PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Maryland vs Wagner Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Projected 83-63
Projected total 146.1
Scheduled
Position#275
Record1-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game80.0
Vs
95%
■ MARY 95%■ WAGN 5%
Pythia win probability
Position#315
Record1-3
FormLLLLW
Points / game66.2
Allowed / game73.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Maryland v Wagner
20 Nov 2026
MARY v WAGN
upcoming
02 Dec 2025
MARY89
WAGN63
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Maryland host Wagner in the NCAA. Pythia makes Maryland the favourite at 95% and projects 83-63, about 146 points in all. Overtime chance: 1%. Maryland are 1-2 this season (84.3 scored, 80.0 allowed a game), form WLWLL; Wagner are 1-3 this season (66.2 scored, 73.2 allowed a game), form LLLLW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maryland win
95.0%fair 1.05
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Wagner win
5.0%fair 20.10
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 11 Nov 07:36 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MarylandUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington
#218
W
64-60
64
60
+4
H21/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A26/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
L
65-69
65
69
-4
H01/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
45-78
45
78
-33
A05/03
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
72-78
72
78
-6
H08/03
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
70-60
70
60
+10
A10/03
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
64-75
64
75
-11
A11/03
NCAA
Bucknell
#398
W
96-67
96
67
+29
H03/11
NCAA
Georgetown
#69
L
74-86
74
86
-12
A08/11
NCAA
Virginia
#42
L
83-87
83
87
-4
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-32
30-28
27-33
34-41
20-39
45-30
21-34
24-44
34-37
38-41
33-12
37-48
26-25
38-50
44-30
52-37
28-44
46-42
47-36
36-51
142.8Avg total
69.4Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.380.0164.3+4.333%
Season at home (2)89.577.0166.5+12.550%
Season away (1)74.086.0160.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)69.473.4142.8-4.030%
Last 5 (5)77.475.0152.4+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)67.980.5148.4-12.621%
vs Similar (5)68.466.8135.2+1.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)96.067.0163.0+29.0100%
This opponent (Wagner) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WagnerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
W
83-80 OT
83
80
+3
A20/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
65-56
65
56
+9
A21/02
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
W
65-62
65
62
+3
H27/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
80-61
80
61
+19
H28/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
W
70-60
70
60
+10
A05/03
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
56-64
56
64
-8
A07/03
NCAA
Boston College
#36
L
50-76
50
76
-26
A04/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#92
L
57-83
57
83
-26
A07/11
NCAA
Uconn
#30
L
41-83
41
83
-42
A10/11
NCAA
Bryant & Stratton
#529
W
117-51
117
51
+66
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-26
35-44
31-31
34-25
20-22
45-40
42-24
38-37
31-35
39-25
23-23
33-41
23-38
27-38
21-34
36-49
18-44
23-39
66-18
51-33
136.0Avg total
68.4Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)66.273.2139.5-7.025%
Season at home (1)117.051.0168.0+66.0100%
Season away (3)49.380.7130.0-31.30%
Last 10 (10)68.467.6136.0+0.860%
Last 5 (5)64.271.4135.6-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)49.380.7130.0-31.30%
vs Similar (16)66.970.3137.2-3.438%
vs Weaker (9)78.167.4145.6+10.778%
This opponent (Maryland) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 147
Over 147
47.6%
Under 147
52.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 152
Over 152
35.3%
Under 152
64.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 157
Over 157
24.4%
Under 157
75.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Maryland total 82
Over 82
53.1%
Under 82
46.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maryland total 86
Over 86
36.5%
Under 86
63.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maryland total 90
Over 90
22.2%
Under 90
77.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wagner total 62
Over 62
55.5%
Under 62
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wagner total 66
Over 66
39.0%
Under 66
61.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wagner total 70
Over 70
24.5%
Under 70
75.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Maryland -3
MARY -3
92.9%
WAGN +3
7.1%
Best 5 market prices
MARY
No market prices yet.
WAGN
No market prices yet.
Spread Maryland 0
MARY 0
95.0%
WAGN 0
5.0%
Best 5 market prices
MARY
No market prices yet.
WAGN
No market prices yet.
Spread Maryland +3
MARY +3
96.8%
WAGN -3
3.2%
Best 5 market prices
MARY
No market prices yet.
WAGN
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -0.8-0.81st half: +1.5+1.52nd half2nd half: -3.2-3.22nd half: -1.0-1.0
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -0.8-0.81st half: +1.5+1.52nd half2nd half: -3.2-3.22nd half: -1.0-1.0
MarylandWagner
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MarylandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington
#218
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H21/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A26/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
L
20-39
20
39
-19
H01/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
21-34
21
34
-13
A05/03
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H08/03
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
33-12
33
12
+21
A10/03
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
26-25
26
25
+1
A11/03
NCAA
Bucknell
#398
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H03/11
NCAA
Georgetown
#69
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A08/11
NCAA
Virginia
#42
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H14/11
NCAA
63.6Avg total
31.4Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.335.467.7-3.133%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.934.471.3+2.457%-
Last 30 away (16)28.336.264.6-7.912%-
Last 10 (10)31.432.263.6-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)35.629.465.0+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)31.837.269.0-5.529%-
vs Similar (5)32.627.660.2+5.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)44.030.074.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Wagner) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WagnerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A20/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A21/02
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
L
20-22
20
22
-2
H27/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H28/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A05/03
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
D
23-23
23
23
+0
A07/03
NCAA
Boston College
#36
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A04/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#92
L
21-34
21
34
-13
A07/11
NCAA
Uconn
#30
L
18-44
18
44
-26
A10/11
NCAA
Bryant & Stratton
#529
W
66-18
66
18
+48
H12/11
NCAA
60.5Avg total
31.0Scored
29.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.032.065.0+1.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.928.765.6+8.164%-
Last 30 away (16)29.634.964.4-5.325%-
Last 10 (10)31.029.560.5+1.530%-
Last 5 (5)30.231.461.6-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)20.738.759.3-18.00%-
vs Similar (16)30.331.161.4-0.844%-
vs Weaker (9)37.131.168.2+6.056%-
This opponent (Maryland) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Maryland wins
0
Wagner wins
DateGameScore
03/12/25Maryland v Wagner89-63
Marylandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HVirginia83-87
08/11/26AGeorgetown74-86
03/11/26HBucknell96-67
11/03/26AIowa64-75
10/03/26AOregon70-60
08/03/26HIllinois72-78
05/03/26AWisconsin45-78
01/03/26HRutgers65-69
26/02/26ANebraska61-74
21/02/26HWashington64-60
Wagnerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HBryant & Stratton117-51
10/11/26AUconn41-83
07/11/26AMiami (FL)57-83
04/11/26ABoston College50-76
07/03/26ALIU Sharks56-64
05/03/26ACentral Connecticut State70-60
28/02/26HChicago State80-61
27/02/26HNew Haven Chargers65-62
21/02/26ASt. Francis (PA)65-56
20/02/26AMercyhurst Lakers83-80 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maryland
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game84.389.574.0
Allowed / game80.077.086.0
Point differential+4.3+12.5-12.0
Avg total164.3166.5160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Wagner
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%100%0%
Points / game66.2117.049.3
Allowed / game73.251.080.7
Point differential-7.0+66.0-31.3
Avg total139.5168.0130.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UCLA330100%101.358.3+43.0
2 Nebraska330100%89.060.7+28.3
3 Rutgers330100%84.756.3+28.3
4 Michigan State440100%93.066.2+26.8
5 Oregon330100%95.068.7+26.3
6 Indiana440100%89.068.0+21.0
7 Wisconsin330100%79.058.0+21.0
8 Minnesota440100%78.858.5+20.2
9 USC330100%88.371.3+17.0
10 Washington220100%83.570.0+13.5
11 Illinois43175%104.571.2+33.2
12 Purdue43175%78.569.0+9.5
13 Northwestern43175%70.861.8+9.0
14 Iowa32167%85.064.7+20.3
15 Michigan32167%81.774.3+7.3
16 Penn State53260%77.675.6+2.0
17 Ohio State42250%81.079.2+1.8
18 Maryland31233%84.380.0+4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Le Moyne42250%76.072.5+3.5
2 Central Connecticut State42250%65.579.0-13.5
3 Chicago State52340%68.078.8-10.8
4 Fairleigh Dickinson52340%68.285.0-16.8
5 New Haven Chargers31233%58.370.0-11.7
6 Wagner41325%66.273.2-7.0
7 Mercyhurst Lakers41325%61.270.8-9.5
8 Stonehill41325%59.875.5-15.8
9 LIU Sharks5050%60.875.0-14.2
10 St. Francis (ILL)1010%47.096.0-49.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.