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Marsonia vs KK Zagreb Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 86-81
19-19 14-19 23-28 30-15
Position#9
Record4-8
FormWWWWL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game76.5
vs
Position#7
Record9-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game76.7
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 13
Other2025-26
Meetings · Marsonia v KK Zagreb
17 Jan 2026
MARS86
KK Z81
01 Dec 2024
MARS77
KK Z76
12 Nov 2023
MARS71
KK Z77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Marsonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
KK Zagreb winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MarsoniaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMarsonia
Date
Competition
Jazine
#6
L
55-63
55
63
-8
40avg 69
H25/10
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
L
69-102
69
102
-33
59avg 69
A31/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
L
67-72
67
72
-5
56avg 69
H09/11
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
61-85
61
85
-24
45avg 69
A15/11
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
L
73-76
73
76
-3
63avg 69
H23/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#5
W
85-69
85
69
+16
82avg 69
A30/11
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
83-70
83
70
+13
78avg 69
H07/12
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
76-64
76
64
+12
75avg 69
A14/12
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
123-67
123
67
+56
131avg 69
H20/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
L
83-86
83
86
-3
71avg 69
A11/01
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-15
12-20
14-16
15-12
14-24
14-19
21-31
20-28
16-13
15-14
13-24
23-21
12-22
8-17
18-25
23-21
25-15
20-21
7-20
21-20
21-21
17-23
26-16
21-9
15-22
23-20
26-15
19-13
23-17
23-19
14-11
16-17
35-8
28-18
30-25
30-16
11-23
16-22
25-25
31-16
152.9Avg total
77.5Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)76.376.5152.8-0.233%
Season at home (5)80.269.6149.8+10.640%
Season away (7)73.681.4155.0-7.929%
Last 10 (10)77.575.4152.9+2.140%
Last 5 (5)90.071.2161.2+18.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)74.585.5160.0-11.020%
vs Similar ◀ (12)83.783.2166.9+0.442%
vs Weaker (8)89.474.9164.2+14.575%
This opponent (KK Zagreb) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KK ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZagreb
Date
Competition
Mladost
#3
W
72-67 OT
72
67
+5
65avg 75
H25/10
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
70-89
70
89
-19
65avg 75
A31/10
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
61-54
61
54
+7
58avg 75
H08/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#5
L
61-88
61
88
-27
43avg 75
A15/11
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
66-58
66
58
+8
63avg 75
H22/11
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
97-93
97
93
+4
96avg 75
A30/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
106-92
106
92
+14
110avg 75
A07/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
85-66
85
66
+19
80avg 75
A13/12
Prva Liga
Kastela
#2
W
70-65
70
65
+5
69avg 75
H20/12
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
W
99-93
99
93
+6
96avg 75
H10/01
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
12-10
16-13
17-24
18-20
24-18
12-28
16-23
16-12
20-17
10-14
15-11
13-14
13-33
27-16
8-25
22-17
13-17
8-18
23-6
28-26
17-18
27-21
25-28
25-23
29-26
26-23
26-20
24-11
24-23
15-16
22-16
20-10
12-23
20-17
18-15
25-20
34-18
17-28
23-27
155.2Avg total
78.7Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)78.176.7154.8+1.475%
Season at home (6)75.070.8145.8+4.283%
Season away (6)81.282.5163.7-1.367%
Last 10 (10)78.776.5155.2+2.280%
Last 5 (5)91.481.8173.2+9.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.782.1158.8-5.440%
vs Similar ◀ (10)78.273.5151.7+4.770%
vs Weaker (10)85.077.9162.9+7.180%
This opponent (Marsonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: -0.2-0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: -0.2-0.2
MarsoniaKK Zagreb
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MarsoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jazine
#6
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H25/10
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A31/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H09/11
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
20-39
20
39
-19
A15/11
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H23/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#5
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A30/11
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H07/12
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A14/12
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
63-26
63
26
+37
H20/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A11/01
Prva Liga
73.5Avg total
36.2Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.941.181.0-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.135.279.3+8.869%-
Last 30 away (17)36.745.682.4-8.929%-
Last 10 (10)36.237.373.5-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)42.438.681.0+3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.241.077.2-4.840%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.442.482.8-2.050%-
vs Weaker (8)43.839.483.1+4.450%-
This opponent (KK Zagreb) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KK ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mladost
#3
W
29-25
29
25
+4
H25/10
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A31/10
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H08/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#5
L
26-47
26
47
-21
A15/11
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H22/11
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A30/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A07/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A13/12
Prva Liga
Kastela
#2
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H20/12
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
W
59-38
59
38
+21
H10/01
Prva Liga
77.7Avg total
40.6Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.438.078.4+2.463%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.436.178.5+6.380%-
Last 30 away (15)38.439.978.3-1.547%-
Last 10 (10)40.637.177.7+3.580%-
Last 5 (5)47.639.687.2+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.541.177.6-4.630%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.535.576.0+5.070%-
vs Weaker (10)44.237.581.7+6.790%-
This opponent (Marsonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Marsoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Marsonia: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.620.3
48.8%
53.0%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.07.9
29.3%
32.7%23.7
🏀 Free throws17.713.1
74.0%
71.6%13.1
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
KK Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KK Zagreb: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.123.4
58.4%
53.0%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.56.6
26.9%
32.7%19.8
🏀 Free throws17.312.0
69.4%
71.6%12.0
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Marsonia
LWWWWLLLLL
KK Zagreb
WWWWWWLWLW
#9
League position
#7
+2.9
Net rating
+3.4
101.6
Offensive rating
99.1
98.7
Defensive rating
95.7
46.9%
Effective FG%
51.5%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.2%
17.4%
Turnover %
22.6%
35.1%
Off. rebound %
33.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.27
29.3%
3-point %
26.9%
61.3%
Assist %
62.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence101.6 · 99.1Defence98.7 · 95.7Shooting46.9% · 51.5%3-point %29.3% · 26.9%Ball care17.4% · 22.6%Off. rebounds35.1% · 33.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Marsonia   ■ KK Zagreb
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Marsonia wins
3
KK Zagreb wins
DateGameScore
15/03/25KK Zagreb v Marsonia97-75
01/12/24Marsonia v KK Zagreb77-76
18/02/24KK Zagreb v Marsonia70-60
12/11/23Marsonia v KK Zagreb71-77
Marsonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26ACrikvenica83-86
20/12/25HOsijek123-67
14/12/25AAmfora76-64
07/12/25HSonik Puntamika83-70
30/11/25AGorica85-69
23/11/25HNovi Zagreb73-76
15/11/25ASkrljevo61-85
09/11/25HMladost67-72
31/10/25AOmis69-102
25/10/25HJazine55-63
KK Zagreblast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26HDakovo99-93
20/12/25HKastela70-65
13/12/25ACrikvenica85-66
07/12/25AOsijek106-92
30/11/25AAmfora97-93
22/11/25HSonik Puntamika66-58
15/11/25AGorica61-88
08/11/25HNovi Zagreb61-54
31/10/25ASkrljevo70-89
25/10/25HMladost72-67 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Marsonia
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL33%
HomeLLLWW40%
AwayLLWWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %33%40%29%
Points / game76.380.273.6
Allowed / game76.569.681.4
Point differential-0.2+10.6-7.9
Avg total152.8149.8155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
KK Zagreb
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayLLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %75%83%67%
Points / game78.175.081.2
Allowed / game76.770.882.5
Point differential+1.4+4.2-1.3
Avg total154.8145.8163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mladost1210283%78.869.2+9.7
2 Skrljevo1310377%93.475.3+18.1
3 Kastela129375%84.568.2+16.2
4 KK Zagreb129375%78.176.7+1.4
5 Omis138562%83.375.6+7.7
6 Gorica127558%81.976.8+5.1
7 Jazine127558%79.477.0+2.4
8 Dakovo126650%83.279.5+3.8
9 Crikvenica126650%76.677.0-0.4
10 Marsonia124833%76.376.5-0.2
11 Novi Zagreb124833%71.075.8-4.8
12 Amfora123925%78.288.7-10.4
13 Sonik Puntamika1331023%68.576.4-7.9
14 Osijek130130%64.8103.7-38.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Marsonia1914233086
KK Zagreb1919281581
← all games of the day
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