
110.3
50.0%
Effective FG%
51.7%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
19.5%
Turnover %
17.9%
34.4%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.4%
3-point %
38.4%
76.1%
Assist %
62.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.0 · 108.2Defence112.0 · 110.3Shooting50.0% · 51.7%3-point %33.4% · 38.4%Ball care19.5% · 17.9%Off. rebounds34.4% · 27.7%Free throws0.38 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Manresa   ■ Aris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Manresa wins
0
Aris wins
DateGameScore
21/10/25Aris v Manresa79-86
Manresalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26AValencia76-103
02/01/26HBasquet Girona95-97
30/12/25AHapoel Jerusalem69-105
27/12/25ABasket Zaragoza95-83
20/12/25ASan Pablo Burgos102-100 OT
17/12/25ASlask Wroclaw96-90
14/12/25HBarcelona62-89
10/12/25HCedevita Olimpija99-82
07/12/25AJoventut Badalona79-83
05/12/25HHamburg99-72
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26HOlympiacos84-95
30/12/25HCedevita Olimpija60-89
27/12/25AAEK Athens76-82
20/12/25HPeristeri81-76 OT
17/12/25AHamburg92-89
13/12/25AIraklis82-80
10/12/25HVenezia90-86
04/12/25HCluj-Napoca88-98
22/11/25HPromitheas96-80
18/11/25ANeptunas93-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Manresa
Eurocup 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %50%80%29%
Points / game85.588.083.7
Allowed / game87.378.293.9
Point differential-1.8+9.8-10.1
Avg total172.8166.2177.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aris
Eurocup 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeWLLWL43%
AwayWLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %50%43%60%
Points / game81.882.381.0
Allowed / game86.685.688.0
Point differential-4.8-3.3-7.0
Avg total168.3167.9169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Jerusalem1210283%95.182.2+12.9
2 JL Bourg1210283%80.172.7+7.4
3 Besiktas139469%93.484.1+9.3
4 Cedevita Olimpija128467%88.478.3+10.1
5 Buducnost128467%88.278.6+9.6
6 Bahcesehir Kol.128467%90.782.6+8.1
7 Turk Telekom127558%85.976.2+9.8
8 Cluj-Napoca127558%96.392.8+3.6
9 Trento127558%83.285.7-2.4
10 Venezia126650%88.888.2+0.6
11 Chemnitz126650%82.782.2+0.4
12 Manresa126650%85.587.3-1.8
13 Aris126650%81.886.6-4.8
14 Neptunas125742%94.297.3-3.2
15 London Lions125742%76.981.6-4.7
16 Ulm135838%83.592.2-8.7
17 Slask Wroclaw124833%85.391.7-6.3
18 Lietkabelis123925%78.686.3-7.8
19 Panionios121118%75.188.1-13.0
20 Hamburg120120%77.096.1-19.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Manresa35282426113
Aris1820283399
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.