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Mechelen vs Okapi Aalst Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 30 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 78-79
23-22 20-22 20-17 15-18
Position#3
Record24-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game74.7
vs
Position#13
Record14-18
FormWLLLL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game80.3
EuropeBNXT League· Stedelijke Sporthal Winketkaai
Other2024-25
Meetings · Mechelen v Okapi Aalst
10 Oct 2026
MECH79
OKAP94
04 Apr 2026
MECH94
OKAP74
30 Apr 2025
MECH78
OKAP79
07 Oct 2023
MECH91
OKAP84
15 Jan 2023
MECH90
OKAP98
09 Oct 2021
MECH71
OKAP77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mechelen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Okapi Aalst winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MechelenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMechelen
Date
Competition
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
79-65
79
65
+14
68avg 74
A01/03
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
W
93-90
93
90
+3
87avg 74
A12/03
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
79-84
79
84
-5
69avg 74
A16/03
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
W
87-74
87
74
+13
87avg 74
A28/03
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
W
93-91 OT
93
91
+2
83avg 74
H02/04
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
85-62
85
62
+23
54avg 74
H12/04
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
74-64
74
64
+10
66avg 74
H18/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
61-81
61
81
-20
45avg 74
A20/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
95-66
95
66
+29
100avg 74
A23/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
93-67
93
67
+26
94avg 74
H26/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-13
17-19
21-21
23-12
28-20
24-21
22-22
19-27
14-28
28-17
16-18
21-21
28-21
23-25
16-16
20-12
16-26
21-19
21-19
20-14
25-15
31-14
19-22
10-11
24-15
14-20
20-17
16-12
20-14
16-19
12-31
13-17
24-19
25-12
31-13
15-22
23-21
21-17
20-11
29-18
158.3Avg total
83.9Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)81.874.7156.5+7.175%
Season at home (15)83.472.6156.0+10.887%
Season away (17)80.476.6157.0+3.865%
Last 10 (10)83.974.4158.3+9.580%
Last 5 (5)81.668.0149.6+13.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)80.579.8160.2+0.850%
vs Similar (9)80.778.3159.0+2.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)83.070.4153.4+12.688%
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Okapi AalstLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAalst
Date
Competition
Mechelen
#3
L
65-79
65
79
-14
58avg 73
H01/03
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
63-91
63
91
-28
53avg 73
A12/03
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
L
68-82
68
82
-14
63avg 73
H15/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
76-84
76
84
-8
65avg 73
A21/03
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
72-89
72
89
-17
63avg 73
H23/03
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
80-74 OT
80
74
+6
64avg 73
A29/03
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
82-85
82
85
-3
79avg 73
H02/04
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
L
80-87
80
87
-7
73avg 73
H12/04
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
66-80
66
80
-14
59avg 73
A18/04
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
L
75-90
75
90
-15
70avg 73
A26/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-18
19-17
21-21
12-23
17-18
11-17
22-32
13-24
20-21
19-25
18-24
11-12
14-20
23-27
22-21
17-16
25-21
19-27
17-20
11-21
20-15
16-12
10-22
22-19
29-24
14-19
18-19
21-23
21-22
22-26
12-19
25-20
19-24
10-16
28-22
9-18
20-28
17-17
13-23
25-22
156.8Avg total
72.7Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)80.080.3160.3-0.244%
Season at home (17)81.879.9161.7+1.947%
Season away (15)78.080.7158.7-2.740%
Last 10 (10)72.784.1156.8-11.410%
Last 5 (5)76.683.2159.8-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)74.884.9159.7-10.233%
vs Similar (9)82.881.4164.2+1.344%
vs Weaker (8)88.275.8164.0+12.575%
This opponent (Mechelen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -3.2-3.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -3.2-3.2
MechelenOkapi Aalst
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A01/03
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A12/03
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A16/03
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A28/03
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H02/04
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
56-29
56
29
+27
H12/04
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H18/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A20/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A23/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H26/04
BNXT League
81.5Avg total
44.0Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.638.279.8+3.472%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.637.479.1+4.279%-
Last 30 away (15)41.538.980.4+2.767%-
Last 10 (10)44.037.581.5+6.580%-
Last 5 (5)44.633.277.8+11.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.540.276.8-3.850%-
vs Similar (9)43.241.084.2+2.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)41.936.178.0+5.981%-
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Okapi AalstLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mechelen
#3
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H01/03
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A12/03
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H15/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A21/03
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H23/03
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A29/03
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H02/04
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H12/04
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A18/04
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A26/04
BNXT League
78.2Avg total
36.8Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.839.680.4+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.140.182.2+1.950%-
Last 30 away (14)39.439.178.4+0.350%-
Last 10 (10)36.841.478.2-4.610%-
Last 5 (5)37.640.678.2-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)37.441.779.1-4.233%-
vs Similar (9)44.138.682.7+5.656%-
vs Weaker (8)41.937.879.6+4.162%-
This opponent (Mechelen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.820.6
51.8%
52.6%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.7
37.5%
34.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws21.116.0
75.8%
71.9%16.0
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Okapi Aalsttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Okapi Aalst: 72.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.113.7
42.7%
52.6%27.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.3
36.3%
34.1%27.9
🏀 Free throws22.817.2
75.4%
71.9%17.2
They take 57.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mechelen
WWLWWWWLWW
Okapi Aalst
LLLLWLLLLL
#3
League position
#13
+12.7
Net rating
-14.2
109.2
Offensive rating
97.3
96.5
Defensive rating
111.5
53.4%
Effective FG%
47.9%
45.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
17.3%
Turnover %
21.2%
25.2%
Off. rebound %
24.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.40
37.5%
3-point %
36.3%
58.4%
Assist %
58.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence109.2 · 97.3Defence96.5 · 111.5Shooting53.4% · 47.9%3-point %37.5% · 36.3%Ball care17.3% · 21.2%Off. rebounds25.2% · 24.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)80% · 10%
■ Mechelen   ■ Okapi Aalst
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Mechelen wins
4
Okapi Aalst wins
DateGameScore
01/03/25Okapi Aalst v Mechelen65-79
20/04/24Okapi Aalst v Mechelen72-81
12/01/24Okapi Aalst v Mechelen82-80
07/10/23Mechelen v Okapi Aalst91-84
15/01/23Mechelen v Okapi Aalst90-98
04/12/22Okapi Aalst v Mechelen77-81
20/02/22Okapi Aalst v Mechelen87-92 OT
09/10/21Mechelen v Okapi Aalst71-77
19/10/19Okapi Aalst v Mechelen83-76
Mechelenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/25HDen Helder93-67
23/04/25AFeyenoord95-66
20/04/25ABelfius Mons61-81
18/04/25HOostende74-64
12/04/25HDonar Groningen85-62
02/04/25HKortrijk93-91 OT
28/03/25ACircus Brussels87-74
16/03/25AAntwerp Giants79-84
12/03/25ALeuven Bears93-90
01/03/25AOkapi Aalst79-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/25ALeuven Bears75-90
18/04/25ALimburg66-80
12/04/25HZwolle80-87
02/04/25HAntwerp Giants82-85
29/03/25AFeyenoord80-74 OT
23/03/25HSpirou Charleroi72-89
21/03/25AOostende76-84
15/03/25HCircus Brussels68-82
12/03/25AKortrijk63-91
01/03/25HMechelen65-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mechelen
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW75%
HomeLWWWW87%
AwayWLWLW65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321517
Win %75%87%65%
Points / game81.883.480.4
Allowed / game74.772.676.6
Point differential+7.1+10.8+3.8
Avg total156.5156.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%53%41%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)67% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Okapi Aalst
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL44%
HomeLLLLL47%
AwayLLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %44%47%40%
Points / game80.081.878.0
Allowed / game80.379.980.7
Point differential-0.2+1.9-2.7
Avg total160.3161.7158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%24%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)40% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %9%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kortrijk3325876%93.977.4+16.5
2 Mechelen3224875%81.874.7+7.1
3 Oostende3425974%86.575.2+11.3
4 Limburg34241071%80.874.8+6.0
5 Circus Brussels33221167%78.175.6+2.4
6 Antwerp Giants33201361%83.181.1+2.1
7 Leuven Bears33191458%80.174.2+6.0
8 Den Bosch33191458%83.780.7+3.0
9 Belfius Mons33181555%79.778.4+1.3
10 Spirou Charleroi34181653%79.675.2+4.4
11 LWD Basket34181653%82.183.3-1.3
12 Leiden33171652%77.379.7-2.4
13 Okapi Aalst32141844%80.080.3-0.2
14 Zwolle33122136%82.084.9-2.9
15 Donar Groningen33112233%76.984.1-7.1
16 Den Helder33112233%73.383.5-10.2
17 Feyenoord3592626%77.987.1-9.1
18 BAL Weert3462818%70.384.3-13.9
19 QSTA Utd3342912%76.588.8-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mechelen2320201578
Okapi Aalst2222171879
← all games of the day
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