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Mechelen vs Okapi Aalst Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 91-84
29-22 15-23 23-19 24-20
Position#8
Record1-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game78.0
vs
Position#16
Record0-3
FormWLLLL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game88.3
EuropeBNXT League· Stedelijke Sporthal Winketkaai (Mechelen)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Mechelen v Okapi Aalst
10 Oct 2026
MECH79
OKAP94
04 Apr 2026
MECH94
OKAP74
30 Apr 2025
MECH78
OKAP79
07 Oct 2023
MECH91
OKAP84
15 Jan 2023
MECH90
OKAP98
09 Oct 2021
MECH71
OKAP77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mechelen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Okapi Aalst winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MechelenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMechelen
Date
Competition
Oostende
#1
L
74-84
74
84
-10
56avg 67
A14/05
Pro Basketball League
Oostende
#1
W
92-77
92
77
+15
84avg 67
H16/05
Pro Basketball League
Oostende
#1
L
59-82
59
82
-23
45avg 67
A18/05
Pro Basketball League
Belfius Mons
#11
W
93-61
93
61
+32
no box
A21/05
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#11
W
65-56
65
56
+9
no box
H23/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#10
L
71-93
71
93
-22
no box
A27/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#10
L
73-83
73
83
-10
no box
H29/05
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
84-90
84
90
-6
73avg 67
A22/09
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
W
76-75
76
75
+1
75avg 67
H30/09
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
65-69
65
69
-4
61avg 67
H04/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
17-19
15-19
23-26
22-29
26-16
24-18
20-14
8-16
18-23
13-23
20-20
25-20
16-14
27-13
25-14
33-22
17-20
15-14
0-0
17-24
20-24
17-23
17-22
15-23
18-14
19-26
21-20
19-27
23-22
22-22
20-19
21-19
25-27
17-18
13-11
15-15
18-23
13-15
19-16
152.2Avg total
75.2Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)75.078.0153.0-3.033%
Season at home (2)70.572.0142.5-1.550%
Season away (1)84.090.0174.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)75.277.0152.2-1.840%
Last 5 (5)73.882.0155.8-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)74.575.5149.9-1.055%
vs Similar (11)74.978.0152.9-3.155%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)84.570.8155.2+13.875%
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Okapi AalstLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAalst
Date
Competition
Feyenoord
#17
W
99-65
99
65
+34
no box
H19/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#14
W
85-79
85
79
+6
no box
A23/04
BNXT League
Amsterdam
#20
W
104-76
104
76
+28
no box
H28/04
BNXT League
Amsterdam
#20
L
87-94
87
94
-7
no box
A03/05
BNXT League
Amsterdam
#20
W
101-67
101
67
+34
no box
H05/05
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#6
W
81-75
81
75
+6
no box
H12/05
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#6
L
65-101
65
101
-36
no box
A15/05
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
63-85
63
85
-22
52avg 69
A23/09
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
L
89-93
89
93
-4
83avg 69
A29/09
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
80-87
80
87
-7
73avg 69
H04/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-12
22-17
22-16
23-20
18-21
25-13
21-30
21-15
20-11
31-17
33-27
20-21
17-28
18-20
28-29
24-17
38-17
19-22
31-14
13-14
26-10
23-24
17-22
15-19
17-27
20-28
13-25
15-21
17-22
20-18
11-17
15-28
29-24
24-27
24-19
12-23
22-23
16-22
20-21
22-21
167.6Avg total
85.4Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.388.3165.7-11.00%
Season at home (1)80.087.0167.0-7.00%
Season away (2)76.089.0165.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)85.482.2167.6+3.250%
Last 5 (5)75.688.2163.8-12.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)71.583.5155.0-12.00%
vs Similar (11)78.386.1164.4-7.836%
vs Weaker (17)89.877.5167.4+12.376%
This opponent (Mechelen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -1.9-1.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -1.9-1.9
MechelenOkapi Aalst
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oostende
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A14/05
Pro Basketball League
Oostende
#1
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H16/05
Pro Basketball League
Oostende
#1
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A18/05
Pro Basketball League
Belfius Mons
#11
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A21/05
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#11
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H23/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#10
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A27/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#10
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H29/05
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A22/09
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H30/09
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H04/10
BNXT League
80.9Avg total
39.2Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.538.578.0+1.047%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.837.679.4+4.256%-
Last 30 away (14)36.939.676.4-2.736%-
Last 10 (10)39.241.780.9-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)38.243.681.8-5.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.839.477.2-1.545%-
vs Similar (11)37.440.477.7-3.018%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)44.834.979.6+9.988%-
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Okapi AalstLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Feyenoord
#17
W
54-29
54
29
+25
H19/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#14
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A23/04
BNXT League
Amsterdam
#20
W
51-28
51
28
+23
H28/04
BNXT League
Amsterdam
#20
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A03/05
BNXT League
Amsterdam
#20
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H05/05
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#6
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H12/05
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#6
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A15/05
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A23/09
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A29/09
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H04/10
BNXT League
85.7Avg total
45.4Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.441.285.6+3.263%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.338.585.8+8.973%-
Last 30 away (15)41.443.985.3-2.553%-
Last 10 (10)45.440.385.7+5.160%-
Last 5 (5)42.845.087.8-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)37.041.078.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (11)40.844.885.6-4.045%-
vs Weaker (17)47.538.986.4+8.682%-
This opponent (Mechelen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.116.9
51.1%
52.2%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.78.1
39.1%
33.1%24.3
🏀 Free throws23.716.9
71.3%
71.4%16.9
They take 53.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Okapi Aalsttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Okapi Aalst: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀17%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.7 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.323.3
48.3%
52.2%46.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.04.3
33.3%
33.1%13.0
🏀 Free throws22.016.3
74.2%
71.4%16.3
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 13.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 21% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/3 games with a box score before 07 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mechelen
LWLLLWWLWL
Okapi Aalst
LLLLWWLWWW
#8
League position
#16
-7.6
Net rating
-15.2
105.4
Offensive rating
99.3
113.0
Defensive rating
114.5
54.0%
Effective FG%
48.6%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
20.0%
Turnover %
20.0%
22.7%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.44
Free-throw rate
0.36
39.1%
3-point %
33.3%
50.0%
Assist %
50.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.4 · 99.3Defence113.0 · 114.5Shooting54.0% · 48.6%3-point %39.1% · 33.3%Ball care20.0% · 20.0%Off. rebounds22.7% · 27.4%Free throws0.44 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Mechelen   ■ Okapi Aalst
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Mechelen wins
3
Okapi Aalst wins
DateGameScore
15/01/23Mechelen v Okapi Aalst90-98
04/12/22Okapi Aalst v Mechelen77-81
20/02/22Okapi Aalst v Mechelen87-92 OT
09/10/21Mechelen v Okapi Aalst71-77
19/10/19Okapi Aalst v Mechelen83-76
Mechelenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/23HAntwerp Giants65-69
30/09/23HBelfius Mons76-75
22/09/23ASpirou Charleroi84-90
29/05/23HLimburg73-83
27/05/23ALimburg71-93
23/05/23HBelfius Mons65-56
21/05/23ABelfius Mons93-61
18/05/23AOostende59-82
16/05/23HOostende92-77
14/05/23AOostende74-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/23HSpirou Charleroi80-87
29/09/23AKortrijk89-93
23/09/23AOostende63-85
15/05/23ALeuven Bears65-101
12/05/23HLeuven Bears81-75
05/05/23HAmsterdam101-67
03/05/23AAmsterdam87-94
28/04/23HAmsterdam104-76
23/04/23AQSTA Utd85-79
19/04/23HFeyenoord99-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mechelen
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game75.070.584.0
Allowed / game78.072.090.0
Point differential-3.0-1.5-6.0
Avg total153.0142.5174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Okapi Aalst
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game77.380.076.0
Allowed / game88.387.089.0
Point differential-11.0-7.0-13.0
Avg total165.7167.0165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zwolle220100%85.561.5+24.0
2 Limburg220100%82.562.5+20.0
3 BAL Weert110100%86.079.0+7.0
4 Spirou Charleroi330100%85.378.3+7.0
5 Feyenoord220100%83.577.5+6.0
6 Antwerp Giants220100%75.571.5+4.0
7 Leiden32167%85.367.0+18.3
8 Den Bosch32167%81.367.0+14.3
9 Circus Brussels32167%83.775.0+8.7
10 Oostende32167%73.768.0+5.7
11 Donar Groningen21150%72.068.0+4.0
12 Kortrijk42250%79.084.8-5.8
13 Leuven Bears31233%77.777.7+0.0
14 Mechelen31233%75.078.0-3.0
15 Liege31233%71.077.7-6.7
16 Belfius Mons3030%71.780.7-9.0
17 Okapi Aalst3030%77.388.3-11.0
18 LWD Basket3030%72.796.7-24.0
19 Den Helder2020%64.089.0-25.0
20 QSTA Utd2020%68.594.0-25.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mechelen2915232491
Okapi Aalst2223192084
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