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McNeese State vs Middle Tenn. St. Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 25 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 72-62
28-34 44-28
Position#15
Record5-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game96.5
Allowed / game67.0
vs
Position#179
Record4-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game74.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

McNeese State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Middle Tenn. St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

McNeese StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern St.
#198
W
83-64
83
64
+19
H11/03
NCAA
Lamar
#123
W
63-54
63
54
+9
H12/03
NCAA
Clemson
#22
W
69-67
69
67
+2
A20/03
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
62-76
62
76
-14
A22/03
NCAA
Champion Christian Tigers
#678
W
127-65
127
65
+62
H04/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
67-79
67
79
-12
A08/11
NCAA
CBS Ambassadors
#681
W
132-50
132
50
+82
H11/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
88-62
88
62
+26
H15/11
NCAA
George Washington
#160
W
92-86
92
86
+6
A23/11
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
73-60
73
60
+13
H25/11
NCAA
1H
2H
42-25
41-39
33-30
30-24
31-13
38-54
20-38
42-38
70-25
57-40
33-37
34-42
65-11
67-39
37-16
51-46
47-39
45-47
40-17
33-43
151.9Avg total
85.6Scored
66.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)96.567.0163.5+29.583%
Season at home (4)105.059.2164.2+45.8100%
Season away (2)79.582.5162.0-3.050%
Last 10 (10)85.666.3151.9+19.380%
Last 5 (5)90.467.4157.8+23.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)70.869.0139.8+1.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)82.563.4145.9+19.192%
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida International
#330
W
78-56
78
56
+22
H08/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
W
77-75 OT
77
75
+2
H14/03
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A14/03
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#1
L
103-109 OT
103
109
-6
H19/03
NIT
Milligan
#639
W
100-51
100
51
+49
H05/11
NCAA
Webster Gorloks
#620
W
109-56
109
56
+53
H09/11
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
77-72
77
72
+5
A13/11
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
61-86
61
86
-25
A19/11
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
90-87
90
87
+3
H24/11
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
79-92
79
92
-13
H24/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
41-20
0-0
37-36
0-0
40-31
0-0
22-31
0-0
35-35
0-0
33-35
0-0
48-43
0-0
36-41
0-0
48-26
0-0
52-25
0-0
54-23
0-0
55-33
0-0
36-28
0-0
41-44
0-0
30-36
0-0
31-50
0-0
43-40
0-0
47-47
0-0
41-49
0-0
38-43
159.6Avg total
84.2Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)86.074.0160.0+12.067%
Season at home (4)94.571.5166.0+23.075%
Season away (2)69.079.0148.0-10.050%
Last 10 (10)84.275.4159.6+8.860%
Last 5 (5)83.278.6161.8+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)69.280.7149.8-11.517%
vs Similar (14)73.772.9146.6+0.864%
vs Weaker (9)82.964.8147.7+18.1100%
This opponent (McNeese State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-21-10+0+10+211st half1st half: +16.7+16.71st half: +8.5+8.52nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: +0.7+0.7
-21-10+0+10+211st half1st half: +16.7+16.71st half: +8.5+8.52nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: +0.7+0.7
McNeese StateMiddle Tenn. St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
McNeese StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern St.
#198
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H11/03
NCAA
Lamar
#123
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H12/03
NCAA
Clemson
#22
W
31-13
31
13
+18
A20/03
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
20-38
20
38
-18
A22/03
NCAA
Champion Christian Tigers
#678
W
70-25
70
25
+45
H04/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A08/11
NCAA
CBS Ambassadors
#681
W
65-11
65
11
+54
H11/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
37-16
37
16
+21
H15/11
NCAA
George Washington
#160
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A23/11
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
40-17
40
17
+23
H25/11
NCAA
66.9Avg total
41.8Scored
25.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.527.666.1+11.077%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.824.364.1+15.488%-
Last 30 away (14)37.131.368.4+5.964%-
Last 10 (10)41.825.166.9+16.780%-
Last 5 (5)44.424.068.4+20.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)32.829.262.0+3.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)39.427.366.7+12.181%-
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida International
#330
W
41-20
41
20
+21
H08/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H14/03
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A14/03
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#1
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H19/03
NIT
Milligan
#639
W
48-26
48
26
+22
H05/11
NCAA
Webster Gorloks
#620
W
54-23
54
23
+31
H09/11
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A13/11
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A19/11
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H24/11
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H24/11
NCAA
74.7Avg total
41.6Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.833.970.7+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.532.971.4+5.671%-
Last 30 away (13)34.535.269.7-0.638%-
Last 10 (10)41.633.174.7+8.570%-
Last 5 (5)40.835.276.0+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)35.038.873.8-3.833%-
vs Similar (14)34.933.768.6+1.257%-
vs Weaker (9)39.729.869.4+9.967%-
This opponent (McNeese State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
McNeese State wins
0
Middle Tenn. St. wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/25HMurray State73-60
23/11/25AGeorge Washington92-86
15/11/25HLouisiana Lafayette88-62
11/11/25HCBS Ambassadors132-50
08/11/25ASanta Clara67-79
04/11/25HChampion Christian Tigers127-65
22/03/25APurdue62-76
20/03/25AClemson69-67
12/03/25HLamar63-54
11/03/25HNorthwestern St.83-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/25HGeorge Washington79-92
24/11/25HMurray State90-87
19/11/25AMichigan61-86
13/11/25AEvansville77-72
09/11/25HWebster Gorloks109-56
05/11/25HMilligan100-51
19/03/25HChattanooga Mocs103-109 OT
14/03/25AJacksonville State68-70
14/03/25HLouisiana Tech77-75 OT
08/03/25HFlorida International78-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

McNeese State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW83%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %83%100%50%
Points / game96.5105.079.5
Allowed / game67.059.282.5
Point differential+29.5+45.8-3.0
Avg total163.5164.2162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Middle Tenn. St.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL67%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%75%50%
Points / game86.094.569.0
Allowed / game74.071.579.0
Point differential+12.0+23.0-10.0
Avg total160.0166.0148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State65183%96.567.0+29.5
2 Stephen F. Austin65183%81.869.3+12.5
3 Houston Christian43175%72.869.0+3.8
4 Lamar53260%74.668.6+6.0
5 Incarnate Word63350%84.278.2+6.0
6 New Orleans73443%81.379.9+1.4
7 Texas A&M-CC62433%75.874.5+1.3
8 UTRGV41325%82.280.2+2.0
9 SE Louisiana51420%61.867.2-5.4
10 Northwestern St.61517%72.584.8-12.3
11 Nicholls State5050%66.280.8-14.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Western Kentucky440100%90.274.5+15.8
2 New Mexico State440100%78.567.5+11.0
3 Liberty65183%87.065.2+21.8
4 Kennesaw State64267%94.874.2+20.7
5 Middle Tenn. St.64267%86.074.0+12.0
6 Jacksonville State53260%86.662.8+23.8
7 Sam Houston St.53260%86.873.2+13.6
8 Louisiana Tech42250%65.555.8+9.8
9 Missouri State63350%77.270.3+6.8
10 UTEP73443%74.372.0+2.3
11 Florida International52340%84.880.6+4.2
12 Delaware62433%68.873.8-5.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
McNeese State284472
Middle Tenn. St.342862
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