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McNeese State vs Incarnate Word Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 04 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 67-65
30-33 37-32
Position#20
Record16-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game65.0
vs
Position#190
Record11-11
FormLLLWW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game69.9
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · McNeese State v Incarnate Word
07 Dec 2026
MCNE v INCA
upcoming
07 Feb 2026
MCNE81
INCA64
03 Feb 2025
MCNE67
INCA65
24 Feb 2024
MCNE87
INCA71
16 Feb 2023
MCNE78
INCA76
26 Feb 2022
MCNE67
INCA69
17 Feb 2021
MCNE v INCA
upcoming
15 Jan 2020
MCNE72
INCA56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

McNeese State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Incarnate Word winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

McNeese StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#152
W
79-51
79
51
+28
H31/12
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
W
75-56
75
56
+19
A04/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
W
92-69
92
69
+23
A07/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
W
80-71
80
71
+9
H11/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
W
75-59
75
59
+16
A14/01
NCAA
Lamar
#123
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H18/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
79-59
79
59
+20
H20/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
W
93-63
93
63
+30
A25/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
W
74-73
74
73
+1
A28/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-20
45-31
41-23
34-33
43-32
49-37
39-33
41-38
39-20
36-39
35-24
40-40
43-26
36-33
40-26
53-37
35-37
39-36
28-35
35-36
142.1Avg total
78.5Scored
63.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)77.465.0142.4+12.373%
Season at home (12)80.964.2145.1+16.883%
Season away (10)73.166.1139.2+7.060%
Last 10 (10)78.563.6142.1+14.990%
Last 5 (5)76.866.0142.8+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)66.071.3137.3-5.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)80.664.0144.7+16.688%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Lutheran
#615
W
99-48
99
48
+51
H29/12
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A04/01
NCAA
Lamar
#123
L
58-72
58
72
-14
A07/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
L
76-81
76
81
-5
A11/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
L
82-88
82
88
-6
H14/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
63-69
63
69
-6
H18/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
L
78-85
78
85
-7
H20/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
63-86
63
86
-23
A25/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
74-58
74
58
+16
A28/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
52-21
47-27
26-18
29-31
30-39
28-33
36-41
40-40
30-40
52-48
26-33
37-36
37-33
41-52
32-43
31-43
38-20
36-38
34-36
40-28
142.2Avg total
72.2Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)76.069.9145.9+6.050%
Season at home (12)83.266.9150.1+16.267%
Season away (10)67.373.5140.8-6.230%
Last 10 (10)72.270.0142.2+2.240%
Last 5 (5)70.472.4142.8-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)63.676.9140.5-13.212%
vs Similar (10)71.680.5152.1-8.90%
vs Weaker (11)81.763.5145.3+18.291%
This opponent (McNeese State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +10.1+10.11st half: +1.7+1.72nd half2nd half: +4.8+4.82nd half: +0.5+0.5
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +10.1+10.11st half: +1.7+1.72nd half2nd half: +4.8+4.82nd half: +0.5+0.5
McNeese StateIncarnate Word
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
McNeese StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#152
W
34-20
34
20
+14
H31/12
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
W
41-23
41
23
+18
A04/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A07/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H11/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
W
39-20
39
20
+19
A14/01
NCAA
Lamar
#123
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H18/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H20/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
W
40-26
40
26
+14
A25/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A28/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A01/02
NCAA
65.3Avg total
37.7Scored
27.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.929.266.0+7.773%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.427.266.6+12.194%-
Last 30 away (13)33.631.765.3+1.946%-
Last 10 (10)37.727.665.3+10.180%-
Last 5 (5)36.229.665.8+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)30.333.764.0-3.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)38.528.066.5+10.583%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Lutheran
#615
W
52-21
52
21
+31
H29/12
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
26-18
26
18
+8
A04/01
NCAA
Lamar
#123
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A07/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A11/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H14/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H18/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H20/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A25/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
38-20
38
20
+18
A28/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H01/02
NCAA
66.5Avg total
34.1Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.534.068.5+0.543%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.533.070.5+4.553%-
Last 30 away (13)30.735.366.0-4.631%-
Last 10 (10)34.132.466.5+1.740%-
Last 5 (5)33.433.066.4+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)27.235.963.1-8.612%-
vs Similar (10)32.838.271.0-5.420%-
vs Weaker (11)40.429.069.4+11.482%-
This opponent (McNeese State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
McNeese State wins
4
Incarnate Word wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/25ANicholls State63-71
28/01/25ATexas A&M-CC74-73
25/01/25AUTRGV93-63
20/01/25HStephen F. Austin79-59
18/01/25HLamar75-64
14/01/25AHouston Christian75-59
11/01/25HNicholls State80-71
07/01/25ANorthwestern St.92-69
04/01/25ATX A&M Commerce75-56
31/12/24HSE Louisiana79-51
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/25HHouston Christian74-64
28/01/25ANew Orleans74-58
25/01/25ASE Louisiana63-86
20/01/25HUTRGV78-85
18/01/25HTexas A&M-CC63-69
14/01/25HNicholls State82-88
11/01/25AHouston Christian76-81
07/01/25ALamar58-72
04/01/25AStephen F. Austin55-49
29/12/24HTexas Lutheran99-48

📊 11. Overall Statistics

McNeese State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL73%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %73%83%60%
Points / game77.480.973.1
Allowed / game65.064.266.1
Point differential+12.3+16.8+7.0
Avg total142.4145.1139.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%58%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Incarnate Word
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW50%
HomeWLLLW67%
AwayWLLLW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %50%67%30%
Points / game76.083.267.3
Allowed / game69.966.973.5
Point differential+6.0+16.2-6.2
Avg total145.9150.1140.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%58%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State2216673%77.465.0+12.3
2 Texas A&M-CC2314961%79.469.1+10.3
3 UTRGV2213959%78.372.5+5.8
4 Lamar2213959%71.867.0+4.8
5 Nicholls State2213959%74.069.5+4.5
6 SE Louisiana2213959%72.268.4+3.8
7 Incarnate Word22111150%76.069.9+6.0
8 Northwestern St.22101245%69.369.4-0.1
9 Houston Christian22101245%68.070.7-2.7
10 Stephen F. Austin2291341%64.464.9-0.5
11 New Orleans2241818%69.783.0-13.4
12 TX A&M Commerce2231914%64.378.0-13.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
McNeese State303767
Incarnate Word333265
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