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Maroussi vs PAOK Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 87-97
20-31 17-28 28-21 22-17
Position#12
Record2-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game91.0
vs
PAOK 🏆
Greece
Position#3
Record6-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game79.0
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 10· Dimotiko Gimnastirio Amarousiou
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Maroussi v PAOK
19 Dec 2026
MAR v PAK
upcoming
14 Dec 2025
MAR87
PAK97
02 Nov 2024
MAR80
PAK81
14 Oct 2023
MAR75
PAK80
19 Nov 2011
MAR69
PAK71
18 Dec 2010
MAR81
PAK76
07 Nov 2009
MAR78
PAK74
07 Mar 2009
MAR87
PAK76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maroussi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
PAOK winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MaroussiGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMaroussi
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#12
W
95-81
95
81
+14
93avg 76
A10/05
Basket League
Aris
#7
L
109-114 OT
109
114
-5
107avg 76
A17/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
81-100
81
100
-19
74avg 76
H05/10
Basket League
Promitheas
#9
L
88-93
88
93
-5
84avg 76
A11/10
Basket League
Aris
#5
W
108-103 OT
108
103
+5
100avg 76
H18/10
Basket League
Mykonos
#7
L
75-77
75
77
-2
64avg 76
A02/11
Basket League
Panionios
#13
W
92-80
92
80
+12
89avg 76
A08/11
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
L
82-103
82
103
-21
74avg 76
H15/11
Basket League
Iraklis
#8
L
87-92
87
92
-5
77avg 76
H23/11
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
78-80
78
80
-2
71avg 76
A06/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
22-22
23-17
27-16
24-18
16-26
26-23
34-33
28-25
14-28
17-29
22-18
23-16
14-26
32-25
19-26
19-18
27-19
20-16
17-30
16-20
18-20
17-23
24-14
20-19
23-17
18-25
31-19
24-28
19-20
28-29
11-26
20-23
26-20
17-25
24-24
17-23
26-17
13-30
22-10
181.8Avg total
89.5Scored
92.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)86.491.0177.4-4.625%
Season at home (4)89.599.5189.0-10.025%
Season away (4)83.282.5165.8+0.825%
Last 10 (10)89.592.3181.8-2.830%
Last 5 (5)82.886.4169.2-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)83.697.4181.0-13.718%
vs Similar (19)82.682.2164.8+0.542%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#6
W
87-73
87
73
+14
78avg 76
H25/10
Basket League
Basketball Braunschweig
#6
L
79-88
79
88
-9
69avg 76
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Aris
#5
W
78-73
78
73
+5
72avg 76
A01/11
Basket League
Trepca
#41
W
77-75
77
75
+2
70avg 76
A05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Athens
#4
W
78-76
78
76
+2
73avg 76
A09/11
Basket League
Anwil Wloclawek
#13
W
104-96
104
96
+8
102avg 76
H12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#6
W
88-87
88
87
+1
89avg 76
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
81-92
81
92
-11
72avg 76
H23/11
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
82-70
82
70
+12
72avg 76
H06/12
Basket League
BC Prievidza
#22
W
101-70
101
70
+31
102avg 76
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-14
25-24
25-19
16-16
18-18
23-25
18-22
20-23
14-13
27-20
19-23
18-17
16-16
21-22
20-16
20-21
18-23
13-17
27-14
20-22
29-21
26-21
25-33
24-21
30-23
20-18
13-17
25-29
17-23
24-25
15-25
25-19
16-16
27-18
21-17
18-19
19-25
28-21
27-15
27-9
165.5Avg total
85.5Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.079.0160.0+2.075%
Season at home (4)83.579.2162.8+4.275%
Season away (4)78.578.8157.2-0.275%
Last 10 (10)85.580.0165.5+5.580%
Last 5 (5)91.283.0174.2+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)82.984.8167.7-1.933%
vs Similar (14)83.182.4165.5+0.664%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)84.074.0158.0+10.0100%
This opponent (Maroussi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +1.7+1.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +1.7+1.7
MaroussiPAOK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MaroussiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#12
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A10/05
Basket League
Aris
#7
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A17/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H05/10
Basket League
Promitheas
#9
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A11/10
Basket League
Aris
#5
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H18/10
Basket League
Mykonos
#7
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A02/11
Basket League
Panionios
#13
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A08/11
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H15/11
Basket League
Iraklis
#8
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H23/11
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A06/12
Basket League
85.0Avg total
41.9Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.742.383.9-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.842.184.8+0.746%-
Last 30 away (17)40.842.483.2-1.641%-
Last 10 (10)41.943.185.0-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)41.841.483.2+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)43.947.591.4-3.536%-
vs Similar (19)40.439.379.6+1.147%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#6
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H25/10
Basket League
Basketball Braunschweig
#6
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Aris
#5
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A01/11
Basket League
Trepca
#41
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Athens
#4
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A09/11
Basket League
Anwil Wloclawek
#13
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#6
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H23/11
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H06/12
Basket League
BC Prievidza
#22
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
83.5Avg total
43.2Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.340.981.2-0.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.538.982.4+4.780%-
Last 30 away (15)37.143.080.1-5.927%-
Last 10 (10)43.240.383.5+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)47.242.289.4+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.943.279.1-7.322%-
vs Similar (14)42.140.782.9+1.464%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)41.839.781.5+2.267%-
This opponent (Maroussi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Maroussitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maroussi: 88.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.021.4
53.5%
54.1%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.410.3
36.3%
34.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws21.314.6
68.5%
74.4%14.6
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.9
54.3%
54.1%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.5
35.1%
34.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.214.4
79.1%
74.4%14.4
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Maroussi
LLLWLWLLLW
PAOK
WWLWWWWWLW
#12
League position
#3
-4.5
Net rating
+8.0
110.7
Offensive rating
114.6
115.2
Defensive rating
106.6
53.9%
Effective FG%
53.6%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
17.5%
Turnover %
15.8%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
32.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.3%
3-point %
35.1%
61.5%
Assist %
63.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence110.7 · 114.6Defence115.2 · 106.6Shooting53.9% · 53.6%3-point %36.3% · 35.1%Ball care17.5% · 15.8%Off. rebounds31.0% · 32.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Maroussi   ■ PAOK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Maroussi wins
8
PAOK wins
DateGameScore
25/01/25PAOK v Maroussi93-84
02/11/24Maroussi v PAOK80-81
27/04/24PAOK v Maroussi77-62
06/01/24PAOK v Maroussi79-85
14/10/23Maroussi v PAOK75-80
11/02/12PAOK v Maroussi86-82
19/11/11Maroussi v PAOK69-71
27/03/11PAOK v Maroussi75-72
18/12/10Maroussi v PAOK81-76 OT
14/02/10PAOK v Maroussi84-73
Maroussilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25APeristeri78-80
23/11/25HIraklis87-92
15/11/25HAEK Athens82-103
08/11/25APanionios92-80
02/11/25AMykonos75-77
18/10/25HAris108-103 OT
11/10/25APromitheas88-93
05/10/25HOlympiacos81-100
17/05/25AAris109-114 OT
10/05/25ALavrio95-81
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/25HBC Prievidza101-70
06/12/25HKolossos Rhodes82-70
23/11/25HOlympiacos81-92
19/11/25HBasketball Braunschweig88-87
12/11/25HAnwil Wloclawek104-96
09/11/25AAEK Athens78-76
05/11/25ATrepca77-75
01/11/25AAris78-73
29/10/25ABasketball Braunschweig79-88
25/10/25HPeristeri87-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maroussi
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL25%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game86.489.583.2
Allowed / game91.099.582.5
Point differential-4.6-10.0+0.8
Avg total177.4189.0165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %12%25%0%
PAOK
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW75%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game81.083.578.5
Allowed / game79.079.278.8
Point differential+2.0+4.2-0.2
Avg total160.0162.8157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos990100%94.178.3+15.8
2 Panathinaikos98189%91.172.6+18.6
3 PAOK86275%81.079.0+2.0
4 Peristeri85362%79.278.0+1.2
5 AEK Athens95456%82.280.1+2.1
6 Promitheas105550%84.384.9-0.6
7 Aris94544%82.380.7+1.7
8 Iraklis94544%82.083.1-1.1
9 Mykonos94544%75.081.0-6.0
10 AS Karditsas93633%78.984.8-5.9
11 Maroussi82625%86.491.0-4.6
12 Kolossos Rhodes92722%74.481.1-6.7
13 Panionios101910%77.492.3-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Maroussi2017282287
PAOK3128211797
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