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Sodertalje W vs Hogsbo W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 79-59
21-14 16-13 18-19 24-13
Position#1
Record16-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game60.5
vs
Position#7
Record9-8
FormWLLWW
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game72.5
SwedenBasketligan W· Taljehallen (Södertälje)
Women2023-24
Meetings · Sodertalje W v Hogsbo W
29 Nov 2026
SODE v HOGS
upcoming
30 Mar 2026
SODE91
HOGS57
28 Sep 2025
SODE91
HOGS86
22 Feb 2025
SODE70
HOGS74
28 Feb 2024
SODE79
HOGS59
15 Mar 2023
SODE121
HOGS55
05 Dec 2021
SODE68
HOGS61
10 Jan 2021
SODE104
HOGS74
29 Sep 2019
SODE63
HOGS68
09 Dec 2018
SODE75
HOGS82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sodertalje W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hogsbo W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sodertalje WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Lund W
#10
W
114-63
114
63
+51
120avg 85
H09/12
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
W
73-59
73
59
+14
66avg 85
H16/12
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
W
90-84
90
84
+6
94avg 85
A03/01
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#6
W
99-46
99
46
+53
94avg 85
H10/01
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
87-42
87
42
+45
86avg 85
A13/01
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
W
74-63
74
63
+11
68avg 85
H24/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
W
77-66
77
66
+11
70avg 85
A28/01
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
W
90-68
90
68
+22
93avg 85
A03/02
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
W
95-69
95
69
+26
90avg 85
H17/02
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
74-84
74
84
-10
67avg 85
A23/02
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-7
37-20
30-17
24-19
20-11
24-14
19-19
10-15
22-22
24-20
25-22
19-20
29-9
25-9
20-14
25-14
26-9
17-15
26-11
18-7
20-14
8-18
26-15
20-16
15-20
15-11
22-16
25-19
19-24
25-10
26-16
20-18
29-24
23-11
24-15
19-19
13-23
27-15
19-30
15-16
151.7Avg total
87.3Scored
64.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)87.460.5147.8+26.994%
Season at home (9)90.959.0149.9+31.9100%
Season away (8)83.462.1145.5+21.288%
Last 10 (10)87.364.4151.7+22.990%
Last 5 (5)82.070.0152.0+12.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)64.080.6144.6-16.620%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (25)86.862.0148.8+24.888%
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hogsbo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Uppsala W
#4
L
59-79
59
79
-20
49avg 64
A09/12
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#6
W
77-74
77
74
+3
71avg 64
H15/12
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
95-76
95
76
+19
92avg 64
A03/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
56-88
56
88
-32
33avg 64
H13/01
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
W
86-82
86
82
+4
79avg 64
A24/01
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
W
87-64
87
64
+23
91avg 64
H27/01
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
61-73
61
73
-12
47avg 64
A02/02
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
L
59-71
59
71
-12
50avg 64
A03/02
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
W
72-45
72
45
+27
72avg 64
A15/02
Basketligan W
Lund W
#10
W
103-70
103
70
+33
80avg 64
H24/02
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
13-22
11-21
17-22
14-13
16-20
28-13
19-28
22-14
26-22
20-21
27-19
20-20
6-19
19-26
11-23
19-25
23-14
23-18
21-25
19-12
18-21
18-14
32-17
13-20
17-15
21-28
10-10
12-19
19-17
11-12
17-23
13-11
18-17
14-10
27-7
28-16
25-14
25-15
25-25
147.7Avg total
75.5Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)72.572.5144.9+0.053%
Season at home (8)74.074.0148.0+0.062%
Season away (9)71.171.1142.2+0.044%
Last 10 (10)75.572.2147.7+3.360%
Last 5 (5)76.464.6141.0+11.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)63.484.4147.8-21.017%
vs Similar (1)59.079.0138.0-20.00%
vs Weaker (11)79.668.3147.9+11.482%
This opponent (Sodertalje W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +8.2+8.2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +6.2+6.2Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +0.7+0.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +8.2+8.2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +6.2+6.2Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +0.7+0.7
Sodertalje WHogsbo W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sodertalje WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lund W
#10
W
60-27
60
27
+33
H09/12
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H16/12
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A03/01
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#6
W
54-18
54
18
+36
H10/01
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
43-24
43
24
+19
A13/01
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H24/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A28/01
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A03/02
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H17/02
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A23/02
Basketligan W
74.7Avg total
44.1Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.032.274.2+9.770%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.831.677.4+14.175%-
Last 30 away (14)37.632.970.6+4.764%-
Last 10 (10)44.130.674.7+13.580%-
Last 5 (5)38.834.072.8+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.039.670.6-8.60%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (25)44.230.874.9+13.484%-
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hogsbo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uppsala W
#4
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A09/12
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#6
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H15/12
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A03/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H13/01
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A24/01
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H27/01
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A02/02
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A03/02
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A15/02
Basketligan W
Lund W
#10
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H24/02
Basketligan W
70.4Avg total
35.9Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.737.672.3-2.937%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.736.970.6-3.129%-
Last 30 away (16)35.538.273.8-2.844%-
Last 10 (10)35.934.570.4+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)36.432.468.8+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)32.240.472.6-8.217%-
vs Similar (1)31.036.067.0-5.00%-
vs Weaker (11)39.133.272.3+5.973%-
This opponent (Sodertalje W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sodertalje Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sodertalje W: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.923.9
57.0%
44.5%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.4
34.7%
30.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws17.414.0
80.5%
73.7%14.0
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hogsbo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo W: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.518.4
40.4%
44.5%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.28.4
30.9%
30.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws14.912.5
83.9%
73.7%12.5
They take 72.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sodertalje W
LWWWWWWWWW
Hogsbo W
WWLLWWLWWL
#1
League position
#7
+31.7
Net rating
+3.6
116.9
Offensive rating
96.4
85.2
Defensive rating
92.7
55.2%
Effective FG%
42.6%
43.5%
Opp. effective FG%
45.2%
18.0%
Turnover %
19.6%
35.6%
Off. rebound %
37.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.20
34.7%
3-point %
30.9%
63.5%
Assist %
71.3%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence116.9 · 96.4Defence85.2 · 92.7Shooting55.2% · 42.6%3-point %34.7% · 30.9%Ball care18.0% · 19.6%Off. rebounds35.6% · 37.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Sodertalje W   ■ Hogsbo W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Sodertalje W wins
4
Hogsbo W wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/24ALulea W74-84
17/02/24HAIK Basket W95-69
03/02/24AAlvik W90-68
28/01/24ANorrkoping W77-66
24/01/24HOstersund W74-63
13/01/24AVisby W87-42
10/01/24HMarbo W99-46
03/01/24AUppsala W90-84
16/12/23HSjuharads W73-59
09/12/23HLund W114-63
Hogsbo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/24HLund W103-70
15/02/24ASjuharads W72-45
03/02/24AOstersund W59-71
02/02/24ALulea W61-73
27/01/24HAIK Basket W87-64
24/01/24AAlvik W86-82
13/01/24HNorrkoping W56-88
03/01/24AVisby W95-76
15/12/23HMarbo W77-74
09/12/23AUppsala W59-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sodertalje W
Basketligan W 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL94%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %94%100%88%
Points / game87.490.983.4
Allowed / game60.559.062.1
Point differential+26.9+31.9+21.2
Avg total147.8149.9145.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+88%100%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hogsbo W
Basketligan W 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW53%
HomeLWLWW62%
AwayWWLLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %53%62%44%
Points / game72.574.071.1
Allowed / game72.574.071.1
Point differential+0.0+0.0+0.0
Avg total144.9148.0142.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%50%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sodertalje W1716194%87.460.5+26.9
2 Lulea W1816289%82.557.4+25.1
3 Norrkoping W1714382%82.164.2+17.9
4 Uppsala W1812667%78.671.4+7.1
5 Ostersund W1610662%75.466.8+8.7
6 Hogsbo W179853%72.572.5+0.0
7 Marbo W1661038%66.576.7-10.2
8 Alvik W1761135%73.680.8-7.2
9 Sjuharads W1751229%60.466.3-5.9
10 Lund W1751229%68.886.5-17.8
11 Visby W1721512%61.184.5-23.4
12 AIK Basket W171166%60.883.9-23.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sodertalje W2116182479
Hogsbo W1413191359
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