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Maroussi vs PAOK Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 19 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#11
Record1-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.5/10
Below normal
2.8/10
🧊 Cold
Position#2
Record5-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game71.4
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 11· Dimotiko Gimnastirio Amarousiou
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Maroussi v PAOK
19 Dec 2026
MAR v PAK
upcoming
14 Dec 2025
MAR87
PAK97
02 Nov 2024
MAR80
PAK81
14 Oct 2023
MAR75
PAK80
19 Nov 2011
MAR69
PAK71
18 Dec 2010
MAR81
PAK76
07 Nov 2009
MAR78
PAK74
07 Mar 2009
MAR87
PAK76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maroussi win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
PAOK win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MaroussiGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMaroussi
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#6
L
61-84
61
84
-23
55avg 76
H14/03
Basket League
Mykonos
#7
L
94-103
94
103
-9
84avg 76
H21/03
Basket League
Iraklis
#8
W
91-72
91
72
+19
86avg 76
A29/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
108-93
108
93
+15
100avg 76
H18/04
Basket League
PAOK
#3
L
85-101
85
101
-16
72avg 76
A25/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#9
L
70-91
70
91
-21
64avg 76
A03/10
Basket League
Mykonos
#12
L
79-82
79
82
-3
71avg 76
H10/10
Basket League
Aris
#4
L
57-74
57
74
-17
49avg 76
A17/10
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
81-83
81
83
-2
68avg 76
A24/10
Basket League
Promitheas
#14
W
87-76
87
76
+11
90avg 76
H31/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-18
19-19
11-28
19-19
29-21
23-25
16-31
26-26
21-26
27-21
21-12
22-13
25-23
29-17
29-27
25-26
20-28
26-26
24-26
15-21
12-18
22-28
16-18
20-27
22-21
20-15
21-28
16-18
13-15
15-22
15-23
14-14
23-23
22-24
14-13
22-23
25-9
22-12
23-23
17-32
167.2Avg total
81.3Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)74.881.2156.0-6.420%
Season at home (2)83.079.0162.0+4.050%
Season away (3)69.382.7152.0-13.30%
Last 10 (10)81.385.9167.2-4.630%
Last 5 (5)74.881.2156.0-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)80.694.0174.6-13.48%
vs Similar (16)88.089.6177.6-1.631%
vs Weaker (1)87.076.0163.0+11.0100%
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Mykonos
#12
W
88-85
88
85
+3
81avg 79
A03/10
Basket League
KK Bosna
#21
W
75-72
75
72
+3
67avg 79
A06/10
Eurocup
Lefkadas
#7
W
86-73
86
73
+13
77avg 79
H10/10
Basket League
Lietkabelis
#17
L
86-95
86
95
-9
76avg 79
A13/10
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
88-84
88
84
+4
88avg 79
A17/10
Basket League
Ulm
#14
W
87-78
87
78
+9
78avg 79
H21/10
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#9
W
65-62
65
62
+3
53avg 79
H24/10
Basket League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
81-84
81
84
-3
77avg 79
A27/10
Eurocup
Iraklis
#10
W
63-53
63
53
+10
58avg 79
A31/10
Basket League
BC Roma
#24
W
113-111
113
111
+2
no box
H03/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
18-20
28-21
28-27
22-18
18-17
19-26
16-11
22-18
20-13
22-23
22-19
22-23
18-27
24-24
22-21
19-21
28-26
15-19
26-18
19-20
27-22
13-13
28-23
20-15
5-14
22-15
18-18
23-26
17-26
18-11
23-21
19-17
15-14
13-11
16-11
29-22
32-38
31-26
21-25
162.9Avg total
83.2Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.071.4149.4+6.6100%
Season at home (2)75.567.5143.0+8.0100%
Season away (3)79.774.0153.7+5.7100%
Last 10 (10)83.279.7162.9+3.580%
Last 5 (5)81.877.6159.4+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)83.490.5173.9-7.125%
vs Similar (9)84.279.1163.3+5.167%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)87.279.9167.2+7.392%
This opponent (Maroussi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +2.6+2.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +2.6+2.6
MaroussiPAOK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MaroussiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#6
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H14/03
Basket League
Mykonos
#7
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H21/03
Basket League
Iraklis
#8
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A29/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H18/04
Basket League
PAOK
#3
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A25/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#9
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A03/10
Basket League
Mykonos
#12
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H10/10
Basket League
Aris
#4
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A17/10
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A24/10
Basket League
Promitheas
#14
W
47-21
47
21
+26
H31/10
Basket League
83.8Avg total
42.7Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.344.286.5-1.940%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.943.588.4+1.457%-
Last 30 away (16)40.044.884.8-4.825%-
Last 10 (10)42.741.183.8+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)39.237.476.6+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)40.547.387.8-6.823%-
vs Similar (16)43.443.186.6+0.350%-
vs Weaker (1)47.021.068.0+26.0100%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mykonos
#12
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A03/10
Basket League
KK Bosna
#21
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A06/10
Eurocup
Lefkadas
#7
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H10/10
Basket League
Lietkabelis
#17
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A13/10
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A17/10
Basket League
Ulm
#14
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H21/10
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#9
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H24/10
Basket League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A27/10
Eurocup
Iraklis
#10
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A31/10
Basket League
BC Roma
#24
W
61-60
61
60
+1
H03/11
Eurocup
82.1Avg total
40.7Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.241.083.2+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.440.786.1+4.769%-
Last 30 away (14)38.641.480.0-2.936%-
Last 10 (10)40.741.482.1-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)41.242.884.0-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.043.884.8-2.838%-
vs Similar (9)41.739.381.0+2.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)43.340.583.8+2.854%-
This opponent (Maroussi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Maroussitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maroussi: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.520.3
54.1%
50.6%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.0
29.6%
34.1%24.0
🏀 Free throws21.516.5
76.7%
71.2%16.5
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.818.5
58.2%
50.6%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.5
31.7%
34.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws24.918.5
74.3%
71.2%18.5
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Maroussi
WLLLLLWWLL
PAOK
WWLWWWLWWW
#11
League position
#2
-5.1
Net rating
+5.7
92.3
Offensive rating
100.7
97.4
Defensive rating
94.9
50.1%
Effective FG%
53.3%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
16.7%
Turnover %
15.8%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.42
29.6%
3-point %
31.7%
62.5%
Assist %
55.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence92.3 · 100.7Defence97.4 · 94.9Shooting50.1% · 53.3%3-point %29.6% · 31.7%Ball care16.7% · 15.8%Free throws0.33 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Maroussi   ■ PAOK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Maroussi wins
9
PAOK wins
DateGameScore
25/04/26PAOK v Maroussi101-85
14/12/25Maroussi v PAOK87-97
25/01/25PAOK v Maroussi93-84
02/11/24Maroussi v PAOK80-81
27/04/24PAOK v Maroussi77-62
06/01/24PAOK v Maroussi79-85
14/10/23Maroussi v PAOK75-80
11/02/12PAOK v Maroussi86-82
19/11/11Maroussi v PAOK69-71
27/03/11PAOK v Maroussi75-72
Maroussilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HPromitheas87-76
24/10/26APeristeri81-83
17/10/26AAris57-74
10/10/26HMykonos79-82
03/10/26AAEK Athens70-91
25/04/26APAOK85-101
18/04/26HKolossos Rhodes108-93
29/03/26AIraklis91-72
21/03/26HMykonos94-103
14/03/26HPeristeri61-84
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26HBC Roma113-111
31/10/26AIraklis63-53
27/10/26ABahcesehir Kol.81-84
24/10/26HAEK Athens65-62
21/10/26HUlm87-78
17/10/26AKolossos Rhodes88-84
13/10/26ALietkabelis86-95
10/10/26HLefkadas86-73
06/10/26AKK Bosna75-72
03/10/26AMykonos88-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maroussi
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW20%
HomeLW50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%50%0%
Points / game74.883.069.3
Allowed / game81.279.082.7
Point differential-6.4+4.0-13.3
Avg total156.0162.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
PAOK
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game78.075.579.7
Allowed / game71.467.574.0
Point differential+6.6+8.0+5.7
Avg total149.4143.0153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos550100%86.465.2+21.2
2 PAOK550100%78.071.4+6.6
3 Panathinaikos54180%90.274.6+15.6
4 Aris54180%83.870.4+13.4
5 AS Karditsas53260%71.471.2+0.2
6 Peristeri53260%81.088.8-7.8
7 Lefkadas52340%78.880.4-1.6
8 Kolossos Rhodes52340%80.682.6-2.0
9 AEK Athens52340%75.879.4-3.6
10 Iraklis51420%73.475.8-2.4
11 Maroussi51420%74.881.2-6.4
12 Mykonos51420%75.482.4-7.0
13 Vikos51420%76.286.2-10.0
14 Promitheas51420%69.685.8-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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