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McMaster vs Guelph Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Feb 2019
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 78-75
26-15 12-21 22-19 18-20
Position#25
Record11-13
FormLLWLW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game83.5
vs
Position#27
Record11-13
FormWWWWL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game83.9
CanadaU Sports
Other2018-19
Meetings · McMaster v Guelph
17 Jan 2024
MCMA84
GUEL90
13 Nov 2021
MCMA92
GUEL82
09 Nov 2019
MCMA95
GUEL75
20 Feb 2019
MCMA78
GUEL75
13 Feb 2019
MCMA75
GUEL77
25 Oct 2017
MCMA84
GUEL79
23 Nov 2016
MCMA92
GUEL77
28 Nov 2015
MCMA99
GUEL77
14 Feb 2015
MCMA82
GUEL69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

McMaster winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guelph winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

McMasterCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lakehead
#30
W
77-71
77
71
+6
H19/01
U Sports
Lakehead
#30
L
79-93
79
93
-14
H20/01
U Sports
Windsor
#37
W
84-80
84
80
+4
A24/01
U Sports
Waterloo
#45
W
81-79
81
79
+2
A27/01
U Sports
Brock
#8
L
86-91
86
91
-5
H31/01
U Sports
Western
#14
L
85-88
85
88
-3
H02/02
U Sports
Algoma
#42
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A09/02
U Sports
Algoma
#42
W
103-69
103
69
+34
A10/02
U Sports
Guelph
#27
L
75-77
75
77
-2
H14/02
U Sports
Western
#14
W
88-87
88
87
+1
A16/02
U Sports
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-14
19-17
14-26
29-14
21-17
24-23
18-23
16-30
25-24
23-14
18-26
18-16
10-15
25-20
22-23
24-21
26-17
22-18
19-30
19-26
11-23
27-18
16-23
31-24
–
–
–
–
22-14
18-18
39-15
24-22
14-22
20-17
21-17
20-21
29-16
19-22
14-25
26-24
165.4Avg total
83.6Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)81.583.5165.0-1.946%
Season at home (12)81.983.9165.8-2.033%
Season away (12)81.283.0164.2-1.858%
Last 10 (10)83.681.8165.4+1.850%
Last 5 (5)85.880.8166.6+5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.492.5167.9-17.125%
vs Similar ◀ (9)83.282.9166.1+0.344%
vs Weaker (13)87.778.5166.2+9.277%
This opponent (Guelph) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuelphCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brock
#8
L
100-101
100
101
-1
H17/01
U Sports
Western
#14
L
53-72
53
72
-19
A20/01
U Sports
Laurier
#6
L
79-88
79
88
-9
A23/01
U Sports
Windsor
#37
W
84-71
84
71
+13
A26/01
U Sports
Algoma
#42
L
63-77
63
77
-14
A02/02
U Sports
Algoma
#42
W
87-85 OT
87
85
+2
A03/02
U Sports
Windsor
#37
W
87-80
87
80
+7
H09/02
U Sports
Waterloo
#45
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H10/02
U Sports
McMaster
#25
W
77-75
77
75
+2
A14/02
U Sports
Laurier
#6
L
75-81
75
81
-6
H16/02
U Sports
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
19-20
29-28
27-31
20-10
9-23
15-20
9-19
20-24
16-17
19-33
24-14
22-16
19-13
19-13
24-29
–
–
–
–
16-20
25-22
17-22
21-15
–
–
–
–
15-16
16-23
23-18
31-22
22-14
17-20
17-21
21-20
–
–
–
–
159.9Avg total
79.0Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)78.683.9162.5-5.246%
Season at home (12)81.284.5165.7-3.350%
Season away (12)76.183.2159.3-7.242%
Last 10 (10)79.080.9159.9-1.950%
Last 5 (5)82.280.0162.2+2.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)70.287.0157.2-16.88%
vs Similar ◀ (8)84.982.6167.5+2.262%
vs Weaker (9)83.280.2163.4+3.078%
This opponent (McMaster) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.0+1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.0+1.0
McMasterGuelph
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
McMasterLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lakehead
#30
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H19/01
U Sports
Lakehead
#30
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H20/01
U Sports
Windsor
#37
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A24/01
U Sports
Waterloo
#45
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A27/01
U Sports
Brock
#8
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H31/01
U Sports
Western
#14
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H02/02
U Sports
Algoma
#42
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A10/02
U Sports
Guelph
#27
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H14/02
U Sports
Western
#14
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A16/02
U Sports
77.7Avg total
41.1Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.339.781.0+1.759%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.841.682.5-0.854%-
Last 30 away (16)41.838.179.9+3.662%-
Last 10 (9)41.136.677.7+4.667%-
Last 5 (5)41.637.078.6+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.544.182.6-5.638%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.838.077.8+1.856%-
vs Weaker (12)44.438.082.4+6.475%-
This opponent (Guelph) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuelphLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brock
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H17/01
U Sports
Western
#14
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A20/01
U Sports
Laurier
#6
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A23/01
U Sports
Windsor
#37
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A26/01
U Sports
Algoma
#42
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A03/02
U Sports
Waterloo
#45
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H10/02
U Sports
McMaster
#25
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A14/02
U Sports
74.4Avg total
37.3Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)36.639.576.1-2.933%-
Last 30 at home (11)38.541.780.2-3.336%-
Last 30 away (16)35.437.973.3-2.631%-
Last 10 (7)37.337.174.4+0.143%-
Last 5 (5)37.637.074.6+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)32.842.275.1-9.417%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)39.538.277.8+1.250%-
vs Weaker (7)39.936.176.0+3.743%-
This opponent (McMaster) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
McMaster wins
2
Guelph wins
DateGameScore
14/02/19McMaster v Guelph75-77
12/01/19Guelph v McMaster80-97
27/01/18Guelph v McMaster83-80
26/10/17McMaster v Guelph84-79
15/01/17Guelph v McMaster72-73
24/11/16McMaster v Guelph92-77
27/02/16Guelph v McMaster76-89
28/11/15McMaster v Guelph99-77
14/02/15McMaster v Guelph82-69
29/01/15Guelph v McMaster74-86
McMasterlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/19AWestern88-87
14/02/19HGuelph75-77
10/02/19AAlgoma103-69
09/02/19AAlgoma78-83
02/02/19HWestern85-88
31/01/19HBrock86-91
27/01/19AWaterloo81-79
24/01/19AWindsor84-80
20/01/19HLakehead79-93
19/01/19HLakehead77-71
Guelphlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/19HLaurier75-81
14/02/19AMcMaster77-75
10/02/19HWaterloo85-79
09/02/19HWindsor87-80
03/02/19AAlgoma87-85 OT
02/02/19AAlgoma63-77
26/01/19AWindsor84-71
23/01/19ALaurier79-88
20/01/19AWestern53-72
17/01/19HBrock100-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

McMaster
U Sports 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW46%
HomeWLLLL33%
AwayWWLWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %46%33%58%
Points / game81.581.981.2
Allowed / game83.583.983.0
Point differential-1.9-2.0-1.8
Avg total165.0165.8164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)0% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Guelph
U Sports 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL46%
HomeLLWWL50%
AwayLWLWW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %46%50%42%
Points / game78.681.276.1
Allowed / game83.984.583.2
Point differential-5.2-3.3-7.2
Avg total162.5165.7159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%8%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %8%8%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Calgary22220100%89.066.0+22.9
2 Saint Marys18180100%88.971.6+17.3
3 Carleton2322196%91.359.3+32.0
4 TMU2321291%86.763.4+23.2
5 UBC2319483%92.274.7+17.5
6 Laurier2418675%84.277.4+6.8
7 Alberta2317674%84.572.3+12.1
8 Dalhousie1812667%78.372.6+5.8
9 Concordia1510567%79.374.4+4.9
10 University of Ottawa2315865%81.073.4+7.7
11 Brock2315865%86.079.5+6.5
12 Regina2315865%86.382.0+4.3
13 Western2315865%77.776.4+1.3
14 UFV2415962%78.276.0+2.2
15 UNB1811761%82.678.3+4.3
16 Winnipeg2314961%89.585.2+4.3
17 Saskatchewan2213959%87.485.5+1.9
18 Lethbridge24141058%92.079.9+12.1
19 McGill148657%70.668.5+2.1
20 Laurentian23131057%84.283.6+0.6
21 Queens23121152%75.675.1+0.5
22 UQAM147750%75.675.5+0.1
23 Victoria21101148%78.378.3-0.0
24 Manitoba21101148%76.078.3-2.4
25 Cape Breton1991047%83.883.8+0.1
26 McMaster24111346%81.583.5-1.9
27 Guelph24111346%78.683.9-5.2
28 UNBC2191243%78.980.7-1.9
29 Lakehead24101442%78.879.9-1.1
30 Bishop's156940%75.979.7-3.7
31 Mount Royal2181338%80.288.6-8.4
32 Laval145936%72.676.1-3.5
33 Memorial1761135%77.181.0-3.9
34 UBC Okanagan2071335%70.587.4-16.9
35 York2381535%76.986.3-9.4
36 Acadia1961332%76.181.1-5.1
37 StFX1961332%80.485.5-5.1
38 Toronto2371630%73.084.5-11.4
39 Windsor2371630%70.983.6-12.7
40 Thompson Rivers2061430%74.881.3-6.5
41 Algoma2471729%75.885.5-9.8
42 UPEI1851328%71.384.4-13.1
43 Brandon2041620%83.592.4-8.9
44 Nipissing2332013%68.881.5-12.7
45 Waterloo2332013%73.887.7-13.9
46 MacEwan201195%73.092.8-19.8
47 Trinity Western200200%73.296.3-23.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 47 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
McMaster2612221878
Guelph1521192075
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