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Alytaus Alytus vs Kretinga Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 83-87
16-20 24-27 22-13 21-27
Position#17
Record4-14
FormLWLLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game83.9
Alytaus Alytus
Lithuania
vs
Kretinga 🏆
Lithuania
Position#9
Record8-9
FormLWWLW
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game84.8
LithuaniaNKL· Silutes Vyduno gimnazija
Other2025-26
Meetings · Alytaus Alytus v Kretinga
11 Dec 2025
ALYT83
KRET87
16 Jan 2025
ALYT61
KRET80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alytaus Alytus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kretinga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alytaus AlytusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlytus
Date
Competition
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
67-75
67
75
-8
55avg 67
A06/11
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
70-80
70
80
-10
65avg 67
H08/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
87-94
87
94
-7
78avg 67
H13/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
102-105
102
105
-3
102avg 67
A15/11
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
81-83
81
83
-2
70avg 67
H20/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
89-94
89
94
-5
92avg 67
A22/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
93-83
93
83
+10
98avg 67
H27/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
70-84
70
84
-14
64avg 67
A29/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
67-79
67
79
-12
56avg 67
H04/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
81-75
81
75
+6
86avg 67
A06/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
11-17
12-22
21-16
11-16
17-21
19-20
23-23
19-21
25-19
19-25
24-29
26-22
28-26
23-27
25-30
22-22
13-20
20-22
26-19
16-22
21-25
27-19
25-28
23-22
26-26
23-24
21-11
10-23
19-24
21-17
20-20
14-24
22-20
15-11
16-24
24-14
25-19
14-23
18-19
165.9Avg total
80.7Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)79.083.9162.9-4.922%
Season at home (11)79.180.3159.4-1.227%
Season away (7)78.989.6168.4-10.714%
Last 10 (10)80.785.2165.9-4.520%
Last 5 (5)80.083.0163.0-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)73.788.4162.1-14.78%
vs Similar (5)88.886.8175.6+2.040%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kretinga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#11
L
81-84
81
84
-3
75avg 79
H30/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
78-64
78
64
+14
73avg 79
H06/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
W
94-83
94
83
+11
88avg 79
A08/11
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
80-86
80
86
-6
75avg 79
A13/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
96-81
96
81
+15
94avg 79
H15/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
L
88-98
88
98
-10
76avg 79
A20/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
85-74
85
74
+11
80avg 79
H22/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
85-75
85
75
+10
90avg 79
H27/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
86-91
86
91
-5
77avg 79
A29/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
90-88 OT
90
88
+2
86avg 79
A04/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-13
15-12
31-26
17-33
12-20
20-20
25-11
21-13
20-29
25-20
22-15
27-19
18-28
32-16
11-24
19-18
13-21
22-17
25-16
36-27
17-30
27-16
26-26
18-26
19-17
22-15
20-21
24-21
25-14
22-20
19-18
19-23
16-20
30-20
20-31
20-20
16-11
22-24
18-30
27-18
168.7Avg total
86.3Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)84.984.8169.7+0.147%
Season at home (9)83.379.0162.3+4.356%
Season away (8)86.691.4178.0-4.838%
Last 10 (10)86.382.4168.7+3.960%
Last 5 (5)86.885.2172.0+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)82.793.6176.3-10.90%
vs Similar (18)84.881.0165.8+3.861%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)95.478.0173.4+17.480%
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +5.7+5.7Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.0+1.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +5.7+5.7Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.0+1.0
Alytaus AlytusKretinga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alytaus AlytusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A06/11
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H08/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H13/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A15/11
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H20/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A22/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H27/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A29/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H04/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A06/12
NKL
81.8Avg total
39.5Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.043.680.6-6.633%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.341.177.4-4.835%-
Last 30 away (13)37.946.884.8-8.931%-
Last 10 (10)39.542.381.8-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)40.043.883.8-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)35.743.278.9-7.632%-
vs Similar (5)43.645.489.0-1.840%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kretinga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#11
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H30/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H06/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A08/11
NKL
Telsiai
#10
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A13/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H15/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A20/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H22/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H27/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A29/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A04/12
NKL
79.4Avg total
41.1Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.838.781.5+4.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.436.378.7+6.162%-
Last 30 away (14)43.441.484.7+2.050%-
Last 10 (10)41.138.379.4+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)43.237.480.6+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.442.784.1-1.329%-
vs Similar (18)42.737.480.1+5.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)45.237.682.8+7.660%-
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alytaus Alytustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alytaus Alytus: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.420.1
53.7%
54.5%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.6
36.3%
32.3%25.8
🏀 Free throws18.913.7
72.5%
69.3%13.7
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.524.6
55.3%
54.5%49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.07.9
31.6%
32.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws18.312.6
68.9%
69.3%12.6
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alytaus Alytus
WLLWLLLLLL
Kretinga
WLWWLWLWWL
#17
League position
#9
-6.7
Net rating
+5.3
108.2
Offensive rating
111.1
114.9
Defensive rating
105.8
54.0%
Effective FG%
52.4%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
17.5%
Turnover %
17.1%
25.3%
Off. rebound %
34.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.3%
3-point %
31.6%
63.8%
Assist %
68.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.2 · 111.1Defence114.9 · 105.8Shooting54.0% · 52.4%3-point %36.3% · 31.6%Ball care17.5% · 17.1%Off. rebounds25.3% · 34.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Alytaus Alytus   ■ Kretinga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Alytaus Alytus wins
3
Kretinga wins
DateGameScore
09/10/25Kretinga v Alytaus Alytus106-71
20/02/25Kretinga v Alytaus Alytus105-72
16/01/25Alytaus Alytus v Kretinga61-80
31/10/24Kretinga v Alytaus Alytus71-79
Alytaus Alytuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25ANeptunas 281-75
04/12/25HZalgiris Kaunas 267-79
29/11/25AVilkaviskis70-84
27/11/25HUkmerges Stekas93-83
22/11/25AOmega-Tauras89-94
20/11/25HTelsiai81-83
15/11/25AZalgiris Kaunas 2102-105
13/11/25HNeptunas 287-94
08/11/25HMazeikiai70-80
06/11/25AKedainiu SC67-75
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/25AOmega-Tauras90-88 OT
29/11/25AZalgiris Kaunas 286-91
27/11/25HBC Olimpas Palanga85-75
22/11/25HRytas 285-74
20/11/25AUkmerges Stekas88-98
15/11/25HOmega-Tauras96-81
13/11/25ATelsiai80-86
08/11/25AVilkaviskis94-83
06/11/25HPlunges Olimpas78-64
30/10/25HMazeikiai81-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alytaus Alytus
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW22%
HomeLLLWL27%
AwayLLLLW14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %22%27%14%
Points / game79.079.178.9
Allowed / game83.980.389.6
Point differential-4.9-1.2-10.7
Avg total162.9159.4168.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kretinga
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW47%
HomeLWWWW56%
AwayWLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %47%56%38%
Points / game84.983.386.6
Allowed / game84.879.091.4
Point differential+0.1+4.3-4.8
Avg total169.7162.3178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%56%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga1814478%86.777.9+8.8
2 Kedainiu SC1813572%90.684.9+5.7
3 Vytis VDU1712571%86.681.2+5.5
4 Telsiai1712571%85.683.1+2.5
5 Zalgiris Kaunas 21812667%86.884.8+1.9
6 Vilkaviskis1710759%86.481.5+4.8
7 Omega-Tauras179853%90.088.4+1.6
8 Jurbarkas168850%76.678.2-1.7
9 Rytas 2178947%83.182.2+0.9
10 Kretinga178947%84.984.8+0.1
11 Mazeikiai178947%83.583.5+0.1
12 Silute1881044%87.988.9-1.0
13 Neptunas 21871139%76.080.5-4.5
14 BC Olimpas Palanga1861233%79.585.9-6.4
15 Ukmerges Stekas1641225%81.389.8-8.4
16 Plunges Olimpas1741324%81.386.7-5.4
17 Alytaus Alytus1841422%79.083.9-4.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alytaus Alytus1624222183
Kretinga2027132787
← all games of the day
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