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Mazeikiai vs Kretinga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 94-95
29-21 22-25 22-20 21-29
Position#11
Record12-9
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game81.0
vs
Position#9
Record10-11
FormWWWLL
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game84.9
LithuaniaNKL· Telsiu sporto arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Mazeikiai v Kretinga
03 Jan 2026
MAZ94
KRET95
05 Nov 2022
MAZ86
KRET82
12 Mar 2022
MAZ101
KRET47
25 Nov 2021
MAZ73
KRET55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mazeikiai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kretinga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MazeikiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMazeikiai
Date
Competition
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
80-93
80
93
-13
63avg 70
A20/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
W
93-72
93
72
+21
80avg 70
A25/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
90-75
90
75
+15
86avg 70
H27/11
NKL
Silute
#12
L
82-86
82
86
-4
68avg 70
A29/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
89-103
89
103
-14
78avg 70
H04/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
71-94
71
94
-23
64avg 70
A06/12
NKL
Telsiai
#10
W
75-60
75
60
+15
64avg 70
H11/12
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
104-88
104
88
+16
105avg 70
A13/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
W
79-59
79
59
+20
67avg 70
A18/12
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
79-74
79
74
+5
77avg 70
H20/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
30-27
19-23
14-23
15-24
25-10
22-23
31-15
17-17
26-17
21-22
26-19
19-25
24-21
18-20
21-20
21-22
32-22
22-32
14-27
22-28
19-19
15-30
15-17
20-21
19-9
16-11
20-19
21-21
26-26
29-23
28-18
11-13
26-16
21-14
21-16
20-19
18-10
21-11
20-34
164.6Avg total
84.2Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)83.781.0164.6+2.757%
Season at home (10)83.779.6163.3+4.170%
Season away (11)83.682.2165.8+1.545%
Last 10 (10)84.280.4164.6+3.860%
Last 5 (5)81.675.0156.6+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)80.1102.6182.7-22.50%
vs Similar ◀ (13)85.279.2164.4+6.162%
vs Weaker (6)81.381.0162.3+0.367%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
96-81
96
81
+15
94avg 79
H15/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
L
88-98
88
98
-10
76avg 79
A20/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
85-74
85
74
+11
80avg 79
H22/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
85-75
85
75
+10
90avg 79
H27/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
86-91
86
91
-5
77avg 79
A29/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
90-88 OT
90
88
+2
86avg 79
A04/12
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
87-83
87
83
+4
81avg 79
A11/12
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
W
90-85
90
85
+5
88avg 79
H13/12
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
76-80
76
80
-4
64avg 79
A18/12
NKL
Silute
#12
L
81-93
81
93
-12
70avg 79
H20/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-21
22-17
25-16
36-27
17-30
27-16
26-26
18-26
19-17
22-15
20-21
24-21
25-14
22-20
19-18
19-23
16-20
30-20
20-31
20-20
16-11
22-24
18-30
27-18
20-16
27-24
13-22
27-21
26-24
18-19
15-20
31-22
10-29
21-13
23-20
22-18
25-35
16-20
19-14
21-24
171.2Avg total
86.4Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)84.684.9169.5-0.348%
Season at home (11)83.780.8164.5+2.955%
Season away (10)85.689.4175.0-3.840%
Last 10 (10)86.484.8171.2+1.660%
Last 5 (5)84.885.8170.6-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)82.094.3176.3-12.30%
vs Similar ◀ (19)84.481.1165.5+3.358%
vs Weaker (5)96.882.4179.2+14.480%
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +6.8+6.8Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +2.5+2.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +6.8+6.8Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +2.5+2.5
MazeikiaiKretinga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MazeikiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kedainiu SC
#6
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A20/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A25/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H27/11
NKL
Silute
#12
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A29/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H04/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A06/12
NKL
Telsiai
#10
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H11/12
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A13/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A18/12
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H20/12
NKL
81.5Avg total
42.8Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.643.684.1-3.030%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.341.382.6+0.043%-
Last 30 away (16)39.945.685.5-5.619%-
Last 10 (10)42.838.781.5+4.160%-
Last 5 (5)40.436.476.8+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.651.792.4-11.10%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.838.579.3+2.254%-
vs Weaker (6)40.039.579.5+0.533%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H15/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A20/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H22/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H27/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A29/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A04/12
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A11/12
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H13/12
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A18/12
NKL
Silute
#12
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H20/12
NKL
81.9Avg total
41.4Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.639.582.1+3.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.237.679.9+4.656%-
Last 30 away (14)42.941.684.6+1.350%-
Last 10 (10)41.440.581.9+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)40.243.083.2-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.842.082.8-1.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)42.038.780.7+3.358%-
vs Weaker (5)46.839.486.2+7.460%-
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mazeikiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mazeikiai: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.8
52.2%
54.5%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.310.0
34.1%
32.3%30.0
🏀 Free throws19.715.4
78.2%
69.3%15.4
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.824.2
56.5%
54.5%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.0
29.9%
32.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.513.0
66.7%
69.3%13.0
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mazeikiai
WWWWLLLWWL
Kretinga
LLWWWLWWLW
#11
League position
#9
+4.4
Net rating
+2.0
106.5
Offensive rating
109.1
102.1
Defensive rating
107.1
51.8%
Effective FG%
52.0%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
18.3%
Turnover %
17.0%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.1%
3-point %
29.9%
52.8%
Assist %
69.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.5 · 109.1Defence102.1 · 107.1Shooting51.8% · 52.0%3-point %34.1% · 29.9%Ball care18.3% · 17.0%Off. rebounds27.7% · 32.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Mazeikiai   ■ Kretinga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Mazeikiai wins
1
Kretinga wins
DateGameScore
30/10/25Kretinga v Mazeikiai81-84
07/01/23Kretinga v Mazeikiai63-77
05/11/22Mazeikiai v Kretinga86-82
12/03/22Mazeikiai v Kretinga101-47
27/01/22Kretinga v Mazeikiai52-81
25/11/21Mazeikiai v Kretinga73-55
28/10/21Kretinga v Mazeikiai77-73
Mazeikiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25HUkmerges Stekas79-74
18/12/25AVilkaviskis79-59
13/12/25AOmega-Tauras104-88
11/12/25HTelsiai75-60
06/12/25ASuduva-Mantinga71-94
04/12/25HVytis VDU89-103
29/11/25ASilute82-86
27/11/25HPlunges Olimpas90-75
25/11/25AZalgiris Kaunas 293-72
20/11/25AKedainiu SC80-93
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25HSilute81-93
18/12/25AJurbarkas76-80
13/12/25HKedainiu SC90-85
11/12/25AAlytaus Alytus87-83
04/12/25AOmega-Tauras90-88 OT
29/11/25AZalgiris Kaunas 286-91
27/11/25HBC Olimpas Palanga85-75
22/11/25HRytas 285-74
20/11/25AUkmerges Stekas88-98
15/11/25HOmega-Tauras96-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mazeikiai
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW57%
HomeLWLWW70%
AwayWLLWW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %57%70%45%
Points / game83.783.783.6
Allowed / game81.079.682.2
Point differential+2.7+4.1+1.5
Avg total164.6163.3165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%30%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kretinga
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL48%
HomeWWWWL55%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %48%55%40%
Points / game84.683.785.6
Allowed / game84.980.889.4
Point differential-0.3+2.9-3.8
Avg total169.5164.5175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%45%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga2319483%87.875.0+12.8
2 Vytis VDU2015575%87.081.5+5.5
3 Telsiai2014670%84.782.2+2.5
4 Zalgiris Kaunas 22014670%86.084.0+1.9
5 Kedainiu SC2214864%88.184.9+3.2
6 Mazeikiai2112957%83.781.0+2.7
7 Jurbarkas2011955%77.277.7-0.5
8 Vilkaviskis22121055%83.680.0+3.6
9 Rytas 222111150%84.783.9+0.8
10 Kretinga21101148%84.684.9-0.3
11 Silute22101245%87.388.8-1.5
12 Omega-Tauras2191243%88.089.7-1.6
13 Neptunas 22071335%76.180.7-4.6
14 BC Olimpas Palanga2381535%79.085.5-6.4
15 Ukmerges Stekas2051525%83.090.5-7.6
16 Plunges Olimpas2151624%81.486.7-5.3
17 Alytaus Alytus2241818%78.584.5-6.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mazeikiai2922222194
Kretinga2125202995
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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