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Lund W vs Alvik W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 13:30
Final 70-79
23-9 14-28 10-26 23-16
Position#10
Record4-9
FormLWLLL
Points / game69.1
Allowed / game84.7
Lund W
Sweden
vs
Alvik W 🏆
Sweden
Position#8
Record4-9
FormLLWLL
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game83.3
SwedenBasketligan W· Eoshallen (Lund)
Women2023-24
Meetings · Lund W v Alvik W
20 Feb 2027
LUND v ALVI
upcoming
06 Dec 2025
LUND103
ALVI94
07 Dec 2024
LUND76
ALVI93
27 Jan 2024
LUND70
ALVI79
25 Feb 2023
LUND91
ALVI63
09 Feb 2022
LUND68
ALVI70
14 Feb 2021
LUND82
ALVI95
23 Nov 2019
LUND58
ALVI61
27 Mar 2019
LUND47
ALVI60
03 Nov 2018
LUND53
ALVI70
20 Dec 2017
LUND75
ALVI76
25 Mar 2017
LUND77
ALVI67
21 Jan 2017
LUND52
ALVI62
08 Oct 2016
LUND80
ALVI63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lund W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alvik W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lund WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
AIK Basket W
#12
W
74-69
74
69
+5
66avg 57
H04/11
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
46-82
46
82
-36
33avg 57
A17/11
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#7
W
75-69
75
69
+6
62avg 57
H25/11
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
W
65-60
65
60
+5
60avg 57
H02/12
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
63-114
63
114
-51
40avg 57
A09/12
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
71-90
71
90
-19
64avg 57
H16/12
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
80-61
80
61
+19
73avg 57
H06/01
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
L
85-93
85
93
-8
80avg 57
A13/01
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#6
L
65-90
65
90
-25
48avg 57
A21/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
66-112
66
112
-46
46avg 57
A24/01
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
31-16
13-19
11-19
9-19
15-27
9-21
13-15
22-24
15-17
21-14
17-14
19-11
22-21
13-17
11-11
7-23
20-37
17-30
19-24
26-27
13-18
17-12
15-33
21-18
20-10
17-15
22-18
14-32
17-24
28-19
26-18
13-22
17-27
16-14
19-27
19-23
13-42
18-28
16-19
153.0Avg total
69.0Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)69.184.7153.8-15.631%
Season at home (7)69.473.7143.1-4.357%
Season away (6)68.797.5166.2-28.80%
Last 10 (10)69.084.0153.0-15.040%
Last 5 (5)73.489.2162.6-15.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)70.792.6163.3-21.811%
vs Similar (6)83.772.3156.0+11.383%
vs Weaker (5)83.664.0147.6+19.6100%
This opponent (Alvik W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alvik WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sodertalje W
#1
L
55-100
55
100
-45
34avg 60
A01/11
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
W
76-75
76
75
+1
64avg 60
A18/11
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#6
L
86-88
86
88
-2
76avg 60
H25/11
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
83-71
83
71
+12
74avg 60
A02/12
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
L
68-105
68
105
-37
54avg 60
A09/12
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
76-86
76
86
-10
56avg 60
A17/12
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
L
56-72
56
72
-16
46avg 60
A03/01
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
W
106-76
106
76
+30
100avg 60
H06/01
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
62-86
62
86
-24
42avg 60
A13/01
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#7
L
82-86
82
86
-4
75avg 60
H24/01
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
6-22
15-25
14-34
20-19
20-20
23-25
22-11
11-19
24-21
22-18
8-23
32-26
22-19
20-14
22-18
19-20
19-20
14-27
12-33
23-25
21-18
21-22
16-24
18-22
18-13
14-17
11-20
13-22
32-11
19-17
39-21
16-27
16-23
17-15
18-20
11-28
25-19
14-23
18-23
25-21
159.5Avg total
75.0Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)73.583.3156.8-9.831%
Season at home (5)83.882.8166.6+1.040%
Season away (8)67.183.6150.8-16.525%
Last 10 (10)75.084.5159.5-9.530%
Last 5 (5)76.481.2157.6-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)66.584.4150.9-17.916%
vs Similar (5)67.883.8151.6-16.020%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)82.769.0151.7+13.7100%
This opponent (Lund W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -4.1-4.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -4.1-4.1
Lund WAlvik W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lund WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AIK Basket W
#12
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H04/11
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
24-46
24
46
-22
A17/11
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#7
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H25/11
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H02/12
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
27-60
27
60
-33
A09/12
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H16/12
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H06/01
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
L
31-56
31
56
-25
A13/01
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#6
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A21/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
32-65
32
65
-33
A24/01
Basketligan W
80.5Avg total
35.2Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.043.980.9-6.933%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.739.077.7-0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)35.348.784.0-13.520%-
Last 10 (10)35.245.380.5-10.130%-
Last 5 (5)34.648.683.2-14.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)33.349.582.8-16.25%-
vs Similar (6)43.334.077.3+9.383%-
vs Weaker (5)43.434.277.6+9.280%-
This opponent (Alvik W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alvik WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sodertalje W
#1
L
21-47
21
47
-26
A01/11
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A18/11
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#6
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H25/11
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A02/12
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A09/12
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A17/12
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A03/01
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
W
51-28
51
28
+23
H06/01
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A13/01
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#7
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H24/01
Basketligan W
77.1Avg total
38.2Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.340.075.3-4.740%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.640.977.5-4.443%-
Last 30 away (16)34.239.273.4-5.138%-
Last 10 (10)38.238.977.1-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)39.435.675.0+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)32.742.875.5-10.221%-
vs Similar (5)37.239.676.8-2.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)42.031.573.5+10.583%-
This opponent (Lund W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lund Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lund W: 68.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.816.6
36.2%
44.5%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.67.1
31.4%
30.9%21.3
🏀 Free throws19.613.5
68.9%
73.7%13.5
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alvik Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvik W: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.214.3
39.5%
44.5%28.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.011.2
36.1%
30.9%33.6
🏀 Free throws16.811.9
70.8%
73.7%11.9
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lund W
LLLWLLWWLW
Alvik W
LLWLLLWLWL
#10
League position
#8
-18.7
Net rating
-12.5
83.4
Offensive rating
92.8
102.1
Defensive rating
105.4
39.8%
Effective FG%
46.3%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
24.1%
Turnover %
20.1%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
31.4%
3-point %
36.1%
57.4%
Assist %
60.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence83.4 · 92.8Defence102.1 · 105.4Shooting39.8% · 46.3%3-point %31.4% · 36.1%Ball care24.1% · 20.1%Off. rebounds32.1% · 25.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Lund W   ■ Alvik W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Lund W wins
8
Alvik W wins
DateGameScore
21/10/23Alvik W v Lund W94-87
25/02/23Lund W v Alvik W91-63
29/10/22Alvik W v Lund W90-67
09/02/22Lund W v Alvik W68-70
27/11/21Alvik W v Lund W88-76
14/02/21Lund W v Alvik W82-95
18/11/20Alvik W v Lund W85-73
22/02/20Alvik W v Lund W66-39
23/11/19Lund W v Alvik W58-61
30/03/19Alvik W v Lund W53-64
Lund Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/24ANorrkoping W66-112
21/01/24AMarbo W65-90
13/01/24AOstersund W85-93
06/01/24HVisby W80-61
16/12/23HUppsala W71-90
09/12/23ASodertalje W63-114
02/12/23HSjuharads W65-60
25/11/23HHogsbo W75-69
17/11/23ALulea W46-82
04/11/23HAIK Basket W74-69
Alvik Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/24HHogsbo W82-86
13/01/24ALulea W62-86
06/01/24HAIK Basket W106-76
03/01/24ASjuharads W56-72
17/12/23ANorrkoping W76-86
09/12/23AOstersund W68-105
02/12/23AVisby W83-71
25/11/23HMarbo W86-88
18/11/23AUppsala W76-75
01/11/23ASodertalje W55-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lund W
Basketligan W 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL31%
HomeWWWLW57%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %31%57%0%
Points / game69.169.468.7
Allowed / game84.773.797.5
Point differential-15.6-4.3-28.8
Avg total153.8143.1166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alvik W
Basketligan W 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL31%
HomeLWLWL40%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %31%40%25%
Points / game73.583.867.1
Allowed / game83.382.883.6
Point differential-9.8+1.0-16.5
Avg total156.8166.6150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%20%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sodertalje W13130100%88.457.0+31.4
2 Norrkoping W1211192%82.863.7+19.1
3 Lulea W1210283%83.856.8+27.0
4 Uppsala W139469%80.871.5+9.3
5 Ostersund W116555%75.268.5+6.7
6 Hogsbo W126650%70.875.8-4.9
7 Sjuharads W135838%61.565.4-3.8
8 Marbo W135838%67.475.2-7.8
9 Alvik W134931%73.583.3-9.8
10 Lund W134931%69.184.7-15.6
11 AIK Basket W121118%58.381.9-23.6
12 Visby W131128%59.585.0-25.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lund W2314102370
Alvik W928261679
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