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Marshall vs Morehead State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 80-77
45-35 35-42
Position#124
Record4-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game70.7
vs
Position#232
Record3-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game65.0
Allowed / game72.1
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Marshall v Morehead State
04 Dec 2024
MARS80
MORE77
26 Nov 2022
MARS83
MORE59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Marshall winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Morehead State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MarshallUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia State
#252
L
79-82
79
82
-3
A02/03
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
W
86-74
86
74
+12
A08/03
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
64-81
64
81
-17
A10/03
NCAA
Davis & Elkins
#493
W
90-57
90
57
+33
H05/11
NCAA
Toledo
#167
L
80-90
80
90
-10
H09/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#322
W
77-63
77
63
+14
H12/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#362
W
83-62
83
62
+21
H17/11
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
45-80
45
80
-35
A23/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#119
W
82-53
82
53
+29
H28/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
L
82-90
82
90
-8
A01/12
NCAA
1H
2H
42-46
37-36
41-36
45-38
29-44
35-37
37-24
53-33
41-47
39-43
38-19
39-44
34-34
49-28
24-39
21-41
46-21
36-32
40-36
42-54
150.0Avg total
76.8Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)77.070.7147.7+6.357%
Season at home (5)82.465.0147.4+17.480%
Season away (2)63.585.0148.5-21.50%
Last 10 (10)76.873.2150.0+3.650%
Last 5 (5)73.869.6143.4+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)68.971.8140.7-2.838%
vs Similar (12)74.578.6153.1-4.142%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)80.071.7151.7+8.367%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Martin
#82
W
84-78
84
78
+6
A09/03
NCAA
UALR
#90
W
69-55
69
55
+14
A10/03
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
69-85
69
85
-16
A21/03
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
45-93
45
93
-48
A05/11
NCAA
Boyce
#554
W
89-48
89
48
+41
H07/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#159
L
56-83
56
83
-27
A09/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
L
62-76
62
76
-14
A15/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#275
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H21/11
NCAA
NJIT
#353
L
69-78
69
78
-9
H27/11
NCAA
Cleveland State
#95
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A29/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-41
47-37
32-27
37-28
38-39
31-46
14-41
31-52
45-26
44-22
19-37
37-46
37-37
25-39
30-26
33-32
32-31
37-47
47-32
24-37
140.0Avg total
67.7Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)65.072.1137.1-7.143%
Season at home (3)73.761.3135.0+12.367%
Season away (4)58.580.2138.8-21.825%
Last 10 (10)67.772.3140.0-4.650%
Last 5 (5)64.272.8137.0-8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)58.580.2138.8-21.825%
vs Similar (2)66.071.5137.5-5.550%
vs Weaker (23)74.962.1137.0+12.878%
This opponent (Marshall) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +2.6+2.61st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: +1.0+1.02nd half: -4.0-4.0
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +2.6+2.61st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: +1.0+1.02nd half: -4.0-4.0
MarshallMorehead State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MarshallLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia State
#252
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A02/03
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A08/03
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A10/03
NCAA
Davis & Elkins
#493
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H05/11
NCAA
Toledo
#167
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H09/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#322
W
38-19
38
19
+19
H12/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#362
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H17/11
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A23/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#119
W
46-21
46
21
+25
H28/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A01/12
NCAA
71.8Avg total
37.2Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.034.470.4+1.640%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.232.669.8+4.647%-
Last 30 away (13)34.436.771.1-2.331%-
Last 10 (10)37.234.671.8+2.650%-
Last 5 (5)36.429.866.2+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)32.833.966.8-1.131%-
vs Similar (12)38.136.975.0+1.242%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)37.733.371.0+4.333%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Martin
#82
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A09/03
NCAA
UALR
#90
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A10/03
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A21/03
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
14-41
14
41
-27
A05/11
NCAA
Boyce
#554
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H07/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#159
L
19-37
19
37
-18
A09/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A15/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#275
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H21/11
NCAA
NJIT
#353
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H27/11
NCAA
Cleveland State
#95
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A29/11
NCAA
66.8Avg total
33.1Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.829.464.1+5.473%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.726.463.1+10.4100%-
Last 30 away (16)33.132.065.1+1.150%-
Last 10 (10)33.133.766.8-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)33.032.665.6+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)29.236.866.0-7.525%-
vs Similar (2)34.032.566.5+1.550%-
vs Weaker (23)35.328.063.3+7.483%-
This opponent (Marshall) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Marshall wins
0
Morehead State wins
DateGameScore
27/11/22Marshall v Morehead State83-59
17/12/19Morehead State v Marshall62-89
Marshalllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/24AWestern Kentucky82-90
28/11/24HSouth Carolina St82-53
23/11/24APurdue45-80
17/11/24HBellarmine83-62
12/11/24HSouthern Indiana77-63
09/11/24HToledo80-90
05/11/24HDavis & Elkins90-57
10/03/24AJames Madison64-81
08/03/24AGeorgia State86-74
02/03/24AGeorgia State79-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/24ACleveland State71-69
27/11/24HNJIT69-78
21/11/24HAustin Peay63-58
15/11/24AChattanooga Mocs62-76
09/11/24ACincinnati56-83
07/11/24HBoyce89-48
05/11/24ALouisville45-93
21/03/24AIllinois69-85
10/03/24AUALR69-55
09/03/24AUT Martin84-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Marshall
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL57%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %57%80%0%
Points / game77.082.463.5
Allowed / game70.765.085.0
Point differential+6.3+17.4-21.5
Avg total147.7147.4148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Morehead State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW43%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%67%25%
Points / game65.073.758.5
Allowed / game72.161.380.2
Point differential-7.1+12.3-21.8
Avg total137.1135.0138.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Appalachian State96367%72.864.3+8.4
2 South Alabama85362%73.165.1+8.0
3 Arkansas State85362%77.569.9+7.6
4 Texas State85362%74.267.5+6.8
5 Troy85362%74.270.6+3.6
6 Georgia Southern85362%76.275.6+0.6
7 Marshall74357%77.070.7+6.3
8 James Madison95456%76.669.6+7.0
9 Georgia State84450%75.477.8-2.4
10 Coastal Carolina73443%65.165.3-0.1
11 Southern Miss73443%77.179.7-2.6
12 Old Dominion93633%67.378.1-10.8
13 Louisiana Monroe103730%71.970.9+1.0
14 Louisiana Lafayette81712%69.881.9-12.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siu Edwardsville95456%73.267.9+5.3
2 Southern Indiana84450%79.875.0+4.8
3 Western Illinois84450%65.969.6-3.8
4 UALR84450%68.172.1-4.0
5 Tennessee Tech84450%73.578.2-4.8
6 Southeast Missouri State73443%76.071.7+4.3
7 Morehead State73443%65.072.1-7.1
8 Tennessee State93633%83.777.8+5.9
9 Lindenwood72529%69.372.0-2.7
10 UT Martin82625%68.173.0-4.9
11 Eastern Illinois82625%66.177.6-11.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Marshall453580
Morehead State354277
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