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UTRGV vs McNeese State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 79-76
46-30 33-46
Position#137
Record5-10
FormLLWLL
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game70.1
UTRGV 🏆
USA
vs
McNeese State
USA
Position#15
Record14-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game68.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · UTRGV v McNeese State
17 Jan 2026
UTRG79
MCNE76
25 Jan 2025
UTRG63
MCNE93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UTRGV winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
McNeese State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UTRGVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austin Peay
#49
W
63-50
63
50
+13
H07/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
L
50-58
50
58
-8
H12/12
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
83-72
83
72
+11
A17/12
NCAA
CBS Ambassadors
#681
W
109-51
109
51
+58
H20/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
L
69-85
69
85
-16
H30/12
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
L
69-71
69
71
-2
H31/12
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
L
59-63
59
63
-4
H03/01
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#287
W
80-67
80
67
+13
H06/01
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A10/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A13/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-30
32-20
27-24
23-34
49-34
34-38
54-20
55-31
24-35
45-50
39-35
30-36
28-28
31-35
44-29
36-38
33-42
36-35
28-28
35-36
137.2Avg total
71.4Scored
65.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)73.570.1143.7+3.433%
Season at home (8)76.162.2138.4+13.950%
Season away (7)70.679.1149.7-8.614%
Last 10 (10)71.465.8137.2+5.640%
Last 5 (5)68.068.4136.4-0.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)68.885.2154.0-16.420%
vs Similar (12)69.274.7143.8-5.525%
vs Weaker (13)77.367.4144.7+9.954%
This opponent (McNeese State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
McNeese StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Incarnate Word
#287
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A02/12
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
92-54
92
54
+38
H06/12
NCAA
Rhode Island
#209
W
66-64
66
64
+2
A10/12
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
W
102-66
102
66
+36
H13/12
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
W
78-68
78
68
+10
A16/12
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
71-112
71
112
-41
A30/12
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H03/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
W
66-64
66
64
+2
H06/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H10/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
W
94-68
94
68
+26
H13/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-34
35-37
58-24
34-30
37-37
29-27
59-29
43-37
33-40
45-28
29-60
42-52
39-34
43-36
34-38
32-26
40-27
33-34
37-19
57-49
148.9Avg total
79.1Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)84.868.4153.2+16.582%
Season at home (11)91.062.0153.0+29.0100%
Season away (6)73.580.0153.5-6.550%
Last 10 (10)79.169.8148.9+9.380%
Last 5 (5)77.275.0152.2+2.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)71.0112.0183.0-41.00%
vs Similar (4)68.866.8135.5+2.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)83.064.3147.3+18.692%
This opponent (UTRGV) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.2+5.21st half: +5.6+5.62nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: +3.7+3.7
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.2+5.21st half: +5.6+5.62nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: +3.7+3.7
UTRGVMcNeese State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UTRGVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austin Peay
#49
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H07/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
27-24
27
24
+3
H12/12
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A17/12
NCAA
CBS Ambassadors
#681
W
54-20
54
20
+34
H20/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
L
24-35
24
35
-11
H30/12
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H31/12
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H03/01
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#287
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H06/01
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A10/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A13/01
NCAA
66.2Avg total
35.7Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.733.668.2+1.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.930.567.4+6.475%-
Last 30 away (14)32.137.169.2-4.97%-
Last 10 (10)35.730.566.2+5.260%-
Last 5 (5)34.432.466.8+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)31.236.868.0-5.620%-
vs Similar (12)33.435.068.4-1.642%-
vs Weaker (13)37.231.068.2+6.254%-
This opponent (McNeese State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
McNeese StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Incarnate Word
#287
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A02/12
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
58-24
58
24
+34
H06/12
NCAA
Rhode Island
#209
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A10/12
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
W
59-29
59
29
+30
H13/12
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A16/12
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
29-60
29
60
-31
A30/12
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H03/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H06/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H10/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
W
37-19
37
19
+18
H13/01
NCAA
74.0Avg total
39.8Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.630.168.8+8.563%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.826.066.8+14.878%-
Last 30 away (12)35.436.371.8-0.942%-
Last 10 (10)39.834.274.0+5.650%-
Last 5 (5)35.835.671.4+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)29.060.089.0-31.00%-
vs Similar (4)32.529.562.0+3.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)40.029.069.0+11.068%-
This opponent (UTRGV) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UTRGV wins
2
McNeese State wins
DateGameScore
25/02/25McNeese State v UTRGV100-65
25/01/25UTRGV v McNeese State63-93
UTRGVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/26ANorthwestern St.63-64
10/01/26AEast Texas A&M69-77
06/01/26HIncarnate Word80-67
03/01/26HTexas A&M-CC59-63
31/12/25HNicholls State69-71
30/12/25HNew Orleans69-85
20/12/25HCBS Ambassadors109-51
17/12/25ALamar83-72
12/12/25HUT Arlington50-58
07/12/25HAustin Peay63-50
McNeese Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/26HNicholls State94-68
10/01/26HSE Louisiana73-61
06/01/26HStephen F. Austin66-64
03/01/26HLamar82-70
30/12/25AMichigan71-112
16/12/25AHouston Christian78-68
13/12/25HEast Texas A&M102-66
10/12/25ARhode Island66-64
06/12/25HNorthwestern St.92-54
02/12/25AIncarnate Word67-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UTRGV
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL33%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayLLWLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %33%50%14%
Points / game73.576.170.6
Allowed / game70.162.279.1
Point differential+3.4+13.9-8.6
Avg total143.7138.4149.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
McNeese State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17116
Win %82%100%50%
Points / game84.891.073.5
Allowed / game68.462.080.0
Point differential+16.5+29.0-6.5
Avg total153.2153.0153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%91%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State1714382%84.868.4+16.5
2 Stephen F. Austin1714382%77.663.9+13.7
3 Texas A&M-CC1810856%74.766.6+8.2
4 Lamar1810856%71.467.2+4.2
5 Incarnate Word189950%77.271.3+5.9
6 Nicholls State1881044%76.177.1-1.0
7 New Orleans1871139%75.981.1-5.1
8 UTRGV1551033%73.570.1+3.4
9 Northwestern St.1861233%72.477.1-4.6
10 Houston Christian1861233%69.174.5-5.4
11 SE Louisiana1851328%65.269.9-4.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UTRGV463379
McNeese State304676
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