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Mechelen vs Okapi Aalst Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 94-74
28-18 18-17 27-15 21-24
Position#8
Record16-10
FormWLWLW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game77.6
vs
Position#3
Record19-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game96.0
Allowed / game87.2
EuropeBNXT LeagueRound 27· Stedelijke Sporthal Winketkaai
Other2025-26
Meetings · Mechelen v Okapi Aalst
10 Oct 2026
MECH79
OKAP94
04 Apr 2026
MECH94
OKAP74
30 Apr 2025
MECH78
OKAP79
07 Oct 2023
MECH91
OKAP84
15 Jan 2023
MECH90
OKAP98
09 Oct 2021
MECH71
OKAP77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mechelen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Okapi Aalst winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MechelenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMechelen
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#6
L
74-78
74
78
-4
67avg 70
H24/01
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
40-81
40
81
-41
22avg 70
A30/01
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
L
67-72
67
72
-5
57avg 70
A15/02
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
76-66
76
66
+10
67avg 70
H18/02
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
W
93-84
93
84
+9
93avg 70
H21/02
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
W
77-71 OT
77
71
+6
70avg 70
A07/03
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
L
68-78
68
78
-10
58avg 70
H13/03
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
W
75-59
75
59
+16
71avg 70
A15/03
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
74-79
74
79
-5
70avg 70
A27/03
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
80-57
80
57
+23
75avg 70
H01/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
21-15
18-22
20-25
7-19
14-22
6-26
13-14
18-25
17-14
15-17
17-16
20-15
18-13
16-27
22-11
19-14
23-24
32-19
19-27
13-21
15-16
18-15
19-13
10-21
22-25
25-12
11-20
18-19
11-13
23-19
23-8
20-21
21-23
21-15
12-20
22-15
29-15
19-15
10-12
144.9Avg total
72.4Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)77.577.6155.1-0.262%
Season at home (13)81.775.2156.9+6.577%
Season away (13)73.280.0153.2-6.846%
Last 10 (10)72.472.5144.9-0.150%
Last 5 (5)74.868.8143.6+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)72.482.5154.9-10.136%
vs Similar (8)79.075.5154.5+3.562%
vs Weaker (7)82.672.0154.6+10.686%
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Okapi AalstLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAalst
Date
Competition
Den Helder
#12
W
105-85
105
85
+20
no box
H17/01
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
82-93
82
93
-11
73avg 86
A23/01
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
73-67
73
67
+6
68avg 86
A31/01
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
W
87-84
87
84
+3
84avg 86
H14/02
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
104-95
104
95
+9
102avg 86
A22/02
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
103-82
103
82
+21
99avg 86
A07/03
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
W
95-76
95
76
+19
93avg 86
H13/03
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
W
106-90
106
90
+16
102avg 86
A15/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
90-109
90
109
-19
78avg 86
H21/03
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
W
111-82
111
82
+29
119avg 86
H28/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-24
20-26
28-20
28-15
22-28
24-20
21-25
15-20
23-16
9-19
22-14
19-18
23-25
17-22
26-20
21-17
28-23
18-19
35-27
23-26
27-17
22-24
19-27
35-14
32-22
25-17
17-19
21-18
26-21
27-27
19-22
34-20
25-28
20-28
15-16
30-37
34-14
30-30
27-18
20-20
181.9Avg total
95.6Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)96.087.2183.2+8.873%
Season at home (13)99.285.6184.8+13.585%
Season away (13)92.888.7181.5+4.262%
Last 10 (10)95.686.3181.9+9.380%
Last 5 (5)101.087.8188.8+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)103.097.5200.5+5.550%
vs Similar (8)86.691.8178.4-5.125%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)95.884.1179.9+11.784%
This opponent (Mechelen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +5.1+5.1Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +4.1+4.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +5.1+5.1Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +4.1+4.1
MechelenOkapi Aalst
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#6
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H24/01
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
21-41
21
41
-20
A30/01
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A15/02
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H18/02
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H21/02
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A07/03
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H13/03
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A15/03
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A27/03
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H01/04
BNXT League
71.9Avg total
35.3Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.639.077.6-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.937.778.5+3.267%-
Last 30 away (15)36.340.476.7-4.133%-
Last 10 (10)35.336.671.9-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)36.237.874.0-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)35.140.375.4-5.243%-
vs Similar (8)39.538.878.2+0.838%-
vs Weaker (7)42.337.679.9+4.771%-
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Okapi AalstLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Helder
#12
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H17/01
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A23/01
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A31/01
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H14/02
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A22/02
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A07/03
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H13/03
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A15/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
45-56
45
56
-11
H21/03
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
W
64-44
64
44
+20
H28/03
BNXT League
93.1Avg total
48.1Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.944.690.6+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.344.993.2+3.450%-
Last 30 away (16)43.944.488.2-0.556%-
Last 10 (10)48.145.093.1+3.150%-
Last 5 (5)53.645.699.2+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.046.088.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (8)40.648.989.5-8.225%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)47.942.790.7+5.268%-
This opponent (Mechelen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen: 72.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.319.4
48.1%
54.3%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.37.1
33.3%
34.6%21.3
🏀 Free throws17.612.3
69.9%
72.4%12.3
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Okapi Aalsttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Okapi Aalst: 95.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.123.4
59.8%
54.3%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.79.6
38.9%
34.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws23.419.5
83.3%
72.4%19.5
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mechelen
WLWLWWWLLL
Okapi Aalst
WLWWWWWWLW
#8
League position
#3
+0.0
Net rating
+10.0
86.5
Offensive rating
107.3
86.5
Defensive rating
97.2
48.8%
Effective FG%
59.2%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
17.7%
Turnover %
15.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.37
33.3%
3-point %
38.9%
53.6%
Assist %
53.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence86.5 · 107.3Defence86.5 · 97.2Shooting48.8% · 59.2%3-point %33.3% · 38.9%Ball care17.7% · 15.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Mechelen   ■ Okapi Aalst
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Mechelen wins
5
Okapi Aalst wins
Mechelenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/26HBAL Weert80-57
27/03/26ASpirou Charleroi74-79
15/03/26ALeiden75-59
13/03/26HLeiden68-78
07/03/26ALeuven Bears77-71 OT
21/02/26HKortrijk93-84
18/02/26HBelfius Mons76-66
15/02/26AZwolle67-72
30/01/26AAntwerp Giants40-81
24/01/26HDen Bosch74-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/26HDonar Groningen111-82
21/03/26HOostende90-109
15/03/26ALeuven Bears106-90
13/03/26HLeuven Bears95-76
07/03/26ABAL Weert103-82
22/02/26AZwolle104-95
14/02/26HBrussels Basketball87-84
31/01/26ASpirou Charleroi73-67
23/01/26AKortrijk82-93
17/01/26HDen Helder105-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mechelen
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW62%
HomeLWWLW77%
AwayLLWWL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %62%77%46%
Points / game77.581.773.2
Allowed / game77.675.280.0
Point differential-0.2+6.5-6.8
Avg total155.1156.9153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%38%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)75% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Okapi Aalst
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW73%
HomeWWWLW85%
AwayLWWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %73%85%62%
Points / game96.099.292.8
Allowed / game87.285.688.7
Point differential+8.8+13.5+4.2
Avg total183.2184.8181.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%69%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %12%8%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants2521484%96.077.2+18.7
2 Oostende2620677%90.280.3+9.8
3 Okapi Aalst2619773%96.087.2+8.8
4 Kortrijk2718967%88.081.3+6.7
5 Den Bosch2617965%86.381.1+5.3
6 Mechelen26161062%77.577.6-0.2
7 Limburg27161159%89.981.4+8.5
8 Donar Groningen24141058%83.284.4-1.2
9 Brussels Basketball26151158%85.080.9+4.1
10 Leiden27151256%83.880.3+3.5
11 Spirou Charleroi24111346%82.985.9-3.0
12 Leuven Bears26111542%80.680.9-0.3
13 Den Helder27101737%80.382.3-2.0
14 Zwolle2691735%80.084.5-4.5
15 Belfius Mons2691735%84.391.7-7.3
16 LWD Basket2681831%83.493.4-10.0
17 Rotterdam2632312%72.389.5-17.2
18 BAL Weert272257%68.787.9-19.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mechelen2818272194
Okapi Aalst1817152474
← all games of the day
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