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Marquette vs Dayton Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 71-77 (OT)
34-39 34-29 3-9
Position#290
Record3-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game74.6
vs
Dayton 🏆
USA
Position#65
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game68.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Marquette winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dayton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MarquetteUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uconn
#63
L
66-72
66
72
-6
A06/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#10
L
84-86 OT
84
86
-2
H08/03
NCAA
Xavier
#82
W
89-87
89
87
+2
A13/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#10
L
63-79
63
79
-16
A14/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
66-75
66
75
-9
H21/03
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#312
W
80-53
80
53
+27
H04/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#210
W
100-82
100
82
+18
H06/11
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
77-100
77
100
-23
A09/11
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
89-49
89
49
+40
H13/11
NCAA
Maryland
#305
L
82-89
82
89
-7
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-33
29-39
35-36
40-39
36-46
53-41
37-35
26-44
32-35
34-40
30-21
50-32
43-37
57-45
38-56
39-44
46-29
43-20
42-42
40-47
156.8Avg total
79.6Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)85.674.6160.2+11.060%
Season at home (4)87.868.2156.0+19.575%
Season away (1)77.0100.0177.0-23.00%
Last 10 (10)79.677.2156.8+2.440%
Last 5 (5)85.674.6160.2+11.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)72.083.8155.8-11.80%
vs Similar (15)75.971.5147.3+4.453%
vs Weaker (11)78.164.8142.9+13.391%
This opponent (Dayton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Richmond Spiders
#327
W
74-64 OT
74
64
+10
H01/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#140
W
75-67
75
67
+8
H05/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#18
W
79-76
79
76
+3
A08/03
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#90
L
68-73 OT
68
73
-5
H14/03
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#20
W
86-79
86
79
+7
H19/03
NIT
Chattanooga Mocs
#1
L
72-87
72
87
-15
A22/03
NIT
Canisius
#327
W
88-48
88
48
+40
H04/11
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#43
W
77-71
77
71
+6
H08/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
62-74
62
74
-12
A12/11
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#185
W
91-82
91
82
+9
H16/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
24-26
0-0
24-22
0-0
28-41
0-0
47-26
0-0
28-27
0-0
51-49
0-0
24-33
0-0
36-27
0-0
44-38
0-0
42-41
0-0
34-42
0-0
38-45
0-0
51-27
0-0
37-21
0-0
41-37
0-0
36-34
0-0
26-33
0-0
36-41
0-0
45-39
0-0
46-43
149.3Avg total
77.2Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.568.8148.2+10.875%
Season at home (3)85.367.0152.3+18.3100%
Season away (1)62.074.0136.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)77.272.1149.3+5.170%
Last 5 (5)78.072.4150.4+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.076.8150.8-2.850%
vs Similar (16)70.371.1141.4-0.856%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)81.268.0149.2+13.289%
This opponent (Marquette) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.6+0.61st half: +0.2+0.22nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: +4.4+4.4
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.6+0.61st half: +0.2+0.22nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: +4.4+4.4
MarquetteDayton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MarquetteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uconn
#63
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A06/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#10
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H08/03
NCAA
Xavier
#82
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A13/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#10
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A14/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H21/03
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#312
W
30-21
30
21
+9
H04/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#210
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H06/11
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
38-56
38
56
-18
A09/11
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H13/11
NCAA
Maryland
#305
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H15/11
NCAA
74.6Avg total
37.6Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.834.069.8+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.733.669.2+2.150%-
Last 30 away (14)36.034.470.4+1.657%-
Last 10 (10)37.637.074.6+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)39.837.076.8+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)35.239.274.5-4.050%-
vs Similar (15)34.734.369.1+0.453%-
vs Weaker (11)37.531.569.1+6.055%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Richmond Spiders
#327
L
24-26
24
26
-2
H01/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#140
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H05/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#18
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A08/03
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#90
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H14/03
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#20
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H19/03
NIT
Chattanooga Mocs
#1
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A22/03
NIT
Canisius
#327
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H04/11
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#43
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H08/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A12/11
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#185
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H16/11
NCAA
68.8Avg total
34.5Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.732.966.6+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (19)33.231.865.1+1.447%-
Last 30 away (11)34.534.769.2-0.345%-
Last 10 (10)34.534.368.8+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)39.435.675.0+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.834.267.0-1.550%-
vs Similar (16)30.832.963.7-2.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)38.131.769.8+6.456%-
This opponent (Marquette) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Marquette wins
1
Dayton wins
DateGameScore
15/12/24Dayton v Marquette71-63
Marquettelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25HMaryland82-89
13/11/25HUALR89-49
09/11/25AIndiana77-100
06/11/25HSouthern Univ.100-82
04/11/25HAlbany Great Danes80-53
21/03/25HNew Mexico66-75
14/03/25ASt. John's (N.Y.)63-79
13/03/25AXavier89-87
08/03/25HSt. John's (N.Y.)84-86 OT
06/03/25AUconn66-72
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/25HBethune-Cookman91-82
12/11/25ACincinnati62-74
08/11/25HUMBC Retrievers77-71
04/11/25HCanisius88-48
22/03/25AChattanooga Mocs72-87
19/03/25HFlorida Atlantic86-79
14/03/25HSaint Josephs Hawks68-73 OT
08/03/25AVCU Rams79-76
05/03/25HSt. Louis Billikens75-67
01/03/25HRichmond Spiders74-64 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Marquette
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL60%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %60%75%0%
Points / game85.687.877.0
Allowed / game74.668.2100.0
Point differential+11.0+19.5-23.0
Avg total160.2156.0177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dayton
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game79.585.362.0
Allowed / game68.867.074.0
Point differential+10.8+18.3-12.0
Avg total148.2152.3136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Seton Hall550100%73.054.6+18.4
2 Georgetown440100%79.868.5+11.2
3 Uconn54180%86.263.8+22.4
4 Villanova54180%82.267.4+14.8
5 Butler43175%95.872.8+23.0
6 St. John's (N.Y.)32167%99.079.0+20.0
7 Creighton32167%79.770.3+9.3
8 Marquette53260%85.674.6+11.0
9 DePaul53260%77.867.0+10.8
10 Providence53260%96.486.0+10.4
11 Xavier53260%73.873.6+0.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Louis Billikens440100%96.870.8+26.0
2 George Washington550100%91.666.8+24.8
3 Richmond Spiders440100%87.067.0+20.0
4 George Mason550100%78.459.8+18.6
5 Davidson440100%83.868.5+15.2
6 St. Bonaventure440100%79.269.8+9.5
7 Rhode Island54180%80.867.8+13.0
8 Duquesne54180%86.277.8+8.4
9 Dayton43175%79.568.8+10.8
10 Fordham53260%79.461.6+17.8
11 VCU Rams42250%84.275.0+9.2
12 Saint Josephs Hawks42250%73.579.5-6.0
13 La Salle52340%69.472.4-3.0
14 Loyola Chicago51420%71.880.0-8.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Marquette3434371
Dayton3929977
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