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Ukmerges Stekas vs Kretinga Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 98-88
30-17 16-27 26-26 26-18
Position#16
Record3-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game90.6
vs
Position#9
Record5-7
FormLWWLW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game84.7
LithuaniaNKL· Ukmerges technologiju ir verslo mokykla
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ukmerges Stekas v Kretinga
12 Dec 2026
UKME v KRET
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
UKME103
KRET107
20 Nov 2025
UKME98
KRET88
21 Dec 2024
UKME76
KRET58
22 Feb 2024
UKME93
KRET79
28 Oct 2023
UKME82
KRET64
04 Feb 2023
UKME94
KRET75
22 Dec 2022
UKME74
KRET90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ukmerges Stekas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kretinga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Neptunas 2
#4
L
70-91
70
91
-21
55avg 73
H11/10
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
94-105
94
105
-11
80avg 73
A16/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
88-82
88
82
+6
83avg 73
H18/10
NKL
Silute
#12
W
98-90
98
90
+8
90avg 73
H23/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
89-87
89
87
+2
79avg 73
H25/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
84-116
84
116
-32
64avg 73
A30/10
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
81-85
81
85
-4
70avg 73
A06/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
74-94
74
94
-20
65avg 73
H08/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
74-82
74
82
-8
67avg 73
H13/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
77-80
77
80
-3
61avg 73
A15/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
22-19
7-28
22-23
22-23
17-30
19-28
36-24
30-16
21-31
19-25
18-10
23-17
22-20
31-25
22-28
14-19
29-25
21-17
25-26
18-26
23-22
19-37
24-31
23-25
13-23
19-20
26-17
24-24
15-22
11-27
24-21
18-26
20-25
13-19
23-12
9-27
21-19
29-14
18-20
174.1Avg total
82.9Scored
91.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.690.6171.2-10.025%
Season at home (7)80.788.6169.3-7.943%
Season away (5)80.493.4173.8-13.00%
Last 10 (10)82.991.2174.1-8.330%
Last 5 (5)78.091.4169.4-13.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)79.288.8168.0-9.723%
vs Similar (15)81.879.2161.0+2.660%
vs Weaker (2)103.066.0169.0+37.0100%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
106-71
106
71
+35
108avg 78
H09/10
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
88-99
88
99
-11
79avg 78
A11/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
65-81
65
81
-16
50avg 78
H16/10
NKL
Silute
#12
W
96-88
96
88
+8
86avg 78
A18/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
76-92
76
92
-16
62avg 78
H25/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
81-84
81
84
-3
75avg 78
H30/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
78-64
78
64
+14
73avg 78
H06/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
W
94-83
94
83
+11
88avg 78
A08/11
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
80-86
80
86
-6
75avg 78
A13/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
96-81
96
81
+15
94avg 78
H15/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
22-12
29-22
29-18
23-25
24-29
27-17
14-28
24-20
21-26
13-11
7-24
22-15
17-24
29-22
28-27
22-22
18-18
17-22
19-30
18-13
15-12
31-26
17-33
12-20
20-20
25-11
21-13
20-29
25-20
22-15
27-19
18-28
32-16
11-24
19-18
13-21
22-17
25-16
36-27
168.9Avg total
86.0Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)84.184.7168.8-0.642%
Season at home (7)82.980.3163.1+2.643%
Season away (5)85.890.8176.6-5.040%
Last 10 (10)86.082.9168.9+3.150%
Last 5 (5)85.879.6165.4+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.388.6164.9-12.20%
vs Similar (17)83.282.0165.2+1.247%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)97.273.0170.2+24.2100%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -2.0-2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -2.0-2.0
Ukmerges StekasKretinga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas 2
#4
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H11/10
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A16/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H18/10
NKL
Silute
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H23/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H25/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A30/10
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A06/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H08/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H13/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A15/11
NKL
86.3Avg total
40.3Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.043.784.6-2.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.741.384.1+1.453%-
Last 30 away (15)39.246.085.2-6.827%-
Last 10 (10)40.346.086.3-5.730%-
Last 5 (5)36.847.884.6-11.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)39.846.286.0-6.523%-
vs Similar (15)40.542.182.6-1.747%-
vs Weaker (2)52.538.591.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H09/10
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A11/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H16/10
NKL
Silute
#12
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A18/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H25/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H30/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H06/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A08/11
NKL
Telsiai
#10
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A13/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H15/11
NKL
82.0Avg total
41.4Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.638.680.3+3.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.236.277.4+5.062%-
Last 30 away (14)42.141.483.6+0.743%-
Last 10 (10)41.440.682.0+0.830%-
Last 5 (5)39.039.278.2-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.340.279.6-0.944%-
vs Similar (17)41.938.580.5+3.453%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)45.535.581.0+10.075%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.121.6
47.9%
54.5%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.57.5
28.3%
32.3%22.5
🏀 Free throws23.516.6
70.6%
69.3%16.6
They take 71.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.322.1
53.5%
54.5%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.19.7
33.3%
32.3%29.1
🏀 Free throws18.812.5
66.5%
69.3%12.5
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ukmerges Stekas
LLLLLWWWLL
Kretinga
WLWWLLWLLW
#16
League position
#9
-10.1
Net rating
+4.8
104.9
Offensive rating
112.1
114.9
Defensive rating
107.2
45.9%
Effective FG%
52.1%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
13.0%
Turnover %
15.1%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
32.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.27
28.3%
3-point %
33.3%
57.0%
Assist %
63.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.9 · 112.1Defence114.9 · 107.2Shooting45.9% · 52.1%3-point %28.3% · 33.3%Ball care13.0% · 15.1%Off. rebounds30.1% · 32.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Ukmerges Stekas   ■ Kretinga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Ukmerges Stekas wins
3
Kretinga wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25AJurbarkas77-80
13/11/25HBC Olimpas Palanga74-82
08/11/25HOmega-Tauras74-94
06/11/25ATelsiai81-85
30/10/25AZalgiris Kaunas 284-116
25/10/25HPlunges Olimpas89-87
23/10/25HSilute98-90
18/10/25HMazeikiai88-82
16/10/25AKedainiu SC94-105
11/10/25HNeptunas 270-91
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25HOmega-Tauras96-81
13/11/25ATelsiai80-86
08/11/25AVilkaviskis94-83
06/11/25HPlunges Olimpas78-64
30/10/25HMazeikiai81-84
25/10/25HSuduva-Mantinga76-92
18/10/25ASilute96-88
16/10/25HJurbarkas65-81
11/10/25AKedainiu SC88-99
09/10/25HAlytaus Alytus106-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeWWWLL43%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %25%43%0%
Points / game80.680.780.4
Allowed / game90.688.693.4
Point differential-10.0-7.9-13.0
Avg total171.2169.3173.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kretinga
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW42%
HomeLLLWW43%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %42%43%40%
Points / game84.182.985.8
Allowed / game84.780.390.8
Point differential-0.6+2.6-5.0
Avg total168.8163.1176.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%43%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kedainiu SC1110191%94.984.5+10.4
2 Suduva-Mantinga129375%86.478.6+7.8
3 Vytis VDU107370%82.878.4+4.4
4 Telsiai139469%84.683.1+1.5
5 Zalgiris Kaunas 2117464%87.684.6+3.0
6 Omega-Tauras127558%91.187.4+3.7
7 Jurbarkas127558%75.676.6-1.0
8 Mazeikiai116555%83.281.5+1.7
9 Vilkaviskis136746%85.282.5+2.7
10 Rytas 2136746%81.880.8+1.0
11 Silute136746%85.386.2-0.9
12 Neptunas 2136746%77.679.2-1.6
13 Kretinga125742%84.184.7-0.6
14 BC Olimpas Palanga134931%78.886.8-7.9
15 Plunges Olimpas123925%81.286.8-5.7
16 Ukmerges Stekas123925%80.690.6-10.0
17 Alytaus Alytus1321115%78.684.2-5.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ukmerges Stekas3016262698
Kretinga1727261888
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