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Marbo W vs Sodertalje W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 83-79 (OT)
16-16 15-22 8-12 26-15 18-14
Position#6
Record10-11
FormWLWWW
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game75.2
Marbo W 🏆
Sweden
vs
Sodertalje W
Sweden
Position#1
Record20-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game59.4
SwedenBasketligan W· Kinnahallen
Women2023-24
Meetings · Marbo W v Sodertalje W
23 Mar 2024
MARB83
SODE79
26 Feb 2023
MARB79
SODE83
16 Jan 2022
MARB85
SODE88
25 Oct 2020
MARB89
SODE100
16 Feb 2020
MARB67
SODE73
20 Jan 2019
MARB65
SODE83
18 Feb 2018
MARB71
SODE75
08 Oct 2017
MARB70
SODE79
27 Mar 2017
MARB65
SODE79
22 Mar 2017
MARB89
SODE83
13 Nov 2016
MARB90
SODE57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Marbo W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sodertalje W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Marbo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Lund W
#10
W
90-65
90
65
+25
87avg 60
H21/01
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
W
81-58
81
58
+23
86avg 60
H24/01
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
78-72
78
72
+6
69avg 60
A29/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
56-98
56
98
-42
41avg 60
A18/02
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
L
54-79
54
79
-25
34avg 60
H25/02
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
W
85-58
85
58
+27
84avg 60
A28/02
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
73-97
73
97
-24
65avg 60
A01/03
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#7
W
62-61
62
61
+1
52avg 60
H10/03
Basketligan W
Lund W
#10
W
93-68
93
68
+25
96avg 60
A16/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
W
82-69
82
69
+13
75avg 60
H22/03
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-13
27-17
14-16
27-19
24-15
25-15
17-15
15-13
14-20
16-23
24-12
24-17
14-30
18-20
16-24
8-24
23-15
13-27
8-17
10-20
23-16
18-15
22-10
22-17
27-23
16-18
12-27
18-29
8-11
21-17
15-10
18-23
26-19
13-18
26-10
28-21
22-14
27-22
17-15
16-18
147.9Avg total
75.4Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)69.575.2144.7-5.848%
Season at home (10)69.770.9140.6-1.250%
Season away (11)69.379.2148.5-9.945%
Last 10 (10)75.472.5147.9+2.970%
Last 5 (5)79.070.6149.6+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)65.087.9152.9-22.912%
vs Similar (5)70.473.8144.2-3.460%
vs Weaker (8)85.568.0153.5+17.588%
This opponent (Sodertalje W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sodertalje WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Visby W
#11
W
87-42
87
42
+45
86avg 86
A13/01
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
W
74-63
74
63
+11
68avg 86
H24/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
W
77-66
77
66
+11
70avg 86
A28/01
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
W
90-68
90
68
+22
93avg 86
A03/02
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
W
95-69
95
69
+26
90avg 86
H17/02
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
74-84
74
84
-10
67avg 86
A23/02
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#7
W
79-59
79
59
+20
78avg 86
H28/02
Basketligan W
Lund W
#10
W
100-52
100
52
+48
107avg 86
A02/03
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
W
90-42
90
42
+48
90avg 86
A09/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
W
92-66
92
66
+26
94avg 86
H16/03
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-9
17-15
26-11
18-7
20-14
8-18
26-15
20-16
15-20
15-11
22-16
25-19
19-24
25-10
26-16
20-18
29-24
23-11
24-15
19-19
13-23
27-15
19-30
15-16
21-14
16-13
18-19
24-13
31-18
19-13
20-8
30-13
29-21
14-13
23-2
24-6
22-9
29-27
21-19
20-11
146.9Avg total
85.8Scored
61.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)87.959.4147.3+28.595%
Season at home (11)89.959.6149.5+30.3100%
Season away (10)85.759.1144.8+26.690%
Last 10 (10)85.861.1146.9+24.790%
Last 5 (5)87.060.6147.6+26.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)63.079.5142.5-16.525%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (26)85.361.0146.3+24.288%
This opponent (Marbo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +7.4+7.4Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +7.7+7.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +7.4+7.4Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +7.7+7.7
Marbo WSodertalje W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Marbo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lund W
#10
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H21/01
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H24/01
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A29/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A18/02
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H25/02
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A28/02
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A01/03
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#7
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H10/03
Basketligan W
Lund W
#10
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A16/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H22/03
Basketligan W
76.5Avg total
39.7Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.441.978.3-5.537%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.539.277.7-0.747%-
Last 30 away (15)34.344.578.9-10.227%-
Last 10 (10)39.736.876.5+2.970%-
Last 5 (5)40.234.674.8+5.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)33.744.878.5-11.129%-
vs Similar (5)39.641.080.6-1.420%-
vs Weaker (8)40.136.276.4+3.962%-
This opponent (Sodertalje W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sodertalje WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Visby W
#11
W
43-24
43
24
+19
A13/01
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H24/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A28/01
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A03/02
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H17/02
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A23/02
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#7
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H28/02
Basketligan W
Lund W
#10
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A02/03
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A09/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H16/03
Basketligan W
74.0Avg total
41.8Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.632.173.7+9.673%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.931.875.6+12.175%-
Last 30 away (14)39.132.471.5+6.671%-
Last 10 (10)41.832.274.0+9.680%-
Last 5 (5)44.233.277.4+11.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.238.069.2-6.80%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (26)43.231.274.4+12.185%-
This opponent (Marbo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Marbo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Marbo W: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.617.9
41.1%
44.5%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.6
32.8%
30.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws17.313.3
76.9%
73.7%13.3
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sodertalje Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sodertalje W: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.224.0
55.6%
44.5%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.3
31.7%
30.9%21.9
🏀 Free throws19.315.3
79.3%
73.7%15.3
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Marbo W
WWWLWLLWWW
Sodertalje W
WWWWLWWWWW
#6
League position
#1
+4.3
Net rating
+32.9
95.0
Offensive rating
113.6
90.7
Defensive rating
80.7
44.1%
Effective FG%
52.8%
42.5%
Opp. effective FG%
41.2%
17.7%
Turnover %
18.4%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
37.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.8%
3-point %
31.7%
70.6%
Assist %
66.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence95.0 · 113.6Defence90.7 · 80.7Shooting44.1% · 52.8%3-point %32.8% · 31.7%Ball care17.7% · 18.4%Off. rebounds28.2% · 37.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Marbo W   ■ Sodertalje W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Marbo W wins
9
Sodertalje W wins
DateGameScore
10/01/24Sodertalje W v Marbo W99-46
26/02/23Marbo W v Sodertalje W79-83
03/12/22Sodertalje W v Marbo W95-87
16/01/22Marbo W v Sodertalje W85-88
18/12/21Sodertalje W v Marbo W79-84
27/01/21Sodertalje W v Marbo W82-67
25/10/20Marbo W v Sodertalje W89-100
16/02/20Marbo W v Sodertalje W67-73
26/10/19Sodertalje W v Marbo W74-62
20/01/19Marbo W v Sodertalje W65-83
Marbo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/24HOstersund W82-69
16/03/24ALund W93-68
10/03/24HHogsbo W62-61
01/03/24ALulea W73-97
28/02/24AAIK Basket W85-58
25/02/24HAlvik W54-79
18/02/24ANorrkoping W56-98
29/01/24AVisby W78-72
24/01/24HSjuharads W81-58
21/01/24HLund W90-65
Sodertalje Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/24HUppsala W92-66
09/03/24ASjuharads W90-42
02/03/24ALund W100-52
28/02/24HHogsbo W79-59
23/02/24ALulea W74-84
17/02/24HAIK Basket W95-69
03/02/24AAlvik W90-68
28/01/24ANorrkoping W77-66
24/01/24HOstersund W74-63
13/01/24AVisby W87-42

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Marbo W
Basketligan W 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW48%
HomeWWLWW50%
AwayWLWLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %48%50%45%
Points / game69.569.769.3
Allowed / game75.270.979.2
Point differential-5.8-1.2-9.9
Avg total144.7140.6148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%40%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sodertalje W
Basketligan W 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW95%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW90%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %95%100%90%
Points / game87.989.985.7
Allowed / game59.459.659.1
Point differential+28.5+30.3+26.6
Avg total147.3149.5144.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+90%100%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sodertalje W2120195%87.959.4+28.5
2 Lulea W2119290%83.558.1+25.4
3 Norrkoping W2118386%82.064.0+18.0
4 Uppsala W2114767%78.172.4+5.7
5 Ostersund W2112957%74.167.7+6.4
6 Hogsbo W21101148%73.572.0+1.6
7 Marbo W21101148%69.575.2-5.8
8 Alvik W2181338%73.380.1-6.9
9 Sjuharads W2161529%60.368.6-8.3
10 Lund W2151624%67.286.1-18.9
11 Visby W2131814%61.084.9-23.8
12 AIK Basket W211205%60.982.9-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Marbo W16158261883
Sodertalje W162212151479
← all games of the day
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