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Keilor Thunder vs Melbourne Tigers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 84-72
23-15 29-19 16-14 16-24
Position#16
Record1-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game90.0
vs
Position#12
Record0-2
FormWWLLL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game91.5
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2023
Meetings · Keilor Thunder v Melbourne Tigers
15 Apr 2023
KEIL84
MELB72
04 Jun 2022
KEIL66
MELB62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keilor Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Melbourne Tigers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keilor ThunderAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers
#18
W
83-54
83
54
+29
A10/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#17
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A16/07
NBL1 South
Frankston
#5
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H17/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#10
L
76-79
76
79
-3
H23/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#4
L
80-89
80
89
-9
A30/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#8
W
98-74
98
74
+24
H06/08
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#15
W
75-67
75
67
+8
H13/08
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A14/08
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
73-88
73
88
-15
H02/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#11
W
95-92
95
92
+3
H14/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
19-10
14-11
24-14
16-8
22-13
11-29
23-19
19-18
22-22
6-20
22-19
18-26
23-18
18-23
17-12
15-17
24-17
21-18
20-37
23-25
24-19
25-15
26-15
18-26
16-15
18-18
23-8
6-21
18-25
23-22
24-17
14-20
29-25
13-30
17-13
33-24
23-26
28-15
11-27
156.8Avg total
79.2Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)84.090.0174.0-6.050%
Season at home (2)84.090.0174.0-6.050%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.277.6156.8+1.650%
Last 5 (5)82.481.2163.6+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)78.784.7163.3-6.033%
vs Similar (11)76.679.6156.3-3.027%
vs Weaker (4)74.566.2140.8+8.275%
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne TigersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waverley
#9
L
64-92
64
92
-28
A17/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#8
L
75-97
75
97
-22
H24/07
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A30/07
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#19
W
67-55
67
55
+12
H31/07
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#6
L
60-70
60
70
-10
A06/08
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#12
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H07/08
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#16
W
93-87
93
87
+6
A13/08
NBL1 South
Frankston
#5
L
61-105
61
105
-44
H14/08
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#11
L
68-92
68
92
-24
A01/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
L
88-91
88
91
-3
H13/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
17-28
19-23
12-18
18-36
18-22
17-23
22-16
15-24
22-16
23-13
15-24
3-17
19-11
34-12
11-15
16-22
22-19
16-16
6-13
25-27
23-18
28-20
10-13
24-21
22-22
32-18
15-26
22-23
20-31
8-26
11-25
13-25
23-18
18-23
14-26
30-22
25-25
17-26
16-18
158.1Avg total
73.7Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)78.091.5169.5-13.50%
Season at home (1)88.091.0179.0-3.00%
Season away (1)68.092.0160.0-24.00%
Last 10 (10)73.784.4158.1-10.730%
Last 5 (5)79.290.6169.8-11.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)73.087.1160.1-14.016%
vs Similar (5)79.077.8156.8+1.260%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -5.8-5.8Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -6.2-6.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -5.8-5.8Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -6.2-6.2
Keilor ThunderMelbourne Tigers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keilor ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers
#18
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A10/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#17
W
38-21
38
21
+17
A16/07
NBL1 South
Frankston
#5
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H17/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#10
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H23/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#4
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A30/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#8
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H06/08
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#15
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H13/08
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
24-46
24
46
-22
A14/08
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H02/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#11
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H14/04
NBL1 South
80.2Avg total
40.8Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)39.039.978.9-0.950%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.541.983.4-0.554%-
Last 30 away (11)36.137.573.5-1.445%-
Last 10 (10)40.839.480.2+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)40.845.286.0-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)40.842.483.2-1.756%-
vs Similar (11)37.540.978.5-3.436%-
vs Weaker (4)39.031.270.2+7.875%-
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waverley
#9
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A17/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#8
L
36-58
36
58
-22
H24/07
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A30/07
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#19
L
22-28
22
28
-6
H31/07
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#6
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A06/08
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#12
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H07/08
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#16
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A13/08
NBL1 South
Frankston
#5
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H14/08
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#11
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A01/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H13/04
NBL1 South
84.3Avg total
39.3Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.743.981.6-6.133%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.945.484.3-6.527%-
Last 30 away (15)36.642.378.9-5.740%-
Last 10 (10)39.345.084.3-5.730%-
Last 5 (5)45.446.491.8-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)37.244.081.3-6.832%-
vs Similar (5)40.243.083.2-2.840%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Keilor Thunder wins
0
Melbourne Tigers wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/23HBallarat95-92
02/04/23HKnox73-88
14/08/22AKnox71-85
13/08/22HCasey Cavaliers75-67
06/08/22HGeelong98-74
30/07/22ASandringham Sabres80-89
23/07/22HDiamond Valley76-79
17/07/22HFrankston69-79
16/07/22AEltham72-69
10/07/22AMelbourne Tigers83-54
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/23HWaverley88-91
01/04/23ABallarat68-92
14/08/22HFrankston61-105
13/08/22ANunawading93-87
07/08/22HBallarat86-78
06/08/22ABendigo Braves60-70
31/07/22HDandenong67-55
30/07/22AKnox75-77
24/07/22HGeelong75-97
17/07/22AWaverley64-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keilor Thunder
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeLW50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game84.084.0-
Allowed / game90.090.0-
Point differential-6.0-6.0-
Avg total174.0174.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Melbourne Tigers
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game78.088.068.0
Allowed / game91.591.092.0
Point differential-13.5-3.0-24.0
Avg total169.5179.0160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Frankston220100%101.582.5+19.0
2 Mt Gambier330100%106.787.7+19.0
3 Kilsyth330100%100.785.7+15.0
4 Eltham110100%87.077.0+10.0
5 NW Tasmania110100%80.070.0+10.0
6 Nunawading32167%94.085.3+8.7
7 Dandenong21150%87.582.5+5.0
8 Knox21150%82.078.5+3.5
9 Ballarat42250%94.591.8+2.8
10 Ringwood21150%90.089.5+0.5
11 Diamond Valley21150%92.593.0-0.5
12 Waverley21150%81.084.5-3.5
13 Keilor Thunder21150%84.090.0-6.0
14 Bendigo Braves31233%94.3101.3-7.0
15 Geelong2020%90.096.5-6.5
16 Hobart Chargers1010%70.080.0-10.0
17 Melbourne Tigers2020%78.091.5-13.5
18 Casey Cavaliers2020%76.097.0-21.0
19 Sandringham Sabres3030%83.7111.0-27.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keilor Thunder2329161684
Melbourne Tigers1519142472
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