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Marbo W vs Alvik W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 54-79
23-15 13-27 8-17 10-20
Position#6
Record6-9
FormLWWWL
Points / game67.3
Allowed / game76.5
Marbo W
Sweden
vs
Alvik W 🏆
Sweden
Position#8
Record5-11
FormLLWLL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game82.5
SwedenBasketligan W· Kinnahallen (Kinna)
Women2023-24
Meetings · Marbo W v Alvik W
25 Feb 2024
MARB54
ALVI79
20 Nov 2022
MARB61
ALVI75
20 Mar 2022
MARB88
ALVI83
11 Oct 2020
MARB75
ALVI108
06 Oct 2019
MARB67
ALVI98
27 Jan 2019
MARB80
ALVI89
14 Jan 2018
MARB52
ALVI78
23 Oct 2016
MARB57
ALVI85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Marbo W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alvik W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Marbo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Alvik W
#8
W
88-86
88
86
+2
83avg 57
A25/11
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
W
86-63
86
63
+23
87avg 57
H03/12
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
53-87
53
87
-34
40avg 57
H09/12
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#7
L
74-77
74
77
-3
67avg 57
A15/12
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
46-99
46
99
-53
27avg 57
A10/01
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
65-67
65
67
-2
50avg 57
H14/01
Basketligan W
Lund W
#10
W
90-65
90
65
+25
87avg 57
H21/01
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
W
81-58
81
58
+23
86avg 57
H24/01
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
78-72
78
72
+6
69avg 57
A29/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
56-98
56
98
-42
41avg 57
A18/02
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
18-22
23-8
26-32
25-25
19-19
18-10
24-9
22-25
12-20
13-22
6-20
13-14
20-16
13-28
28-19
9-29
9-25
14-20
14-25
15-14
21-25
16-17
13-11
22-13
27-17
14-16
27-19
24-15
25-15
17-15
15-13
14-20
16-23
24-12
24-17
14-30
18-20
16-24
8-24
148.9Avg total
71.7Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)67.376.5143.9-9.240%
Season at home (7)71.371.4142.7-0.143%
Season away (8)63.981.0144.9-17.138%
Last 10 (10)71.777.2148.9-5.550%
Last 5 (5)74.072.0146.0+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)65.090.9155.9-25.90%
vs Similar ◀ (7)81.773.7155.4+8.071%
vs Weaker (8)82.569.9152.4+12.675%
This opponent (Alvik W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alvik WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Visby W
#11
W
83-71
83
71
+12
74avg 60
A02/12
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
L
68-105
68
105
-37
54avg 60
A09/12
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
76-86
76
86
-10
56avg 60
A17/12
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
L
56-72
56
72
-16
46avg 60
A03/01
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
W
106-76
106
76
+30
100avg 60
H06/01
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
62-86
62
86
-24
42avg 60
A13/01
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#7
L
82-86
82
86
-4
75avg 60
H24/01
Basketligan W
Lund W
#10
W
79-70
79
70
+9
71avg 60
A27/01
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
68-90
68
90
-22
51avg 60
H03/02
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
69-77
69
77
-8
55avg 60
H17/02
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
20-14
22-18
19-20
19-20
14-27
12-33
23-25
21-18
21-22
16-24
18-22
18-13
14-17
11-20
13-22
32-11
19-17
39-21
16-27
16-23
17-15
18-20
11-28
25-19
14-23
18-23
25-21
9-23
28-14
26-10
16-23
24-19
10-25
16-26
18-20
11-22
23-18
15-21
20-16
156.8Avg total
74.9Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)73.282.5155.8-9.231%
Season at home (7)79.483.0162.4-3.629%
Season away (9)68.482.1150.6-13.733%
Last 10 (10)74.981.9156.8-7.030%
Last 5 (5)72.081.8153.8-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)66.883.7150.6-16.916%
vs Similar ◀ (4)66.089.5155.5-23.50%
vs Weaker (7)82.169.1151.3+13.0100%
This opponent (Marbo W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -4.5-4.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -4.5-4.5
Marbo WAlvik W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Marbo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alvik W
#8
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A25/11
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H03/12
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H09/12
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#7
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A15/12
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
18-54
18
54
-36
A10/01
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H14/01
Basketligan W
Lund W
#10
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H21/01
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H24/01
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A29/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A18/02
Basketligan W
77.5Avg total
36.4Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.243.179.3-6.830%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.139.477.6-1.343%-
Last 30 away (16)34.646.280.8-11.719%-
Last 10 (10)36.441.177.5-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)39.238.477.6+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)32.747.580.1-14.813%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)40.640.481.0+0.143%-
vs Weaker (8)39.137.176.2+2.050%-
This opponent (Alvik W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alvik WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Visby W
#11
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A02/12
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A09/12
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A17/12
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A03/01
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
W
51-28
51
28
+23
H06/01
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A13/01
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#7
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H24/01
Basketligan W
Lund W
#10
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A27/01
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H03/02
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H17/02
Basketligan W
75.6Avg total
37.7Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.339.775.0-4.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.740.976.7-5.233%-
Last 30 away (15)34.938.573.4-3.733%-
Last 10 (10)37.737.975.6-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)35.440.275.6-4.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)32.642.274.7-9.616%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)37.841.279.0-3.550%-
vs Weaker (7)41.332.373.6+9.071%-
This opponent (Marbo W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Marbo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Marbo W: 71.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.917.2
44.2%
44.5%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.3
29.7%
30.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws15.912.1
76.1%
73.7%12.1
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alvik Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvik W: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.014.8
41.1%
44.5%29.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.910.9
33.1%
30.9%32.7
🏀 Free throws16.211.8
72.8%
73.7%11.8
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Marbo W
LWWWLLLLWW
Alvik W
LLWLLWLLLW
#6
League position
#8
-6.1
Net rating
-8.7
90.5
Offensive rating
91.8
96.5
Defensive rating
100.5
44.4%
Effective FG%
45.2%
46.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
19.2%
Turnover %
21.2%
24.3%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.24
29.7%
3-point %
33.1%
72.5%
Assist %
64.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence90.5 · 91.8Defence96.5 · 100.5Shooting44.4% · 45.2%3-point %29.7% · 33.1%Ball care19.2% · 21.2%Off. rebounds24.3% · 28.3%Free throws0.24 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Marbo W   ■ Alvik W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Marbo W wins
7
Alvik W wins
DateGameScore
25/11/23Alvik W v Marbo W86-88
21/01/23Alvik W v Marbo W59-107
20/11/22Marbo W v Alvik W61-75
20/03/22Marbo W v Alvik W88-83
25/09/21Alvik W v Marbo W81-64
06/01/21Alvik W v Marbo W85-60
11/10/20Marbo W v Alvik W75-108
11/01/20Alvik W v Marbo W86-61
06/10/19Marbo W v Alvik W67-98
27/01/19Marbo W v Alvik W80-89
Marbo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/24ANorrkoping W56-98
29/01/24AVisby W78-72
24/01/24HSjuharads W81-58
21/01/24HLund W90-65
14/01/24HUppsala W65-67
10/01/24ASodertalje W46-99
15/12/23AHogsbo W74-77
09/12/23HLulea W53-87
03/12/23HAIK Basket W86-63
25/11/23AAlvik W88-86
Alvik Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24HUppsala W69-77
03/02/24HSodertalje W68-90
27/01/24ALund W79-70
24/01/24HHogsbo W82-86
13/01/24ALulea W62-86
06/01/24HAIK Basket W106-76
03/01/24ASjuharads W56-72
17/12/23ANorrkoping W76-86
09/12/23AOstersund W68-105
02/12/23AVisby W83-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Marbo W
Basketligan W 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL40%
HomeWLLWW43%
AwayWLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %40%43%38%
Points / game67.371.363.9
Allowed / game76.571.481.0
Point differential-9.2-0.1-17.1
Avg total143.9142.7144.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alvik W
Basketligan W 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL31%
HomeLWLLL29%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %31%29%33%
Points / game73.279.468.4
Allowed / game82.583.082.1
Point differential-9.2-3.6-13.7
Avg total155.8162.4150.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%14%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sodertalje W1716194%87.460.5+26.9
2 Lulea W1715288%82.457.2+25.1
3 Norrkoping W1714382%82.164.2+17.9
4 Uppsala W1712571%79.670.6+8.9
5 Ostersund W1610662%75.466.8+8.7
6 Hogsbo W179853%72.572.5+0.0
7 Marbo W156940%67.376.5-9.2
8 Alvik W1651131%73.282.5-9.2
9 Sjuharads W1751229%60.466.3-5.9
10 Lund W1751229%68.886.5-17.8
11 Visby W1721512%61.184.5-23.4
12 AIK Basket W171166%60.883.9-23.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Marbo W231381054
Alvik W1527172079
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