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Melbourne Tigers vs Knox Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 May 2023
Tip-off: 04:30
Final 80-93
26-25 13-26 12-29 29-13
Position#12
Record4-5
FormWLWWL
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game83.9
vs
Knox 🏆
Australia
Position#1
Record6-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game75.8
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2023
Meetings · Melbourne Tigers v Knox
14 Apr 2024
MELB55
KNOX87
14 May 2023
MELB80
KNOX93
26 May 2019
MELB98
KNOX85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne Tigers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Knox winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne TigersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankston
#5
L
61-105
61
105
-44
H14/08
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#11
L
68-92
68
92
-24
A01/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
L
88-91
88
91
-3
H13/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#16
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A15/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
W
82-79
82
79
+3
H20/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#18
W
95-82
95
82
+13
A22/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
71-82
71
82
-11
A28/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
W
84-69
84
69
+15
A29/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
W
100-76
100
76
+24
H07/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#5
L
91-100
91
100
-9
A13/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
20-31
8-26
11-25
13-25
23-18
18-23
14-26
30-22
25-25
17-26
16-18
15-23
19-29
14-16
24-16
29-13
26-19
15-25
12-22
24-21
25-17
19-21
27-23
13-25
18-24
22-23
18-10
25-11
17-16
27-25
15-17
28-18
25-24
28-14
19-20
22-23
26-20
14-25
29-32
167.2Avg total
81.2Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.483.9167.3-0.444%
Season at home (3)90.082.0172.0+8.067%
Season away (6)80.284.8165.0-4.733%
Last 10 (10)81.286.0167.2-4.840%
Last 5 (5)88.281.8170.0+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)74.784.1158.8-9.527%
vs Similar (6)77.378.3155.7-1.050%
vs Weaker (2)78.076.5154.5+1.550%
This opponent (Knox) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KnoxAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lindenwood
#304
L
42-77
42
77
-35
A17/12
NCAA
Keilor Thunder
#16
W
88-73
88
73
+15
A02/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
L
76-84
76
84
-8
H13/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#14
L
81-88
81
88
-7
H15/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
W
100-62
100
62
+38
A21/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
73-76
73
76
-3
A22/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
74-60
74
60
+14
H29/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H06/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
W
87-76
87
76
+11
H07/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#11
W
99-92
99
92
+7
A13/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
15-41
0-0
27-36
20-14
25-29
30-13
13-17
16-28
24-19
14-19
22-18
14-26
17-35
27-12
23-15
27-15
20-15
23-20
30-12
13-25
22-17
27-20
11-14
11-22
18-12
17-9
28-17
10-24
26-14
24-19
21-14
21-18
20-21
29-23
17-14
23-38
30-30
22-8
24-16
156.0Avg total
80.1Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)84.375.8160.1+8.667%
Season at home (5)79.875.8155.6+4.060%
Season away (4)90.075.8165.8+14.275%
Last 10 (10)80.175.9156.0+4.260%
Last 5 (5)82.875.0157.8+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.592.0173.5-10.50%
vs Similar (5)88.282.2170.4+6.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)84.575.8160.2+8.773%
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -5.5-5.5Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +7.0+7.0Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +4.3+4.3
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -5.5-5.5Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +7.0+7.0Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +4.3+4.3
Melbourne TigersKnox
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Melbourne TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankston
#5
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H14/08
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#11
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A01/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H13/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#16
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A15/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H20/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#18
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A22/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A28/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A29/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H07/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#5
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A13/05
NBL1 South
87.2Avg total
44.5Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.742.682.3-3.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.144.685.7-3.443%-
Last 30 away (16)38.440.979.3-2.644%-
Last 10 (10)44.542.787.2+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)44.639.884.4+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)40.243.083.2-2.945%-
vs Similar (6)38.342.280.5-3.833%-
vs Weaker (2)38.039.577.5-1.550%-
This opponent (Knox) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KnoxLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lindenwood
#304
L
15-41
15
41
-26
A17/12
NCAA
Keilor Thunder
#16
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A02/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H13/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#14
L
31-61
31
61
-30
H15/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A21/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A22/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H29/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H06/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H07/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#11
L
53-68
53
68
-15
A13/05
NBL1 South
81.5Avg total
37.2Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.241.081.2-0.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.639.681.3+2.057%-
Last 30 away (16)38.942.281.1-3.250%-
Last 10 (10)37.244.381.5-7.130%-
Last 5 (5)38.844.283.0-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.040.073.0-7.050%-
vs Similar (5)45.440.686.0+4.880%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)40.841.282.0-0.450%-
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Melbourne Tigers wins
2
Knox wins
DateGameScore
30/07/22Knox v Melbourne Tigers77-75
31/07/21Knox v Melbourne Tigers124-75
26/05/19Melbourne Tigers v Knox98-85
14/04/19Knox v Melbourne Tigers72-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/23AEltham91-100
07/05/23HMt Gambier100-76
29/04/23ANW Tasmania84-69
28/04/23AHobart Chargers71-82
22/04/23ADandenong95-82
20/04/23HNunawading82-79
15/04/23AKeilor Thunder72-84
13/04/23HWaverley88-91
01/04/23ABallarat68-92
14/08/22HFrankston61-105
Knoxlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/23ABallarat99-92
07/05/23HSandringham Sabres87-76
06/05/23HRingwood81-71
29/04/23HCasey Cavaliers74-60
22/04/23AHobart Chargers73-76
21/04/23ANW Tasmania100-62
15/04/23HKilsyth81-88
13/04/23HNunawading76-84
02/04/23AKeilor Thunder88-73
17/12/22ALindenwood42-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne Tigers
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL44%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLWLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %44%67%33%
Points / game83.490.080.2
Allowed / game83.982.084.8
Point differential-0.4+8.0-4.7
Avg total167.3172.0165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Knox
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%60%75%
Points / game84.379.890.0
Allowed / game75.875.875.8
Point differential+8.6+4.0+14.2
Avg total160.1155.6165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Frankston97278%95.883.0+12.8
2 Eltham97278%91.079.2+11.8
3 Knox96367%84.375.8+8.6
4 Mt Gambier96367%97.089.0+8.0
5 Nunawading96367%89.382.7+6.7
6 Sandringham Sabres106460%91.689.1+2.5
7 Geelong95456%87.285.7+1.6
8 Hobart Chargers95456%84.784.3+0.3
9 Diamond Valley95456%86.187.0-0.9
10 Ballarat105550%91.791.4+0.3
11 Keilor Thunder84450%85.094.9-9.9
12 Kilsyth94544%92.291.6+0.7
13 Melbourne Tigers94544%83.483.9-0.4
14 Waverley83538%80.085.9-5.9
15 Ringwood93633%87.689.7-2.1
16 NW Tasmania93633%82.089.9-7.9
17 Bendigo Braves93633%85.896.6-10.8
18 Casey Cavaliers92722%77.186.2-9.1
19 Dandenong102820%84.892.2-7.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Melbourne Tigers2613122980
Knox2526291393
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