PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

McNeese State vs UTRGV Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 22:00
Scheduled
Position#153
Record2-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game100.3
Allowed / game80.7
vs
Position#211
Record2-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game67.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · McNeese State v UTRGV
16 Jan 2027
MCNE v UTRG
upcoming
10 Mar 2026
MCNE84
UTRG80
23 Feb 2026
MCNE75
UTRG68
24 Feb 2025
MCNE100
UTRG65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

McNeese State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
UTRGV win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

McNeese StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
70-54
70
54
+16
H22/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H24/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
W
66-63
66
63
+3
A28/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
W
75-65
75
65
+10
A03/03
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
W
84-80 OT
84
80
+4
H11/03
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
W
76-59
76
59
+17
A11/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
68-78
68
78
-10
A19/03
NCAA
UAB
#220
W
99-78
99
78
+21
H02/11
NCAA
North Texas
#99
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A05/11
NCAA
CBS Ambassadors
#414
W
135-87
135
87
+48
H10/11
NCAA
1H
2H
24-23
46-31
34-22
41-46
39-29
27-34
40-31
35-34
31-23
27-35
42-25
34-34
35-38
33-40
44-35
55-43
32-34
35-43
63-44
72-43
152.4Avg total
81.5Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)100.380.7181.0+19.767%
Season at home (2)117.082.5199.5+34.5100%
Season away (1)67.077.0144.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)81.570.9152.4+10.680%
Last 5 (5)89.075.8164.8+13.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)71.0112.0183.0-41.00%
vs Similar (5)67.469.0136.4-1.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)81.366.3147.6+15.092%
This opponent (UTRGV) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTRGVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#343
W
96-75
96
75
+21
A21/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A24/02
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
W
63-55
63
55
+8
H28/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H03/03
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
W
86-68
86
68
+18
H10/03
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
80-84 OT
80
84
-4
A11/03
NCAA
Texas A&M-Kingsville
#419
W
81-51
81
51
+30
H03/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#266
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H07/11
NCAA
Texas State
#27
L
65-72
65
72
-7
H11/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#82
L
77-85
77
85
-8
A15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
46-26
50-49
22-34
46-41
24-34
39-21
39-30
35-32
44-32
42-36
23-31
35-27
42-19
39-32
30-29
38-34
28-30
37-42
24-45
53-40
144.8Avg total
75.8Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)72.867.8140.5+5.050%
Season at home (3)71.362.0133.3+9.367%
Season away (1)77.085.0162.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)75.869.0144.8+6.860%
Last 5 (5)74.271.0145.2+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)71.076.3147.3-5.317%
vs Similar (4)59.056.5115.5+2.550%
vs Weaker (19)79.167.8146.9+11.279%
This opponent (McNeese State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.0+8.01st half: +1.2+1.22nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: +6.0+6.0
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.0+8.01st half: +1.2+1.22nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: +6.0+6.0
McNeese StateUTRGV
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
McNeese StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
24-23
24
23
+1
H22/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H24/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A28/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A03/03
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
W
31-23
31
23
+8
H11/03
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
W
42-25
42
25
+17
A11/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A19/03
NCAA
UAB
#220
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H02/11
NCAA
North Texas
#99
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A05/11
NCAA
CBS Ambassadors
#414
W
63-44
63
44
+19
H10/11
NCAA
68.8Avg total
38.4Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.832.069.8+5.867%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.929.670.5+11.286%-
Last 30 away (16)35.234.169.2+1.150%-
Last 10 (10)38.430.468.8+8.080%-
Last 5 (5)43.235.278.4+8.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)29.060.089.0-31.00%-
vs Similar (5)32.433.265.6-0.820%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)39.330.669.9+8.879%-
This opponent (UTRGV) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTRGVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#343
W
46-26
46
26
+20
A21/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
22-34
22
34
-12
A24/02
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
L
24-34
24
34
-10
H28/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H03/03
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H10/03
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
23-31
23
31
-8
A11/03
NCAA
Texas A&M-Kingsville
#419
W
42-19
42
19
+23
H03/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#266
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H07/11
NCAA
Texas State
#27
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H11/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#82
L
24-45
24
45
-21
A15/11
NCAA
63.2Avg total
32.2Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.230.265.5+5.067%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.828.763.6+6.172%-
Last 30 away (12)35.832.568.3+3.358%-
Last 10 (10)32.231.063.2+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)29.430.860.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)27.032.559.5-5.517%-
vs Similar (4)27.525.553.0+2.075%-
vs Weaker (19)39.131.170.2+8.079%-
This opponent (McNeese State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
McNeese State wins
1
UTRGV wins
DateGameScore
11/03/26McNeese State v UTRGV84-80 OT
24/02/26McNeese State v UTRGV75-68
17/01/26UTRGV v McNeese State79-76
25/02/25McNeese State v UTRGV100-65
25/01/25UTRGV v McNeese State63-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HCBS Ambassadors135-87
05/11/26ANorth Texas67-77
02/11/26HUAB99-78
19/03/26AVanderbilt68-78
11/03/26AStephen F. Austin76-59
11/03/26HUTRGV84-80 OT
03/03/26ANicholls State75-65
28/02/26ANew Orleans66-63
24/02/26HUTRGV75-68
22/02/26HTexas A&M-CC70-54
UTRGVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AUT Arlington77-85
11/11/26HTexas State65-72
07/11/26HPrairie View A&M68-63
03/11/26HTexas A&M-Kingsville81-51
11/03/26AMcNeese State80-84 OT
10/03/26HNicholls State86-68
03/03/26HNorthwestern St.74-62
28/02/26HEast Texas A&M63-55
24/02/26AMcNeese State68-75
21/02/26ASE Louisiana96-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

McNeese State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game100.3117.067.0
Allowed / game80.782.577.0
Point differential+19.7+34.5-10.0
Avg total181.0199.5144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
UTRGV
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game72.871.377.0
Allowed / game67.862.085.0
Point differential+5.0+9.3-8.0
Avg total140.5133.3162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston Christian440100%94.265.2+29.0
2 Stephen F. Austin43175%90.861.2+29.5
3 Lamar32167%109.067.3+41.7
4 McNeese State32167%100.380.7+19.7
5 New Orleans32167%81.782.3-0.7
6 Nicholls State42250%76.867.8+9.0
7 UTRGV42250%72.867.8+5.0
8 Texas A&M-CC42250%71.067.2+3.8
9 SE Louisiana31233%64.387.3-23.0
10 Northwestern St.51420%68.079.0-11.0
11 Incarnate Word4040%60.879.2-18.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.