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Jurbarkas vs Mazeikiai Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 23 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 85-72
22-22 24-10 15-20 24-20
Position#5
Record25-16
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Position#11
Record20-20
FormLLLWL
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game83.1
LithuaniaNKL· Jurbarko Antano Giedraicio Gymnasium Sport Hall
Other2025-26
Meetings · Jurbarkas v Mazeikiai
12 Dec 2026
JURB v MAZ
upcoming
23 Mar 2026
JURB85
MAZ72
04 Oct 2025
JURB80
MAZ73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jurbarkas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mazeikiai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JurbarkasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJurbarkas
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#10
L
71-74
71
74
-3
62avg 78
A07/02
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
111-87
111
87
+24
120avg 78
H14/02
NKL
Silute
#12
W
89-85
89
85
+4
78avg 78
A19/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
102-90
102
90
+12
103avg 78
H21/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
87-79
87
79
+8
83avg 78
A03/03
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
69-63
69
63
+6
63avg 78
H05/03
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
98-94
98
94
+4
102avg 78
A07/03
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
88-77
88
77
+11
87avg 78
A12/03
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
90-85
90
85
+5
86avg 78
H14/03
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
92-87
92
87
+5
91avg 78
A20/03
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-17
26-16
23-19
9-22
38-17
30-25
25-14
18-31
17-22
23-21
17-17
32-25
25-23
23-17
23-27
31-23
29-19
21-13
19-18
18-29
15-18
11-11
21-20
22-14
22-17
24-23
27-18
25-36
25-15
22-18
19-25
22-19
25-16
20-20
23-29
22-20
32-24
25-21
23-22
12-20
171.8Avg total
89.7Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)82.179.0161.1+3.061%
Season at home (20)82.777.0159.8+5.765%
Season away (21)81.580.9162.4+0.657%
Last 10 (10)89.782.1171.8+7.690%
Last 5 (5)87.481.2168.6+6.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)60.081.0141.0-21.00%
vs Similar ◀ (14)80.777.5158.2+3.250%
vs Weaker (15)89.982.1172.0+7.780%
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MazeikiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMazeikiai
Date
Competition
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
86-79
86
79
+7
79avg 73
A03/02
NKL
Silute
#12
W
102-83
102
83
+19
97avg 73
H07/02
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
74-102
74
102
-28
70avg 73
A19/02
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
W
86-79
86
79
+7
76avg 73
H26/02
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
67-91
67
91
-24
62avg 73
A28/02
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
74-86
74
86
-12
62avg 73
H05/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
90-94
90
94
-4
82avg 73
A07/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
70-99
70
99
-29
54avg 73
A12/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
113-99
113
99
+14
106avg 73
H14/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
87-92
87
92
-5
76avg 73
H20/03
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
18-22
26-12
22-24
22-23
19-16
32-14
29-30
20-24
21-22
16-36
17-20
19-24
28-21
23-13
16-21
21-23
23-23
10-26
13-19
22-26
23-14
18-27
11-19
28-21
21-24
29-27
12-22
18-29
10-34
19-19
23-17
23-24
26-26
32-23
32-26
24-32
21-25
22-23
20-12
175.3Avg total
84.9Scored
90.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)83.883.1166.9+0.750%
Season at home (20)86.682.4169.0+4.260%
Season away (20)81.083.8164.8-2.840%
Last 10 (10)84.990.4175.3-5.540%
Last 5 (5)86.894.0180.8-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.094.7171.7-17.70%
vs Similar ◀ (23)84.384.3168.6-0.143%
vs Weaker (4)89.273.8163.0+15.5100%
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -1.5-1.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -1.5-1.5
JurbarkasMazeikiai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JurbarkasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#10
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A07/02
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
68-42
68
42
+26
H14/02
NKL
Silute
#12
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A19/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H21/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A03/03
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H05/03
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A07/03
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A12/03
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H14/03
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A20/03
NKL
83.9Avg total
46.6Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.937.381.2+6.673%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.936.279.1+6.669%-
Last 30 away (14)45.138.683.6+6.579%-
Last 10 (10)46.637.383.9+9.380%-
Last 5 (5)44.236.680.8+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)32.036.068.0-4.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.736.678.3+5.179%-
vs Weaker (15)46.738.184.9+8.673%-
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MazeikiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A03/02
NKL
Silute
#12
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H07/02
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A19/02
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H26/02
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A28/02
NKL
Telsiai
#10
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H05/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A07/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
28-63
28
63
-35
A12/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H14/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H20/03
NKL
90.1Avg total
42.7Scored
47.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.642.685.2+0.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.742.286.9+2.560%-
Last 30 away (15)40.543.083.5-2.533%-
Last 10 (10)42.747.490.1-4.740%-
Last 5 (5)43.251.094.2-7.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.752.390.0-14.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)43.242.485.7+0.852%-
vs Weaker (4)43.036.279.2+6.850%-
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jurbarkastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jurbarkas: 89.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.922.2
60.2%
54.5%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.311.5
36.7%
32.3%34.5
🏀 Free throws16.810.8
64.3%
69.3%10.8
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mazeikiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mazeikiai: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.921.7
58.8%
54.5%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.0
31.8%
32.3%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.814.5
77.1%
69.3%14.5
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jurbarkas
WWWWWWWWWL
Mazeikiai
LWLLLLWLWW
#5
League position
#11
+8.5
Net rating
-5.5
100.8
Offensive rating
97.3
92.2
Defensive rating
102.9
57.8%
Effective FG%
54.0%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
14.6%
Turnover %
14.4%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.7%
3-point %
31.8%
70.0%
Assist %
55.0%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.8 · 97.3Defence92.2 · 102.9Shooting57.8% · 54.0%3-point %36.7% · 31.8%Ball care14.6% · 14.4%Free throws0.25 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ Jurbarkas   ■ Mazeikiai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Jurbarkas wins
1
Mazeikiai wins
DateGameScore
20/03/26Mazeikiai v Jurbarkas87-92
31/01/26Mazeikiai v Jurbarkas84-83
04/10/25Jurbarkas v Mazeikiai80-73
Jurbarkaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/26AMazeikiai92-87
14/03/26HBC Olimpas Palanga90-85
12/03/26AKretinga88-77
07/03/26AOmega-Tauras98-94
05/03/26HNeptunas 269-63
03/03/26AUkmerges Stekas87-79
21/02/26HPlunges Olimpas102-90
19/02/26ASilute89-85
14/02/26HAlytaus Alytus111-87
07/02/26ATelsiai71-74
Mazeikiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/26HJurbarkas87-92
14/03/26HVytis VDU113-99
12/03/26ASuduva-Mantinga70-99
07/03/26ARytas 290-94
05/03/26HTelsiai74-86
28/02/26AVilkaviskis67-91
26/02/26HKedainiu SC86-79
19/02/26AZalgiris Kaunas 274-102
07/02/26HSilute102-83
03/02/26APlunges Olimpas86-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jurbarkas
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW61%
HomeLWWWW65%
AwayWWWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412021
Win %61%65%57%
Points / game82.182.781.5
Allowed / game79.077.080.9
Point differential+3.0+5.7+0.6
Avg total161.1159.8162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%30%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (15)67% (6)33% (9)
Overtime %5%5%5%
Mazeikiai
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL50%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayWLLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402020
Win %50%60%40%
Points / game83.886.681.0
Allowed / game83.182.483.8
Point differential+0.7+4.2-2.9
Avg total166.9169.0164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%30%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won27% (11)33% (6)20% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga3933685%90.474.9+15.5
2 Vytis VDU39271269%89.085.5+3.5
3 Zalgiris Kaunas 239271269%87.083.6+3.3
4 Jurbarkas41251661%82.179.0+3.0
5 Neptunas 242241857%79.276.7+2.5
6 Vilkaviskis39221756%82.178.1+4.0
7 Kedainiu SC41221954%86.285.7+0.6
8 Kretinga42222052%84.585.6-1.2
9 Rytas 241212051%83.081.7+1.2
10 Telsiai41212051%82.483.9-1.6
11 Mazeikiai40202050%83.883.1+0.7
12 Silute42192345%87.089.6-2.7
13 Omega-Tauras40152538%84.588.7-4.2
14 Plunges Olimpas40142635%83.086.6-3.6
15 BC Olimpas Palanga40142635%79.883.7-4.0
16 Ukmerges Stekas4093122%80.589.9-9.4
17 Alytaus Alytus4083220%80.287.3-7.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jurbarkas2224152485
Mazeikiai2210202072
← all games of the day
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