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McMaster vs Guelph Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 18 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 84-90
15-22 21-19 22-25 26-24
Position#22
Record7-6
FormWLWLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game76.6
vs
Position#41
Record4-10
FormLLWLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game84.1
CanadaU Sports
Other2023-24
Meetings · McMaster v Guelph
17 Jan 2024
MCMA84
GUEL90
13 Nov 2021
MCMA92
GUEL82
09 Nov 2019
MCMA95
GUEL75
20 Feb 2019
MCMA78
GUEL75
13 Feb 2019
MCMA75
GUEL77
25 Oct 2017
MCMA84
GUEL79
23 Nov 2016
MCMA92
GUEL77
28 Nov 2015
MCMA99
GUEL77
14 Feb 2015
MCMA82
GUEL69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

McMaster winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guelph winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

McMasterCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto
#12
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H12/11
U Sports
Windsor
#42
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H18/11
U Sports
West. Ontario Univ.
#5
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H19/11
U Sports
TMU
#18
L
68-81
68
81
-13
H23/11
U Sports
Brock
#25
W
77-60
77
60
+17
A26/11
U Sports
Carleton
#19
W
80-66
80
66
+14
H02/12
U Sports
University of Ottawa
#3
L
59-72
59
72
-13
H03/12
U Sports
York
#27
W
93-77
93
77
+16
H07/01
U Sports
Queens
#1
L
67-76
67
76
-9
A13/01
U Sports
Ontario Univ.
#6
L
72-85
72
85
-13
A14/01
U Sports
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-13
17-17
18-27
20-21
18-22
19-22
16-13
20-13
18-21
12-19
23-18
25-12
18-23
26-24
11-16
13-18
22-21
20-9
20-14
15-16
16-15
28-17
26-17
10-17
17-22
17-16
16-24
9-10
23-14
25-26
23-24
22-13
18-20
18-22
16-17
15-17
19-21
16-23
16-26
21-15
148.2Avg total
74.7Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)76.076.6152.6-0.654%
Season at home (7)75.973.4149.3+2.471%
Season away (6)76.280.3156.5-4.233%
Last 10 (10)74.773.5148.2+1.260%
Last 5 (5)74.275.2149.4-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)77.183.7160.8-6.618%
vs Similar (12)79.577.0156.5+2.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)85.667.9153.4+17.7100%
This opponent (Guelph) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuelphCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Algoma
#47
W
89-79
89
79
+10
H18/11
U Sports
Algoma
#47
W
83-58
83
58
+25
H18/11
U Sports
Laurier
#13
L
79-91
79
91
-12
H23/11
U Sports
Laurier
#13
W
96-87
96
87
+9
A25/11
U Sports
Queens
#1
L
87-88
87
88
-1
A02/12
U Sports
Ontario Univ.
#6
L
63-87
63
87
-24
A03/12
U Sports
Toronto
#12
L
85-95
85
95
-10
A05/01
U Sports
Windsor
#42
W
104-83
104
83
+21
H07/01
U Sports
Lakehead
#32
L
84-87
84
87
-3
H13/01
U Sports
Brock
#25
L
91-92
91
92
-1
H14/01
U Sports
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
26-22
26-13
15-28
21-13
19-16
21-11
22-18
11-25
31-23
22-21
15-22
26-17
25-25
28-21
17-24
21-28
25-20
20-16
21-24
14-21
15-22
13-27
21-17
19-29
16-16
22-22
28-28
27-18
20-10
23-32
34-23
21-18
19-21
19-32
25-16
25-23
30-21
17-18
19-30
170.8Avg total
86.1Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)82.084.1166.1-2.129%
Season at home (9)83.282.9166.1+0.333%
Season away (5)79.886.2166.0-6.420%
Last 10 (10)86.184.7170.8+1.440%
Last 5 (5)85.488.8174.2-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)77.686.3163.9-8.724%
vs Similar (6)83.385.3168.7-2.033%
vs Weaker (7)88.669.7158.3+18.9100%
This opponent (McMaster) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -1.3-1.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -1.3-1.3
McMasterGuelph
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
McMasterLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto
#12
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H12/11
U Sports
Windsor
#42
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H18/11
U Sports
West. Ontario Univ.
#5
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H19/11
U Sports
TMU
#18
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H23/11
U Sports
Brock
#25
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A26/11
U Sports
Carleton
#19
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H02/12
U Sports
University of Ottawa
#3
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H03/12
U Sports
York
#27
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H07/01
U Sports
Queens
#1
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A13/01
U Sports
Ontario Univ.
#6
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A14/01
U Sports
77.9Avg total
39.2Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.637.579.2+4.160%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.835.377.1+6.564%-
Last 30 away (16)41.539.581.0+2.056%-
Last 10 (10)39.238.777.9+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)39.439.278.6+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.040.579.5-1.536%-
vs Similar (12)43.137.180.2+6.075%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)43.333.777.0+9.671%-
This opponent (Guelph) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuelphLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Algoma
#47
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H18/11
U Sports
Algoma
#47
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H18/11
U Sports
Laurier
#13
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H23/11
U Sports
Laurier
#13
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A25/11
U Sports
Queens
#1
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A02/12
U Sports
Ontario Univ.
#6
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A03/12
U Sports
Toronto
#12
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A05/01
U Sports
Windsor
#42
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H07/01
U Sports
Lakehead
#32
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H13/01
U Sports
Brock
#25
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H14/01
U Sports
83.7Avg total
43.3Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.340.580.8-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.541.483.9+1.159%-
Last 30 away (13)37.539.376.8-1.831%-
Last 10 (10)43.340.483.7+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)41.239.881.0+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)39.944.083.9-4.124%-
vs Similar (6)38.738.577.2+0.267%-
vs Weaker (7)42.733.776.4+9.086%-
This opponent (McMaster) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
McMaster wins
2
Guelph wins
DateGameScore
01/12/22Guelph v McMaster80-85
13/11/21McMaster v Guelph92-82
11/11/21Guelph v McMaster121-123 OT
10/11/19McMaster v Guelph95-75
21/02/19McMaster v Guelph78-75
14/02/19McMaster v Guelph75-77
12/01/19Guelph v McMaster80-97
27/01/18Guelph v McMaster83-80
26/10/17McMaster v Guelph84-79
15/01/17Guelph v McMaster72-73
McMasterlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24AOntario Univ.72-85
13/01/24AQueens67-76
07/01/24HYork93-77
03/12/23HUniversity of Ottawa59-72
02/12/23HCarleton80-66
26/11/23ABrock77-60
23/11/23HTMU68-81
19/11/23HWest. Ontario Univ.78-70
18/11/23HWindsor73-70
12/11/23HToronto80-78
Guelphlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24HBrock91-92
13/01/24HLakehead84-87
07/01/24HWindsor104-83
05/01/24AToronto85-95
03/12/23AOntario Univ.63-87
02/12/23AQueens87-88
25/11/23ALaurier96-87
23/11/23HLaurier79-91
18/11/23HAlgoma83-58
18/11/23HAlgoma89-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

McMaster
U Sports 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL54%
HomeWLWLW71%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %54%71%33%
Points / game76.075.976.2
Allowed / game76.673.480.3
Point differential-0.6+2.4-4.2
Avg total152.6149.3156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%29%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Guelph
U Sports 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL29%
HomeWLWLL33%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %29%33%20%
Points / game82.083.279.8
Allowed / game84.182.986.2
Point differential-2.1+0.3-6.4
Avg total166.1166.1166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %7%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 University of Ottawa1413193%82.669.1+13.5
2 UQAM87188%75.669.1+6.5
3 Laurier1311285%80.771.9+8.8
4 Regina1210283%72.168.2+3.9
5 Victoria108280%94.679.7+14.9
6 Queens1310377%84.768.1+16.6
7 Ontario Univ.1310377%75.571.8+3.8
8 Concordia86275%75.070.5+4.5
9 Manitoba1410471%82.675.2+7.4
10 UBC1410471%83.176.1+6.9
11 Brandon1410471%83.378.6+4.6
12 Calgary1410471%87.484.2+3.2
13 West. Ontario Univ.139469%92.183.8+8.2
14 Saskatchewan128467%75.872.4+3.4
15 Winnipeg149564%79.473.4+6.0
16 StFX117464%81.279.4+1.8
17 TMU138562%84.877.8+7.0
18 Alberta127558%80.573.1+7.4
19 Carleton148657%79.277.1+2.1
20 Toronto137654%88.487.4+1.0
21 Brock137654%75.775.0+0.7
22 McMaster137654%76.076.6-0.6
23 Acadia126650%86.583.6+2.9
24 UNBC126650%78.276.2+2.0
25 UPEI126650%78.476.5+1.9
26 Dalhousie126650%78.677.0+1.6
27 Cape Breton126650%85.887.3-1.5
28 Memorial126650%79.281.1-1.8
29 Waterloo136746%66.068.9-2.9
30 Saint Marys115645%78.882.3-3.5
31 Bishop's94544%84.278.6+5.7
32 Lakehead146843%82.983.4-0.5
33 UNB125742%78.279.8-1.6
34 Mount Royal125742%80.888.1-7.2
35 York135838%78.684.5-5.9
36 UFV124833%77.281.0-3.8
37 Thompson Rivers103730%74.074.3-0.3
38 Laval72529%71.472.7-1.3
39 Guelph1441029%82.084.1-2.1
40 Nipissing1331023%69.380.8-11.5
41 Trinity Western1221017%75.983.8-7.9
42 Windsor1221017%72.982.2-9.3
43 UBC Okanagan1221017%74.889.9-15.2
44 Lethbridge1421214%78.685.4-6.9
45 McGill81712%63.980.1-16.2
46 Algoma121118%68.385.4-17.1
47 Laurentian131128%62.377.2-14.8
48 MacEwan120120%66.886.5-19.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 48 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
McMaster1521222684
Guelph2219252490
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